2022-01-24 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1719

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.75%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.9%

in alpha space · 59.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038831	+3.27%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8277	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.824391	+3.05%	0.82	+2.50%	0.0827	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.472282	+2.87%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.1486	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.56947	+2.79%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0066	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.00817	+2.77%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2302	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.1498	+2.77%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0874	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0741	+2.68%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0297	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	77.7671	+2.66%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.0946	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.3907	+2.29%	6.25	+18.60%	0.1044	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.86	+2.24%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0517	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.8414	+1.93%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0525	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.051427	+1.65%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0443	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1537	+1.65%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0690	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.056589	+1.60%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0186	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.039	+1.57%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0651	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.832363	+1.51%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0270	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.034186	+1.44%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0410	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.6819	+1.37%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0731	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.8581	+1.35%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0684	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.458	+1.32%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1190	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	12.9752	+1.29%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0509	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.258	+1.26%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0328	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.869306	+1.11%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0386	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.8174	+1.10%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0213	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.482134	+1.08%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0566	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	126.1149	+1.07%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1003	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	16.6392	+1.03%	20.15	+22.34%	0.1047	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.710183	+1.02%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0246	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.2114	+1.01%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0095	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.315042	+0.97%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0601	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	92.7704	+0.88%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0127	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	95.3071	+0.86%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0725	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	153.6964	+0.84%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0385	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.3932	+0.83%	41	+20.20%	0.1002	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.855084	+0.78%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0447	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	23.6511	+0.77%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0536	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.5152	+0.74%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1578	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	2.9855	+0.72%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0900	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.213491	+0.66%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1886	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.888362	+0.65%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1435	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.224096	+0.63%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0176	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	294.3254	+0.62%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0828	✗	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3236	+0.59%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0722	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.673876	+0.58%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1420	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.176605	+0.57%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0007	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	63.4072	+0.57%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0346	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	103.4718	+0.56%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1132	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.021033	+0.54%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0550	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.395225	+0.52%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0276	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	147.7767	+0.50%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0511	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3517	+0.50%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0416	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.5271	+0.49%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0876	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	175.7157	+0.45%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1528	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.037117	+0.43%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0073	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.0887	+0.42%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2453	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009379	+0.42%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0215	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.506896	+0.36%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0525	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.027423	+0.34%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0362	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.050349	+0.34%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1586	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.062328	+0.34%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.2067	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.0903	+0.30%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0014	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.8742	+0.29%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0395	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.426841	+0.24%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0168	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009379	+0.21%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0057	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.5088	+0.18%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0131	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021261	+0.15%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0606	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.791626	+0.13%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0022	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.582	+0.12%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0089	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0092	+0.11%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0580	✓	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3737	+0.11%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0279	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.111201	+0.09%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0435	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7612	+0.07%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0360	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.0395	+0.05%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0054	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	51.2567	+0.03%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0365	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.5904	+0.01%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0739	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.102289	-0.01%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.1006	✗	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.1132	-0.01%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1396	✗	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	15.6072	-0.02%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0357	✗	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.011915	-0.04%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0692	✗	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.749178	-0.05%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0435	✗	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.053024	-0.08%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.3931	✓	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055017	-0.09%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0255	✗	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,439.43	-0.09%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0434	✗	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.4433	-0.10%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0384	✗	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.3369	-0.13%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0181	✗	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	90.3497	-0.16%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0163	✓	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.1174	-0.17%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0405	✓	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9345	-0.22%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0027	✓	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	5.9265	-0.23%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0469	✓	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.909978	-0.28%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0129	✓	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.0376	-0.29%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0278	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.5438	-0.30%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0755	✗	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6076	-0.32%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.0884	✓	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000071713	-0.33%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0088	✗	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.014289	-0.33%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0597	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.6984	-0.34%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0671	✗	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.2745	-0.35%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1263	✓	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.205	-0.36%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2483	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	109.2285	-0.38%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0621	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1583	-0.41%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0978	✗	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.010207	-0.42%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.0862	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.056021	-0.42%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.1646	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.25291	-0.43%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0701	✓	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.0589	-0.46%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0115	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	20.6343	-0.46%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1026	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.075544	-0.47%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0133	✗	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.260664	-0.47%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1550	✗	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.2099	-0.53%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0547	✗	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.037456	-0.54%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0220	✗	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	23,813.91	-0.55%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0021	✓	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.203	-0.58%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0124	✗	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.057443	-0.62%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0815	✗	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.081059	-0.64%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0221	✗	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.4393	-0.72%	14.25	+13.73%	0.1021	✗	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.164823	-0.73%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0676	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5207	-0.76%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0540	✗	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	20.6323	-0.76%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1643	✗	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.5671	-0.84%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0803	✗	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.6816	-0.84%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0852	✗	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.141392	-0.85%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.0843	✓	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	90.9362	-0.92%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0430	✓	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	65.3077	-0.93%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3105	✓	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	36,350.41	-0.93%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0094	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.459	-1.02%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0001	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.5411	-1.05%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0184	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.805091	-1.12%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0304	✓	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.195827	-1.15%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0317	✓	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.5687	-1.20%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2541	✓	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.135769	-1.21%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0116	✓	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.8256	-1.23%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0357	✓	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,159.05	-1.32%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0169	✗	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.565635	-1.32%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1358	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0519	-1.36%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0549	✓	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.15503	-1.38%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1362	✗	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	35.0259	-1.59%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1610	✗	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.096124	-1.61%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0090	✓	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5272	-1.74%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1715	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.2677	-2.01%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3469	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	35.2237	-2.24%	28.07	-22.09%	0.2840	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.8432	-2.24%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0697	✗	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.831	-2.77%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1279	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.516735	-2.78%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0047	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.4873	-2.84%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1218	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.