2022-01-22 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1190

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.50%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

41.3%

in alpha space · 76.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.91%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.5569	-5.46%	3.69	-23.44%	0.2442	✓	0.39	471k	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.548765	-3.01%	0.5693	+0.62%	0.0673	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-01-29
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1041	-2.14%	2.31	+7.44%	0.0080	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9082	-1.89%	3.0631	+3.34%	0.0227	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4831	-1.39%	1.7284	+14.93%	0.0829	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-01-29
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	7.2903	-1.38%	6.173	-16.49%	0.2517	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-29
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.071093	-1.29%	0.05525	-23.29%	0.3375	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.3415	-1.28%	6.128	-4.61%	0.1266	✓	1.08	301k	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0596	-1.09%	1.0603	-1.03%	0.0960	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-29
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.4311	-0.91%	1.2936	-10.43%	0.1864	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.1596	-0.84%	41.73	+24.79%	0.1276	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.148581	-0.81%	0.1739	+16.09%	0.0972	✗	0.70	536k	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	34,528.96	-0.80%	38,181.60	+9.69%	0.0147	✗	1.01	26k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.093699	-0.74%	0.1047	+10.91%	0.0200	✗	1.07	41k	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.579	-0.62%	3.4878	-3.16%	0.0270	✓	0.01	371k	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.132345	-0.61%	0.143169	+7.52%	0.0136	✓	1.08	6.7M	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7073	-0.57%	2.9824	+9.54%	0.0087	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5526	-0.56%	2.667	+3.90%	0.0875	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.6584	-0.25%	9.17	+5.65%	0.0066	✓	0.75	800k	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.059265	-0.23%	0.0653	+9.93%	0.0009	✓	1.13	21k	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.19199	-0.20%	0.203491	+5.78%	0.0334	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	62.7818	-0.17%	50.93	-19.02%	0.3630	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5996	-0.16%	13.15	+4.20%	0.0170	✓	0.70	813k	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,045.65	-0.06%	38,191.10	+8.91%	0.0006	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014965	+0.03%	0.014518	-2.96%	0.1341	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.5214	+0.05%	26.24	+21.99%	0.1346	✓	0.75	353k	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.264914	+0.16%	0.31	+17.20%	0.0197	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.156631	+0.16%	0.18677	+19.43%	0.0452	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.2706	+0.17%	25.34	+4.58%	0.0505	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.6815	+0.19%	6.7736	+19.45%	0.0964	✓	0.93	4.5M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.078894	+0.21%	0.08979	+14.05%	0.0282	✓	1.19	41k	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	89.4843	+0.27%	92.7	+3.88%	0.0460	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	29.3526	+0.28%	29.1	-0.58%	0.0957	✗	1.02	109.3M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.056915	+0.29%	0.060341	+6.33%	0.0238	✗	0.96	486k	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036441	+0.36%	0.04089	+12.61%	0.0186	✓	1.13	25k	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6565	+0.39%	1.6081	-2.54%	0.1251	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	108.8999	+0.45%	110.84	+2.24%	0.0960	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	97.5183	+0.46%	96.55	-0.54%	0.1145	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.167	+0.52%	1.364	+17.48%	0.0472	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.551182	+0.54%	0.6022	+9.85%	0.0684	✗	1.84	48.9M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6866	+0.59%	4.042	+10.29%	0.0258	✓	0.78	445k	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012829	+0.62%	0.01347	+5.65%	0.0264	✗	0.88	21k	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.140288	+0.64%	0.1205	-13.56%	0.2329	✗	0.95	362k	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.229	+0.66%	17.542	+15.95%	0.0039	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.958	+0.71%	0.9693	+1.90%	0.0915	✗	1.21	34.7M	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.1544	+0.73%	6.08	-0.49%	0.1021	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.245983	+0.81%	0.251	+2.87%	0.0592	✗	0.93	67k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,432.63	+0.86%	2,603.74	+7.95%	0.0279	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3505	+0.88%	2.42	+3.86%	0.0584	✗	1.03	819k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.030113	+0.88%	0.03035	+1.68%	0.0760	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.6056	+0.88%	5.9616	+7.29%	0.0616	✗	1.44	263k	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.7231	+0.89%	20.18	-1.75%	0.1408	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2775	+0.90%	4.851	+14.43%	0.0231	✓	1.20	443k	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	191.8412	+0.93%	171.16	-9.95%	0.2171	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0382	+1.05%	3.1573	+5.01%	0.0668	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.718039	+1.05%	0.9037	+27.17%	0.1131	✓	1.37	108k	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.51306	+1.08%	0.5251	+3.45%	0.0893	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3809	+1.09%	1.493	+9.30%	0.0239	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.074014	+1.11%	0.0817	+11.61%	0.0059	✓	1.23	299k	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.7231	+1.12%	6.08	+7.42%	0.0115	✗	0.84	616k	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6391	+1.18%	1.72	+6.17%	0.0439	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5325	+1.22%	3.51	+0.57%	0.1085	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010105	+1.25%	0.0104	+4.21%	0.0795	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.444057	+1.27%	0.4637	+5.75%	0.0778	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8404	+1.30%	3.009	+7.31%	0.0098	✓	0.79	523k	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	154.3596	+1.33%	153.67	+0.87%	0.0908	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.525781	+1.33%	0.565434	+8.98%	0.0306	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.421978	+1.36%	0.4104	-1.42%	0.1394	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.11505	+1.37%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0643	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	16.0797	+1.39%	16.24	+2.40%	0.0960	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4947	+1.41%	2.83	+15.04%	0.0121	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000069364	+1.42%	0.00007692	+12.47%	0.0116	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7126	+1.47%	5.93	+5.33%	0.0275	✗	0.76	645k	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009545	+1.54%	0.01015	+7.98%	0.0314	✗	1.09	641k	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.236775	+1.58%	0.2425	+4.03%	0.0842	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0789	+1.60%	2.3362	+14.17%	0.0096	✓	1.25	714k	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.5579	+1.63%	18.75	+2.68%	0.1078	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	2.012	+1.67%	2.245	+13.44%	0.0167	✓	1.09	24k	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.793363	+1.71%	0.8302	+6.44%	0.0489	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.1114	+1.71%	3.258	+6.51%	0.0283	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-29
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.055122	+1.73%	0.04515	-16.67%	0.2849	✗	1.00	575k	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.063471	+1.76%	0.0727	+16.56%	0.0646	✓	0.83	60k	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.9038	+1.79%	6.001	+3.47%	0.0509	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	51.0776	+1.81%	49.58	-1.18%	0.1328	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8022	+1.82%	1.92	+8.47%	0.0540	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.037438	+1.83%	0.039999	+8.80%	0.0457	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.8892	+1.86%	5.16	+7.50%	0.0074	✓	0.72	491k	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	297.3102	+1.86%	299.03	+2.45%	0.0841	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	35.9441	+1.88%	41.64	+18.03%	0.0136	✓	1.56	613k	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1397	+1.89%	2.34	+11.43%	0.0333	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.222023	+1.89%	0.2671	+22.58%	0.0890	✓	1.12	440k	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.051468	+1.90%	0.05052	+0.02%	0.1338	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020931	+1.95%	0.00002166	+5.50%	0.0862	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3866	+1.99%	2.31	-1.28%	0.1339	✗	1.19	737k	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.179964	+2.02%	0.1844	+4.54%	0.0959	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.3479	+2.13%	27.09	+13.63%	0.0391	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	23,394.60	+2.17%	24,297.65	+6.11%	0.0354	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0881	+2.19%	2.372	+16.08%	0.0287	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5392	+2.20%	1.758	+16.73%	0.0244	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.730424	+2.20%	0.84787	+18.64%	0.0000	✓	1.75	848k	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	3.0172	+2.21%	3.0915	+4.72%	0.0923	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009561	+2.26%	0.01002	+7.17%	0.0675	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.8654	+2.26%	5.4	+42.86%	0.2299	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.4134	+2.27%	11.16	+0.00%	0.1362	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.507341	+2.29%	0.508	+2.42%	0.1324	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	96.9658	+2.31%	96.25	+1.55%	0.1105	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	96.8234	+2.36%	96.39	+1.90%	0.1186	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.891253	+2.44%	0.924	+6.21%	0.0838	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.327019	+2.51%	0.333	+4.39%	0.1022	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.656175	+2.53%	0.66	+3.12%	0.1580	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	151.0451	+2.63%	154.04	+4.66%	0.0883	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.729838	+2.65%	0.731	+2.81%	0.0923	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	101.4053	+2.66%	97.51	-1.29%	0.1262	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.5384	+2.66%	20.07	+24.58%	0.0377	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.522	+2.69%	20.29	+6.73%	0.0643	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	19.2974	+2.86%	20.73	+10.50%	0.0610	✗	1.55	944k	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.5727	+2.90%	14.12	+7.05%	0.0559	✗	1.12	841k	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.975	+2.94%	2.99	+3.46%	0.1242	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.5509	+2.96%	4.19	-5.20%	0.1967	✗	1.34	16.1M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.822576	+2.99%	0.952	+19.19%	0.0194	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020715	+3.02%	0.022029	+9.55%	0.0340	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	61.6323	+3.06%	71.95	+20.32%	0.0431	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.2461	+3.07%	6.65	+9.74%	0.0444	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0708	+3.15%	1.154	+11.17%	0.0124	✓	1.02	402k	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.832802	+3.20%	1.0479	+29.86%	0.1247	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	124.2002	+3.24%	123.06	+2.29%	0.1158	✗	1.25	88k	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.2289	+3.34%	5.34	+5.53%	0.0664	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.7986	+3.36%	6.1	+8.73%	0.0281	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.1788	+3.38%	7.324	+5.47%	0.0103	✓	0.36	38k	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.033711	+3.41%	0.0362	+11.04%	0.0547	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	86.9338	+3.50%	79.3124	-5.57%	0.2014	✗	1.29	486k	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.050711	+3.58%	0.06396	+30.64%	0.1032	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.05625	+3.59%	0.0636	+17.13%	0.0025	✓	1.47	684k	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.933203	+3.69%	0.85	-5.56%	0.2325	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.604995	+3.70%	0.5968	+2.30%	0.1461	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1583	+3.76%	2.36	+13.46%	0.0358	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	7.2251	+3.81%	7.35	+5.60%	0.0175	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.083072	+3.97%	0.11	+37.67%	0.1628	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.761763	+4.12%	0.9684	+32.37%	0.0692	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.00828	+4.41%	0.00723	-8.83%	0.3452	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.465531	+4.52%	0.4988	+11.99%	0.0386	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-29
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.03933	+4.60%	0.0907	+141.22%	0.6636	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.9721	+5.03%	8.22	+8.30%	0.0755	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.