2022-02-03 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2428

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+12.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.9%

in alpha space · 6.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1791	-4.91%	1.22	-1.61%	0.1878	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	22,578.96	-4.41%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0700	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.074664	-4.15%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.3917	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3809	-3.43%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0061	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9619	-3.41%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1565	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.115055	-3.31%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0787	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1668	-3.24%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0378	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.282	-3.19%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4641	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.1538	-3.15%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1173	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.0142	-3.15%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0123	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.543873	-3.09%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1234	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0294	-2.90%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1619	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.923186	-2.82%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0637	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	131.4147	-2.77%	140.08	+3.64%	0.0949	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	28.934	-2.64%	29.1	-2.09%	0.1775	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9577	-2.60%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1454	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	41.6865	-2.53%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1221	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002019	-2.48%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0540	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.5902	-2.38%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1024	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3107	-2.34%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0848	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1054	-2.26%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1371	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.136085	-2.10%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0386	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.7558	-2.09%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1182	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3852	-2.05%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0788	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.287129	-1.97%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1177	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	5.9653	-1.97%	7.756	+27.46%	0.1041	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.001	-1.96%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0763	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0102	-1.95%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1190	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.174052	-1.94%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0685	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.100724	-1.92%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0315	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.910359	-1.89%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1307	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.2676	-1.88%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2258	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.855	-1.85%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0483	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6323	-1.83%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0292	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3385	-1.81%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2583	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.6987	-1.80%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0181	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.1914	-1.79%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1304	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0421	-1.78%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0776	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.811657	-1.77%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1809	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1184	-1.77%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0061	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.516713	-1.77%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1522	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.07474	-1.70%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0116	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012153	-1.68%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0153	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1568	-1.67%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0513	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.135574	-1.67%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0508	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.468582	-1.66%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.2034	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.213	-1.64%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2890	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.0449	-1.63%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1012	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.191902	-1.62%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0300	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.6237	-1.62%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1177	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0081	-1.61%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1493	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.4169	-1.60%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0018	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.079412	-1.60%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0415	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.0508	-1.57%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0416	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009787	-1.54%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0164	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.0045	-1.53%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0481	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6539	-1.52%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1145	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.323023	-1.52%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0242	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0628	-1.52%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1818	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.921976	-1.50%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1166	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.091823	-1.49%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0489	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3306	-1.46%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0344	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6703	-1.46%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0203	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.628	-1.44%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0606	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	93.881	-1.42%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0080	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0336	-1.41%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0085	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075327	-1.40%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0307	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031651	-1.40%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1212	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.250495	-1.38%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0299	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.0795	-1.37%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0047	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0497	-1.36%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0224	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.047399	-1.36%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1755	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020073	-1.34%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0091	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.19221	-1.34%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1630	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.112287	-1.33%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0721	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.064831	-1.32%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0100	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.819814	-1.32%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2550	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.5834	-1.32%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1422	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6383	-1.31%	1.8	+8.43%	0.1055	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.5191	-1.29%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0562	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010128	-1.28%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0424	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.105042	-1.28%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1269	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.060821	-1.26%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3394	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	36,740.48	-1.26%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0167	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	36,864.19	-1.25%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0126	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4591	-1.24%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0727	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009234	-1.24%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1725	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.061	-1.23%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4117	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0766	-1.22%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0787	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.0957	-1.20%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0047	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0155	-1.20%	2.07	+1.47%	0.2089	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.037823	-1.19%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.3022	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	100.7161	-1.19%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1328	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040148	-1.19%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0681	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.606342	-1.18%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0760	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	47.9315	-1.17%	63.35	+30.62%	0.0969	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.2377	-1.17%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0830	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	88.7697	-1.15%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0419	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1108	-1.15%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0013	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0553	-1.12%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0662	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8035	-1.11%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0820	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.028858	-1.10%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0797	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	67.7418	-1.09%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0871	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.282188	-1.09%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1594	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.652845	-1.08%	1	+51.52%	0.1381	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.0712	-1.08%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0235	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2802	-1.07%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1587	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	123.6775	-1.06%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1314	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1422	-1.03%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0577	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	145.3859	-1.02%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0562	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.367852	-1.01%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3333	✗	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.7478	-1.00%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0884	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4158	-0.99%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0454	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	161.1852	-0.97%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0758	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6121	-0.97%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0123	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.0609	-0.94%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1474	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.439361	-0.93%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0673	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.40298	-0.91%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0709	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.182278	-0.88%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0020	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.234049	-0.87%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0096	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.035795	-0.85%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1508	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.711902	-0.85%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0071	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.0913	-0.84%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0074	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.1983	-0.81%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0153	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.271	-0.81%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2458	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.6802	-0.78%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1113	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053208	-0.77%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1323	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.081	-0.76%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0477	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,677.30	-0.75%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0311	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.612668	-0.72%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0742	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.539718	-0.71%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0902	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	73.9885	-0.71%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0452	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.1919	-0.70%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0423	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7353	-0.65%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0105	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	151.871	-0.65%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0737	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020616	-0.65%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1868	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.845347	-0.61%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0731	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.3304	-0.57%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1071	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059522	-0.55%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0003	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6204	-0.52%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0104	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7244	-0.50%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0044	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0674	-0.47%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0506	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039351	-0.35%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1608	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.871569	-0.28%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0447	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.1817	-0.10%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0328	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006121	+0.02%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2289	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	281.558	+0.03%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0321	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.