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2022-01-07 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0593
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.4%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.073.1251+1.80%2.92-4.89%0.1039✗1.003.2M2022-01-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.1047+1.52%0.9779-10.14%0.1548✗0.913.8M2022-01-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0130.1874+0.59%26.28-12.43%0.2054✗1.855.4M2022-01-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43385.2918-0.04%385.65+0.06%0.0358✓1.029.0M2022-01-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.3026-0.26%1.308+0.15%0.0439✓1.333.3M2022-01-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.078739-0.27%0.08072+2.24%0.0269✓1.442.5M2022-01-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.015046-0.29%0.01434-4.97%0.1345✓2.4029.0M2022-01-14
SOLSolanaSolana136.37135.9115-0.34%146.17+7.19%0.0328✗1.11203.4M2022-01-14
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6210.8218-0.37%224.05+5.88%0.0191✗1.1616.2M2022-01-14
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.067855-0.40%0.067658-0.69%0.0373✓0.95589k2022-01-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,185.92-0.40%3,310.45+3.49%0.0002✓1.06619.8M2022-01-14
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0753-0.50%3.1511+1.95%0.0153✓1.10715k2022-01-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4273.0199-0.54%73.7+0.38%0.0281✓1.046.3M2022-01-14
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8434-0.55%14+0.57%0.0298✓1.143.5M2022-01-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.634414-0.56%0.7107+11.39%0.0684✗1.254.5M2022-01-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.269.2049-0.60%9.84+6.26%0.0694✗-0.071.8M2022-01-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.153341-0.62%0.1392-9.79%0.1410✓1.232.1M2022-01-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.317194-0.63%0.3321+4.04%0.0004✓1.262.6M2022-01-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0471-0.66%1.055+0.09%0.0269✓0.962.3M2022-01-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.8697-0.67%3.372+16.72%0.1051✗1.561.4M2022-01-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00670.999786-0.69%1.0305+2.36%0.0203✓1.401.7M2022-01-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.084908-0.69%0.0865+1.17%0.0311✓1.381.2M2022-01-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34130.4148-0.70%144.84+10.28%0.0564✗1.3536.7M2022-01-14
GTGateEthereum6.17376.1298-0.71%6.8128+10.35%0.0753✗0.843.9M2022-01-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1838.1242-0.72%7.757-5.21%0.0695✓0.65251k2022-01-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.000028741-0.72%0.00003084+6.53%0.0254✗1.251.7M2022-01-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.495-0.73%1.509+0.20%0.0398✓1.365.3M2022-01-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.544-0.77%3.7699+5.56%0.0649✗-0.08364k2022-01-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.0941-0.80%4.269+3.44%0.0137✗0.78942k2022-01-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4530.2007-0.82%31.98+5.02%0.0196✗1.043.4M2022-01-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.1919.0288-0.84%20.08+4.64%0.0049✓1.6313.6M2022-01-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.3546-0.84%5.22-3.33%0.0672✓1.163.3M2022-01-14
XMRMoneroMonero194.72193.0353-0.87%229.78+18.01%0.1372✗1.033.0M2022-01-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.019455-0.87%0.02049+4.41%0.0078✓1.222.5M2022-01-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.7768-0.90%3.845+0.89%0.0066✓0.68483k2022-01-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.990825-0.92%1.09+9.00%0.0321✗1.761.9M2022-01-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.6526-0.92%1.4707-11.83%0.1866✓1.941.4M2022-01-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.5784-0.93%6.68+0.60%0.0076✓0.64713k2022-01-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,179.20-0.93%43,090.72+3.67%0.0093✓1.00748.4M2022-01-14
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.2167-0.93%4.285+0.67%0.0327✓1.354.9M2022-01-14
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.602-0.94%15.87+0.76%0.0296✓1.2913.8M2022-01-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.103-0.94%7.91-3.30%0.0462✓0.61801k2022-01-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5536-0.95%4.867+5.87%0.0437✗0.63489k2022-01-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.745326-0.96%0.748205-0.58%0.0374✓1.142.8M2022-01-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.587873-0.96%0.5792-2.43%0.0617✓1.3011.8M2022-01-14
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907161.7141-0.97%157.2002-3.73%0.0685✓1.11574k2022-01-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.1584-0.99%2.38+9.17%0.0589✗1.083.6M2022-01-14
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.7319-1.01%3.55-5.84%0.0860✓1.002.5M2022-01-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.029256-1.02%0.028431-3.81%0.0655✓1.026.8M2022-01-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.171238-1.02%0.1754+1.39%0.0207✓1.244.6M2022-01-14
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.178652-1.02%0.1929+6.87%0.0535✗0.65428k2022-01-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72108.5921-1.03%113.04+3.03%0.0059✓0.952.8M2022-01-14
KSMKusamaHydration250.4247.8066-1.04%281.84+12.56%0.0871✗1.151.3M2022-01-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.074123-1.04%0.0707-5.61%0.0919✓1.2420.3M2022-01-14
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9190.8118-1.08%189.59-1.72%0.0484✓1.16195k2022-01-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.260852-1.12%0.2668+1.14%0.0251✓1.324.6M2022-01-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.1152-1.12%2.0924-2.19%0.0509✓1.1194k2022-01-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.1019-1.12%1.1223+0.71%0.0171✓0.9822.3M2022-01-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.075135-1.14%0.0813+6.97%0.0403✗1.0716k2022-01-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.102261-1.16%0.10933+5.67%0.0263✗1.1324k2022-01-14
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.7967-1.16%7.92-11.01%0.1375✓0.901.2M2022-01-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.8353-1.17%1.853-0.22%0.0317✓1.152.4M2022-01-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.5775-1.17%3.62+0.00%0.0325✓1.2310.6M2022-01-14
ZECZcashZcash139.74138.0989-1.17%142.55+2.01%0.0163✓1.339.6M2022-01-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.113.0733-1.18%3.19+2.57%0.0018✓0.98995k2022-01-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.4284-1.21%6.0352+9.84%0.0629✗1.20480k2022-01-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.7725-1.21%7.8442-0.30%0.0423✓1.43268k2022-01-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.048859-1.21%0.05342+8.01%0.0486✗1.1316k2022-01-14
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.013413-1.23%0.01386+2.06%0.0025✓0.98777k2022-01-14
XECeCashnative0.000098550.000097328-1.24%0.00009702-1.55%0.0392✓1.006.9M2022-01-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.33359-1.25%0.335-0.83%0.0497✓1.503.4M2022-01-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9730.581-1.26%29.7-4.10%0.0842✓1.531.1M2022-01-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.174077-1.26%0.1798+1.99%0.0006✓0.91490k2022-01-14
LUNATerraTerra 268.6967.8183-1.27%81.47+18.61%0.1474✗1.007.4M2022-01-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5302-1.28%1.38-10.97%0.1643✓1.69862k2022-01-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02722.988-1.29%3.3204+9.69%0.0635✗1.162.7M2022-01-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.058525-1.32%0.059654+0.58%0.0278✓1.307.3M2022-01-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.04291-1.33%0.04111-5.47%0.0760✓0.928.2M2022-01-14
XVGVergenative0.014540.014343-1.35%0.01389-4.47%0.0758✓1.212.1M2022-01-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.152678-1.39%0.183317+18.39%0.1434✗1.104.6M2022-01-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5331.089-1.40%29.72-5.74%0.0830✓1.0522.1M2022-01-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.037.9175-1.40%8.04+0.12%0.0120✓0.76771k2022-01-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.3109-1.41%2.415+3.03%0.0050✓1.081.9M2022-01-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.5264-1.42%27.76+11.58%0.0769✗1.3071.0M2022-01-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2441-1.44%1.2988+2.89%0.0065✓1.013.5M2022-01-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7985.5324-1.45%90.41+4.17%0.0139✓1.15119.5M2022-01-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.065929-1.45%0.0557-16.74%0.2176✓1.361.5M2022-01-14
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.79022-1.47%0.802+0.00%0.0373✓1.448.1M2022-01-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.1307-1.48%4.3463+3.66%0.0053✓1.264.5M2022-01-14
SUSHISushiEthereum7.177.0622-1.50%7.03-1.95%0.0515✓1.3018.2M2022-01-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.3089-1.52%3.46+2.98%0.0072✓1.04715k2022-01-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016642-1.53%0.01666-1.42%0.0237✓0.6930k2022-01-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9896.882-1.53%7.673+9.79%0.0633✗1.26315k2022-01-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5395-1.55%1.6069+2.76%0.0120✓0.86663k2022-01-14
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.19-1.60%1.2931+6.93%0.0434✗1.1097.2M2022-01-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.8495-1.60%10.52+5.09%0.0392✗0.741.2M2022-01-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.6181-1.61%2.857+7.37%0.0550✗0.9034k2022-01-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.109291-1.63%0.113+1.71%0.0065✓1.11304k2022-01-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.362888-1.66%0.366-0.81%0.0175✓0.7239k2022-01-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0914.8384-1.67%14.96-0.86%0.0158✓0.671.1M2022-01-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1040,963.28-1.68%43,294.10+3.91%0.0200✗0.9810k2022-01-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.015356-1.69%0.015-3.97%0.0704✓1.302.2M2022-01-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.4624-1.71%28.42+1.72%0.0092✓0.69385k2022-01-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.169567-1.73%0.22239+28.88%0.2146✗1.575,9572022-01-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.092565-1.74%0.09336-0.89%0.0163✓0.6955k2022-01-14
ZENHorizenBase55.5754.6017-1.74%53.8-3.19%0.0686✓1.49805k2022-01-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.5358-1.74%20.29-2.92%0.0496✓1.041.2M2022-01-14
FTTFTXEthereum35.5134.8828-1.77%44.73+25.96%0.2096✗1.0820.0M2022-01-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.252424-1.79%0.265375+3.25%0.0134✓1.0224.9M2022-01-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.588917-1.83%0.7145+19.10%0.1444✗1.362.8M2022-01-14
QNTQuantEthereum177.7174.4289-1.84%165.39-6.93%0.0876✓0.957.9M2022-01-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.7776-1.85%2.77-2.12%0.0504✓1.323.2M2022-01-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.9072-1.86%5.35+7.00%0.0353✗1.4230.4M2022-01-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.535852-1.86%0.521-4.58%0.0748✓1.302.2M2022-01-14
DASHDashDash134.68132.15-1.88%141.12+4.78%0.0211✗1.241.9M2022-01-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.4177-1.89%1.3822-4.35%0.0667✓1.1530.5M2022-01-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.098496-1.90%0.079-21.31%0.2566✓1.0034.7M2022-01-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2229.6433-1.91%32.54+7.68%0.0432✗1.3924.4M2022-01-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.324556-1.92%0.3291-0.54%0.0223✓1.01293k2022-01-14
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7172-1.92%3.92+3.43%0.0171✓1.00929k2022-01-14
XEMNEMnative0.11660.114331-1.95%0.1192+2.23%0.0039✓1.0589k2022-01-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0503-1.95%1.0526-1.74%0.0623✓1.791.1M2022-01-14
BANDBandEthereum5.275.162-2.05%5.7+8.16%0.0591✗1.112.1M2022-01-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.8293-2.06%4.1356+5.77%0.0498✗0.758,5232022-01-14
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09811.8401-2.13%10.866-10.18%0.0881✓0.0674k2022-01-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.229-2.14%36.25-2.08%0.0584✓1.642.8M2022-01-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.901552-2.16%1.0647+15.54%0.1303✗1.00141k2022-01-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.159.9187-2.28%9.5-6.40%0.0674✓0.671.2M2022-01-14
UMAUMAEthereum9.419.1922-2.31%8.39-10.84%0.1259✓0.964.1M2022-01-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.67956-2.68%0.9605+37.55%0.2818✗1.7835.9M2022-01-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5437.4357-2.87%40.44+4.93%0.0438✗0.9343.4M2022-01-14
MANADecentralandEthereum3.052.9621-2.88%2.955-3.12%0.0390✓1.015.6M2022-01-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0834,775.00-2.92%32,239.49-10.00%0.0991✓0.6521.5M2022-01-14
HIVEHivenative1.36121.3208-2.97%1.31-3.76%0.0587✓1.405.0M2022-01-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9725.1409-3.19%25.74-0.89%0.0200✓1.2169.2M2022-01-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1211.6623-3.78%10.98-9.41%0.0647✓0.123.0M2022-01-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.495765-3.96%0.6272+21.50%0.1839✗1.42650k2022-01-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.8627-9.14%1.4198-30.74%0.3045✓0.92922k2022-01-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.