2022-02-04 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2009

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.1%

in alpha space · 65.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.85%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.4428	-5.31%	5.157	-10.28%	0.0723	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	23,626.64	-5.13%	23,115.13	-7.19%	0.0387	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.2035	-4.55%	1.2269	-2.70%	0.0009	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.2779	-4.30%	4.09	-8.50%	0.0694	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.289	-4.11%	2.89	-15.74%	0.1550	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	21.4156	-3.84%	19.82	-11.00%	0.0985	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.076778	-3.79%	0.0654	-18.05%	0.1949	✓	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.018	-3.36%	1.9151	-8.29%	0.0645	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2	-3.23%	1.1	-11.29%	0.1104	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.397076	-3.15%	0.6358	+55.07%	0.4419	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.039518	-3.14%	0.0319	-21.81%	0.2427	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5014	-3.14%	1.51	-2.58%	0.0127	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.0344	-3.12%	2.28	+8.57%	0.0956	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	28.4823	-3.12%	28.06	-4.56%	0.0324	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.581114	-3.05%	0.5956	-0.63%	0.0046	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	44.6521	-2.99%	43.46	-5.58%	0.0483	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.515902	-2.99%	0.4503	-15.33%	0.1690	✓	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.120358	-2.94%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0467	✓	1.00	110k	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.038493	-2.91%	0.032124	-18.97%	0.2044	✓	1.28	123k	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	7.7871	-2.78%	7.97	-0.50%	0.0166	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.156059	-2.52%	0.1566	-2.19%	0.0156	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	30.3479	-2.51%	26.56	-14.68%	0.1535	✓	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.3373	-2.47%	3.5941	+5.04%	0.0587	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.985146	-2.46%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0442	✓	1.00	369k	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.0323	-2.44%	6.1868	+19.94%	0.2019	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.016159	-2.44%	0.015872	-4.17%	0.0391	✓	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.04974	-2.36%	0.05111	+0.33%	0.0088	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.1151	-2.26%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0751	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.00000218	-2.24%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0276	✓	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	163.226	-2.18%	163.71	-1.89%	0.0218	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	14.8096	-2.12%	14.96	-1.12%	0.0077	✓	0.97	731k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	131.4072	-2.12%	129.51	-3.53%	0.0312	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.0841	-2.09%	1.074	-3.01%	0.0351	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.6851	-2.09%	1.637	-4.88%	0.0491	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.3194	-2.09%	7.219	+11.85%	0.1151	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4968	-2.05%	3.97	+11.20%	0.1216	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.0575	-2.02%	2.07	-1.43%	0.0173	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013368	-1.92%	0.01359	-0.29%	0.0003	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.107507	-1.91%	0.1086	-0.91%	0.0074	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1182	-1.90%	1.0803	-5.22%	0.0546	✓	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.882094	-1.89%	0.82329	-8.43%	0.0984	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	39,693.71	-1.89%	42,347.70	+4.67%	0.0468	✗	0.97	51k	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.945919	-1.88%	1.1483	+19.12%	0.1674	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.080845	-1.88%	0.07747	-5.97%	0.0563	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.3007	-1.86%	0.2842	-7.25%	0.0760	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9447	-1.84%	2.31	-23.00%	0.2602	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.185142	-1.83%	0.1735	-8.01%	0.0775	✓	0.68	423k	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.533114	-1.82%	0.52	-4.24%	0.0505	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.200995	-1.82%	0.18907	-7.64%	0.0886	✓	1.49	32k	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.1444	-1.78%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0833	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.4333	-1.75%	4.9	-11.39%	0.1254	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.773	-1.75%	4.25	+10.68%	0.0961	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	3.9442	-1.74%	4.3129	+7.44%	0.0661	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.145375	-1.74%	0.14485	-2.09%	0.0222	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	53.1229	-1.73%	50.35	-6.86%	0.0797	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.786161	-1.73%	0.92	+15.00%	0.1229	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.256	-1.73%	21.09	-2.50%	0.0287	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.7698	-1.73%	2.9222	+3.68%	0.0373	✗	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.4521	-1.72%	2.354	-5.65%	0.0594	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.758	-1.72%	6.5603	-4.59%	0.0554	✓	1.40	174k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.022022	-1.69%	0.022611	+0.94%	0.0075	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.346083	-1.68%	0.375	+6.53%	0.0567	✗	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.205715	-1.67%	0.215393	+2.95%	0.0278	✗	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.7215	-1.66%	16.98	+13.43%	0.1307	✗	0.66	908k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.5012	-1.65%	3.29	-7.58%	0.0772	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.982253	-1.65%	0.9169	-8.19%	0.0892	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.941136	-1.63%	0.8754	-8.50%	0.0912	✓	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	76.6437	-1.63%	81.81	+5.01%	0.0407	✗	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.118748	-1.62%	0.1086	-10.02%	0.1155	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.085696	-1.61%	0.0868	-0.34%	0.0083	✓	1.15	256k	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010665	-1.61%	0.01151	+6.18%	0.0530	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	101.4246	-1.60%	103.99	+0.89%	0.0042	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	40,953.84	-1.59%	42,386.47	+1.85%	0.0160	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.065265	-1.56%	0.0869	+31.07%	0.2639	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.097067	-1.54%	0.09752	-1.09%	0.0133	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.7951	-1.53%	1.833	+0.55%	0.0006	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3221	-1.51%	3.4051	+0.95%	0.0056	✓	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	111.0115	-1.49%	96.5	-14.37%	0.1616	✓	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.1083	-1.48%	1.95	-8.88%	0.1033	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.0984	-1.48%	5.96	-3.72%	0.0425	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000081448	-1.48%	0.00008391	+1.50%	0.0097	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	21.6655	-1.48%	22.36	+1.68%	0.0034	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.12437	-1.45%	0.149	+18.07%	0.1569	✗	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010446	-1.45%	0.01244	+17.36%	0.1510	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.9119	-1.44%	4.7016	-5.66%	0.0661	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	94.2342	-1.44%	94.64	-1.01%	0.0123	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.4372	-1.42%	1.257	-13.79%	0.1566	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	87.483	-1.41%	84.8321	-4.40%	0.0555	✓	1.35	351k	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.7513	-1.40%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0222	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2581	-1.39%	1.99	-13.10%	0.1484	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	50.6278	-1.37%	59.07	+15.08%	0.1339	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	29.2945	-1.37%	32.74	+10.24%	0.0923	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	42.601	-1.36%	40.36	-6.55%	0.0823	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.1426	-1.36%	3.6	+12.99%	0.1187	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.156	-1.36%	1.0976	-6.35%	0.0740	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.6969	-1.36%	2.754	+0.73%	0.0035	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	163.0694	-1.36%	169.21	+2.36%	0.0184	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	7.8898	-1.33%	7.923	-0.91%	0.0021	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.305706	-1.32%	0.2888	-6.78%	0.0850	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.043489	-1.32%	0.04188	-4.97%	0.0574	✓	1.07	29k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.011044	-1.31%	0.01056	-5.63%	0.0633	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.3768	-1.29%	6.47	+0.15%	0.0007	✓	0.83	483k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.266568	-1.27%	0.301	+11.48%	0.1049	✗	0.90	67k	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.2881	-1.25%	7.7	+4.34%	0.0494	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.069527	-1.24%	0.072	+2.27%	0.0157	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.6765	-1.23%	2.54	-6.27%	0.0739	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	131.0831	-1.22%	124.54	-6.15%	0.0738	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7488	-1.20%	1.71	-3.39%	0.0448	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2346	-1.18%	1.1623	-6.97%	0.0782	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.639672	-1.18%	0.616904	-4.70%	0.0569	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.3214	-1.18%	4.453	+1.83%	0.0154	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	178.4156	-1.17%	165.1	-8.55%	0.0989	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.3358	-1.13%	29.96	+0.98%	0.0087	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.2281	-1.13%	19.087	-1.85%	0.0333	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.030861	-1.12%	0.03298	+5.67%	0.0509	✗	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.671937	-1.08%	0.6537	-3.77%	0.0538	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	120.1157	-1.07%	125.69	+3.52%	0.0216	✗	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.200144	-1.07%	0.2056	+1.63%	0.0035	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.3328	-1.06%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0122	✗	0.72	398k	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.7737	-1.05%	1.7756	-0.94%	0.0187	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.364	-1.03%	6.24	-2.95%	0.0335	✓	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.436089	-1.02%	0.4181	-5.11%	0.0656	✓	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.482262	-1.01%	0.4583	-5.93%	0.0759	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	2,968.15	-1.00%	2,929.08	-2.31%	0.0332	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040397	-0.99%	0.047719	+16.96%	0.1441	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	6.9697	-0.98%	6.7399	-4.24%	0.0495	✓	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6241	-0.98%	2.58	-2.64%	0.0352	✓	0.99	604k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.3879	-0.96%	5.4	-0.74%	0.0159	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.764621	-0.96%	0.771	-0.13%	0.0107	✓	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.4553	-0.94%	17.24	-16.51%	0.2028	✓	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.248984	-0.92%	0.2594	+3.22%	0.0208	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.0771	-0.92%	10.65	-4.74%	0.0627	✓	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	106.2681	-0.88%	116.54	+8.70%	0.0695	✗	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.4153	-0.84%	5.99	-7.42%	0.0868	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.2067	-0.84%	3.154	-2.47%	0.0307	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.903786	-0.82%	0.9345	+2.55%	0.0028	✓	1.67	783k	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.041926	-0.79%	0.03653	-13.56%	0.1574	✓	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.056471	-0.79%	0.05622	-1.23%	0.0287	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022029	-0.77%	0.00002872	+29.37%	0.2419	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.585717	-0.76%	0.5696	-3.49%	0.0509	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	6.0855	-0.61%	6.01	-1.85%	0.0275	✓	0.82	103k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.1951	-0.54%	2.1819	-1.13%	0.0270	✓	1.14	888k	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006594	-0.54%	0.0062	-6.49%	0.0989	✓	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.06411	-0.53%	0.063958	-0.76%	0.0189	✓	0.90	396k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.973227	-0.49%	0.96	-1.84%	0.0384	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	305.565	-0.26%	321.01	+4.78%	0.0307	✗	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.6974	-0.26%	8.92	+2.29%	0.0025	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.