8=======>

2022-02-07 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1658
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.8%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.2875.872-6.60%4.666-25.78%0.1994✓1.001.2M2022-02-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032550.000030909-5.04%0.00002958-9.12%0.0012✓1.401.3M2022-02-14
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.724-4.76%4.07-17.94%0.1069✓1.388.3M2022-02-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015840.015104-4.65%0.01219-23.04%0.1688✓1.491.7M2022-02-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2991.239-4.62%1.226-5.62%0.0200✓1.002.4M2022-02-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64830.619043-4.51%0.545-15.93%0.0711✓1.841.8M2022-02-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09150.087428-4.45%0.0868-5.14%0.0352✓1.39540k2022-02-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,559.7225,384.71-4.42%23,089.90-13.06%0.0657✓0.9512.1M2022-02-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383890.03697-3.70%0.028657-25.35%0.2160✓1.27117k2022-02-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09010.086987-3.45%0.0688-23.64%0.1833✓1.6827.2M2022-02-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.563.4408-3.35%2.91-18.26%0.1245✓1.4120.8M2022-02-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.79933.6762-3.24%3.4806-8.39%0.0274✓0.8927k2022-02-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.068.767-3.23%7.17-20.86%0.1898✓0.371.6M2022-02-14
PROPropyEthereum2.22.1317-3.10%2.23+1.36%0.0756✗1.001.7M2022-02-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.22681.1897-3.02%1.2512+1.99%0.0971✗1.53103k2022-02-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0423.3629-2.82%20.74-13.73%0.0835✓1.1726.9M2022-02-14
FTTFTXEthereum47.2245.9208-2.75%44.85-5.02%0.0122✓1.1733.0M2022-02-14
STXStacksnative1.721.673-2.73%1.47-14.53%0.0988✓1.001.3M2022-02-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99871.9446-2.71%1.9224-3.82%0.0079✓0.633.1M2022-02-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.585851-2.68%0.4399-26.93%0.2314✓1.8040.2M2022-02-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7537.5476-2.65%7.402-4.53%0.0118✓1.02394k2022-02-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62570.609152-2.64%0.5644-9.80%0.0435✓1.071.4M2022-02-14
QNTQuantEthereum154.1150.1442-2.57%121.35-21.25%0.1820✓1.017.6M2022-02-14
MOVRMoonriverBase105.8832103.2153-2.52%83.68-20.97%0.1660✓1.44319k2022-02-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.950.926877-2.43%0.94-1.05%0.0728✗1.92996k2022-02-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.129897-2.33%0.114-14.29%0.1000✓1.0090k2022-02-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.6330.91-2.28%27.16-14.13%0.0947✓1.14103.7M2022-02-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3266.7982-2.23%56.82-16.83%0.1244✓1.227.8M2022-02-14
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.708-2.16%4.35+14.78%0.1694✗0.321.5M2022-02-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.4719-2.16%15.9-15.78%0.1139✓1.1876.9M2022-02-14
XEMNEMnative0.11750.114971-2.15%0.1094-6.89%0.0175✓1.0535k2022-02-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.227240.22237-2.14%0.1719-24.35%0.2090✓1.5936k2022-02-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.2137-2.12%1.12-9.68%0.0395✓1.34511k2022-02-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.816.4466-2.10%15.4-8.33%0.0338✓1.05616k2022-02-14
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0485-2.01%0.94-12.15%0.0787✓1.00293k2022-02-14
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28783.2219-2.01%2.8438-13.51%0.0951✓0.972.8M2022-02-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.272.2262-1.93%1.94-14.54%0.0976✓1.312.2M2022-02-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.5425.0527-1.91%21.2-16.99%0.1190✓1.57411k2022-02-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.017210.016883-1.90%0.016621-3.42%0.0206✗1.192.0M2022-02-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2396230.235117-1.88%0.210709-12.07%0.0780✓1.0424.4M2022-02-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002350.000002306-1.87%0.00000213-9.36%0.0488✓1.0015.1M2022-02-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.5224.0606-1.87%20.75-15.38%0.1116✓1.1910.4M2022-02-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.32670.320615-1.86%0.2886-11.66%0.0710✓1.12554k2022-02-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047780.04689-1.86%0.04361-8.73%0.0420✓1.005.1M2022-02-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007010.00688-1.86%0.00566-19.26%0.1343✓1.9919.8M2022-02-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1652910.16224-1.85%0.145821-11.78%0.0749✓1.047.1M2022-02-14
DASHDashDash115.9113.8036-1.81%103.84-10.41%0.0566✓1.152.4M2022-02-14
HIVEHivenative1.23171.2095-1.80%1.0452-15.14%0.1014✓1.461.9M2022-02-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.966860.94946-1.80%0.80709-16.52%0.1169✓1.49311k2022-02-14
ADACardanoCardano1.19911.1776-1.79%1.05-12.43%0.0804✓1.12109.8M2022-02-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16641.1457-1.78%0.9283-20.41%0.1637✓1.53725k2022-02-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.3721.9779-1.75%18.7-16.41%0.1199✓1.3640.7M2022-02-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8681.8355-1.74%1.61-13.81%0.0955✓1.171.5M2022-02-14
LUNATerraTerra 259.4858.4697-1.70%53.94-9.31%0.0375✓1.418.8M2022-02-14
XVGVergenative0.012220.012013-1.69%0.01132-7.36%0.0192✓1.321.3M2022-02-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0942.0586-1.69%1.753-16.28%0.1214✓1.291.2M2022-02-14
XMRMoneroMonero185.08181.9807-1.67%176.38-4.70%0.0009✓1.051.6M2022-02-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2315.9607-1.66%17.92+10.41%0.1369✗0.69908k2022-02-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3840.377726-1.63%0.364-5.21%0.0036✓1.331.7M2022-02-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03690.036301-1.62%0.0338-8.40%0.0243✓1.54490k2022-02-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.47037.3493-1.62%6.5803-11.91%0.0659✓1.46156k2022-02-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.093.04-1.62%2.68-13.27%0.0886✓1.23407k2022-02-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.07061.0533-1.62%0.9001-15.93%0.1238✓1.0929.2M2022-02-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.95.8052-1.61%4.58-22.37%0.1992✓1.242.6M2022-02-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.089850.088426-1.58%0.07495-16.58%0.1415✓0.7886k2022-02-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9452.8984-1.58%2.793-5.16%0.0039✓1.34986k2022-02-14
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9967-1.56%4.21+3.69%0.0907✗1.272.0M2022-02-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15930.156838-1.55%0.1626+2.07%0.0676✗1.03349k2022-02-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.2381.9545-1.53%81.84-1.67%0.0396✗1.3485.1M2022-02-14
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9718.8339-1.53%7.128-20.54%0.2038✓0.3538k2022-02-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.30021.2806-1.51%1.039-20.09%0.1723✓1.202.3M2022-02-14
AAVEAaveEthereum182.29179.567-1.49%161.11-11.62%0.0657✓1.409.8M2022-02-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,868.0743,217.52-1.48%42,548.71-3.01%0.0149✗1.00642.7M2022-02-14
XECeCashnative0.000090070.000088736-1.48%0.00008178-9.20%0.0466✓1.155.5M2022-02-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13820.136158-1.48%0.1573+13.82%0.1865✗1.383.2M2022-02-14
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.574393-1.48%0.502-13.89%0.0906✓1.454.6M2022-02-14
XYMSymbolnative0.19160.188773-1.48%0.1748-8.77%0.0549✓0.72419k2022-02-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.99850.983786-1.47%0.8459-15.28%0.1187✓1.0613.5M2022-02-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09480.093405-1.47%0.0819-13.61%0.0941✓1.22244k2022-02-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6632.1875-1.45%31.42-3.80%0.0084✓1.073.8M2022-02-14
XTZTezosTezos4.14084.0814-1.43%3.9473-4.67%0.0069✓1.322.3M2022-02-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.6562.6182-1.42%2.341-11.86%0.0793✓1.0722k2022-02-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.4112-1.42%3.9552+14.31%0.1770✗0.952.0M2022-02-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.40295.3271-1.40%4.6155-14.57%0.1057✓1.24442k2022-02-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.79020.779319-1.38%0.6376-19.31%0.1537✓1.541.0M2022-02-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.2289-1.37%1.81-19.91%0.1663✓1.373.3M2022-02-14
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3082.2765-1.36%2.355+2.04%0.0644✗1.0066k2022-02-14
ZENHorizenBase48.247.5491-1.35%41.27-14.38%0.0940✓1.56457k2022-02-14
SOLSolanaSolana117.62116.0347-1.35%96.43-18.02%0.1473✓1.24181.0M2022-02-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.39811.3793-1.35%1.1301-19.17%0.1673✓1.05308k2022-02-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.56463.5169-1.34%3.5401-0.69%0.0404✗1.112.5M2022-02-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0227.6456-1.34%28.49+1.68%0.0597✗0.97528k2022-02-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin137.43135.6217-1.32%124.62-9.32%0.0451✓1.2930.6M2022-02-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104410.103038-1.31%0.09436-9.63%0.0559✓1.0547k2022-02-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.23450.231445-1.30%0.2046-12.75%0.0813✓1.383.6M2022-02-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,893.5043,322.40-1.30%42,156.20-3.96%0.0022✓0.9741k2022-02-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013540.013366-1.29%0.01366+0.89%0.0465✗0.8113k2022-02-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0790.077996-1.27%0.0708-10.38%0.0634✓1.0921k2022-02-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.410.2681-1.27%11.42+9.81%0.1276✗0.70627k2022-02-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50650.500088-1.27%0.4039-20.26%0.1728✓1.349.3M2022-02-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.763.7124-1.27%3.33-11.44%0.0825✓0.86585k2022-02-14
UMAUMAEthereum6.616.5275-1.25%6-9.23%0.0538✓1.001.9M2022-02-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.78100.5269-1.23%93.76-7.88%0.0417✓0.921.5M2022-02-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.12480.123272-1.22%0.0983-21.23%0.1785✓1.571.6M2022-02-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.32470.320804-1.20%0.2742-15.55%0.1092✓1.564.1M2022-02-14
SCSiacoinnative0.012110.011965-1.19%0.01033-14.70%0.1159✓1.02572k2022-02-14
COMPCompoundEthereum145.96144.2579-1.17%123.15-15.63%0.1189✓1.2965k2022-02-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0230540.022786-1.16%0.021238-7.88%0.0330✓1.222.5M2022-02-14
ZECZcashZcash128.86127.3756-1.15%120.62-6.39%0.0152✓1.296.6M2022-02-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.382.3527-1.15%1.84-22.69%0.2096✓1.192.0M2022-02-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4951.478-1.14%1.259-15.79%0.1217✓1.273.4M2022-02-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046570.046049-1.12%0.0437-6.16%0.0180✓1.1229k2022-02-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9085-1.12%1.7-11.92%0.0771✓1.261.7M2022-02-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.281869-1.10%0.285+0.00%0.0405✗0.9770k2022-02-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.0631.7084-1.10%26.44-17.53%0.1368✓1.472.0M2022-02-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.387.3002-1.08%5.66-23.31%0.2230✓1.03751k2022-02-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.796.7185-1.05%6.76-0.44%0.0328✗0.87416k2022-02-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.5350.529367-1.05%0.4478-16.30%0.1234✓1.442.0M2022-02-14
KSMKusamaHydration198.23196.1624-1.04%167.33-15.59%0.1219✓1.211.0M2022-02-14
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3812.2561-1.00%10.62-14.22%0.1030✓1.3212.5M2022-02-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.82334.7751-1.00%5.8399+21.08%0.2091✗0.25376k2022-02-14
KCSKuCoinnative20.30920.1062-1.00%19.607-3.46%0.0157✗1.3410.4M2022-02-14
RADRadworksEthereum65.9412-0.98%5.39-10.17%0.0650✓1.06867k2022-02-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.033230.032908-0.97%0.02945-11.38%0.0836✓0.907.3M2022-02-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.679550.673076-0.95%0.593972-12.59%0.0896✓1.163.5M2022-02-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8540.845876-0.95%0.759-11.12%0.0748✓1.101.6M2022-02-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5764.5332-0.94%4.631+1.20%0.0467✗0.83359k2022-02-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.92311.9057-0.91%1.7556-8.71%0.0481✓1.1176k2022-02-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.862.8341-0.91%2.29-19.93%0.1849✓0.932.4M2022-02-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3432-0.90%7.22-2.56%0.0069✓0.331.1M2022-02-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,141.893,113.71-0.90%2,931.01-6.71%0.0267✓1.10544.5M2022-02-14
XVSVenusEthereum10.3310.2395-0.88%9.58-7.26%0.0266✓1.312.3M2022-02-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.9626.9027-0.85%6.017-13.57%0.1095✓0.9181k2022-02-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27140.269135-0.83%0.268-1.25%0.0274✗1.031.7M2022-02-14
GTGateEthereum7.30857.2478-0.83%6.6557-8.93%0.0582✓0.894.1M2022-02-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.822.7966-0.83%2.56-9.22%0.0575✓1.01504k2022-02-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.062920.062403-0.82%0.05226-16.94%0.1336✓1.431.5M2022-02-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.8121.632-0.82%17.04-21.87%0.1859✓1.733.8M2022-02-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427450.042404-0.80%0.046133+7.93%0.1200✗1.178.4M2022-02-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5764-0.78%5.47-2.67%0.0043✓0.77356k2022-02-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63740.632517-0.77%0.5481-14.01%0.1031✓1.322.6M2022-02-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.656.6013-0.73%6.47-2.71%0.0043✓0.80441k2022-02-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.041070.040791-0.68%0.02976-27.54%0.2817✓1.109.0M2022-02-14
NANOnanopayBase2.36272.3485-0.60%2.1432-9.29%0.0555✓1.18845k2022-02-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0731.0681-0.45%0.909-15.28%0.1190✓1.392.3M2022-02-14
TRXTRONTron0.0685170.068231-0.42%0.064484-5.89%0.0288✓0.91362k2022-02-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.12341.698-0.41%330.66-3.63%0.0014✓1.036.8M2022-02-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3063.2938-0.37%3.225-2.45%0.0035✓0.80206k2022-02-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.