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2022-01-06 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1614
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.1%
in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.527329-4.64%0.6418+16.06%0.2130✗1.42650k2022-01-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.112.5346-4.32%11.04-15.73%0.1259✓0.093.5M2022-01-13
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.2454-4.19%2.8936-14.57%0.1033✓0.985.6M2022-01-13
HIVEHivenative1.48681.4305-3.79%1.2902-13.22%0.0870✓1.385.2M2022-01-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.751706-3.45%0.8402+7.91%0.1318✗1.7535.9M2022-01-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0438.706-3.33%37.62-6.04%0.0176✓0.9243.4M2022-01-13
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.4484-3.19%8.3-14.96%0.1184✓0.964.1M2022-01-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.602-3.10%24.88-2.01%0.0257✓1.2369.2M2022-01-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8440.57-3.04%35.73-14.60%0.1082✓1.602.8M2022-01-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6934,847.32-3.02%31,460.45-12.45%0.0945✓0.6621.4M2022-01-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.3655-2.98%1.2959-7.93%0.0408✓0.983.6M2022-01-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.5846-2.89%9.54-12.48%0.0963✓0.651.2M2022-01-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.630699-2.85%0.7059+8.73%0.1284✗1.342.8M2022-01-13
BANDBandEthereum5.835.6715-2.72%5.84+0.17%0.0420✗1.092.1M2022-01-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.92558-2.61%1+5.22%0.0891✗1.00143k2022-01-13
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.7497-2.60%11.091-15.27%0.1390✓0.0378k2022-01-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.575907-2.55%0.512-13.37%0.1026✓1.282.2M2022-01-13
ZENHorizenBase57.7956.3633-2.47%55.99-3.11%0.0109✓1.50805k2022-01-13
API3Api3Ethereum43.9054-2.36%3.64-9.00%0.0587✓1.00957k2022-01-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.5264-2.35%1.3616-12.89%0.1010✓1.1330.0M2022-01-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1531-2.30%1.0337-12.41%0.0885✓1.771.1M2022-01-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1492.9581-2.29%89.76-5.65%0.0218✓1.13114.6M2022-01-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.5962-2.28%3.28-10.87%0.0801✓1.02626k2022-01-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5522.0395-2.26%19.79-12.24%0.0956✓1.031.2M2022-01-13
FTTFTXEthereum38.6437.7655-2.26%40.93+5.93%0.0929✗1.0620.0M2022-01-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.6107-2.24%1.5749-4.41%0.0126✓0.84663k2022-01-13
XEMNEMnative0.12320.120473-2.21%0.1158-6.01%0.0273✓1.04111k2022-01-13
XVGVergenative0.015760.015414-2.19%0.01377-12.63%0.0988✓1.202.1M2022-01-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.8007-2.19%1.4953-18.78%0.1634✓1.921.4M2022-01-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.2917-2.19%5.03-7.02%0.0343✓1.4029.4M2022-01-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.098695-2.17%0.09247-8.34%0.0573✓0.6755k2022-01-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.099698-2.16%0.0793-22.18%0.2172✓1.0033.0M2022-01-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.9528-2.16%3.9153-3.09%0.0007✓0.7514k2022-01-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.178263-2.14%0.1801-1.14%0.0287✗1.575,9572022-01-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.9457-2.13%2.73-9.30%0.0606✓1.323.0M2022-01-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.118923-2.12%0.1089-10.37%0.0753✓1.09304k2022-01-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.327594-2.09%0.3204-4.24%0.0103✓1.02293k2022-01-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.9519-2.09%31.39+2.62%0.0633✗1.4024.4M2022-01-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.5283-2.05%7.611-0.98%0.0255✗1.25315k2022-01-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.01671-2.05%0.01482-13.13%0.1050✓1.292.2M2022-01-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.7595-2.01%2.804-0.43%0.0264✗0.8936k2022-01-13
LUNATerraTerra 278.3976.8364-1.98%77.85-0.69%0.0248✗1.007.2M2022-01-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017804-1.96%0.01623-10.63%0.0847✓0.6730k2022-01-13
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.262256-1.96%0.269407+0.71%0.0388✗1.0224.9M2022-01-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.378544-1.93%0.357-7.51%0.0502✓0.7239k2022-01-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.363669-1.92%0.3308-10.79%0.0774✓1.483.4M2022-01-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.3210.1219-1.92%9.58-7.17%0.0564✓-0.121.9M2022-01-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.7885-1.91%27.72-5.55%0.0298✓0.69385k2022-01-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9042,405.05-1.89%42,708.50-1.19%0.0186✓0.9810k2022-01-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.5245-1.89%2.371-7.85%0.0503✓1.061.9M2022-01-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.3688-1.85%4.3443-2.40%0.0092✓1.274.5M2022-01-13
QNTQuantEthereum178.46175.2166-1.82%165.57-7.22%0.0453✓0.977.9M2022-01-13
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2563-1.81%1.2328-3.64%0.0061✓1.0997.2M2022-01-13
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.01424-1.79%0.01348-7.03%0.0435✓0.97777k2022-01-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.6207-1.78%1.37-16.97%0.1482✓1.69881k2022-01-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.068856-1.77%0.0547-21.97%0.2142✓1.361.5M2022-01-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.061036-1.74%0.0577-7.11%0.0410✓1.307.4M2022-01-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.2463-1.74%25.82-3.33%0.0012✓1.2971.0M2022-01-13
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613182.4058-1.73%161-13.26%0.1122✓1.08574k2022-01-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.3253-1.67%7.03-5.64%0.0259✓1.3118.2M2022-01-13
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.4299-1.67%8.04-16.16%0.1491✓0.881.2M2022-01-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.045249-1.63%0.04068-11.57%0.0958✓0.918.2M2022-01-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.8505-1.59%10.34+3.30%0.0573✗0.751.2M2022-01-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.809002-1.58%0.77-6.33%0.0323✓1.468.1M2022-01-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0643.016-1.57%3.355+9.50%0.1250✗1.571.5M2022-01-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1632.6423-1.56%29.3-11.64%0.0902✓1.521.1M2022-01-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9832.4661-1.56%28.51-13.55%0.1176✓1.0522.1M2022-01-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016788-1.54%0.01444-15.31%0.1231✓2.3529.0M2022-01-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0261.9949-1.53%1.823-10.02%0.0769✓1.132.5M2022-01-13
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.234-1.53%7.5609-9.58%0.0686✓1.42268k2022-01-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.285-1.52%1.3822+5.93%0.0859✗1.11922k2022-01-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.051332-1.51%0.05421+4.01%0.0677✗1.1216k2022-01-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.157593-1.51%0.171588+7.24%0.0980✗1.104.6M2022-01-13
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000101885-1.50%0.00009497-8.19%0.0586✓1.007.0M2022-01-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.276961-1.47%0.264-6.08%0.0325✓1.314.6M2022-01-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.8734-1.45%5.08-14.77%0.1318✓1.133.3M2022-01-13
DASHDashDash124.32122.5143-1.45%141.37+13.71%0.1582✗1.291.9M2022-01-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.167-1.44%1.1086-6.38%0.0400✓0.9721.2M2022-01-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.184408-1.44%0.1567-16.25%0.1484✓1.234.6M2022-01-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.6701-1.42%19.585-6.60%0.0350✓1.6113.6M2022-01-13
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.0911-1.42%3.49-15.90%0.1472✓1.002.5M2022-01-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.1042-1.41%1.08-3.57%0.0022✓1.701.9M2022-01-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.158.0357-1.40%8.02-1.60%0.0070✓0.77771k2022-01-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.178679-1.39%0.179-1.21%0.0125✓0.92490k2022-01-13
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.8242-1.38%15.46-9.38%0.0696✓1.2814.1M2022-01-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1857-1.37%3.14-2.79%0.0029✓0.98995k2022-01-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.030232-1.37%0.028546-6.87%0.0454✓1.027.0M2022-01-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.5618-1.37%5.9355+5.26%0.0792✗1.20480k2022-01-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.189326-1.34%0.1924+0.26%0.0235✗0.63428k2022-01-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.106355-1.33%0.10876+0.90%0.0355✗1.1226k2022-01-13
KSMKusamaHydration269.76266.2052-1.32%266.15-1.34%0.0132✓1.141.3M2022-01-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.3099-1.31%14.71+1.45%0.0357✗0.691.1M2022-01-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.079158-1.30%0.0792-1.25%0.0130✓1.0616k2022-01-13
ZECZcashZcash137.22135.4425-1.30%143.25+4.39%0.0719✗1.368.6M2022-01-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3201-1.27%2.35+0.00%0.0253✗1.063.7M2022-01-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.628408-1.27%0.5711-10.27%0.0805✓1.2911.8M2022-01-13
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52201.9332-1.26%190-7.10%0.0473✓1.16199k2022-01-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9652-1.23%3.249+8.22%0.1054✗1.202.7M2022-01-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.1263-1.21%2.0877-3.01%0.0051✓1.13102k2022-01-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.788356-1.21%0.737451-7.59%0.0534✓1.142.8M2022-01-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.149-1.20%1.027-11.69%0.1013✓0.932.3M2022-01-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.075865-1.19%0.0695-9.48%0.0731✓1.2420.3M2022-01-13
XMRMoneroMonero205.35202.9107-1.19%223.84+9.00%0.1101✗1.023.2M2022-01-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.4488-1.18%3.72+6.59%0.0911✗1.3110.7M2022-01-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0278.0899-1.18%73.12-7.47%0.0538✓1.026.3M2022-01-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.7489-1.17%4.788-0.35%0.0156✗0.63498k2022-01-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000030431-1.17%0.00002968-3.61%0.0105✓1.241.7M2022-01-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.091252-1.14%0.0827-10.40%0.0824✓1.371.4M2022-01-13
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.4053-1.12%4.1161-7.61%0.0520✓1.354.9M2022-01-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0585-1.11%1.0137-5.30%0.0268✓1.401.6M2022-01-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020739-1.09%0.01926-8.15%0.0598✓1.212.5M2022-01-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7642,613.98-1.09%42,581.65-1.17%0.0110✗1.00743.8M2022-01-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.164399-1.08%0.1388-16.49%0.1550✓1.222.0M2022-01-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.2932-1.03%4.18-3.64%0.0177✓0.771.1M2022-01-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.347-1.02%30.28-4.39%0.0224✓1.043.4M2022-01-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16110.0276-1.02%109.36-1.62%0.0051✓0.962.8M2022-01-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8366-1.02%3.783-2.40%0.0060✓0.68454k2022-01-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9134.539-1.00%136.82+0.68%0.0327✗1.3536.7M2022-01-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.7027-0.99%6.71-0.89%0.0086✓0.64743k2022-01-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.7328-0.99%3.8032+0.88%0.0174✗-0.11364k2022-01-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.337657-0.98%0.311-8.80%0.0675✓1.252.9M2022-01-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.429-0.93%7.758-8.82%0.0755✓0.64272k2022-01-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.1339-0.93%7.92-3.53%0.0194✓0.62811k2022-01-13
SOLSolanaSolana150.23148.8522-0.92%146.24-2.66%0.0050✓1.09203.4M2022-01-13
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.3376-0.85%3.0395-9.71%0.0809✓1.08754k2022-01-13
GTGateEthereum6.27766.2252-0.84%6.7733+7.90%0.0943✗0.843.9M2022-01-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.5247-0.80%1.451-5.60%0.0335✓1.375.5M2022-01-13
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.42-0.76%13.85-4.68%0.0270✓1.143.5M2022-01-13
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94219.5903-0.61%209.41-5.22%0.0339✓1.1616.0M2022-01-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,385.42-0.61%3,241.88-4.82%0.0310✓1.05619.8M2022-01-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.4115-0.60%1.301-8.38%0.0661✓1.323.4M2022-01-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1132.9138-0.59%25.69-22.41%0.2263✓1.835.4M2022-01-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.634848-0.57%0.6645+4.07%0.0606✗1.274.7M2022-01-13
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.070673-0.57%0.066158-6.92%0.0549✓0.95589k2022-01-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.4731-0.48%2.79-20.06%0.2073✓1.003.2M2022-01-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.080308-0.42%0.07897-2.08%0.0002✓1.452.7M2022-01-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02399.1045-0.23%377.35-5.67%0.0441✓1.029.0M2022-01-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.2245-0.14%1.019-16.90%0.1734✓0.883.9M2022-01-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.