8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0665
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.6%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.5581-0.46%16.11-39.62%0.1193✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86388.5822-0.58%291.88-25.32%0.0766✓1.027.0M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.068109-0.64%0.05675-17.21%0.0156✗0.96537k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.3142-0.74%0.87-34.29%0.1333✓1.352.7M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.4122-0.77%0.7316-48.59%0.2636✓1.911.3M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,299.42-0.86%2,411.90-27.53%0.0924✓1.07533.9M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.138526-0.91%0.0799-42.85%0.2857✓1.282.4M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1614.0302-0.92%7.59-46.40%0.3784✓1.143.0M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7342-0.94%3.6015-4.46%0.0492✓-0.06371k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.079508-0.95%0.04896-39.01%0.1921✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1819-0.95%3.059-27.55%0.1477✓0.801.1M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.3057-1.00%5.06-39.69%0.3136✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.2261-1.02%3.78-28.41%0.0800✓1.183.3M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287152.6413-1.09%83.9941-45.57%0.3655✓1.12489k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.749434-1.10%0.518861-31.53%0.1319✓1.142.5M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.8021-1.14%2.804-27.09%0.1586✓0.71526k2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.0875-1.14%2.0461-34.48%0.1757✓1.14710k2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.233-1.14%2.9521-31.06%0.0784✓1.373.8M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,190.74-1.16%34,807.70-18.46%0.0105✓0.9814k2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3637-1.18%0.9-34.78%0.0708✓1.67556k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.1039-1.18%15.129-25.63%0.0482✗1.6110.8M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.020573-1.19%0.014961-28.14%0.0641✓1.232.6M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.057222-1.19%0.036765-36.52%0.1950✓1.207.5M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0636-1.22%1.65-21.01%0.0049✓1.1195k2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.027.9212-1.23%5.63-29.80%0.2110✓0.63680k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.071-1.26%0.5834-46.21%0.3175✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.085799-1.27%0.0543-37.51%0.1695✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1494-1.27%2.33-26.96%0.0979✓0.99918k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.0603-1.28%0.711-33.80%0.1991✓0.972.2M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.58718-1.28%0.4163-30.01%0.0747✓1.3112.2M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.069375-1.29%0.05051-28.13%0.0648✓1.2214.7M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.053699-1.29%0.0326-40.07%0.2164✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2235.752-1.29%23.84-34.18%0.0629✓1.662.7M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.263382-1.32%0.1764-33.91%0.1267✓1.333.9M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18189.5795-1.35%120.3-37.40%0.2144✓1.17145k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.320349-1.37%0.2331-28.23%0.0538✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.501-1.38%2.08-41.41%0.2625✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5166-1.39%1.161-24.51%0.0146✗1.374.2M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5594-1.40%2.46-31.86%0.0828✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.040806-1.41%0.02985-27.88%0.1247✓0.918.4M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.096.9898-1.41%5.6708-20.02%0.0315✓0.863.8M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63235.2512-1.42%147.18-38.32%0.2252✓1.1817.6M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2042,486.26-1.42%35,066.43-18.64%0.0143✓1.00679.0M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.724386-1.43%0.5076-30.93%0.0905✓1.293.7M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1178.0006-1.43%5.8-28.55%0.1793✓0.69188k2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.2528-1.44%11.16-32.32%0.1073✓1.3012.4M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.028486-1.46%0.020108-30.44%0.1364✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6018-1.47%4.8-28.36%0.1822✓0.66564k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78145.603-1.47%94.78-35.86%0.1967✓1.13164.2M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6130.1589-1.47%18.76-38.71%0.1561✓1.551.0M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8632.3711-1.49%24.23-26.26%0.0701✓1.062.9M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3574.228-1.49%50.17-33.42%0.1700✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.074471-1.49%0.0376-50.26%0.4772✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.33647-1.50%0.2645-22.57%0.0719✗1.523.8M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36142.1863-1.51%94.59-34.48%0.1397✓1.3010.9M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.079279-1.52%0.0594-26.21%0.0604✓1.1116k2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.3098-1.59%5.61-40.70%0.3601✓0.711.0M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030324-1.61%0.00002053-33.39%0.1114✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.108459-1.62%0.07873-28.58%0.0854✓1.1425k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73145.3433-1.62%108.41-26.62%0.0108✓1.3731.1M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1075-1.62%0.78-30.71%0.1447✓1.0023.2M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.8443-1.64%1.366-27.15%0.0625✓1.152.2M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.1999-1.65%19.01-35.97%0.2054✓1.0915.5M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051559-1.66%0.03631-30.75%0.1247✓1.1019k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.1014-1.66%0.64-42.86%0.1485✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.3284-1.67%6.11-27.86%0.1100✓0.974.1M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.013646-1.69%0.00935-32.64%0.1230✓1.242.0M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.796277-1.69%0.496-38.77%0.1664✓1.498.0M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.190605-1.70%0.1498-22.74%0.1011✓0.68464k2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.8597-1.70%3.665-25.87%0.1424✓0.68469k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76110.8305-1.71%89.24-20.86%0.0194✓0.962.2M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.168895-1.75%0.1135-33.97%0.1370✓1.264.2M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2214.3577-1.76%152.34-30.18%0.1381✓0.993.1M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.4381-1.77%2.34-33.14%0.1608✓1.09808k2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3477-1.77%1.62-32.22%0.1525✓1.062.8M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.897-1.78%5.66-29.60%0.1747✓0.77705k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.014762-1.78%0.00998-33.60%0.1208✓1.312.2M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6164.5741-1.81%98.78-41.06%0.3182✓0.936.7M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.091591-1.81%0.06237-33.14%0.2346✓0.7349k2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.000099257-1.81%0.00006839-32.35%0.1631✓1.026.5M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.2929-1.84%2.7227-18.84%0.0559✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7284.3218-1.86%190.08-34.39%0.1581✓1.191.4M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.7871-1.88%12.62-16.26%0.0172✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33138.6633-1.89%97.07-31.32%0.1088✓1.202.8M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.371806-1.90%0.244-35.62%0.2635✓0.7644k2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.143-1.92%5.5565-33.07%0.0858✓1.44263k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5531.9247-1.92%20.54-36.90%0.1501✓1.4134.3M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.177115-1.93%0.1394-22.81%0.0514✓0.91423k2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.25405-1.93%0.19237-25.74%0.0641✓1.0424.9M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3517-1.95%0.9512-31.00%0.1097✓1.1730.5M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.7046-2.01%1.77-35.87%0.1510✓1.323.2M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.266-2.03%1.0713-17.09%0.0702✗1.1595.6M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.111759-2.05%0.0732-35.85%0.1921✓1.12296k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.522981-2.06%0.319-40.26%0.2262✓1.301.8M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.1929-2.07%21.51-25.29%0.1236✓0.71360k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.2705-2.08%3.0068-31.06%0.0904✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.7834-2.10%1.979-30.39%0.1549✓0.9025k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.01667-2.11%0.01275-25.13%0.1179✓0.7324k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0425-2.14%0.71467-32.91%0.0095✓1.78937k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.013746-2.16%0.0094-33.10%0.1752✓0.99641k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.1729-2.17%13.19-36.03%0.2081✓1.05886k2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.014097-2.17%0.00793-44.97%0.0871✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.0369-2.18%18.26-33.94%0.1151✓1.3461.7M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.662219-2.18%0.4385-35.23%0.1278✓1.382.7M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.4269-2.19%8.68-18.57%0.0275✓0.76898k2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.961651-2.20%0.4454-54.70%0.5623✓1.012.9M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.907-2.25%6.944-37.77%0.4285✓0.1140k2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.4909-2.29%1.5039-1.44%0.1881✗0.87926k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1924.6112-2.30%15.86-37.04%0.1941✓1.1974.2M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1153.8334-2.32%35.28-35.98%0.1147✓1.49649k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.180207-2.38%0.133158-27.86%0.0756✓1.105.4M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.3992-2.39%1.506-38.73%0.2350✓1.122.0M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.5728-2.40%3.49-38.88%0.2402✓1.102.3M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1638.2127-2.42%29.27-25.26%0.0717✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.115806-2.44%0.0944-20.47%0.0130✓1.0555k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0890.7932-2.46%59.8-35.75%0.1739✓1.18107.5M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5585.373-2.49%62.89-28.17%0.0619✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.8634-2.51%4.42-37.22%0.1743✓1.2917.7M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.9227-2.53%2.0434-31.86%0.1480✓1.025.1M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.325931-2.56%0.2179-34.86%0.1911✓1.03397k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1435-2.59%2.89-45.27%0.2880✓1.4032.4M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.5526-2.62%6.06-38.23%0.4588✓-0.021.5M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.6548-2.75%6.424-18.38%0.0937✗1.30260k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1603-2.76%2.1-35.38%0.1465✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.2887-2.91%0.7987-39.83%0.1903✓1.403.9M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.3118-3.03%0.80696-40.35%0.2700✓1.052.9M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3632,458.76-3.07%22,897.64-31.62%0.2110✓0.6726.4M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6422-3.18%1.0381-38.80%0.2766✓0.88502k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.5371-3.25%4.2394-37.26%0.1814✓1.22457k2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.2283-3.35%2.567-23.14%0.1288✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0263-3.35%0.7106-33.08%0.1587✓1.01108k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4644.458-3.35%33.44-27.30%0.0560✓1.1121.8M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.707-3.80%6.96-37.47%0.3940✓0.182.6M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.611458-3.83%0.5658-11.01%0.2080✗1.38736k2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.199598-4.26%0.15638-24.99%0.0839✗1.595,3602022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.857115-4.37%0.5482-38.84%0.0857✓1.7538.7M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.083175-4.43%0.054184-37.74%0.2223✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13693.9331-4.93%2.9642-28.35%0.1268✓0.762,2572022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.6852-7.95%4.82-5.30%0.1980✗0.82471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.