2022-01-02 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2877

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.65%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.6%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.7568	0.666929	-11.88%	0.6539	-13.60%	0.1454	✗	1.36	650k	2022-01-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.7249	1.6069	-6.84%	1.3331	-22.71%	0.0199	✓	1.37	5.5M	2022-01-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.75	13.8976	-5.78%	11.38	-22.85%	0.2019	✓	-0.02	3.9M	2022-01-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9435	0.895151	-5.12%	0.6607	-29.97%	0.0976	✓	1.69	31.1M	2022-01-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	39,116.51	37,318.53	-4.60%	32,662.92	-16.50%	0.0599	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-01-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3957	0.379187	-4.17%	0.3224	-18.52%	0.0421	✓	0.99	293k	2022-01-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3401	3.2055	-4.03%	2.9369	-12.07%	0.0264	✓	0.94	6.2M	2022-01-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.898	14.308	-3.96%	11.301	-24.14%	0.2450	✓	-0.07	111k	2022-01-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0346	0.033305	-3.74%	0.029296	-15.33%	0.0038	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-01-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02402	0.023125	-3.73%	0.015	-37.55%	0.3111	✓	1.00	29.5M	2022-01-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.99	13.4709	-3.71%	9.59	-31.45%	0.2684	✓	0.59	1.3M	2022-01-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.095	2.0178	-3.68%	1.5757	-24.79%	0.0192	✓	1.87	1.5M	2022-01-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5552	1.5006	-3.51%	1.2503	-19.60%	0.0669	✓	0.95	4.0M	2022-01-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.05	5.8489	-3.32%	4.49	-25.79%	0.0978	✓	1.37	29.3M	2022-01-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.007	0.97433	-3.24%	0.8848	-12.14%	0.0254	✓	1.00	146k	2022-01-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.22	4.0833	-3.24%	3.65	-13.51%	0.0477	✗	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2038	0.197203	-3.24%	0.17635	-13.47%	0.0792	✗	1.57	6,615	2022-01-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.64	39.3536	-3.17%	37.02	-8.91%	0.1407	✗	1.66	2.8M	2022-01-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.714	0.691485	-3.15%	0.5856	-17.98%	0.0050	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	65.06	63.0171	-3.14%	55.93	-14.03%	0.0643	✗	1.51	872k	2022-01-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01767	0.017117	-3.13%	0.01403	-20.60%	0.0536	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.35	4.216	-3.08%	3.68	-15.40%	0.0142	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.49	9.1993	-3.06%	8.98	-5.37%	0.1115	✗	1.11	4.1M	2022-01-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.54	34.4641	-3.03%	34.99	-1.55%	0.1283	✗	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1208	0.117183	-2.99%	0.0897	-25.75%	0.1455	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11531	0.111873	-2.98%	0.09282	-19.50%	0.1094	✓	0.63	55k	2022-01-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.34	4.2107	-2.98%	3.82	-11.98%	0.0244	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	41.08	39.8655	-2.96%	27.98	-31.89%	0.1356	✓	1.79	6.1M	2022-01-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.564	3.4599	-2.92%	2.823	-20.79%	0.0080	✓	1.60	2.1M	2022-01-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0208	0.020198	-2.90%	0.01643	-21.01%	0.1282	✓	0.64	39k	2022-01-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.642	0.623621	-2.86%	0.526	-18.07%	0.0162	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2121	0.206083	-2.84%	0.1676	-20.98%	0.0635	✓	1.18	2.4M	2022-01-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3001	1.2634	-2.82%	1.0347	-20.41%	0.0154	✓	1.77	1.3M	2022-01-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9263	1.8723	-2.81%	1.5581	-19.12%	0.0867	✓	0.80	741k	2022-01-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6739	1.6273	-2.78%	1.4009	-16.31%	0.0125	✓	1.13	30.0M	2022-01-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.21	110.1012	-2.75%	89.34	-21.08%	0.0741	✓	1.11	121.7M	2022-01-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.698	8.462	-2.71%	6.813	-21.67%	0.0632	✓	1.26	367k	2022-01-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1368	0.133181	-2.65%	0.1126	-17.69%	0.0371	✓	1.07	315k	2022-01-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.859	2.7852	-2.58%	2.298	-19.62%	0.0681	✓	1.02	2.0M	2022-01-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.78	3.6825	-2.58%	3.35	-11.38%	0.0362	✗	1.07	643k	2022-01-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3119	0.30386	-2.58%	0.261	-16.32%	0.0064	✓	1.30	4.8M	2022-01-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.079	0.076988	-2.55%	0.0618	-21.77%	0.0507	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5765	4.4602	-2.54%	3.8039	-16.88%	0.0745	✓	0.70	19k	2022-01-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.83	1.7839	-2.52%	1.46	-20.22%	0.0084	✓	1.71	1.1M	2022-01-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.4	23.7878	-2.51%	20.9	-14.34%	0.0033	✓	1.04	1.4M	2022-01-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.93	8.7061	-2.51%	6.93	-22.40%	0.0695	✓	1.30	18.1M	2022-01-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.35	87.1616	-2.45%	74.48	-16.64%	0.0355	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.71	11.424	-2.44%	10.01	-14.52%	0.1528	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-01-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.265	1.2346	-2.41%	0.9806	-22.48%	0.0596	✓	1.40	2.0M	2022-01-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.2	3.1245	-2.36%	2.87	-10.31%	0.0748	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01618	0.015799	-2.35%	0.01348	-16.69%	0.0428	✓	0.95	847k	2022-01-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.292273	0.285463	-2.33%	0.261185	-10.64%	0.0352	✗	1.02	25.7M	2022-01-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.14	10.8842	-2.30%	8.56	-23.16%	0.1375	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.16	39.2607	-2.24%	37.15	-7.50%	0.0737	✗	1.06	19.4M	2022-01-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	29.7	29.0367	-2.23%	24.63	-17.07%	0.0069	✓	1.30	72.5M	2022-01-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	200.0687	195.6416	-2.21%	160.3372	-19.86%	0.0580	✓	1.16	586k	2022-01-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.417	0.407793	-2.21%	0.359	-13.91%	0.0381	✓	0.73	43k	2022-01-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3836	0.375179	-2.20%	0.3333	-13.11%	0.0638	✗	1.50	3.7M	2022-01-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.06	149.7142	-2.19%	144.28	-5.74%	0.1275	✗	1.35	10.9M	2022-01-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.29	6.1532	-2.17%	5.3537	-14.89%	0.0073	✓	1.20	621k	2022-01-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003405	0.000033321	-2.14%	0.00002828	-16.95%	0.0125	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.96	4.8557	-2.10%	3.76	-24.19%	0.1340	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.065084	0.063731	-2.08%	0.064749	-0.51%	0.1851	✗	1.39	7.5M	2022-01-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	239.56	234.5919	-2.07%	191	-20.27%	0.0836	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3723	1.3438	-2.07%	1.0712	-21.94%	0.1122	✓	0.94	22.3M	2022-01-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.18	31.5193	-2.05%	28.07	-12.77%	0.0335	✓	0.68	402k	2022-01-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1307	0.128037	-2.04%	0.1152	-11.86%	0.0281	✗	1.10	121k	2022-01-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.923	0.904516	-2.00%	0.749	-18.85%	0.0093	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-01-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5587	1.5276	-2.00%	1.0474	-32.80%	0.2785	✓	0.81	4.6M	2022-01-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3779	1.3504	-1.99%	1.1707	-15.04%	0.0098	✓	1.09	100.2M	2022-01-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.012	4.9128	-1.98%	4.282	-14.57%	0.0457	✓	0.75	1.0M	2022-01-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.99	139.1882	-1.97%	153.16	+7.87%	0.2500	✗	1.27	2.0M	2022-01-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.88	21.4514	-1.96%	27.54	+25.87%	0.4134	✗	1.34	69.2M	2022-01-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.3043	-1.96%	9.85	-6.28%	0.0463	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.127	3.0663	-1.94%	2.87	-8.22%	0.0389	✗	0.86	41k	2022-01-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2121	0.208023	-1.92%	0.1698	-19.94%	0.0522	✓	1.24	4.9M	2022-01-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.41	18.0614	-1.89%	15.79	-14.23%	0.0225	✗	1.29	14.1M	2022-01-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3822	0.374997	-1.88%	0.3161	-17.29%	0.0159	✓	1.27	3.7M	2022-01-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011334	0.000111213	-1.88%	0.00009617	-15.15%	0.0247	✓	0.99	7.4M	2022-01-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.24	6.1235	-1.87%	5.09	-18.43%	0.0424	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4243	1.3977	-1.87%	1.4847	+4.24%	0.1942	✗	1.10	947k	2022-01-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04899	0.048078	-1.86%	0.0428	-12.64%	0.0053	✓	0.91	8.2M	2022-01-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.28	5.1819	-1.86%	5.32	+0.76%	0.1731	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2055	0.201689	-1.85%	0.1759	-14.40%	0.0269	✓	0.90	556k	2022-01-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08444	0.082878	-1.85%	0.072	-14.73%	0.0080	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-01-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01661	0.016303	-1.85%	0.01542	-7.16%	0.1031	✗	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	187.33	183.8876	-1.84%	170.38	-9.05%	0.0398	✗	0.95	8.8M	2022-01-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.55	34.9018	-1.82%	29.94	-15.78%	0.0341	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	96.42	94.6652	-1.82%	71.89	-25.44%	0.1582	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-01-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.225	2.1846	-1.81%	1.89	-15.06%	0.0074	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-01-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05753	0.056497	-1.80%	0.04947	-14.01%	0.0012	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.125	9.944	-1.79%	7.759	-23.37%	0.1752	✓	0.60	310k	2022-01-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1492	-1.78%	1.01	-13.68%	0.0073	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-01-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.174401	0.171351	-1.75%	0.150483	-13.71%	0.0041	✓	1.10	5.1M	2022-01-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.624	22.2305	-1.74%	19.32	-14.60%	0.0587	✗	1.63	14.9M	2022-01-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.76	35.1483	-1.71%	30.18	-15.60%	0.0256	✓	1.04	23.6M	2022-01-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.32	26.8535	-1.71%	36.14	+32.28%	0.4707	✗	1.43	24.2M	2022-01-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12251	0.120439	-1.69%	0.10346	-15.55%	0.0177	✓	1.10	26k	2022-01-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2363	9.0805	-1.69%	7.6651	-17.01%	0.0034	✓	1.42	273k	2022-01-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888452	0.873519	-1.68%	0.724063	-18.50%	0.0498	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-01-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2093	0.205811	-1.67%	0.1838	-12.18%	0.0405	✓	0.60	428k	2022-01-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.266	1.2456	-1.61%	1.065	-15.88%	0.0421	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-01-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	295.23	290.4836	-1.61%	246.6	-16.47%	0.0279	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1001	0.098499	-1.60%	0.0832	-16.88%	0.0021	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-01-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4089	2.3708	-1.58%	2.053	-14.77%	0.0071	✓	1.12	100k	2022-01-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.65	4.5767	-1.58%	4.018	-13.59%	0.0279	✗	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.31	15.0691	-1.57%	14.27	-6.79%	0.0291	✗	0.69	1.3M	2022-01-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.088	0.086616	-1.57%	0.075	-14.77%	0.0135	✓	1.07	21k	2022-01-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,411.90	46,688.92	-1.52%	42,503.10	-10.35%	0.0249	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.195	5.1177	-1.49%	4.617	-11.13%	0.0293	✓	0.60	657k	2022-01-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6765	0.666551	-1.47%	0.5841	-13.66%	0.0254	✗	1.29	11.4M	2022-01-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.56	8.4344	-1.47%	7.81	-8.76%	0.0165	✗	0.77	799k	2022-01-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	265.45	261.5802	-1.46%	209.53	-21.07%	0.0836	✓	1.14	12.6M	2022-01-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5231	-1.44%	2.15	-16.02%	0.0306	✓	1.06	4.1M	2022-01-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	176.32	173.8037	-1.43%	140.83	-20.13%	0.0810	✓	1.06	220.6M	2022-01-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.2	149.0628	-1.41%	130.91	-13.42%	0.0343	✗	1.35	40.5M	2022-01-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,299.07	46,637.24	-1.40%	41,876.52	-11.46%	0.0141	✗	1.00	744.5M	2022-01-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.4	3.3537	-1.36%	3.16	-7.06%	0.0626	✗	1.00	995k	2022-01-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.38	34.8996	-1.36%	29.74	-15.94%	0.0333	✓	1.04	4.1M	2022-01-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		124.05	122.3921	-1.34%	108.94	-12.18%	0.0003	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.172	4.1178	-1.30%	3.77	-9.64%	0.0072	✓	0.67	514k	2022-01-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.776	1.7534	-1.27%	1.36	-23.42%	0.0891	✓	1.35	6.3M	2022-01-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02233	0.022057	-1.22%	0.018973	-15.03%	0.0037	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.19	7.1029	-1.21%	6.55	-8.90%	0.0029	✓	0.64	948k	2022-01-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	211.43	208.8769	-1.21%	193.57	-8.45%	0.0650	✗	1.16	210k	2022-01-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.6703	4.6141	-1.20%	4.2164	-9.72%	0.0736	✗	1.34	4.9M	2022-01-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.85	8.744	-1.20%	7.84	-11.41%	0.0350	✓	0.61	914k	2022-01-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.667	1.6478	-1.15%	1.261	-24.36%	0.1105	✓	1.29	3.5M	2022-01-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1749	3.1384	-1.15%	2.9326	-7.63%	0.0786	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-01-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.727	0.718705	-1.14%	0.6473	-10.96%	0.0497	✗	1.27	5.6M	2022-01-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6057	6.5341	-1.08%	6.2854	-4.85%	0.0633	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.04	15.8666	-1.08%	14.09	-12.16%	0.0217	✗	1.15	3.7M	2022-01-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7845	3.7441	-1.07%	3.7652	-0.51%	0.0080	✓	-0.11	393k	2022-01-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09233	0.09136	-1.05%	0.08615	-6.69%	0.1184	✗	1.45	3.1M	2022-01-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5764	3.5423	-0.95%	3.0073	-15.91%	0.0334	✓	1.07	798k	2022-01-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,828.87	3,795.76	-0.86%	3,151.66	-17.69%	0.0595	✓	1.04	679.6M	2022-01-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	447.91	445.0487	-0.64%	376.94	-15.84%	0.0431	✓	1.01	9.4M	2022-01-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077643	0.077153	-0.63%	0.066121	-14.84%	0.0397	✓	0.94	556k	2022-01-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.