8=======>

2022-02-09 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1241
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.1%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.82020.773104-5.74%0.625-23.80%0.1910✓1.841.8M2022-02-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.9085.6018-5.18%5.046-14.59%0.0927✓1.001.0M2022-02-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.3511.2897-4.54%1.2019-11.04%0.0587✓1.001.9M2022-02-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.058190.055633-4.39%0.056084-3.62%0.0222✓1.198.8M2022-02-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037470.03604-3.82%0.028284-24.52%0.2272✓1.28114k2022-02-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38521.3328-3.79%1.6305+17.71%0.2199✗1.55107k2022-02-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,293.9825,299.71-3.78%23,690.00-9.90%0.0546✓0.9411.3M2022-02-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.764.5833-3.71%4.3-9.66%0.0477✓1.378.0M2022-02-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.80526.5545-3.68%5.8668-13.79%0.1074✓0.29407k2022-02-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032980.000031831-3.48%0.00003095-6.16%0.0116✓1.401.4M2022-02-16
FIDABonfidaSolana3.2693.1578-3.40%2.348-28.17%0.2845✓1.0067k2022-02-16
PROPropyEthereum2.462.3785-3.31%2.34-4.88%0.0045✓1.001.4M2022-02-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.383-3.29%1.12-21.68%0.1950✓1.35523k2022-02-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.86943.7456-3.20%3.7402-3.34%0.0090✓0.8828k2022-02-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2638.0098-3.06%7.454-9.79%0.0600✓1.01460k2022-02-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.319.025-3.06%8.24-11.49%0.0869✓0.351.6M2022-02-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.058-2.94%1.05-3.67%0.0153✓1.941.1M2022-02-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.53.3989-2.89%3.17-9.43%0.0533✓1.3920.5M2022-02-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0860.083662-2.72%0.0695-19.19%0.1657✓1.6727.8M2022-02-16
FTTFTXEthereum47.9746.7063-2.63%46.38-3.31%0.0068✓1.1732.3M2022-02-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.043.937-2.55%4.58+13.37%0.1551✗0.331.5M2022-02-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015090.014716-2.48%0.01344-10.93%0.0731✓1.491.7M2022-02-16
STXStacksnative1.721.6777-2.46%1.55-9.88%0.0674✓1.001.2M2022-02-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.122.5339-2.45%22.08-4.42%0.0068✓1.1526.1M2022-02-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.96791.92-2.44%2.2822+15.97%0.1801✗0.622.8M2022-02-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007440.007261-2.41%0.00601-19.22%0.1655✓2.0019.8M2022-02-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60170.588325-2.22%0.602+0.05%0.0356✗1.071.2M2022-02-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.56650.553922-2.22%0.4482-20.88%0.1906✓1.7940.2M2022-02-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.230580.225607-2.16%0.17624-23.57%0.2282✓1.5936k2022-02-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08670.084875-2.11%0.09+3.81%0.0749✗1.38548k2022-02-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.9430.2987-2.07%28.51-7.85%0.0478✓1.1196.8M2022-02-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.125358-2.06%0.116-9.37%0.0658✓1.0072k2022-02-16
QNTQuantEthereum150.18147.1167-2.04%129.55-13.74%0.1153✓1.007.6M2022-02-16
MOVRMoonriverBase107.0699104.9121-2.02%95.5515-10.76%0.0767✓1.42320k2022-02-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0170070.016668-1.99%0.016969-0.22%0.0318✗1.181.6M2022-02-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.1617.8007-1.98%16.75-7.76%0.0525✓0.70919k2022-02-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.718.3356-1.95%17.14-8.34%0.0534✓1.1975.4M2022-02-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.89683.8251-1.84%3.6017-7.57%0.0472✓1.102.5M2022-02-16
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0504-1.83%0.97-9.35%0.0678✓1.00286k2022-02-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046990.046138-1.81%0.04583-2.47%0.0051✓1.004.9M2022-02-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5116.215-1.79%15.91-3.63%0.0066✓1.05590k2022-02-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0833.0281-1.78%2.809-8.89%0.0592✓1.351.1M2022-02-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.1888.5859-1.77%95.39+5.78%0.0899✗1.3587.1M2022-02-16
XECeCashnative0.000097210.000095493-1.77%0.00008539-12.16%0.0983✓1.145.6M2022-02-16
XEMNEMnative0.12120.119081-1.75%0.1142-5.78%0.0295✓1.0535k2022-02-16
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34153.2836-1.74%3.2632-2.35%0.0052✓0.972.8M2022-02-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.8853.8185-1.71%3.9514+1.71%0.0456✗0.962.2M2022-02-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.282.241-1.71%2.13-6.58%0.0355✓1.302.2M2022-02-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.825.3636-1.69%24.03-6.86%0.0355✓1.57398k2022-02-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum67.6266.4767-1.69%63.42-6.21%0.0327✓1.228.4M2022-02-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.162.1238-1.67%1.952-9.63%0.0692✓1.281.2M2022-02-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4060.399211-1.67%0.373-8.13%0.0519✓1.361.8M2022-02-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002320.000002281-1.66%0.00000218-6.03%0.0337✓1.0015.1M2022-02-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2388540.234897-1.66%0.21874-8.42%0.0592✓1.0224.9M2022-02-16
ADACardanoCardano1.19471.1749-1.65%1.0833-9.32%0.0681✓1.11109.8M2022-02-16
XVGVergenative0.012530.012327-1.62%0.01171-6.54%0.0353✓1.361.3M2022-02-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.31850.313343-1.62%0.3067-3.70%0.0083✓1.11518k2022-02-16
DASHDashDash114.95113.1238-1.59%115.33+0.33%0.0327✗1.132.2M2022-02-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.3223.9388-1.57%23.08-5.10%0.0225✓1.1910.4M2022-02-16
XTZTezosTezos4.44294.3735-1.56%4.0382-9.11%0.0643✓1.312.3M2022-02-16
GITCOINGITCOIN9.3299.1851-1.54%8.239-11.68%0.1048✓0.3338k2022-02-16
BANDBandEthereum4.174.1068-1.52%4.87+16.79%0.1854✗1.261.9M2022-02-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14290.14076-1.50%0.1562+9.31%0.1203✗1.383.2M2022-02-16
HIVEHivenative1.17281.1554-1.48%1.1125-5.14%0.0207✓1.461.9M2022-02-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.6494-1.46%19.78-9.97%0.0744✓1.3537.4M2022-02-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.8433.3493-1.45%32.25-4.70%0.0210✓1.064.0M2022-02-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.165409-1.42%0.1678+0.00%0.0267✗1.04412k2022-02-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.02161.0071-1.42%0.8933-12.56%0.1076✓1.0413.5M2022-02-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.845.7571-1.42%4.9-16.10%0.1468✓1.222.6M2022-02-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03711.0224-1.42%0.9791-5.59%0.0303✓1.1029.2M2022-02-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1590480.156833-1.39%0.148737-6.48%0.0409✓1.037.1M2022-02-16
LUNATerraTerra 257.5656.768-1.38%56.02-2.68%0.0033✓1.418.8M2022-02-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9110.7616-1.36%10.78-1.19%0.0100✓0.71660k2022-02-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,416.3543,816.02-1.35%43,895.56-1.17%0.0136✓1.00642.7M2022-02-16
XMRMoneroMonero185.83183.3539-1.33%179.36-3.48%0.0097✓1.041.5M2022-02-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09430.093076-1.30%0.0851-9.76%0.0751✓1.23219k2022-02-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.9233.4849-1.28%28.63-15.60%0.1389✓1.512.0M2022-02-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5910.58344-1.28%0.539-8.80%0.0623✓1.444.6M2022-02-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.941170.929206-1.27%0.83537-11.24%0.0890✓1.48311k2022-02-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8321.8087-1.27%1.688-7.86%0.0555✓1.151.6M2022-02-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.24120.238163-1.26%0.2202-8.71%0.0620✓1.393.7M2022-02-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107850.106503-1.25%0.09789-9.24%0.0718✓1.0649k2022-02-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.282.2518-1.24%1.86-18.42%0.1749✓1.383.1M2022-02-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.29071.2748-1.24%1.4263+10.50%0.1262✗1.182.3M2022-02-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.187.0918-1.23%6.76-5.85%0.0375✓0.88416k2022-02-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin140.21138.5135-1.21%127.84-8.82%0.0648✓1.3032.4M2022-02-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0242330.023943-1.20%0.021773-10.15%0.0807✓1.212.5M2022-02-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.20427.1183-1.19%7.8678+9.21%0.1172✗1.45156k2022-02-16
AAVEAaveEthereum188.2185.9656-1.19%170.44-9.44%0.0707✓1.399.5M2022-02-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.666.5813-1.18%6.53-1.95%0.0037✓0.981.9M2022-02-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.36335.3002-1.18%4.8292-9.96%0.0786✓1.22442k2022-02-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07940.078473-1.17%0.0757-4.66%0.0232✓1.0921k2022-02-16
XYMSymbolnative0.18680.184621-1.17%0.1747-6.48%0.0468✓0.71423k2022-02-16
LRCLoopringEthereum1.09761.0848-1.17%0.9602-12.52%0.1038✓1.54672k2022-02-16
SOLSolanaSolana114.04112.7323-1.15%101.94-10.61%0.0860✓1.24179.7M2022-02-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.085730.084751-1.14%0.08117-5.32%0.0342✓0.7689k2022-02-16
ZENHorizenBase47.8347.2865-1.14%40.62-15.07%0.1338✓1.54461k2022-02-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8014.7476-1.11%4.803+0.04%0.0214✗0.83346k2022-02-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,492.6043,999.51-1.11%43,960.80-1.20%0.0105✓0.9741k2022-02-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29630.293045-1.10%0.2693-9.11%0.0717✓1.081.7M2022-02-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.033331-1.10%0.0335-0.59%0.0228✗1.50490k2022-02-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7963.7545-1.09%3.514-7.43%0.0559✓0.87536k2022-02-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.76090.75274-1.07%0.6989-8.15%0.0561✓1.53938k2022-02-16
SCSiacoinnative0.012050.011925-1.04%0.01078-10.54%0.0891✓1.01572k2022-02-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.6092.5819-1.04%2.452-6.02%0.0392✓1.0522k2022-02-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.12370.122429-1.03%0.1052-14.96%0.1333✓1.551.5M2022-02-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana65.9385-1.03%5.47-8.83%0.0729✓0.78377k2022-02-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.32180.318525-1.02%0.285-11.44%0.0929✓1.554.0M2022-02-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013240.013107-1.01%0.01389+4.91%0.0674✗0.7912k2022-02-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.5100.503-0.98%94.6-6.80%0.0499✓0.901.4M2022-02-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7067280.699832-0.98%0.677091-4.19%0.0195✓1.153.5M2022-02-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.147.0709-0.97%6.52-8.68%0.0716✓0.81463k2022-02-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.942.9116-0.97%2.65-9.86%0.0791✓1.28401k2022-02-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04680.046354-0.95%0.04466-4.57%0.0241✓1.1230k2022-02-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.70520.5107-0.94%20.855+0.72%0.0325✗1.3410.4M2022-02-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.54060.535563-0.93%0.4754-12.06%0.1017✓1.482.2M2022-02-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4828.2166-0.92%28.31-0.60%0.0147✗0.97566k2022-02-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9124-0.91%1.81-6.22%0.0403✓1.251.5M2022-02-16
COMPCompoundEthereum144.23142.9199-0.91%136.01-5.70%0.0346✓1.2765k2022-02-16
RADRadworksEthereum6.086.0248-0.91%6.07-0.16%0.0197✗1.04773k2022-02-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.35191.3398-0.89%1.1915-11.86%0.1052✓1.03279k2022-02-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.99821.9803-0.89%1.8241-8.71%0.0692✓1.1079k2022-02-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.285455-0.88%0.288+0.00%0.0201✗0.9570k2022-02-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,246.223,217.82-0.87%3,124.45-3.75%0.0164✓1.11544.5M2022-02-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48770.483579-0.85%0.4872-0.10%0.0230✗1.329.2M2022-02-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.431.4182-0.83%1.274-10.91%0.0926✓1.243.2M2022-02-16
ZECZcashZcash126.05125.0165-0.82%125.58-0.37%0.0194✗1.266.6M2022-02-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.212.1925-0.79%1.86-15.84%0.1506✓1.181.7M2022-02-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.487.421-0.79%7.24-3.21%0.0209✓0.321.0M2022-02-16
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3312.2357-0.76%11.22-9.00%0.0711✓1.3212.5M2022-02-16
KSMKusamaHydration192.22190.8045-0.74%166.77-13.24%0.1204✓1.201.0M2022-02-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.832.8112-0.66%2.67-5.65%0.0395✓1.02489k2022-02-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0410.040734-0.65%0.03198-22.00%0.2288✓1.129.1M2022-02-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.03120.031001-0.64%0.03216+3.08%0.0472✗0.896.6M2022-02-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.067.015-0.64%6.08-13.88%0.1300✓1.10733k2022-02-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8270.821895-0.62%0.787-4.84%0.0305✓1.091.6M2022-02-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.2721.1469-0.58%17.65-17.02%0.1604✓1.723.8M2022-02-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.812.794-0.57%2.4-14.59%0.1411✓0.922.6M2022-02-16
GTGateEthereum7.04237.0039-0.54%6.8827-2.27%0.0069✓0.894.1M2022-02-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.8976.8611-0.52%6.358-7.81%0.0655✓0.9081k2022-02-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62330.620107-0.51%0.5683-8.82%0.0718✓1.312.6M2022-02-16
NANOnanopayBase2.42.3881-0.50%2.2584-5.90%0.0419✓1.19845k2022-02-16
XVSVenusEthereum10.0610.0202-0.40%11.78+17.10%0.1771✗1.292.5M2022-02-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059410.059186-0.38%0.05759-3.06%0.0105✓1.431.2M2022-02-16
TRXTRONTron0.0699430.069684-0.37%0.066472-4.96%0.0366✓0.90362k2022-02-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0861.0822-0.35%0.983-9.48%0.0800✓1.372.3M2022-02-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3473.3375-0.28%3.217-3.88%0.0272✓0.81206k2022-02-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash346.21345.362-0.24%334.55-3.37%0.0198✓1.027.9M2022-02-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.