2022-02-05 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1967

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.55%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.4%

in alpha space · 68.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.03%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.67	8.65	-0.23%	8.98	+3.58%	0.0125	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.74	319.2833	-0.45%	330.64	+3.09%	0.0145	✗	1.02	7.6M	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.976	0.97152	-0.46%	0.942	-3.48%	0.0578	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1933	2.1818	-0.52%	2.1781	-0.69%	0.0248	✓	1.15	845k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064762	0.064422	-0.52%	0.063473	-1.99%	0.0329	✓	0.90	379k	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.059	6.0249	-0.56%	5.916	-2.36%	0.0348	✓	0.83	91k	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00674	0.006699	-0.61%	0.00616	-8.61%	0.1245	✓	2.03	20.1M	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0405	0.040212	-0.71%	0.03381	-16.52%	0.1941	✓	1.03	9.0M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002254	0.000022361	-0.80%	0.0000292	+29.55%	0.2413	✗	1.27	1.3M	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5995	0.594707	-0.80%	0.562	-6.26%	0.0821	✓	1.27	2.7M	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.231	3.205	-0.80%	3.162	-2.14%	0.0290	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.04	19.8779	-0.81%	17.04	-14.97%	0.1888	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05888	0.05834	-0.92%	0.05601	-4.87%	0.0670	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.27	11.1663	-0.92%	10.64	-5.59%	0.0740	✓	1.28	12.5M	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0234	6.9584	-0.93%	6.758	-3.78%	0.0460	✓	0.84	4.1M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.040382	0.040001	-0.94%	0.044288	+9.67%	0.0767	✗	1.25	8.4M	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.48	5.4275	-0.96%	5.34	-2.55%	0.0361	✓	0.99	875k	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,014.50	2,985.26	-0.97%	2,919.99	-3.14%	0.0440	✓	1.09	557.7M	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.66	2.6339	-0.98%	2.56	-3.76%	0.0483	✓	0.99	579k	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.67	6.6041	-0.99%	5.98	-10.34%	0.1190	✓	0.98	818k	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.778	0.770228	-1.00%	0.745	-4.24%	0.0541	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.3932	-1.03%	6.4	-0.93%	0.0140	✓	0.75	463k	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.8	120.5241	-1.05%	126.78	+4.09%	0.0245	✗	1.30	31.3M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4932	0.487976	-1.06%	0.4604	-6.65%	0.0856	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8014	1.7823	-1.06%	1.7725	-1.60%	0.0270	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4481	0.443303	-1.07%	0.4191	-6.47%	0.0817	✓	1.27	9.4M	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2627	0.259871	-1.08%	0.2514	-4.30%	0.0552	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03104	0.030702	-1.09%	0.03125	+0.68%	0.0012	✓	0.82	7.6M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4099	-1.10%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0015	✓	0.72	377k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.81	29.481	-1.10%	28.49	-4.43%	0.0665	✓	1.61	2.1M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.16	-1.10%	7.93	+9.53%	0.0959	✗	0.31	1.1M	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.652675	0.645314	-1.13%	0.617618	-5.37%	0.0667	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9682	0.957277	-1.13%	0.9401	-2.90%	0.0511	✓	1.64	725k	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.686	19.4626	-1.13%	19.111	-2.92%	0.0464	✓	1.40	10.5M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2088	0.206378	-1.16%	0.2064	-1.15%	0.0259	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.265	0.261876	-1.18%	0.338	+27.55%	0.2368	✗	0.91	63k	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.08	114.7071	-1.18%	117.83	+1.51%	0.0019	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8205	84.8028	-1.19%	85.8439	+0.03%	0.0148	✓	1.35	320k	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1381	1.1246	-1.19%	1.0443	-8.24%	0.0978	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.79	1.7679	-1.24%	1.69	-5.59%	0.0695	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	185.88	183.5296	-1.26%	166.09	-10.65%	0.1224	✓	1.12	1.0M	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.42	29.0389	-1.30%	31.67	+7.65%	0.0661	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.435	-1.30%	6.67	+2.30%	0.0193	✗	0.82	478k	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.728	2.6923	-1.31%	2.76	+1.17%	0.0018	✓	1.33	911k	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3102	0.306112	-1.32%	0.2838	-8.51%	0.1067	✓	1.55	4.1M	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04465	0.044052	-1.34%	0.04235	-5.15%	0.0611	✓	1.08	28k	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		96.73	95.4087	-1.37%	94.11	-2.71%	0.0320	✓	0.91	1.6M	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2266	3.1819	-1.39%	3.7974	+17.69%	0.1580	✗	0.94	2.0M	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.51	4.4473	-1.39%	4.786	+6.12%	0.0575	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01154	0.011379	-1.40%	0.01068	-7.45%	0.0837	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.166	8.0513	-1.41%	7.781	-4.71%	0.0407	✓	0.33	40k	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.68	134.7328	-1.42%	127.26	-6.89%	0.0818	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.89	2.8487	-1.43%	2.3	-20.42%	0.2330	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1181	0.116408	-1.43%	0.1035	-12.36%	0.1471	✓	1.47	1.6M	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.77	0.758969	-1.43%	0.94	+22.08%	0.1764	✗	1.87	996k	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	168.71	166.2635	-1.45%	173.82	+3.03%	0.0241	✗	1.01	1.7M	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.31	2.2764	-1.45%	1.92	-16.88%	0.1943	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.7941	4.7242	-1.46%	5.9446	+24.00%	0.2247	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.8	112.1153	-1.48%	95.95	-15.69%	0.1796	✓	1.19	187.6M	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.3404	3.2904	-1.50%	3.5079	+5.01%	0.0431	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	9.9485	-1.50%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0891	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000839	0.000082629	-1.51%	0.0000823	-1.91%	0.0262	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,404.85	40,777.07	-1.52%	42,244.97	+2.03%	0.0153	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.61	44.9183	-1.52%	40.89	-10.35%	0.1250	✓	1.55	568k	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3221	1.302	-1.52%	1.1541	-12.71%	0.1404	✓	0.99	333k	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.09	75.9155	-1.52%	81.34	+5.51%	0.0427	✗	1.31	87.1M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9491	0.934528	-1.54%	0.8744	-7.87%	0.0872	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02206	0.02172	-1.54%	0.021888	-0.78%	0.0135	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1293	0.127295	-1.55%	0.1393	+7.73%	0.0644	✗	1.28	3.3M	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,460.80	40,817.06	-1.55%	42,568.00	+2.67%	0.0225	✗	0.97	40k	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0869	0.085549	-1.55%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0219	✓	1.18	244k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.45	22.0988	-1.56%	22.54	+0.40%	0.0114	✓	1.55	411k	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0763	0.075106	-1.57%	0.0717	-6.03%	0.0677	✓	1.06	21k	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.6	101.9707	-1.57%	104.19	+0.57%	0.0013	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9423	3.8798	-1.59%	4.109	+4.23%	0.0316	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1203	5.0389	-1.59%	4.7989	-6.28%	0.0735	✓	1.23	406k	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.099464	-1.59%	0.09377	-7.22%	0.0790	✓	1.00	47k	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.519	1.4948	-1.60%	1.267	-16.59%	0.1900	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01113	0.010951	-1.61%	0.01276	+14.65%	0.1269	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.533	0.524436	-1.61%	0.514	-3.56%	0.0477	✓	1.37	4.6M	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.4	6.2971	-1.61%	6.32	-1.25%	0.0163	✓	0.99	1.9M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.21	2.174	-1.63%	1.91	-13.57%	0.1571	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.6	3.5414	-1.63%	3.312	-8.00%	0.0827	✓	0.79	678k	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0021	0.985633	-1.64%	0.9188	-8.31%	0.0925	✓	1.11	29.4M	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147026	0.144582	-1.66%	0.144281	-1.87%	0.0225	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.354	0.34804	-1.68%	0.37	+4.52%	0.0354	✗	1.28	1.7M	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.921	1.8883	-1.70%	1.812	-5.67%	0.0653	✓	1.20	1.2M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8503	-1.71%	2.5	-13.79%	0.1547	✓	1.17	441k	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1855	0.182315	-1.72%	0.1736	-6.42%	0.0628	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.213222	0.209547	-1.72%	0.218218	+2.34%	0.0206	✗	0.99	24.9M	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.9281	6.8087	-1.72%	6.7389	-2.73%	0.0388	✓	1.42	174k	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.97	21.5871	-1.74%	20.86	-5.05%	0.0572	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01122	0.011024	-1.75%	0.01149	+2.41%	0.0160	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.069	0.067792	-1.75%	0.0956	+38.55%	0.3190	✗	1.23	540k	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9549	0.938157	-1.75%	1.2471	+30.60%	0.2558	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.831	-1.77%	4.27	+9.49%	0.0831	✗	1.26	2.1M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20531	0.201654	-1.78%	0.18496	-9.91%	0.1167	✓	1.51	32k	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.8	55.7867	-1.78%	59.18	+4.19%	0.0368	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01353	0.013284	-1.82%	0.01362	+0.67%	0.0071	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	55.39	54.3806	-1.82%	51.96	-6.19%	0.0740	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1255	1.1047	-1.84%	1.0596	-5.86%	0.0639	✓	1.10	110.9M	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.24	2.1987	-1.85%	2.404	+7.32%	0.0692	✗	1.00	67k	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.562	2.5145	-1.85%	2.354	-8.12%	0.0861	✓	1.00	22k	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4421	0.433874	-1.86%	0.6015	+36.06%	0.2939	✗	1.63	1.8M	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.085	0.083397	-1.89%	0.07609	-10.48%	0.1068	✓	0.75	84k	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7727	0.758026	-1.90%	0.6501	-15.87%	0.1823	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.761	1.7267	-1.95%	1.618	-8.12%	0.0873	✓	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.76	5.6469	-1.96%	4.89	-15.10%	0.1680	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.35	20.9306	-1.96%	18.82	-11.85%	0.1330	✓	1.33	43.5M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.93	130.2929	-1.98%	133.7	+0.58%	0.0076	✓	0.91	7.6M	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3148	0.308475	-2.01%	0.2852	-9.40%	0.1001	✓	1.08	554k	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.514	6.3824	-2.02%	6.939	+6.52%	0.0642	✗	0.97	341k	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4969	-2.05%	4.07	+14.01%	0.1460	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92529	0.90632	-2.05%	0.80694	-12.79%	0.1487	✓	1.62	350k	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.2	162.7416	-2.08%	162.52	-2.21%	0.0287	✓	1.36	10.9M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0145	2.9517	-2.08%	2.9115	-3.41%	0.0316	✓	0.89	2.8M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1129	0.110518	-2.11%	0.1086	-3.81%	0.0372	✓	0.98	37k	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.3	14.9771	-2.11%	15.16	-0.92%	0.0072	✓	0.96	663k	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0368	0.036022	-2.11%	0.0322	-12.50%	0.1433	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.87	15.5321	-2.13%	18.05	+13.74%	0.1376	✗	0.63	908k	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.166	1.1411	-2.14%	1.052	-9.78%	0.1096	✓	1.41	1.9M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.17	2.1224	-2.19%	2.02	-6.91%	0.0753	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000226	0.00000221	-2.22%	0.00000217	-3.98%	0.0382	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.77	17.3748	-2.22%	15.97	-10.13%	0.1078	✓	1.17	77.2M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05051	0.049375	-2.25%	0.04741	-6.14%	0.0607	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016433	0.016038	-2.40%	0.015897	-3.26%	0.0319	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.985712	-2.40%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0465	✓	1.00	333k	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.76	30.0153	-2.42%	27.07	-12.00%	0.1257	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4881	3.3976	-2.59%	3.527	+1.12%	0.0205	✓	0.84	26k	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.35	27.598	-2.65%	30.19	+6.49%	0.0704	✗	0.97	513k	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1551	0.150969	-2.66%	0.1672	+7.80%	0.0813	✗	1.04	337k	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.1774	-2.69%	1.12	-7.44%	0.0757	✓	1.28	490k	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.15	7.9209	-2.81%	7.78	-4.54%	0.0249	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	44.804	-2.94%	44.18	-4.29%	0.0372	✓	1.15	34.0M	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.12423	-2.95%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0886	✓	1.00	102k	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039527	0.03831	-3.08%	0.028632	-27.56%	0.3169	✓	1.28	120k	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5202	0.504072	-3.10%	0.4544	-12.65%	0.1392	✓	1.76	42.5M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.054	1.9892	-3.16%	1.8422	-10.31%	0.0899	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.5299	-3.17%	1.52	-3.80%	0.0266	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6186	0.598936	-3.18%	0.5785	-6.48%	0.0566	✓	1.09	1.5M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.1414	-3.54%	2.22	+0.00%	0.0160	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.26	21.4279	-3.74%	20.07	-9.84%	0.0881	✓	1.13	26.9M	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.2882	-3.86%	2.87	-16.08%	0.1638	✓	1.38	21.3M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.68	4.4558	-4.79%	4.15	-11.32%	0.0980	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2863	1.2239	-4.85%	1.2939	+0.59%	0.0355	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,186.77	23,854.22	-5.29%	23,131.85	-8.16%	0.0490	✓	0.91	12.4M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.769	5.4472	-5.58%	4.904	-14.99%	0.1251	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1089	0.102013	-6.32%	0.0682	-37.37%	0.4403	✓	1.87	26.7M	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.