8=======>

2022-02-12 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0667
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 88.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9420.939883-0.22%0.861-8.60%0.0158✓1.382.4M2022-02-19
TRXTRONTron0.0634730.063312-0.25%0.063482+0.01%0.0495✗0.90351k2022-02-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9165.8998-0.27%5.766-2.54%0.0235✗0.8972k2022-02-19
XVSVenusEthereum8.988.9554-0.27%9.99+11.25%0.1776✗1.312.8M2022-02-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.64329.6494-0.30%312.05-5.62%0.0016✓1.028.9M2022-02-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.9743-0.39%16.06-5.75%0.0356✗1.753.8M2022-02-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5620.559712-0.41%0.5576-0.78%0.0652✗1.322.5M2022-02-19
NANOnanopayBase2.17812.1692-0.41%2.071-4.92%0.0162✗1.20547k2022-02-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.985.9554-0.41%5.08-15.05%0.1009✓1.12645k2022-02-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.52.489-0.44%2.42-3.20%0.0397✗1.30390k2022-02-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1465-0.49%2.973-5.98%0.0144✓0.81212k2022-02-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.10350.102984-0.50%0.0963-6.96%0.0151✗1.581.2M2022-02-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.5471-0.50%2.38-7.03%0.0141✓1.03431k2022-02-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056010.055723-0.51%0.05154-7.98%0.0041✓1.421.2M2022-02-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.15411.1481-0.52%1.0275-10.98%0.0566✓1.05239k2022-02-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65010.646442-0.56%0.5475-15.78%0.0853✓1.55743k2022-02-19
GTGateEthereum6.7586.7192-0.57%6.6548-1.53%0.0375✗0.904.0M2022-02-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.04431.0382-0.59%1.1527+10.38%0.1678✗1.212.3M2022-02-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.894.8603-0.61%4.37-10.63%0.0419✓1.242.6M2022-02-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41910.416475-0.63%0.4172-0.45%0.0715✗1.348.7M2022-02-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4928.3098-0.63%25.4-10.85%0.0293✓1.522.0M2022-02-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.033810.033594-0.64%0.02516-25.58%0.2304✓1.139.7M2022-02-19
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6410.5713-0.65%10.03-5.73%0.0171✗1.3412.5M2022-02-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2671.2586-0.67%1.132-10.66%0.0407✓1.253.2M2022-02-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46040.457278-0.68%0.4201-8.75%0.0063✓1.512.0M2022-02-19
IMXImmutableEthereum2.32.2841-0.69%1.98-13.91%0.0922✓0.972.9M2022-02-19
ETHEthereumEthereum2,919.992,899.52-0.70%2,764.44-5.33%0.0109✗1.13572.6M2022-02-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25140.249627-0.71%0.2512-0.08%0.0632✗1.091.6M2022-02-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7450.739744-0.71%0.749+0.54%0.0698✗1.101.6M2022-02-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.94010.933465-0.71%0.8878-5.56%0.0302✗1.54672k2022-02-19
KCSKuCoinnative19.11118.9676-0.75%19.839+3.81%0.1147✗1.3410.4M2022-02-19
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7817.7219-0.76%6.873-11.67%0.0980✓0.3538k2022-02-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.691.6771-0.76%1.58-6.51%0.0060✓1.261.4M2022-02-19
COMPCompoundEthereum127.26126.2854-0.77%121.25-4.72%0.0263✗1.2959k2022-02-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.77251.7589-0.77%1.6691-5.83%0.0057✓1.1273k2022-02-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.28380.281598-0.78%0.247-12.97%0.0497✓1.564.2M2022-02-19
KSMKusamaHydration166.09164.7935-0.78%151.15-9.00%0.0229✓1.22930k2022-02-19
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.2983-0.78%5.31-0.56%0.0568✗1.05682k2022-02-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3496-0.79%5.92-7.50%0.0268✓0.83428k2022-02-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.485.4354-0.81%5.28-3.65%0.0124✗0.79377k2022-02-19
ZECZcashZcash117.83116.867-0.82%112.33-4.67%0.0264✗1.277.2M2022-02-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6176180.612563-0.82%0.594043-3.82%0.0305✗1.183.5M2022-02-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042350.041985-0.86%0.04064-4.04%0.0262✗1.1330k2022-02-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.184960.183344-0.87%0.15998-13.51%0.0518✓1.6240k2022-02-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.911.8933-0.87%1.57-17.80%0.1150✓1.392.9M2022-02-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.78125.6589-0.88%115.59-8.83%0.0161✓1.3035.7M2022-02-19
MOVRMoonriverBase85.843985.0842-0.88%84.5568-1.50%0.0687✗1.44315k2022-02-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20640.204559-0.89%0.198-4.07%0.0413✗1.423.7M2022-02-19
ZENHorizenBase40.8940.5181-0.91%38.13-6.75%0.0207✗1.57420k2022-02-19
SOLSolanaSolana95.9595.0764-0.91%91.34-4.80%0.0254✗1.26179.7M2022-02-19
SCSiacoinnative0.010680.010583-0.91%0.00967-9.46%0.0367✓1.03514k2022-02-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3325-0.91%2.168-7.90%0.0174✓1.0722k2022-02-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.1193.2411-0.92%87.64-6.87%0.0149✓0.901.3M2022-02-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.921.902-0.94%1.58-17.71%0.1237✓1.191.4M2022-02-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.79894.7526-0.97%4.2985-10.43%0.0361✓1.24399k2022-02-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87440.865925-0.97%0.827-5.42%0.0095✓1.0712.7M2022-02-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07170.071005-0.97%0.0679-5.30%0.0128✗1.1017k2022-02-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.031250.030936-1.00%0.02878-7.90%0.0270✓0.876.4M2022-02-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093770.092806-1.03%0.08925-4.82%0.0166✗1.0750k2022-02-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0442880.043806-1.09%0.059376+34.07%0.3677✗1.228.4M2022-02-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.6001-1.11%1.491-7.85%0.0102✓1.161.9M2022-02-19
XECeCashnative0.00008230.000081378-1.12%0.00007811-5.09%0.0195✗1.165.6M2022-02-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076090.075238-1.12%0.07126-6.35%0.0151✓0.7586k2022-02-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8218.6077-1.13%17.86-5.10%0.0302✗1.3736.1M2022-02-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.762.7287-1.13%2.586-6.30%0.0168✗1.351.1M2022-02-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.303-1.16%28.7-9.38%0.0315✓1.064.9M2022-02-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.676.5916-1.18%6.41-3.90%0.0187✗0.90406k2022-02-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.806940.797437-1.18%0.75237-6.76%0.0201✗1.50311k2022-02-19
DODODODOEthereum0.5140.507922-1.18%0.489-4.86%0.0378✗1.464.9M2022-02-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.28520.281781-1.20%0.273-4.28%0.0264✗1.11538k2022-02-19
XMRMoneroMonero173.82171.724-1.21%161.12-7.31%0.0092✓1.051.3M2022-02-19
AAVEAaveEthereum162.52160.523-1.23%146.18-10.05%0.0201✓1.419.3M2022-02-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0218880.021617-1.24%0.020617-5.81%0.0164✗1.232.4M2022-02-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.73896.6551-1.24%6.787+0.71%0.0949✗1.45145k2022-02-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8121.7895-1.24%1.664-8.17%0.0045✓1.311.1M2022-02-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,568.0042,034.24-1.25%39,901.00-6.27%0.0016✓0.9741k2022-02-19
XYMSymbolnative0.17360.171388-1.27%0.1581-8.93%0.0434✓0.72406k2022-02-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5422.2526-1.28%20.48-9.14%0.0009✓1.58383k2022-02-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8620.5918-1.29%20.82-0.19%0.0741✗1.2110.8M2022-02-19
XTZTezosTezos4.1094.0557-1.30%3.6074-12.21%0.0490✓1.312.4M2022-02-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91880.906747-1.31%0.9001-2.04%0.0515✗1.1327.1M2022-02-19
ORCAOrcaSolana3.032.99-1.32%2.82-6.93%0.0065✓1.001.4M2022-02-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.084556-1.33%0.0784-8.52%0.0112✓1.24201k2022-02-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,244.9741,679.86-1.34%40,101.94-5.07%0.0135✓1.00642.7M2022-02-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91152.8718-1.36%2.8917-0.68%0.0594✗1.012.8M2022-02-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.50793.46-1.36%3.0416-13.29%0.0705✓1.122.5M2022-02-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.3480.2296-1.37%85.07+4.59%0.1292✗1.3698.5M2022-02-19
DASHDashDash104.19102.7599-1.37%102.42-1.70%0.0561✗1.142.1M2022-02-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.0517.7987-1.39%15.11-16.29%0.1266✓0.71984k2022-02-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03220.031752-1.39%0.03-6.83%0.0198✗1.47490k2022-02-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7864.7193-1.39%4.472-6.56%0.0101✓0.84348k2022-02-19
UMAUMAEthereum6.326.2317-1.40%5.69-9.97%0.0400✓0.981.9M2022-02-19
HIVEHivenative1.0521.0373-1.40%0.9635-8.41%0.0025✓1.471.9M2022-02-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1442810.142247-1.41%0.141002-2.27%0.0452✗1.047.0M2022-02-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.937.8173-1.42%7.27-8.32%0.0568✓0.301.1M2022-02-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.2647-1.43%3.281-0.94%0.0516✗0.90502k2022-02-19
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4042.3695-1.43%2.186-9.07%0.0286✓1.0068k2022-02-19
XEMNEMnative0.10860.107039-1.44%0.1018-6.26%0.0049✓1.0636k2022-02-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79743.7425-1.44%3.0659-19.26%0.1491✓0.972.2M2022-02-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0310.866-1.49%9.9-10.24%0.0558✓0.72660k2022-02-19
XVGVergenative0.011490.011319-1.49%0.01032-10.18%0.0195✓1.401.2M2022-02-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.021.9899-1.49%1.82-9.90%0.0211✓1.312.2M2022-02-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1032-1.50%0.99-11.61%0.0352✓1.40655k2022-02-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006160.006067-1.51%0.0051-17.21%0.0683✓2.0218.8M2022-02-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.370.364377-1.52%0.325-12.16%0.0431✓1.372.1M2022-02-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.1858.2769-1.53%54.84-7.33%0.0035✓1.248.8M2022-02-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.9715.7237-1.54%15.52-2.82%0.0501✗1.2172.0M2022-02-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13930.137117-1.57%0.1472+5.67%0.1414✗1.353.2M2022-02-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94465.8508-1.58%5.7961-2.50%0.0068✓0.31447k2022-02-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2182180.214773-1.58%0.204174-6.44%0.0034✓1.0424.2M2022-02-19
ADACardanoCardano1.05961.0428-1.59%0.9969-5.92%0.0135✓1.12115.7M2022-02-19
LUNATerraTerra 251.9651.135-1.59%50.46-2.89%0.0610✗1.437.4M2022-02-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013399-1.62%0.01266-7.05%0.0160✓0.7813k2022-02-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.92466-1.63%0.85-9.57%0.0179✗1.961.1M2022-02-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286320.028164-1.63%0.02609-8.88%0.0093✓1.29111k2022-02-19
QNTQuantEthereum133.7131.4542-1.68%110.71-17.20%0.1189✓1.027.8M2022-02-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1614.9022-1.70%14.06-7.26%0.0027✓1.06535k2022-02-19
DIADIAEthereum0.960.943124-1.76%1.01+5.21%0.1206✗1.00277k2022-02-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012760.012535-1.77%0.01191-6.66%0.0294✗1.551.7M2022-02-19
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002131-1.78%0.00000202-6.91%0.0016✓1.0014.3M2022-02-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002920.000028658-1.86%0.0000275-5.82%0.0326✗1.421.8M2022-02-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9396.809-1.87%6.265-9.71%0.0298✓1.03407k2022-02-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.0726.5616-1.88%26.69-1.40%0.0641✗1.1471.8M2022-02-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.787.6297-1.93%6.99-10.15%0.0682✓0.371.7M2022-02-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1929.5981-1.96%30.94+2.48%0.0944✗0.96830k2022-02-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06820.066862-1.96%0.0593-13.05%0.0290✓1.7557.0M2022-02-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047410.04645-2.02%0.03967-16.33%0.1201✓0.724.4M2022-02-19
BANDBandEthereum4.274.1828-2.04%4.93+15.46%0.2293✗1.251.9M2022-02-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16720.16378-2.05%0.1444-13.64%0.0714✓1.05470k2022-02-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84221.8044-2.05%1.9802+7.49%0.1250✗0.622.9M2022-02-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.113589-2.08%0.135+16.38%0.2247✗1.0072k2022-02-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.72.6437-2.08%2.74+1.48%0.0878✗1.00779k2022-02-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57850.566084-2.15%0.5485-5.19%0.0234✗1.061.1M2022-02-19
STXStacksnative1.521.4853-2.28%1.31-13.82%0.0736✓1.001.1M2022-02-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158970.015526-2.34%0.015145-4.73%0.0362✗1.17630k2022-02-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.1843.1461-2.34%42.78-3.17%0.0531✗1.1832.3M2022-02-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3380.32977-2.43%0.254-24.85%0.2119✓0.9476k2022-02-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.24711.216-2.49%1.8854+51.18%0.5213✗1.59119k2022-02-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.60150.586026-2.57%0.4814-19.97%0.0979✓1.901.8M2022-02-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.0719.5455-2.61%20-0.35%0.0838✗1.1725.0M2022-02-19
SUSHISushiEthereum4.154.0378-2.70%3.87-6.75%0.0297✗1.398.0M2022-02-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.073.959-2.73%7.47+83.54%0.6524✗0.341.8M2022-02-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.872.7896-2.80%2.81-2.09%0.0813✗1.4219.1M2022-02-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09560.092885-2.84%0.0806-15.69%0.0693✓1.39585k2022-02-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.5273.4257-2.87%2.3136-34.40%0.3465✓0.8830k2022-02-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45440.441289-2.89%0.419-7.79%0.0414✗1.7932.6M2022-02-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.9044.7345-3.46%3.675-25.06%0.2055✓0.92909k2022-02-19
PROPropyEthereum2.222.1373-3.72%2.16-2.70%0.1143✗1.991.1M2022-02-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,131.8522,205.38-4.01%21,669.76-6.32%0.0254✓0.967.8M2022-02-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29391.2366-4.43%0.9816-24.14%0.1843✓0.901.8M2022-02-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.