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2022-01-04 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2410
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38425.3771-0.47%369.84-13.46%0.0699✓1.019.0M2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075517-0.62%0.064934-14.55%0.0860✓0.94556k2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,752.45-0.86%3,240.83-14.38%0.0749✓1.04619.8M2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.688299-0.89%0.6511-6.25%0.0322✗1.275.2M2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.088448-0.92%0.07976-10.65%0.0029✓1.452.9M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.49016.4246-1.01%6.4129-1.19%0.0562✗0.843.9M2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7413-1.01%3.7323-1.25%0.0100✓-0.11364k2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6606-1.04%1.398-16.69%0.0781✓1.365.7M2022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0558-1.12%3.1857+3.09%0.1243✗1.202.9M2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.7406-1.13%13.71-13.88%0.0587✓1.153.5M2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.6603-1.14%8-8.68%0.0375✓0.60828k2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6269-1.16%1.273-22.66%0.1563✓1.293.4M2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96249.0287-1.16%213.29-15.35%0.0763✓1.1414.7M2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.0748-1.19%6.78-5.31%0.0015✓0.64801k2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6698-1.20%3.0312-18.39%0.1180✓1.06798k2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022042-1.23%0.018697-16.22%0.0815✓1.202.4M2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.6799-1.26%29.69-12.96%0.0542✓1.043.7M2022-01-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.0597-1.27%3.818-7.15%0.0156✓0.66483k2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana167.72165.556-1.29%140.27-16.37%0.0920✓1.07211.5M2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,221.89-1.29%42,753.44-6.68%0.0130✓1.00727.0M2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8119.22-1.31%110.22-8.76%0.0126✓0.953.2M2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44144.4802-1.34%131.67-10.09%0.0003✓1.3536.7M2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.2337-1.35%8.221-12.17%0.0739✓0.61299k2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6099-1.35%4.382-6.23%0.0019✓0.761.1M2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4461-1.37%2.15-13.31%0.0557✓1.064.0M2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2055-1.43%1.045-14.55%0.0778✓0.942.4M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.3772-1.45%8.1-4.71%0.0191✗0.76773k2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.361987-1.45%0.3101-15.57%0.0667✓1.273.0M2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0331-1.45%4.814-5.74%0.0028✓0.60549k2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,336.41-1.46%42,770.20-7.03%0.0093✓0.9810k2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.8177-1.48%14.78-1.73%0.0448✗0.691.1M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3391-1.50%3.2-5.60%0.0265✗1.00995k2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.097596-1.52%0.0824-16.85%0.0750✓1.361.5M2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.3043-1.52%2.1025-10.14%0.0140✓1.12100k2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.084284-1.54%0.076-11.21%0.0294✓1.0718k2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.667847-1.56%0.5691-16.11%0.0710✓1.2911.4M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3218-1.56%1.3709+2.10%0.1128✗1.10922k2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4351-1.59%4.1768-7.33%0.0292✗1.294.7M2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero222.22218.6412-1.61%193.01-13.14%0.0549✓1.013.2M2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000031926-1.61%0.00002762-14.88%0.0588✓1.251.7M2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.165733-1.63%0.153722-8.76%0.0009✓1.104.6M2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.6865-1.63%19.378-12.10%0.0005✓1.6313.6M2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02219.3645-1.64%188.96-15.27%0.0702✓1.14211k2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.196216-1.65%0.1605-19.55%0.1151✓1.244.8M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.192472-1.65%0.1778-9.15%0.0166✓0.91506k2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.117741-1.65%0.10496-12.33%0.0388✓1.1026k2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543182.3711-1.66%165.565-10.72%0.0162✓1.16574k2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1309-1.66%0.96-16.52%0.0947✓1.001.8M2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054213-1.66%0.04765-13.57%0.0529✓1.1015k2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.206603-1.66%0.2062-1.86%0.0390✗0.59441k2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration296.29291.3545-1.67%260.77-11.99%0.0341✓1.111.3M2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.87357-1.67%0.718632-19.11%0.1175✓1.122.8M2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6121-1.70%1.36-17.07%0.0509✓1.72964k2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.061235-1.71%0.064925+4.21%0.1547✗1.397.4M2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum179.48176.4106-1.71%169.57-5.52%0.0266✗0.968.3M2022-01-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.4236-1.71%0.9389-35.18%0.3594✓0.824.4M2022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.082431-1.73%0.07076-15.64%0.0684✓1.2220.9M2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.8367-1.75%7.521-16.38%0.0633✓1.42268k2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.857717-1.75%0.747-14.43%0.0363✓1.478.1M2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8891.247-1.76%72.75-21.67%0.1600✓0.966.3M2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06175.9547-1.77%5.328-12.10%0.0282✓1.20553k2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.9499-1.77%4.1752-17.14%0.0785✓1.334.9M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash134.69132.3069-1.77%141.85+5.32%0.1574✗1.271.9M2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2117.8812-1.81%15.98-12.25%0.0237✓1.2814.1M2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.068235-1.82%0.0574-17.41%0.0760✓1.401.6M2022-01-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1335.4715-1.82%28.89-20.04%0.1337✓1.0322.7M2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2554-1.83%1.141-10.78%0.0301✓0.9521.2M2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.2852-1.83%1.1879-9.27%0.0030✓1.0997.2M2022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.12520.12286-1.87%0.1145-8.55%0.0056✓1.10115k2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.1863-1.87%1.86-16.52%0.0841✓1.122.5M2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.1475-1.90%29.43-17.86%0.0718✓1.531.1M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000110765-1.91%0.00009356-17.14%0.1008✓0.987.2M2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.9147-1.92%6.99-13.38%0.0334✓1.3118.2M2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash147.34144.4547-1.96%141.38-4.05%0.0719✗1.3510.1M2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.3513-1.98%10.19-3.50%0.0358✗0.741.2M2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.6463-1.98%3.61-23.84%0.1832✓1.002.5M2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1637-1.98%1.025-13.66%0.0299✓1.401.7M2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.1048-2.04%25.55-10.94%0.0059✓1.2971.0M2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.6307-2.04%28.42-9.11%0.0281✓0.68385k2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.01515-2.07%0.0135-12.73%0.0492✓0.96783k2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.190263-2.08%0.1471-24.29%0.1755✓1.182.1M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048263-2.08%0.04184-15.11%0.0803✓0.908.2M2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.296178-2.09%0.2641-12.69%0.0246✓1.304.6M2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.27346-2.09%0.263177-5.78%0.0322✗1.0224.9M2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.400252-2.14%0.361-11.74%0.0526✓0.7339k2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6348-2.16%2.311-14.18%0.0601✓1.031.9M2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6737.8208-2.20%26.75-30.82%0.2220✓1.805.4M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 284.5682.6643-2.24%73.57-13.00%0.0474✓1.006.3M2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8013-2.28%2.93-24.68%0.1912✓1.003.3M2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.0109-2.30%8.01-28.93%0.2603✓0.841.2M2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.384218-2.33%0.3363-14.51%0.0305✓1.493.4M2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.0429-2.38%7.094-13.90%0.0383✓1.26336k2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.665.5242-2.40%5.14-9.19%0.0100✓1.192.1M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4322.8629-2.42%26.6+13.53%0.2429✗1.3269.2M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.2815-2.42%3.766+11.98%0.2479✗1.591.8M2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.4366-2.48%5.08-23.03%0.1573✓1.153.3M2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6171-2.50%3.45-7.01%0.0271✗1.08626k2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019232-2.52%0.01644-16.68%0.1121✓0.6535k2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.129061-2.52%0.1102-16.77%0.0838✓1.07304k2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.2195-2.52%9.73-15.46%0.1540✓-0.172.2M2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3100.6781-2.54%89.66-13.20%0.0384✓1.12115.7M2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.4097-2.54%20.39-15.11%0.0669✓1.031.2M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.7982-2.57%8.65-4.21%0.0602✗1.123.9M2022-01-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.8188-2.58%3.57-8.93%0.0233✓1.3110.7M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.348156-2.59%0.3228-9.68%0.0065✓1.00293k2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.13.9931-2.61%3.54-13.66%0.0513✓1.00967k2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7442-2.65%1.5924-11.12%0.0352✓0.81668k2022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020547-2.67%0.01458-30.93%0.2739✓1.0028.5M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2483-2.70%1.0548-17.79%0.0465✓1.761.2M2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.0646-2.71%2.765-12.22%0.0439✓0.8541k2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6256-2.74%1.4467-13.44%0.0392✓1.1230.0M2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.693575-2.77%0.5799-18.70%0.0878✓1.322.8M2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum41.3540.1957-2.79%39.78-3.80%0.0621✗1.0519.4M2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.032466-2.81%0.029265-12.40%0.0330✓1.027.3M2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.106861-2.85%0.09134-16.96%0.1126✓0.6455k2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.5833-2.90%3.8424-18.59%0.1288✓0.6917k2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase64.4262.5466-2.91%56.11-12.90%0.0046✓1.50807k2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.018895-2.95%0.01475-24.24%0.1597✓1.272.2M2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.642188-2.99%0.516-22.05%0.1320✓1.262.2M2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3169-3.02%2.8-18.13%0.0798✓1.303.0M2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.8965-3.02%4.61-24.18%0.1520✓1.3629.4M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.115593-3.03%0.077-35.40%0.3371✓1.0033.0M2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8232.7643-3.12%34.45+1.86%0.1460✗1.3924.2M2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4143-3.15%1.2365-15.32%0.0681✓0.963.6M2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.017210.016666-3.16%0.01386-19.47%0.1019✓1.192.2M2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.8994-3.18%9.67-21.32%0.1654✓0.611.2M2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06511.9979-3.25%1.4915-27.78%0.1625✓1.881.4M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.197396-3.26%0.17303-15.20%0.0237✓1.566,4462022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.423-3.29%36.84-13.99%0.0035✓1.642.8M2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4735,078.36-3.32%32,768.96-9.68%0.0258✓0.6117.3M2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03510.999535-3.44%0.8921-13.82%0.0446✓1.00145k2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.0653-3.44%2.9312-7.66%0.0207✓0.955.7M2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.0151-4.19%11.203-28.52%0.2980✓-0.0786k2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.800715-4.46%0.6826-18.55%0.0410✓1.7233.4M2022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5185-4.65%1.3102-17.73%0.0519✓1.385.2M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0540.0928-4.65%38.71-7.94%0.0270✓0.9043.4M2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.7079-6.32%11.23-28.47%0.2711✓-0.023.9M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.571995-7.83%0.6261+0.89%0.1867✗1.39650k2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.