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2022-02-17 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1443
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.3%
in alpha space · 96.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3515.3327-0.11%13.97-8.99%0.0553✓0.681.7M2022-02-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.027580.027543-0.14%0.01693-38.61%0.4110✓1.3611.0M2022-02-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash313.15312.4858-0.21%300.94-3.90%0.0165✗0.988.4M2022-02-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169820.169395-0.25%0.15132-10.89%0.0332✓1.4332k2022-02-24
TRXTRONTron0.0624020.062152-0.40%0.061098-2.09%0.0295✗0.84344k2022-02-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8940.890132-0.43%0.827-7.49%0.0010✓1.342.4M2022-02-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052150.051917-0.45%0.0436-16.40%0.0984✓1.371.1M2022-02-24
GTGateEthereum6.586.5494-0.46%6.235-5.24%0.0032✓0.833.7M2022-02-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7815.7038-0.48%13.72-13.05%0.0416✓1.683.2M2022-02-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5420.539174-0.52%0.458-15.50%0.0908✓1.302.4M2022-02-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.455.4205-0.54%4.24-22.20%0.1874✓1.05532k2022-02-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.07311.0672-0.55%0.89559-16.54%0.1164✓1.06189k2022-02-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1421.1356-0.56%1.104-3.33%0.0404✗1.243.4M2022-02-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.5425.3954-0.57%22.41-12.26%0.0428✓1.482.0M2022-02-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62390.62033-0.57%0.4313-30.87%0.2842✓1.43665k2022-02-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.09690.096277-0.64%0.079-18.47%0.1140✓1.51944k2022-02-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.594.5598-0.66%3.941-14.14%0.0784✓1.222.6M2022-02-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.39115.5999-0.68%104.24-10.44%0.0359✓1.2231.6M2022-02-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.6783-0.69%1.208-28.52%0.2534✓1.362.7M2022-02-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.472.4529-0.69%2.19-11.34%0.0567✓1.02361k2022-02-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,893.562,872.12-0.74%2,597.42-10.23%0.0388✓1.11588.4M2022-02-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.25580.253837-0.77%0.1956-23.53%0.1760✓1.523.9M2022-02-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.66951.6565-0.78%1.5371-7.93%0.0116✓1.1472k2022-02-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.7187.0256-0.78%81.89-6.64%0.0116✓0.891.1M2022-02-24
UNIUniswapEthereum10.4110.3265-0.80%8.83-15.18%0.0840✓1.3111.7M2022-02-24
ZENHorizenBase36.7436.4368-0.83%34.22-6.86%0.0231✗1.55405k2022-02-24
ZECZcashZcash113.58112.6378-0.83%102.72-9.56%0.0252✓1.217.6M2022-02-24
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1077.0477-0.83%5.793-18.49%0.1765✓0.3537k2022-02-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.16.049-0.84%4.747-22.18%0.1975✓0.8171k2022-02-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9773-0.87%5.03-16.58%0.1266✓0.83435k2022-02-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43440.430558-0.88%0.3452-20.53%0.1401✓1.461.8M2022-02-24
NANOnanopayBase2.10082.0821-0.89%1.7738-15.57%0.0920✓1.23315k2022-02-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2410.1475-0.90%8.97-12.40%0.0870✓0.65821k2022-02-24
IMXImmutableEthereum2.132.1106-0.91%1.504-29.39%0.2811✓1.043.2M2022-02-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.39514.3546-0.92%3.7351-15.02%0.0884✓1.17335k2022-02-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.083.0514-0.93%2.481-19.45%0.1641✓0.77212k2022-02-24
KSMKusamaHydration155.14153.692-0.93%117.93-23.98%0.1998✓1.17973k2022-02-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.20150.199551-0.97%0.1641-18.56%0.1199✓1.363.6M2022-02-24
COMPCompoundEthereum123.7122.5009-0.97%108.77-12.07%0.0476✓1.2865k2022-02-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.2312.2093-0.97%2.003-10.22%0.0396✓1.0520k2022-02-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.365.3076-0.98%4.42-17.54%0.1414✓0.75415k2022-02-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.621070.614989-0.98%0.509766-17.92%0.1249✓1.133.6M2022-02-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25250.250009-0.99%0.2141-15.21%0.0995✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
KCSKuCoinnative19.7119.5135-1.00%18.173-7.80%0.0027✓1.2310.0M2022-02-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.6434-1.00%1.13-31.93%0.3071✓1.211.2M2022-02-24
XMRMoneroMonero163.89162.2485-1.00%147-10.31%0.0424✓1.011.2M2022-02-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8830.874119-1.01%0.74-16.19%0.0866✓1.44501k2022-02-24
SCSiacoinnative0.009870.009771-1.01%0.00834-15.50%0.1011✓1.03489k2022-02-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7420.734447-1.02%0.64-13.75%0.0783✓1.071.9M2022-02-24
XTZTezosTezos3.66863.6312-1.02%3.0389-17.16%0.1078✓1.272.4M2022-02-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041030.040605-1.04%0.03686-10.16%0.0356✓1.1032k2022-02-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.651.6328-1.04%1.344-18.55%0.1269✓1.221.3M2022-02-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.545.4822-1.04%4.44-19.86%0.1544✓1.02701k2022-02-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31323.2781-1.06%2.6254-20.76%0.1697✓0.942.3M2022-02-24
SOLSolanaSolana93.5692.5507-1.08%89.41-4.44%0.0340✗1.23179.7M2022-02-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4329.1069-1.10%26.53-9.85%0.0337✓1.065.4M2022-02-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09020.089181-1.13%0.08206-9.02%0.0226✓1.0950k2022-02-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43690.431929-1.14%0.3618-17.19%0.1006✓1.388.9M2022-02-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.27460.271455-1.15%0.2371-13.66%0.0723✓1.14538k2022-02-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.562.5303-1.16%1.97-23.05%0.1844✓1.19390k2022-02-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06980.06899-1.16%0.0609-12.75%0.0653✓1.0717k2022-02-24
MOVRMoonriverBase85.944484.9404-1.17%63.0112-26.68%0.2152✓1.50315k2022-02-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760170.751262-1.17%0.66022-13.15%0.0477✓1.47334k2022-02-24
AAVEAaveEthereum152.99151.1852-1.18%125.3-18.10%0.1101✓1.407.8M2022-02-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.321.0477-1.18%19.48-8.54%0.0069✓1.52387k2022-02-24
XECeCashnative0.000078490.000077535-1.22%0.00007114-9.36%0.0234✓1.134.8M2022-02-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.029950.029585-1.22%0.02616-12.65%0.0760✓0.855.8M2022-02-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2680.264649-1.25%0.219-18.28%0.1396✓0.9070k2022-02-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0203590.020103-1.26%0.01718-15.61%0.0935✓1.152.4M2022-02-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,536.7340,025.99-1.26%38,347.30-5.40%0.0127✓1.00686.5M2022-02-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7411.7191-1.26%1.36-21.88%0.1588✓1.361.1M2022-02-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6682.6336-1.29%2.188-17.99%0.1142✓1.28986k2022-02-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1617.9193-1.33%16.18-10.90%0.0279✓1.3432.8M2022-02-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3344-1.33%5.42-15.58%0.1087✓0.85449k2022-02-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.467.3596-1.35%6.1-18.23%0.1757✓0.221.3M2022-02-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2273.1833-1.35%2.6203-18.80%0.1394✓0.992.4M2022-02-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5674.5049-1.36%3.945-13.62%0.0880✓0.81379k2022-02-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4930.48624-1.37%0.423-14.20%0.0617✓1.404.5M2022-02-24
HIVEHivenative1.01380.999776-1.38%0.8143-19.68%0.1191✓1.551.9M2022-02-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074160.073129-1.39%0.06073-18.11%0.1433✓0.7789k2022-02-24
QNTQuantEthereum119.39117.7034-1.41%108.73-8.93%0.0235✓1.007.6M2022-02-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5411.5192-1.42%1.338-13.17%0.0632✓1.152.1M2022-02-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,651.2040,074.15-1.42%38,311.50-5.76%0.0091✓0.9758k2022-02-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08250.081326-1.42%0.0685-16.97%0.0981✓1.32966k2022-02-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.3775-1.43%13.27-14.94%0.0814✓1.1969.3M2022-02-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.071.0545-1.45%1.187+10.93%0.1920✗1.33751k2022-02-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5420.2402-1.46%18.42-10.32%0.0265✓1.2210.8M2022-02-24
XVGVergenative0.01070.010542-1.48%0.00894-16.45%0.0921✓1.311.2M2022-02-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012394-1.48%0.01188-5.56%0.0022✓0.8015k2022-02-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028210.000027787-1.50%0.00002389-15.31%0.0742✓1.383.5M2022-02-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82220.809864-1.50%0.6953-15.43%0.0936✓1.0611.6M2022-02-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00540.005319-1.50%0.00413-23.52%0.1450✓1.9416.8M2022-02-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1384070.136307-1.52%0.124116-10.33%0.0382✓1.005.9M2022-02-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.3755.5126-1.52%48.82-13.39%0.0582✓1.279.2M2022-02-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89830.884611-1.52%0.7779-13.40%0.0608✓1.2226.6M2022-02-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3340.328907-1.52%0.274-17.96%0.1074✓1.362.3M2022-02-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.922.8754-1.53%2.68-8.22%0.0148✓1.00775k2022-02-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.55025.4648-1.54%5.718+3.02%0.0663✗0.38441k2022-02-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03090.030423-1.54%0.0281-9.06%0.0013✓1.45499k2022-02-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8705-1.55%1.56-17.89%0.1071✓1.342.1M2022-02-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043780.043092-1.57%0.03323-24.10%0.2210✓0.702.0M2022-02-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2022610.199081-1.57%0.182403-9.82%0.0313✓1.0121.9M2022-02-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6126.1888-1.58%30.76+15.60%0.2131✗0.941.2M2022-02-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2683.216-1.59%2.747-15.94%0.1087✓0.88481k2022-02-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269320.0265-1.60%0.021665-19.56%0.1376✓1.1589k2022-02-24
XYMSymbolnative0.16420.16153-1.63%0.1399-14.80%0.1071✓0.66388k2022-02-24
XEMNEMnative0.10470.102976-1.65%0.093-11.17%0.0456✓1.0137k2022-02-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4996.3914-1.65%5.016-22.82%0.1878✓0.98407k2022-02-24
DASHDashDash104.76103.0247-1.66%87.88-16.11%0.0979✓1.101.8M2022-02-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011584-1.67%0.00977-17.06%0.0837✓1.562.0M2022-02-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.5814.3345-1.68%11.99-17.76%0.1219✓1.02483k2022-02-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.25111.23-1.69%1.1579-7.45%0.0106✓1.282.5M2022-02-24
UMAUMAEthereum6.035.9269-1.71%4.785-20.65%0.1587✓1.001.9M2022-02-24
ADACardanoCardano1.02031.0028-1.72%0.8533-16.37%0.0999✓1.11102.4M2022-02-24
BTTCBTTC0.000002060.000002024-1.73%0.00000181-12.14%0.0564✓1.0014.2M2022-02-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.923486-1.76%0.64-31.91%0.2573✓1.971.2M2022-02-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15360.150886-1.77%0.1304-15.10%0.0887✓1.03470k2022-02-24
MANADecentralandEthereum3.08013.024-1.82%2.5825-16.16%0.0941✓1.153.3M2022-02-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08490.08333-1.85%0.0646-23.91%0.1920✓1.13201k2022-02-24
QTUMQtumQtum7.0156.8829-1.88%5.8411-16.73%0.0833✓1.46165k2022-02-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche88.2886.607-1.90%76.41-13.45%0.0471✓1.41106.7M2022-02-24
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1052.0642-1.94%1.717-18.43%0.1287✓1.0076k2022-02-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06080.059606-1.96%0.0532-12.50%0.0171✓1.7464.3M2022-02-24
LUNATerraTerra 250.2749.2601-2.01%65.24+29.78%0.3594✗1.416.1M2022-02-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55580.54437-2.06%0.4805-13.55%0.0746✓0.90804k2022-02-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15680.153506-2.10%0.1205-23.15%0.1722✓1.263.3M2022-02-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.16.95-2.11%5.89-17.04%0.1450✓0.371.7M2022-02-24
STXStacksnative1.41.3698-2.15%1.12-20.00%0.1458✓1.00963k2022-02-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53820.526522-2.17%0.3935-26.89%0.1895✓1.831.8M2022-02-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510550.049944-2.18%0.045853-10.19%0.0186✓1.217.6M2022-02-24
FTTFTXEthereum43.7242.7486-2.22%41.3-5.54%0.0301✗1.1630.4M2022-02-24
BANDBandEthereum4.444.3388-2.28%3.558-19.86%0.1300✓1.231.9M2022-02-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0827.4331-2.30%24.86-11.47%0.0406✓1.0466.4M2022-02-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.953.8569-2.36%3.14-20.51%0.1297✓1.378.2M2022-02-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46413.3823-2.36%2.1177-38.87%0.4164✓0.9328k2022-02-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3164.2106-2.44%2.18-49.49%0.5967✓1.11620k2022-02-24
XVSVenusEthereum11.4411.1519-2.52%8.95-21.77%0.1521✓1.223.2M2022-02-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.120794-2.59%0.126+1.61%0.1049✗1.1357k2022-02-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158160.015403-2.61%0.01147-27.48%0.2335✓1.11417k2022-02-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8619.3285-2.68%16.6-16.41%0.0880✓1.1624.4M2022-02-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40730.395723-2.84%0.3302-18.93%0.0888✓1.6618.6M2022-02-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.892.8076-2.85%2.19-24.22%0.1929✓1.00723k2022-02-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.8172-3.19%2.241-22.99%0.1459✓1.4915.9M2022-02-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27812.2012-3.38%1.8131-20.41%0.1638✓0.543.1M2022-02-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48051.4282-3.54%1.4257-3.70%0.0830✗1.53144k2022-02-24
PROPropyEthereum2.172.0917-3.61%1.69-22.12%0.1137✓1.79782k2022-02-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,441.7021,558.52-3.94%19,425.17-13.44%0.0487✓1.006.9M2022-02-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.23271.1823-4.09%0.8008-35.04%0.3489✓0.731.5M2022-02-24
API3Api3Ethereum54.7724-4.55%7.001+40.02%0.3962✗0.231.8M2022-02-24
DIADIAEthereum1.21.1424-4.80%1.02-15.00%0.0578✓1.00270k2022-02-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.