2022-02-02 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0760

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.8%

in alpha space · 4.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.29%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.00609	+0.33%	0.00744	+22.57%	0.2302	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	278.4417	+0.16%	346.21	+24.54%	0.0259	✓	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8423	+0.16%	10.06	+28.48%	0.0062	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.037223	+0.05%	0.03747	+0.71%	0.2742	✗	1.52	149k	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.880496	-0.28%	1.086	+22.99%	0.0445	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.368783	-0.33%	0.8202	+121.68%	0.4906	✗	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	150.7108	-0.36%	188.2	+24.42%	0.0399	✓	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.0978	-0.41%	2.4	+13.94%	0.0909	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.041629	-0.41%	0.041	-1.91%	0.2210	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	73.2451	-0.48%	107.0699	+45.48%	0.1414	✗	1.29	383k	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058353	-0.49%	0.069943	+19.28%	0.0111	✗	0.92	403k	2022-02-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.043372	-0.50%	0.04699	+7.80%	0.1046	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.4734	-0.54%	12.33	+17.09%	0.0861	✓	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.7385	-0.55%	7.06	+22.36%	0.0319	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020527	-0.55%	0.00003298	+59.79%	0.2153	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.7206	-0.58%	6.897	+19.86%	0.0301	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.860951	-0.63%	1.0976	+26.69%	0.0961	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.8874	-0.66%	2.28	+20.00%	0.0903	✓	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.536182	-0.67%	0.6233	+15.47%	0.0931	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	97.6727	-0.69%	126.05	+28.16%	0.0092	✗	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.052876	-0.70%	0.05941	+11.57%	0.1460	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	17.8822	-0.71%	21.27	+18.10%	0.1653	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.623617	-0.71%	0.7609	+21.14%	0.0865	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.035615	-0.72%	0.05819	+62.22%	0.2603	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,663.29	-0.72%	3,246.22	+21.01%	0.0063	✓	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	107.576	-0.72%	140.21	+29.39%	0.0146	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.424486	-0.75%	0.5406	+26.40%	0.0221	✓	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.178942	-0.75%	0.2412	+33.78%	0.0524	✗	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.229649	-0.76%	0.2963	+28.05%	0.0393	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.463036	-0.76%	0.5665	+21.41%	0.1542	✓	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	120.2822	-0.77%	144.23	+18.98%	0.0603	✓	1.31	59k	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.4794	-0.77%	7.48	+14.55%	0.1000	✗	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.713347	-0.79%	0.827	+15.02%	0.0500	✓	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1035	-0.81%	1.3519	+21.51%	0.0168	✗	1.01	338k	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.1778	-0.81%	6.08	+16.48%	0.0340	✓	1.05	1000k	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.189606	-0.82%	0.23058	+20.61%	0.1057	✓	1.63	25k	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.7452	-0.83%	7.0423	+3.54%	0.1313	✓	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.401432	-0.83%	0.4877	+20.48%	0.0539	✓	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.329	-0.83%	33.92	+27.76%	0.0541	✓	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	160.9573	-0.83%	192.22	+18.43%	0.0409	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	143.8591	-0.84%	185.83	+28.09%	0.0710	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.566905	-0.86%	0.706728	+23.60%	0.0016	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.5866	-0.87%	1.9982	+24.85%	0.0290	✗	1.09	79k	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.634344	-0.88%	1.09	+70.31%	0.1954	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	5.0356	-0.89%	5.908	+16.28%	0.0250	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.3875	-0.93%	2.83	+17.43%	0.0182	✓	1.02	667k	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	47.1507	-0.94%	57.56	+20.92%	0.1161	✓	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.27566	-0.95%	0.3218	+15.63%	0.1473	✓	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.6025	-0.98%	20.705	+16.48%	0.1163	✓	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.460436	-0.98%	0.591	+27.10%	0.0307	✓	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0318	-1.00%	1.2907	+23.84%	0.0101	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	67.1865	-1.01%	90.18	+32.87%	0.0411	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	4.9892	-1.01%	6	+19.05%	0.0452	✗	0.75	404k	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2661	-1.01%	1.43	+11.81%	0.1088	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	2.999	-1.02%	3.347	+10.46%	0.0403	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.038729	-1.03%	0.0468	+19.60%	0.0158	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.059256	-1.08%	0.0867	+44.74%	0.1432	✗	1.29	554k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.0065	-1.08%	33.84	+28.72%	0.0644	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.028954	-1.08%	0.0312	+6.59%	0.0863	✓	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	5.9546	-1.09%	7.14	+18.60%	0.0346	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.108013	-1.09%	0.1429	+30.86%	0.0340	✗	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009722	-1.10%	0.01205	+22.58%	0.0246	✗	1.03	565k	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	37.7071	-1.11%	47.83	+25.44%	0.0585	✓	1.60	626k	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	88.9924	-1.12%	101.5	+12.78%	0.0425	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	48.5612	-1.14%	67.62	+37.66%	0.1116	✗	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.432	-1.14%	2.94	+19.51%	0.0366	✓	1.22	566k	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.4273	-1.14%	6.66	+21.31%	0.0011	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.4773	-1.15%	9.329	+23.33%	0.1739	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	100.7997	-1.17%	114.04	+11.81%	0.1011	✓	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	36,487.44	-1.18%	44,416.35	+20.29%	0.0119	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6106	-1.19%	1.93	+18.40%	0.0590	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020002	-1.20%	0.024233	+19.69%	0.0020	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.009405	-1.21%	0.01509	+58.51%	0.2349	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	3.9493	-1.22%	4.801	+20.09%	0.0436	✗	0.82	351k	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.829845	-1.26%	1.0216	+21.56%	0.0039	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5494	-1.26%	3.083	+19.40%	0.0863	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	91.8546	-1.28%	114.95	+23.54%	0.0064	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	19.8313	-1.29%	25.8	+28.42%	0.0279	✓	1.57	438k	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.088246	-1.30%	0.10785	+20.62%	0.0099	✓	1.03	46k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.311882	-1.30%	0.406	+28.48%	0.0127	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	2.9955	-1.31%	3.885	+28.00%	0.0701	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.063457	-1.31%	0.0794	+23.48%	0.0214	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.246675	-1.33%	0.288	+15.20%	0.0190	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000074786	-1.36%	0.00009721	+28.21%	0.0520	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	5.9675	-1.36%	7.18	+18.68%	0.0241	✗	0.87	529k	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.910655	-1.39%	1.0371	+12.30%	0.0863	✓	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3231	-1.39%	4.17	+23.74%	0.0044	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	25.9632	-1.39%	30.94	+17.51%	0.0414	✓	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,355.09	-1.39%	44,492.60	+17.45%	0.0111	✓	1.01	51k	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.5661	-1.39%	5.3633	+15.82%	0.0795	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.1218	-1.40%	3.796	+19.90%	0.0350	✗	0.87	766k	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009642	-1.41%	0.01253	+28.12%	0.0177	✗	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.1493	-1.41%	2.21	+1.38%	0.2379	✓	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.108418	-1.44%	0.1237	+12.45%	0.1450	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.5623	-1.44%	18.7	+18.43%	0.0423	✓	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.0758	-1.44%	6.8052	+64.56%	0.5114	✗	0.01	376k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6715	-1.45%	2.16	+27.36%	0.0226	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0648	-1.45%	3.5	+12.54%	0.1394	✓	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.931559	-1.47%	1.1728	+24.04%	0.0519	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	19.8883	-1.49%	24.32	+20.46%	0.0210	✓	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.2196	-1.50%	10.91	+16.56%	0.0288	✗	0.76	709k	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	5.9343	-1.51%	7.2042	+19.57%	0.0727	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.853498	-1.51%	1.3852	+59.84%	0.2142	✗	1.46	103k	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078198	-1.51%	0.0943	+18.77%	0.0383	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.4749	-1.52%	21.97	+17.11%	0.0846	✓	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.0874	-1.54%	3.8968	+24.27%	0.0296	✗	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.134985	-1.55%	0.159048	+16.01%	0.0319	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.4975	-1.56%	3.3415	+31.71%	0.1155	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.190136	-1.56%	0.238854	+23.66%	0.0373	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.072625	-1.58%	0.08573	+16.18%	0.0297	✗	0.74	80k	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	111.7386	-1.59%	150.18	+32.27%	0.1104	✗	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.033454	-1.61%	0.0337	-0.88%	0.2621	✓	1.46	513k	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.5374	-1.62%	16.51	+19.99%	0.0142	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0229	-1.64%	4.76	+16.38%	0.0898	✓	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.0098	-1.65%	1.1947	+16.35%	0.0445	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.273343	-1.68%	0.3185	+14.57%	0.0578	✓	1.14	545k	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	13.8529	-1.68%	18.16	+28.89%	0.1416	✗	0.70	851k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.796329	-1.70%	0.94117	+16.18%	0.1515	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3415	-1.72%	4.04	+18.82%	0.1470	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	2.9777	-1.73%	2.81	-7.26%	0.3253	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012382	-1.73%	0.01324	+5.08%	0.0956	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.7802	-1.75%	8.263	+40.46%	0.1679	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8371	-1.76%	2.28	+21.93%	0.0252	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.099587	-1.88%	0.1212	+19.41%	0.0111	✓	1.00	41k	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.172228	-1.92%	0.1868	+6.38%	0.0454	✓	0.69	457k	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.1046	-1.97%	28.48	+20.83%	0.0615	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.2361	-2.06%	3.8694	+17.11%	0.0175	✓	0.87	25k	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.1888	-2.07%	2.609	+16.73%	0.0218	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.2195	-2.07%	5.84	+9.57%	0.1214	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.6727	-2.12%	4.4429	+18.40%	0.0651	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.131922	-2.14%	0.1678	+24.48%	0.0567	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.3584	-2.41%	9.31	+23.47%	0.1802	✗	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5507	-2.41%	1.832	+15.29%	0.0497	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	41.8023	-2.56%	47.97	+11.82%	0.0898	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.063	-2.69%	2.46	+16.04%	0.0087	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8107	-2.72%	1.9679	+5.73%	0.0473	✓	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.520666	-2.88%	0.6017	+12.24%	0.0699	✓	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.014339	-3.00%	0.017007	+15.04%	0.0435	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.1996	-3.26%	1.351	+8.95%	0.0659	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	20.8849	-3.27%	23.1	+6.99%	0.1245	✓	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.115021	-3.34%	0.128	+7.56%	0.0778	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.3621	-3.40%	1.72	+21.99%	0.0485	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	22,165.49	-3.75%	26,293.98	+14.18%	0.0089	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.075118	-4.43%	0.086	+9.41%	0.3358	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.25	-8.09%	1.43	+5.15%	0.1360	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.