8=======>

2022-02-11 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0216
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.3%
in alpha space · 86.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.1772-4.05%1.0542-14.08%0.0578✓0.901.8M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1322,197.21-3.97%21,934.46-5.11%0.0440✗0.968.0M2022-02-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1574.957-3.88%3.889-24.59%0.1891✓0.921.0M2022-02-18
PROPropyEthereum2.282.1942-3.76%2.15-5.70%0.0380✓1.001.4M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.4865-2.99%2.9795-17.10%0.1056✓0.8830k2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.616943-2.97%0.5205-18.13%0.0611✓1.871.8M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.8113-2.72%2.81-2.77%0.0818✗1.4120.0M2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9799-2.69%3.91-4.40%0.0628✗1.388.0M2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.438593-2.60%0.4198-6.77%0.0629✗1.8335.7M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.311-2.57%19.61-1.06%0.0832✗1.1625.3M2022-02-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.0498-2.56%0.04094-19.90%0.1375✓1.004.9M2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.8722-2.46%6.01+51.39%0.4593✗0.341.8M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.03137-2.35%0.026937-16.15%0.0771✓1.29111k2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.145523-2.33%0.1365-8.39%0.0150✓1.353.2M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.084875-2.33%0.0812-6.56%0.0366✗1.39567k2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.581984-2.29%0.5612-5.78%0.0253✗1.061.1M2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.8716-2.27%2.1176+10.57%0.1592✗0.612.9M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015513-2.26%0.015984+0.71%0.0983✗1.17689k2022-02-18
STXStacksnative1.511.4766-2.21%1.35-10.60%0.0313✓1.001.2M2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.4642.5063-2.19%43.09-0.85%0.0824✗1.1832.3M2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028128-2.06%0.00002815-1.98%0.0835✗1.421.7M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.8083-2.03%6.93-13.05%0.0975✓0.371.7M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.0734-2.02%6.389-11.50%0.0420✓1.02407k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.1252-2.02%1.6049+39.76%0.4479✗1.59114k2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.254.1683-1.92%4.7+10.59%0.1924✗1.241.9M2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18686.0694-1.90%5.708-7.74%0.0429✓0.32447k2022-02-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.11481-1.87%0.139+18.80%0.2496✗1.0072k2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.064208-1.82%0.0602-7.95%0.0375✗1.7542.7M2022-02-18
DIADIAEthereum0.960.942832-1.79%1.07+11.46%0.1849✗1.00281k2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5626.087-1.78%26.85+1.09%0.0948✗1.1376.9M2022-02-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002122-1.76%0.00000205-5.09%0.0239✗1.0014.6M2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.7193-1.61%14.44-3.48%0.0422✗1.05576k2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.154083-1.61%0.1446-7.66%0.0025✓1.05430k2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.369064-1.58%0.322-14.13%0.0570✓1.361.9M2022-02-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.5108-1.58%2.017-20.93%0.1606✓1.0068k2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0633-1.57%0.9958-7.82%0.0003✓1.12115.7M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2215.9652-1.57%15.2-6.29%0.0213✗1.2173.6M2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.012246-1.56%0.01204-3.22%0.0719✗1.521.7M2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.296315-1.56%0.261-13.29%0.0722✓0.9476k2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.905872-1.54%0.89-3.26%0.0968✗1.961.1M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.2473-1.52%3.6234-15.99%0.0829✓1.302.4M2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.51127.547-1.52%113.58-12.30%0.0566✓1.027.8M2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0389-1.50%1.82-12.08%0.0376✓1.302.3M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013386-1.50%0.01279-5.89%0.0000✓0.7813k2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.212177-1.49%0.200634-6.85%0.0044✓1.0324.3M2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.1917-1.49%55.59-5.89%0.0261✗1.238.8M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 250.3549.6209-1.45%50.61+0.52%0.1031✗1.437.8M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.00611-1.45%0.00516-16.77%0.0510✓2.0218.8M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.047032-1.44%0.0487+2.06%0.1056✗1.218.7M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.011510.011346-1.42%0.01063-7.65%0.0154✗1.381.3M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.10860.107061-1.42%0.1011-6.91%0.0043✓1.0635k2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0589-1.41%0.9999-6.90%0.0280✗1.461.9M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8180.6769-1.39%83.75+2.37%0.1160✗1.3592.3M2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.5504-1.38%3.1093-13.63%0.0763✓0.972.2M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.3062-1.33%28.96-11.55%0.0476✓1.064.6M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash103.99102.6166-1.32%105.32+1.28%0.0924✗1.142.2M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.142939-1.32%0.138612-4.31%0.0296✗1.037.1M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.8837-1.32%2.97+1.64%0.0880✗1.003.0M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.7568-1.31%15.2-10.48%0.0560✓0.71919k2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0856-1.31%0.99-10.00%0.0109✓1.39655k2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.031484-1.30%0.0302-5.33%0.0454✗1.49490k2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.695-1.30%29.08+3.64%0.1048✗0.96679k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6001-1.30%7.67-0.39%0.0269✗0.301.0M2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.085679-1.29%0.0797-8.18%0.0003✓1.23209k2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4741,839.33-1.29%39,983.56-5.67%0.0130✗1.00642.7M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.02232-1.29%0.019599-13.32%0.0592✓1.212.4M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.2478-1.28%3.181-3.31%0.0312✗0.89525k2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0920.8233-1.26%21.02-0.33%0.0799✗1.2110.8M2022-02-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.0709-1.26%2.85-8.36%0.0163✓1.002.0M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032566-1.26%0.02928-11.22%0.0559✓0.866.4M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.905428-1.25%0.895-2.39%0.0536✗1.1228.1M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.8106-1.22%1.674-8.67%0.0021✓1.311.2M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71161.7348-1.21%145.64-11.04%0.0227✓1.419.5M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.3644-1.20%3.076-9.66%0.0248✓1.112.5M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.520.513874-1.18%0.494-5.00%0.0450✗1.454.9M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.171461-1.18%0.1609-7.26%0.0217✓0.72406k2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6179-1.17%1.518-7.27%0.0038✓1.161.6M2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000083910.000082935-1.16%0.0000786-6.33%0.0143✗1.175.6M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3622.1015-1.16%20.51-8.27%0.0170✗1.57387k2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.076578-1.15%0.07167-7.49%0.0212✓0.7789k2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.8926-1.13%5.92-0.67%0.0620✗0.981.9M2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.096426-1.12%0.09046-7.24%0.0015✓1.0750k2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.281015-1.12%0.2677-5.81%0.0168✗1.12538k2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.7831-1.09%17.83-6.11%0.0273✗1.3636.1M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.724-1.09%2.581-6.28%0.0251✗1.351.1M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.4912-1.05%7.2333+10.26%0.1929✗1.45145k2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.9964-1.03%10.17+0.69%0.0586✗0.71660k2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.4044-1.01%6.37-1.55%0.0467✗0.89406k2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.187207-0.99%0.17101-9.55%0.0038✓1.6240k2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.071311-0.96%0.0682-5.28%0.0194✗1.1019k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero169.21167.6017-0.95%160.94-4.89%0.0206✗1.051.4M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7041,945.40-0.95%40,196.70-5.08%0.0139✗0.9741k2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.4107-0.95%4.716+5.91%0.1159✗0.84346k2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6493.7781-0.91%87.44-7.61%0.0171✓0.911.3M2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.867594-0.89%0.8015-8.44%0.0173✓1.0613.0M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.815977-0.89%0.75452-8.35%0.0091✗1.50311k2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.9328-0.88%1.58-18.97%0.1205✓1.393.0M2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9726-0.87%1.61-19.10%0.1339✓1.191.5M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana96.595.6745-0.86%89.9-6.84%0.0108✗1.25179.7M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.01047-0.85%0.00961-9.00%0.0260✓1.02550k2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3345-0.83%2.222-5.61%0.0126✗1.0622k2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69124.6559-0.82%114.85-8.62%0.0056✓1.3135.7M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.203923-0.82%0.1967-4.33%0.0469✗1.423.7M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6645-0.79%4.35-7.48%0.0017✓1.23442k2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4268-0.79%5.25-4.02%0.0131✗0.79377k2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.7241-0.79%25.01-16.52%0.0849✓1.502.0M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase40.3640.0438-0.78%37.11-8.05%0.0150✗1.56461k2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.286582-0.77%0.247-14.47%0.0582✓1.554.2M2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.612166-0.77%0.594984-3.55%0.0397✗1.173.5M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041561-0.76%0.04101-2.08%0.0523✗1.1230k2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.8634-0.75%6.903-12.87%0.1097✓0.3538k2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.257448-0.75%0.2543-1.97%0.0511✗1.091.6M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash116.54115.6636-0.75%109.21-6.29%0.0165✗1.277.3M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0894-0.74%1.196+8.97%0.1634✗1.202.3M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.3607-0.73%5.3-1.85%0.0493✗1.04701k2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.765435-0.72%0.771+0.00%0.0714✗1.101.7M2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.6977-0.72%1.59-7.02%0.0079✗1.261.4M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.08718.9498-0.72%19.552+2.44%0.1096✗1.3410.4M2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54123.653-0.71%121.52-2.42%0.0572✗1.2865k2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832184.2322-0.71%83.1979-1.93%0.0720✗1.44319k2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.107842-0.70%0.0978-9.94%0.0063✓1.571.3M2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.03628-0.68%0.02552-30.14%0.2862✓1.129.5M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,909.27-0.68%2,780.08-5.09%0.0199✗1.12572.6M2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.1989-0.66%5.97-4.33%0.0106✗0.83441k2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7639-0.66%1.6654-6.20%0.0074✗1.1178k2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration165.1164.0444-0.64%150.07-9.10%0.0178✓1.22973k2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.928536-0.64%0.877-6.15%0.0344✗1.57672k2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2956-0.63%2.05-11.26%0.0563✓0.972.9M2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.5865-0.60%10.16-4.60%0.0367✗1.3312.5M2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.871-0.59%4.37-10.82%0.0363✓1.242.6M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2497-0.58%1.104-12.17%0.0510✓1.253.2M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.455666-0.57%0.4211-8.12%0.0085✗1.502.2M2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.650059-0.56%0.5682-13.08%0.0446✓1.54743k2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.415772-0.56%0.4126-1.32%0.0700✗1.338.9M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum6.73996.7048-0.52%6.6403-1.48%0.0427✗0.904.0M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.568-0.46%2.38-7.75%0.0162✓1.02457k2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1571-0.45%1.0419-10.36%0.0434✓1.05239k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.1412-0.40%3.02-4.25%0.0079✗0.81206k2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.5298-0.40%2.43-4.33%0.0352✗1.29401k2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.567392-0.39%0.5229-8.20%0.0050✓1.312.6M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.056015-0.37%0.04965-11.69%0.0373✓1.431.2M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1742-0.36%2.0548-5.83%0.0135✗1.20675k2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.1825-0.33%15.77-8.53%0.0162✗1.753.8M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9713-0.31%5.29-11.69%0.0556✓1.12689k2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063813-0.23%0.063085-1.36%0.0413✗0.90357k2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.958053-0.20%0.86-10.42%0.0276✓1.382.4M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.9981-0.20%5.881-2.15%0.0340✗0.9272k2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.905-0.17%10.35+16.03%0.2263✗1.302.8M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01320.5347-0.15%310.22-3.36%0.0271✗1.028.9M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.