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2022-01-17 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0411
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.8%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.09%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.3324.2804-0.20%16.47-32.31%0.1257✓1.873.9M2022-01-24
LRCLoopringEthereum1.22891.2259-0.25%0.8598-30.03%0.0847✓1.921.3M2022-01-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.79379.2011-0.42%292.51-23.18%0.1172✓1.026.6M2022-01-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.80950.80597-0.44%0.4591-43.29%0.4192✓1.022.7M2022-01-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.2395-0.52%0.82-34.19%0.2217✓1.362.4M2022-01-24
MOVRMoonriverBase137.7719136.8545-0.67%75.75-45.02%0.4324✓1.13489k2022-01-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.984.9455-0.69%4.22-15.26%0.0089✗1.193.2M2022-01-24
XVSVenusEthereum13.5913.4932-0.71%7.93-41.65%0.3709✓1.152.9M2022-01-24
ETHEthereumEthereum3,210.983,187.96-0.72%2,441.74-23.96%0.1157✓1.08478.4M2022-01-24
TRXTRONTron0.0708510.070335-0.73%0.055067-22.28%0.1108✓0.95511k2022-01-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.077480.076912-0.73%0.05059-34.71%0.2185✓1.432.4M2022-01-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.13150.130533-0.74%0.1023-22.21%0.0634✓1.292.4M2022-01-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.778.701-0.79%5.27-39.91%0.4000✓0.72995k2022-01-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06760.067022-0.85%0.0376-44.38%0.4378✓1.0025.5M2022-01-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00770.998932-0.87%0.554-45.02%0.3923✓1.411.5M2022-01-24
XTZTezosTezos4.05384.0182-0.88%2.9641-26.88%0.1117✓1.373.3M2022-01-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1884.1511-0.88%3.081-26.43%0.1868✓0.791.1M2022-01-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7277760.721179-0.91%0.505092-30.60%0.1949✓1.152.4M2022-01-24
RADRadworksEthereum7.897.8185-0.91%5.07-35.74%0.3090✓0.891.1M2022-01-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54780.542797-0.91%0.3932-28.22%0.1381✓1.3112.2M2022-01-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7351-0.92%3.5476-5.90%0.0601✓-0.06361k2022-01-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.4434.1158-0.94%23.47-31.85%0.1405✓1.672.7M2022-01-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3911.3776-0.96%1.163-16.39%0.0232✗1.374.0M2022-01-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7983.7608-0.98%2.941-22.56%0.1464✓0.71526k2022-01-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3597.2861-0.99%6.128-16.73%0.0752✓0.70178k2022-01-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0540690.05353-1.00%0.036957-31.65%0.2011✓1.217.9M2022-01-24
COMPCompoundEthereum181.47179.5686-1.05%124.78-31.24%0.1996✓1.17123k2022-01-24
NANOnanopayBase3.01262.981-1.05%2.2825-24.23%0.1064✓1.15665k2022-01-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0161.0053-1.05%0.703-30.81%0.2209✓0.972.2M2022-01-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0375-1.06%2.34-23.78%0.1219✓0.99891k2022-01-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.684225-1.07%0.5079-26.56%0.1178✓1.283.5M2022-01-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.25690.254093-1.09%0.1756-31.65%0.1823✓1.333.9M2022-01-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.081499-1.09%0.0557-32.40%0.1846✓1.40990k2022-01-24
AAVEAaveEthereum226.66224.1235-1.12%152.41-32.76%0.2184✓1.1916.2M2022-01-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0207230.020485-1.15%0.014337-30.82%0.1840✓1.232.7M2022-01-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.777.6807-1.15%5.5-29.21%0.2451✓0.63720k2022-01-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.351.3342-1.17%0.8-40.74%0.2774✓1.67556k2022-01-24
ZECZcashZcash138.84137.2137-1.17%94.49-31.94%0.1912✓1.3010.6M2022-01-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.066380.065598-1.18%0.05018-24.40%0.0949✓1.2313.3M2022-01-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028830.000028487-1.19%0.00002123-26.36%0.1033✓1.361.8M2022-01-24
KCSKuCoinnative20.85120.5946-1.23%15.591-25.23%0.0522✓1.6110.7M2022-01-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.00791.9832-1.23%1.6127-19.68%0.0510✓1.1189k2022-01-24
GTGateEthereum6.99686.9106-1.23%6.2431-10.77%0.0191✗0.864.1M2022-01-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.027860.027516-1.23%0.020919-24.91%0.1296✓1.035.7M2022-01-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative3130.6143-1.24%24.17-22.03%0.0867✓1.072.9M2022-01-24
SOLSolanaSolana139.85138.1046-1.25%91.96-34.24%0.2475✓1.13152.8M2022-01-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.9228.5586-1.25%19.02-34.23%0.1888✓1.551.0M2022-01-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.040110.039608-1.25%0.02733-31.86%0.2430✓0.918.4M2022-01-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.4855-1.26%2.02-42.78%0.3662✓1.288.5M2022-01-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3120.30806-1.26%0.2227-28.62%0.1446✓1.282.1M2022-01-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.021.0067-1.30%0.67-34.31%0.1376✓1.921.5M2022-01-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,218.0141,666.44-1.31%36,693.32-13.09%0.0132✓1.00636.6M2022-01-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.4612-1.36%4.86-25.80%0.1919✓0.66564k2022-01-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05330.052576-1.36%0.0337-36.77%0.2515✓1.381.4M2022-01-24
KSMKusamaHydration259.34255.8082-1.36%174.93-32.55%0.2128✓1.191.4M2022-01-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049790.049099-1.39%0.03766-24.36%0.1111✓1.1021k2022-01-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15950.157256-1.41%0.1111-30.34%0.1697✓1.274.2M2022-01-24
UNIUniswapEthereum16.6416.4043-1.42%10.7-35.70%0.2428✓1.3212.2M2022-01-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,814.5041,208.06-1.45%36,642.30-12.37%0.0210✗0.9914k2022-01-24
XVGVergenative0.013140.012948-1.46%0.00934-28.92%0.1522✓1.242.0M2022-01-24
DODODODOEthereum0.7680.756727-1.47%0.477-37.89%0.2522✓1.498.0M2022-01-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107180.105585-1.49%0.08158-23.89%0.0980✓1.1427k2022-01-24
SCSiacoinnative0.013520.013319-1.49%0.00936-30.77%0.2127✓1.00654k2022-01-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.252.2165-1.49%1.58-29.78%0.1881✓1.072.7M2022-01-24
QTUMQtumQtum7.68797.5725-1.50%5.4487-29.13%0.1274✓1.44263k2022-01-24
UMAUMAEthereum8.138.0068-1.52%5.94-26.94%0.1625✓0.974.1M2022-01-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088780.087434-1.52%0.06212-30.03%0.2393✓0.7345k2022-01-24
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.7028-1.52%2.31-38.56%0.2685✓1.452.2M2022-01-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum76.5575.3755-1.53%51.24-33.06%0.2340✓1.086.4M2022-01-24
MINAMina Protocolnative3.413.3572-1.55%2.34-31.38%0.2086✓1.09808k2022-01-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.350.344551-1.56%0.254-27.43%0.1970✓0.7745k2022-01-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.78108.0584-1.57%91.78-16.40%0.0290✓0.961.9M2022-01-24
XMRMoneroMonero214.7211.3142-1.58%147.04-31.51%0.2234✓0.993.1M2022-01-24
QNTQuantEthereum159.74157.2064-1.59%102.9-35.58%0.2923✓0.946.4M2022-01-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.16161.1431-1.59%0.7906-31.94%0.2298✓0.9923.2M2022-01-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.22671.2069-1.61%0.8826-28.05%0.1649✓1.062.7M2022-01-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.9928.522-1.61%18.43-36.43%0.2837✓1.0915.1M2022-01-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.61910.609104-1.61%0.4258-31.22%0.1636✓1.392.7M2022-01-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8291.7993-1.62%1.474-19.41%0.0371✓1.162.0M2022-01-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01450.014262-1.64%0.01025-29.31%0.1461✓1.312.2M2022-01-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.6229.1282-1.66%20.73-30.01%0.1420✓1.4134.3M2022-01-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08260.081217-1.67%0.0578-30.02%0.1863✓1.1020k2022-01-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.967.8257-1.69%5.59-29.77%0.2289✓0.77682k2022-01-24
XECeCashnative0.000099540.000097844-1.70%0.00007195-27.72%0.1645✓1.026.5M2022-01-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10640.104574-1.72%0.0759-28.67%0.1625✓1.13269k2022-01-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.6825.2376-1.72%18.03-29.79%0.1463✓1.3560.5M2022-01-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.90532.855-1.73%2.08-28.41%0.1718✓1.034.9M2022-01-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.510.501149-1.74%0.312-38.82%0.2903✓1.311.8M2022-01-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.62.5546-1.75%1.76-32.31%0.1869✓1.323.1M2022-01-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.19148.5448-1.75%109.65-27.48%0.1133✓1.3631.1M2022-01-24
DASHDashDash135.73133.3335-1.77%90.49-33.33%0.2196✓1.202.8M2022-01-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01630.998319-1.77%0.74957-26.24%0.0360✓1.79896k2022-01-24
XYMSymbolnative0.19060.187222-1.77%0.1572-17.52%0.0795✓0.68536k2022-01-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17550.172379-1.78%0.1426-18.75%0.0615✓0.91403k2022-01-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0314.7623-1.78%12.53-16.63%0.0680✓0.68998k2022-01-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.34151.3174-1.80%0.9125-31.98%0.2014✓1.1830.5M2022-01-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013580.013334-1.81%0.00795-41.46%0.1749✓2.4424.2M2022-01-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.34093.2792-1.85%2.7044-19.05%0.0267✓1.182.3M2022-01-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3252.2818-1.86%1.504-35.31%0.2581✓1.132.0M2022-01-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.7352.6837-1.87%2.007-26.62%0.1633✓0.9125k2022-01-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19064.1118-1.88%3.0465-27.30%0.1230✓1.264.1M2022-01-24
ZENHorizenBase53.2752.2593-1.90%34.11-35.97%0.2171✓1.49642k2022-01-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.4619.0895-1.90%12.81-34.17%0.2504✓1.06841k2022-01-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9527.4173-1.91%20.79-25.62%0.1768✓0.71353k2022-01-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2561330.251241-1.91%0.198106-22.66%0.0923✓1.0424.2M2022-01-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.6885.0206-1.91%63.05-27.26%0.1320✓1.19100.4M2022-01-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709440.167635-1.94%0.137427-19.61%0.0444✓1.105.6M2022-01-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9844.8868-1.95%3.711-25.54%0.1810✓0.67469k2022-01-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.389.1969-1.95%6.18-34.12%0.3992✓-0.011.4M2022-01-24
HIVEHivenative1.25611.2313-1.97%0.8485-32.45%0.1756✓1.403.7M2022-01-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.2602-2.00%8.64-17.48%0.0664✓0.75808k2022-01-24
LUNATerraTerra 277.0675.5052-2.02%65.92-14.46%0.1267✗1.877.5M2022-01-24
BANDBandEthereum5.35.1922-2.03%3.37-36.42%0.2761✓1.112.1M2022-01-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016520.016182-2.05%0.01192-27.85%0.2022✓0.7424k2022-01-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.31379-2.06%0.2121-33.80%0.2468✓1.03397k2022-01-24
XEMNEMnative0.11480.112407-2.08%0.0977-14.90%0.0082✓1.0649k2022-01-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.823.2984-2.11%15.61-34.41%0.2322✓1.2070.4M2022-01-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.784.6731-2.24%2.82-41.00%0.3077✓1.4132.4M2022-01-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.60181.5648-2.31%1.023-36.14%0.3007✓0.89445k2022-01-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1538.2279-2.36%36.03-7.97%0.0769✗0.9798.5M2022-01-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4057.2303-2.36%5.898-20.35%0.0209✓1.30271k2022-01-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.27316.1215-2.42%4.1138-34.42%0.2260✓1.22457k2022-01-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60761.5679-2.47%1.5542-3.32%0.1116✗0.861.1M2022-01-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.98020.955617-2.51%0.8142-16.94%0.0110✓1.06108k2022-01-24
SUSHISushiEthereum6.446.2768-2.53%4.4-31.68%0.1731✓1.3017.7M2022-01-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.378586-2.63%0.2619-32.64%0.1605✓1.483.9M2022-01-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.363.2701-2.68%2.6-22.62%0.0546✓1.252.9M2022-01-24
FTTFTXEthereum44.3843.1553-2.76%35.59-19.81%0.0364✓1.1122.8M2022-01-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,588.0730,696.17-2.82%23,944.84-24.20%0.1532✓0.6822.2M2022-01-24
GITCOINGITCOIN12.47712.1011-3.01%6.712-46.21%0.5764✓0.0944k2022-01-24
ADACardanoCardano1.60271.5494-3.33%1.0664-33.46%0.2159✓1.1297.1M2022-01-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2943.1778-3.53%2.568-22.04%0.0281✓1.721.1M2022-01-24
API3Api3Ethereum43.8562-3.60%3.94-1.50%0.1506✗0.92471k2022-01-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206250.198824-3.60%0.16604-19.50%0.0410✗1.586,3502022-01-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0789720.076056-3.69%0.053067-32.80%0.2197✓1.001.6M2022-01-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62140.598101-3.75%0.5315-14.47%0.0774✗1.391.5M2022-01-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94320.902621-4.30%0.5732-39.23%0.2052✓1.7746.2M2022-01-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.5811.9955-4.65%6.71-46.66%0.5589✓0.162.6M2022-01-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.1953.9728-5.30%2.9084-30.67%0.2065✓0.752,2572022-01-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.