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2022-01-08 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0168
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.7%
in alpha space · 19.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.063.0959+1.17%3.25+6.21%0.0075✓1.233.2M2022-01-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.071.0819+1.11%0.9833-8.10%0.1259✗0.913.7M2022-01-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.7128.0138+1.10%26.68-3.72%0.1100✗1.845.4M2022-01-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13270.133046+0.26%0.1398+5.35%0.0092✓1.212.1M2022-01-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.84372.9394+0.03%390.86+4.83%0.0131✓1.028.8M2022-01-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.231.2291-0.07%1.324+7.64%0.0301✗1.333.3M2022-01-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.52461.5213-0.21%1.4232-6.65%0.1309✓1.931.3M2022-01-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014690.014656-0.23%0.01441-1.91%0.0964✓2.3827.8M2022-01-15
TRXTRONTron0.0654020.065189-0.33%0.068548+4.81%0.0186✗0.95556k2022-01-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,080.483,069.34-0.36%3,328.12+8.04%0.0458✗1.05619.8M2022-01-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum70.2970.0088-0.40%75.35+7.20%0.0391✗1.036.3M2022-01-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3771.3712-0.42%1.538+11.69%0.0697✗1.355.2M2022-01-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08110.080736-0.45%0.0869+7.15%0.0278✗1.371.2M2022-01-15
AAVEAaveEthereum212.32211.323-0.47%238.63+12.39%0.0829✗1.1617.6M2022-01-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.96060.955633-0.52%1.0846+12.91%0.0800✗1.401.6M2022-01-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.024.9913-0.57%5.28+5.18%0.0179✗1.153.3M2022-01-15
NANOnanopayBase3.05413.0366-0.57%3.1231+2.26%0.0085✓1.10710k2022-01-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027750.000027579-0.62%0.00003082+11.06%0.0698✗1.241.7M2022-01-15
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8306-0.64%14.16+1.72%0.0144✓1.143.4M2022-01-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63660.632481-0.65%0.7349+15.44%0.1083✗1.254.5M2022-01-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8152.7968-0.65%3.34+18.65%0.1256✗1.561.3M2022-01-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.310866-0.65%0.3248+3.80%0.0018✓1.262.2M2022-01-15
XMRMoneroMonero183.67182.4421-0.67%218.2+18.80%0.1449✗1.023.0M2022-01-15
IMXImmutableEthereum3.423.3956-0.71%3.61+5.56%0.0145✗1.402.5M2022-01-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.041.0326-0.72%1.074+3.27%0.0075✗0.952.2M2022-01-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.51128.5662-0.73%147.73+14.07%0.0941✗1.3436.2M2022-01-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6573.6301-0.74%3.846+5.17%0.0352✗0.68483k2022-01-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.1527-0.74%32.86+11.88%0.0850✗1.043.3M2022-01-15
GTGateEthereum6.17896.1331-0.74%7.09+14.75%0.1169✗0.843.7M2022-01-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186960.018552-0.77%0.020821+11.37%0.0748✗1.222.5M2022-01-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.0888.0257-0.77%8.117+0.36%0.0102✓0.64231k2022-01-15
XTZTezosTezos4.00053.9695-0.78%4.282+7.04%0.0309✗1.354.7M2022-01-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7083990.702803-0.79%0.757762+6.97%0.0374✗1.142.8M2022-01-15
RADRadworksEthereum8.48.3331-0.80%8.39-0.12%0.0230✓0.891.1M2022-01-15
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9214.8001-0.80%16.49+10.52%0.0652✗1.2913.4M2022-01-15
SOLSolanaSolana142.17141.0018-0.82%147.78+3.95%0.0098✗1.11203.4M2022-01-15
MOVRMoonriverBase156.3963155.1008-0.83%154.3287-1.32%0.0420✓1.11560k2022-01-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.19981.1898-0.83%1.3528+12.75%0.0948✗1.013.4M2022-01-15
KCSKuCoinnative18.94618.7883-0.83%20.344+7.38%0.0253✗1.6313.6M2022-01-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1640.162626-0.84%0.1719+4.82%0.0143✗1.244.5M2022-01-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.857.7833-0.85%8.02+2.17%0.0097✗0.61788k2022-01-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05920.058676-0.89%0.0544-8.11%0.1203✓1.341.5M2022-01-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57320.568104-0.89%0.5948+3.77%0.0027✓1.3012.2M2022-01-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.441.4267-0.92%1.38-4.17%0.0894✓1.68831k2022-01-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.31510.312079-0.96%0.3416+8.41%0.0407✗1.493.8M2022-01-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.4869-0.96%6.7+2.29%0.0112✗0.63686k2022-01-15
KSMKusamaHydration240.09237.7567-0.97%289.7+20.66%0.1593✗1.151.3M2022-01-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0308-0.98%2.089+1.86%0.0087✓1.1190k2022-01-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.122.0992-0.98%2.39+12.74%0.0939✗1.083.6M2022-01-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0290050.028718-0.99%0.028908-0.33%0.0275✓1.026.6M2022-01-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77373.7363-0.99%3.7698-0.10%0.0116✗-0.08364k2022-01-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.073170.072436-1.00%0.07028-3.95%0.0713✓1.2319.5M2022-01-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3034.2597-1.01%4.222-1.88%0.0351✓0.78942k2022-01-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,684.8441,255.56-1.03%43,098.20+3.39%0.0104✗1.00743.8M2022-01-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6134.5648-1.04%4.944+7.18%0.0586✗0.63488k2022-01-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.25570.253028-1.04%0.2669+4.38%0.0095✓1.324.6M2022-01-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.8428.5384-1.05%30.61+6.14%0.0195✗1.521.0M2022-01-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.010.999363-1.05%1.12+10.89%0.0553✗1.761.7M2022-01-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07561.0643-1.05%1.1257+4.66%0.0235✗0.9821.4M2022-01-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV107.28106.1283-1.07%112.76+5.11%0.0291✗0.952.8M2022-01-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.523.4821-1.08%3.55+0.85%0.0216✓1.2310.4M2022-01-15
COMPCompoundEthereum189.37187.2931-1.10%192.18+1.48%0.0130✓1.16195k2022-01-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07390.073084-1.10%0.0805+8.93%0.0611✗1.0716k2022-01-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.59727.5122-1.12%8.3025+9.28%0.0526✗1.42263k2022-01-15
XVGVergenative0.013920.013762-1.13%0.01388-0.29%0.0318✓1.212.1M2022-01-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8752.8423-1.14%3.3546+16.68%0.1272✗1.162.6M2022-01-15
ZENHorizenBase54.3653.7411-1.14%55.11+1.38%0.0245✓1.49802k2022-01-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0346-1.15%3.19+3.91%0.0172✗0.98977k2022-01-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102440.101243-1.17%0.11024+7.61%0.0477✗1.1223k2022-01-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35735.294-1.18%6.757+26.13%0.2042✗1.19457k2022-01-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.9182.9157-1.18%93.08+10.93%0.0773✗1.15115.7M2022-01-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048850.048269-1.19%0.05243+7.33%0.0451✗1.1316k2022-01-15
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.4815-1.20%7.04+7.32%0.0396✗1.2918.2M2022-01-15
SCSiacoinnative0.013260.013101-1.20%0.01405+5.96%0.0374✗0.98764k2022-01-15
XYMSymbolnative0.1850.182766-1.21%0.1939+4.81%0.0375✗0.65441k2022-01-15
XECeCashnative0.000096320.000095147-1.22%0.00010109+4.95%0.0273✗1.006.8M2022-01-15
DODODODOEthereum0.7420.732922-1.22%0.81+9.16%0.0521✗1.447.7M2022-01-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.4629.092-1.25%29.69+0.78%0.0146✓1.0521.2M2022-01-15
LUNATerraTerra 266.8465.9904-1.27%87.55+30.98%0.2494✗1.007.2M2022-01-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,892.2041,341.05-1.32%42,685.80+1.89%0.0007✓0.989,2042022-01-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2572.2271-1.32%2.458+8.91%0.0627✗1.081.8M2022-01-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.99713.9434-1.34%4.3614+9.11%0.0587✗1.264.4M2022-01-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8861.8605-1.35%1.875-0.58%0.0305✓1.152.4M2022-01-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2414.0458-1.36%15.07+5.83%0.0484✗0.661.1M2022-01-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17470.172313-1.37%0.1806+3.38%0.0165✗0.91490k2022-01-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2423.6719-1.37%27.64+15.17%0.1117✗1.3071.0M2022-01-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.150790.148723-1.37%0.184596+22.42%0.1796✗1.094.6M2022-01-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.479.34-1.37%9.81+3.59%0.0514✗-0.071.8M2022-01-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.7027-1.37%8.04+2.94%0.0176✗0.76771k2022-01-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1951-1.39%3.5+8.02%0.0566✗1.04715k2022-01-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.043460.042857-1.39%0.04139-4.76%0.0655✓0.928.2M2022-01-15
ZECZcashZcash143.63141.6106-1.41%144.36+0.51%0.0252✓1.3310.6M2022-01-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0598660.059024-1.41%0.057912-3.26%0.0624✓1.307.3M2022-01-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.015999-1.42%0.01703+4.93%0.0397✗0.6830k2022-01-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3540.348706-1.50%0.379+7.06%0.0593✗0.7239k2022-01-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.6221-1.51%10.66+9.11%0.0779✗0.741.1M2022-01-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01971.0042-1.52%1.0653+4.47%0.0003✓1.781.0M2022-01-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.6042.5644-1.52%2.843+9.18%0.0733✗0.8933k2022-01-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.846.7358-1.52%7.871+15.07%0.1137✗1.26291k2022-01-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09440.092938-1.55%0.0756-19.92%0.2398✓1.0033.0M2022-01-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57550.566542-1.56%0.677+17.64%0.1331✗1.352.8M2022-01-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.31250.30763-1.56%0.3345+7.04%0.0505✗1.00293k2022-01-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.5378-1.57%5.28+14.53%0.1046✗1.4130.4M2022-01-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5150.506888-1.58%0.534+3.69%0.0091✓1.292.1M2022-01-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014950.014714-1.58%0.01503+0.54%0.0220✓1.302.2M2022-01-15
ADACardanoCardano1.18271.1639-1.59%1.2922+9.26%0.0679✗1.1097.2M2022-01-15
GITCOINGITCOIN10.83910.6647-1.61%11.158+2.94%0.0435✗0.0568k2022-01-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.449.2867-1.62%9.46+0.21%0.0037✓0.661.2M2022-01-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.5151.4901-1.65%1.6962+11.96%0.1011✗0.85663k2022-01-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092310.090772-1.67%0.09328+1.05%0.0044✓0.6952k2022-01-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11150.109569-1.73%0.1141+2.33%0.0036✓1.11296k2022-01-15
QNTQuantEthereum172.86169.8387-1.75%167.6-3.04%0.0450✓0.957.7M2022-01-15
FTTFTXEthereum35.2234.6001-1.76%46+30.61%0.2487✗1.0820.0M2022-01-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38541.361-1.76%1.3785-0.50%0.0252✓1.1430.5M2022-01-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum3534.3803-1.77%36.22+3.49%0.0021✓1.632.8M2022-01-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.868.7024-1.78%8.47-4.40%0.0588✓0.954.3M2022-01-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.07670.075334-1.78%0.087032+13.47%0.1110✗1.003.0M2022-01-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.752.7008-1.79%2.76+0.36%0.0223✓1.323.2M2022-01-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.438-1.80%28.79+3.04%0.0249✗0.69385k2022-01-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2550910.250472-1.81%0.259056+1.55%0.0002✓1.0224.9M2022-01-15
BANDBandEthereum4.934.8407-1.81%5.71+15.82%0.1283✗1.102.1M2022-01-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72513.6544-1.90%4.1369+11.05%0.0991✗0.754,3322022-01-15
XEMNEMnative0.11410.111923-1.91%0.1187+4.03%0.0239✗1.0569k2022-01-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.9520.5499-1.91%20.62-1.58%0.0313✓1.041.2M2022-01-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88540.868237-1.94%1.0618+19.92%0.1679✗1.00137k2022-01-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63360.620104-2.13%0.8963+41.46%0.3094✗1.7740.0M2022-01-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.813.7286-2.14%5.09+33.60%0.2879✗0.70848k2022-01-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.932.1639-2.24%32.55-1.06%0.0346✓1.4024.8M2022-01-15
DASHDashDash141.79138.5802-2.26%141.33-0.32%0.0217✓1.241.9M2022-01-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.8735.0539-2.28%39.16+9.17%0.0801✗0.9245.6M2022-01-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,111.9832,309.71-2.42%33,487.36+1.13%0.0144✓0.6423.0M2022-01-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9332.8599-2.49%2.9986+2.24%0.0138✓1.015.5M2022-01-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176620.172028-2.60%0.20848+18.04%0.1398✗1.575,9572022-01-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.10030.097652-2.64%0.08027-19.97%0.2447✓1.462.5M2022-01-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3124.6146-2.75%25.19-0.47%0.0171✓1.2069.2M2022-01-15
HIVEHivenative1.32081.2843-2.76%1.3273+0.49%0.0136✓1.394.8M2022-01-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.7610.4105-3.25%11.13+3.44%0.0632✗0.112.8M2022-01-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49410.476186-3.63%0.6358+28.68%0.2419✗1.41650k2022-01-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60221.5304-4.48%1.5259-4.76%0.0326✓0.89922k2022-01-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.