8=======>

2022-02-22 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0166
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 14.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.6684-5.20%8.094+35.37%0.3026✗0.362.0M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.6498-4.08%1.7018-1.06%0.1981✓1.53213k2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0719,949.94-3.32%21,756.24+5.43%0.0683✓1.035.8M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.134552-3.20%0.123-11.51%0.2473✓1.0551k2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.2291-3.02%30.86+2.39%0.0975✓1.011.5M2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.1207-2.90%31.14+25.36%0.0908✗1.1055.4M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.012174-2.63%0.01249-0.10%0.1466✓1.1544k2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.4828-2.44%19.34+7.92%0.0732✓1.1622.7M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7876-2.32%1.84+0.55%0.2174✓1.64635k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.5140.5677-2.27%46.25+11.42%0.0432✓1.1627.6M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.486332-2.26%0.5765+15.86%0.0317✗0.92684k2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.4338-2.26%2.33-6.43%0.1935✓1.00639k2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5037,493.11-2.19%44,139.10+15.14%0.0180✓0.9742k2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum0.890.870748-2.16%1.06+19.10%0.0467✗1.00284k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.794367-2.06%0.8569+5.65%0.1103✓1.2423.2M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.049965-2.03%0.049485-2.98%0.1988✓1.267.5M2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.3465-2.02%2.546+6.30%0.1516✓1.5613.8M2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.443886-2.01%0.5394+19.07%0.0932✓1.922.0M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2465-2.01%1.3652+7.32%0.1074✓1.322.6M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 254.7753.6736-2.00%89.72+63.81%0.3079✗1.374.5M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.136-1.98%6.82+8.95%0.0431✗0.421.3M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.289357-1.91%0.318+7.80%0.1083✓1.352.0M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012138-1.88%0.01223-1.13%0.1055✓0.7515k2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.0143-1.87%5.12+0.20%0.1270✓0.99682k2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.8247-1.85%1.81-2.64%0.1580✓1.0084k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.85113.7668-1.80%119.35+3.02%0.1017✓1.006.6M2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.7432-1.79%5.9499+1.74%0.0212✓0.38412k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.09870.096938-1.78%0.1097+11.14%0.0307✓1.0337k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.8061-1.75%4.227+9.11%0.0852✓1.271.9M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.129515-1.73%0.1362+3.34%0.1450✓1.303.1M2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001907-1.70%0.00000199+2.58%0.1073✓1.0014.6M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.070789-1.68%0.0743+3.19%0.1232✓1.14185k2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7585-1.68%2.5724+43.82%0.3004✗0.532.8M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6618-1.67%1.99+17.75%0.0234✓1.362.0M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.7441-1.67%14.09+8.72%0.0540✓1.03392k2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.182551-1.66%0.198927+7.16%0.0724✓1.0621.8M2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.145968-1.64%0.1523+2.63%0.0795✓0.81354k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.873557-1.64%0.9643+8.58%0.0723✓1.1497.3M2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.5675-1.63%2.58-1.15%0.1451✓1.00683k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010231-1.63%0.01146+10.19%0.1184✓1.552.2M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.171.151-1.62%1.29+10.26%0.0848✓1.33746k2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.5205-1.61%5.771+2.85%0.1108✓1.04266k2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.129221-1.60%0.133991+2.03%0.1148✓1.013.7M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1550.3335-1.60%57.19+11.81%0.0679✓1.307.8M2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.129824-1.57%0.1615+22.44%0.0637✗1.03467k2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009630.009479-1.57%0.01044+8.41%0.0979✓1.301.2M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.9133-1.56%6.7053+11.62%0.0960✓1.48153k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1818.8824-1.55%20.98+9.38%0.0801✓1.249.6M2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3587-1.55%1.617+17.17%0.0006✓1.161.8M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.928801-1.51%1.245+32.03%0.1063✗1.24934k2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.039377-1.48%0.03426-14.29%0.2702✓0.871.7M2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.23647-1.47%0.242+0.83%0.1124✓0.9068k2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.447381-1.46%0.479+5.51%0.1375✓1.374.5M2022-03-01
DASHDashDash93.5692.2-1.45%100.01+6.89%0.0941✓1.171.5M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.369-1.45%18.9+13.79%0.0555✓1.3329.5M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8263-1.44%3.0922+7.83%0.0606✓1.002.4M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037384-1.44%0.04187+10.39%0.0544✓1.1232k2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.740313-1.41%0.8+6.54%0.0941✓1.149.8M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.026128-1.40%0.0282+6.42%0.1388✓1.43497k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.1409-1.39%22.02+13.45%0.0928✓1.55334k2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.0845-1.39%9.447+83.22%0.4675✗1.011.8M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.083414-1.38%0.09224+9.06%0.0663✓1.1148k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3533-1.37%3.47+2.06%0.1743✓1.397.1M2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000071246-1.35%0.00007896+9.33%0.0712✓1.164.5M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.7939-1.33%15.36+9.87%0.0742✓1.2161.5M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.3844-1.32%10.14+6.62%0.0296✓0.71758k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.7532-1.32%6.51+11.66%0.0081✓0.88430k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.6185-1.31%2.8371+6.93%0.1116✓1.283.3M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4837,752.93-1.30%44,439.95+16.18%0.0131✓1.00646.5M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.697824-1.30%0.697-1.41%0.1653✓1.091.9M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.0988-1.28%4.502+8.43%0.0348✓0.86395k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.062095-1.28%0.0729+15.90%0.0002✓1.0714k2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3418-1.27%3.193+34.61%0.1195✗1.27792k2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018689-1.27%0.02045+8.03%0.0805✓1.142.2M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.241912-1.26%0.3058+24.82%0.0601✗1.16469k2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9396-1.24%1.9211-2.18%0.1945✓1.23210k2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4273.5036-1.23%86.96+16.85%0.0568✓1.50106.7M2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6061-1.22%1.9861+22.15%0.0438✗1.1275k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana86.4385.3965-1.20%98.7+14.20%0.0415✓1.24139.1M2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024654-1.19%0.00002713+8.74%0.1123✓1.393.7M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.349422-1.18%0.4218+19.29%0.0609✓1.6616.4M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.011.9863-1.18%2.396+19.20%0.0292✗1.0619k2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026396-1.18%0.02885+8.01%0.0276✓0.784.6M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.819-1.17%6.72-2.61%0.0475✓0.221.3M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.67591-1.17%0.75556+10.48%0.1153✓1.51269k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.3726-1.15%30.35+13.76%0.0245✓1.105.1M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.9617-1.15%3.203+6.91%0.0620✓0.94481k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4494-1.13%1.607+9.62%0.1123✓1.44970k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.3358-1.13%15.79+8.90%0.0155✓0.751.8M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.79286-1.13%0.8359+4.24%0.1716✓1.50361k2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9398-1.13%4.2804+7.42%0.0978✓1.21291k2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.070005-1.12%0.0786+11.02%0.0907✓1.381.1M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008682-1.12%0.00979+11.50%0.0375✓1.05525k2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase35.2734.8788-1.11%39.34+11.54%0.1158✓1.58335k2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero150.97149.3501-1.07%177.8+17.77%0.0244✗1.00966k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8871-1.07%5.52+11.74%0.0029✓0.79415k2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.061815-1.06%0.07633+22.17%0.0887✗0.8180k2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.408-1.05%1.522+6.96%0.1073✓1.231.1M2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.84660.837687-1.05%1.0352+22.28%0.0218✓1.561.8M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4282.5455-1.05%87.68+5.11%0.0735✓0.89986k2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.7431-1.04%20.746+9.54%0.0766✓1.199.6M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.378404-1.02%0.3753-1.83%0.2204✓1.418.7M2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.702767-1.02%0.78+9.86%0.1861✓1.941.0M2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33111.1943-1.01%125.94+12.12%0.0700✓1.3064k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.381449-1.00%0.3996+3.71%0.1685✓1.431.4M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.8932-0.99%3.1217+6.83%0.0740✓1.002.6M2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1549-0.95%6.823+9.80%0.0468✗0.3829k2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.224774-0.94%0.2576+13.53%0.0175✓1.031.8M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.049741-0.91%0.0703+40.04%0.0794✗1.7864.3M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2183-0.91%5.445+3.40%0.0770✓0.8065k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.2298-0.90%2.46+9.33%0.0549✓1.02283k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.17623-0.88%0.1954+9.90%0.1080✓1.413.0M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3334-0.87%8.27+53.72%0.3074✗0.88398k2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.069-0.83%1.224+13.54%0.0538✓1.262.9M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration129.85128.7776-0.83%138.55+6.70%0.1053✓1.19930k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1624-0.81%2.18+0.00%0.1733✓1.21324k2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.516703-0.81%0.7582+45.56%0.1827✗1.342.3M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51106.6608-0.79%112.65+4.78%0.1279✓1.2229.9M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.5391-0.78%0.573577+5.56%0.1111✓1.153.3M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.150159-0.78%0.16553+9.38%0.1126✓1.4030k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821769.2847-0.77%66.4156-4.88%0.2666✓1.50249k2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.087927-0.76%0.1048+18.28%0.0473✓1.49684k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74133.7285-0.75%143.34+6.38%0.1472✓1.446.5M2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.71-0.74%15.26+2.97%0.2128✓1.662.7M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.5964-0.73%9.35+7.97%0.1089✓1.293.2M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.5614-0.71%27.26+14.88%0.0820✓1.521.8M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.7978-0.70%10.34+16.70%0.0367✓1.3211.0M2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,619.73-0.69%2,977.72+12.88%0.0364✓1.10581.4M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.9764-0.69%4.177+4.32%0.1391✓1.262.3M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.062640.06221-0.69%0.062179-0.74%0.1278✓0.85299k2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.214832-0.68%0.2318+7.17%0.1556✓1.543.4M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.2765-0.66%119.02+15.60%0.0272✓1.197.6M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.921942-0.61%1.0846+16.92%0.0004✓1.09165k2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046331-0.58%0.04868+4.46%0.1579✓1.38865k2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6782-0.55%3.071+14.04%0.0099✗0.85205k2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004496-0.54%0.00471+4.20%0.2380✓1.9012.7M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.794797-0.53%0.89+11.39%0.0927✓1.372.1M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1584-0.51%6.7553+9.13%0.0343✓0.853.1M2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0576-0.44%3.4918+13.69%0.0609✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.4128-0.39%4.86+9.71%0.0697✓1.11471k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3535-0.33%1.328-2.21%0.2269✓1.391.8M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.02228-0.31%0.022682+1.49%0.1453✓1.09101k2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48292.8131-0.23%328.78+12.03%0.0325✓0.997.6M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3088-0.09%1.29-1.53%0.2059✓1.28968k2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.817881-0.01%0.7268-11.15%0.2216✓0.691.5M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.459565+0.23%0.5253+14.57%0.0829✗1.44586k2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6599+0.23%1.582-4.47%0.2142✗1.113.4M2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1193+0.50%2.2579+7.08%0.0701✗0.8928k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020388+1.94%0.01656-17.20%0.4544✗1.6411.1M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.5339+4.02%2.626+7.80%0.1723✗1.39579k2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.