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2021-12-31 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2500
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.9%
in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15428.4814-0.39%385.43-10.40%0.0011✓1.019.8M2022-01-07
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075087-0.52%0.068128-9.74%0.0035✓0.95607k2022-01-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,650.89-0.68%3,198.82-12.98%0.0213✓1.05716.9M2022-01-07
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3781-0.69%3.0909-9.13%0.0236✗1.06798k2022-01-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5298-0.79%1.306-15.30%0.0227✓1.283.6M2022-01-07
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.0164-0.82%13.92-8.06%0.0450✗1.144.3M2022-01-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.086939-0.83%0.07895-9.95%0.0572✗1.453.9M2022-01-07
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3018-0.89%4.2564-1.94%0.1294✗1.324.9M2022-01-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6193-0.90%1.506-7.83%0.0701✗1.357.6M2022-01-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021623-0.91%0.019625-10.07%0.0315✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58197.7314-0.93%192.9-3.35%0.0972✗1.15210k2022-01-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.7864-0.98%8.183-7.78%0.0077✓0.60338k2022-01-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4262-0.98%5.4-1.46%0.1168✗1.154.3M2022-01-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15144.6216-1.05%131.34-10.13%0.0473✗1.3646.1M2022-01-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7216-1.05%3.5714-5.05%0.0537✓-0.12409k2022-01-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1744-1.11%3.11-3.12%0.0855✗1.001.1M2022-01-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1112-1.12%3.0272-3.79%0.1006✗1.213.3M2022-01-07
GTGateEthereum6.55556.482-1.12%6.1737-5.82%0.0400✗0.844.0M2022-01-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.066.9805-1.13%6.64-5.95%0.0174✗0.641.1M2022-01-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.6618-1.17%30.45-10.60%0.0106✓1.054.7M2022-01-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.793154-1.18%0.752558-6.24%0.0650✗1.112.8M2022-01-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.634509-1.18%0.5936-7.55%0.0710✗1.3011.8M2022-01-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02119.5892-1.18%109.72-9.34%0.0158✗0.963.7M2022-01-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3617-1.18%2.18-8.79%0.0314✗1.054.1M2022-01-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.6941-1.20%8.18-7.05%0.0034✓0.61999k2022-01-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2445,646.69-1.22%41,565.18-10.05%0.0123✗1.00750.8M2022-01-07
SOLSolanaSolana169.88167.8021-1.22%136.37-19.73%0.0958✓1.05236.5M2022-01-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2639-1.23%2.05+60.21%0.5984✗1.08987k2022-01-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.9685-1.23%3.811-5.15%0.0282✗0.65502k2022-01-07
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92250.6338-1.29%211.6-16.67%0.0494✓1.1311.5M2022-01-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.08122-1.31%0.076-7.65%0.0484✗1.0820k2022-01-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.111228-1.31%0.10346-8.21%0.0460✗1.1229k2022-01-07
KSMKusamaHydration276.22272.5627-1.32%250.4-9.35%0.0332✗1.111.4M2022-01-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.0946-1.33%30.22+23.75%0.3781✗1.4324.2M2022-01-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4477-1.34%4.127-8.45%0.0001✓0.711.0M2022-01-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8427-1.36%2.661-7.67%0.0268✗0.8853k2022-01-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.2941-1.38%8.03-4.52%0.0485✗0.761.1M2022-01-07
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.7435-1.39%15.75-7.24%0.0765✗1.3015.5M2022-01-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.2331-1.42%25.97+33.11%0.4422✗1.3469.7M2022-01-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0282-1.45%1.857-9.77%0.0318✗1.133.1M2022-01-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.9498-1.46%4.597-8.48%0.0110✓0.59773k2022-01-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.6086-1.46%7.8679-9.94%0.0619✗1.43280k2022-01-07
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.191614-1.48%0.1805-7.20%0.0039✓0.53410k2022-01-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.095635-1.51%0.0855-11.95%0.0338✗1.381.8M2022-01-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.5369-1.51%4.1928-8.98%0.0584✗1.305.0M2022-01-07
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.053-1.51%19.19-10.23%0.0817✗1.6516.6M2022-01-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.8411-1.52%15.09+0.13%0.0893✗0.691.4M2022-01-07
XEMNEMnative0.12270.120829-1.52%0.1166-4.97%0.0816✗1.11153k2022-01-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2433.7128-1.54%31.53-7.91%0.0426✗1.0323.7M2022-01-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.172501-1.54%0.1543-11.93%0.0113✓1.162.8M2022-01-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.5476-1.55%30.97-6.32%0.1127✗1.531.3M2022-01-07
QNTQuantEthereum179.22176.4234-1.56%177.7-0.85%0.1100✗0.979.4M2022-01-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.696609-1.58%0.638-9.86%0.0470✗1.276.1M2022-01-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.167501-1.60%0.154835-9.04%0.0391✗1.115.5M2022-01-07
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.829454-1.61%0.802-4.86%0.1234✗1.488.5M2022-01-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015535-1.61%0.01562-1.08%0.1432✗1.302.3M2022-01-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2191.6984-1.62%73.42-21.23%0.1191✓0.977.0M2022-01-07
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9283-1.63%5.27+5.19%0.1952✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.195163-1.63%0.1763-11.14%0.0064✓0.90622k2022-01-07
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000106424-1.63%0.00009855-8.91%0.0287✗1.008.0M2022-01-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2384-1.64%1.054-16.28%0.0607✓0.952.7M2022-01-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.2264-1.66%24.88-6.71%0.0834✗1.2875.1M2022-01-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3571-1.66%2.1392-10.76%0.0241✗1.14128k2022-01-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1112-1.67%1-11.50%0.0005✓1.002.2M2022-01-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.198859-1.70%0.173-14.48%0.0086✓1.235.4M2022-01-07
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528178.7467-1.71%163.2907-10.21%0.0324✗1.16622k2022-01-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5921-1.72%1.55-4.32%0.1558✗1.721.1M2022-01-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.9354-1.73%10.01-0.99%0.0867✗0.751.3M2022-01-07
DASHDashDash133.78131.458-1.74%134.68+0.67%0.1594✗1.282.1M2022-01-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052372-1.76%0.04946-7.22%0.0602✗1.1115k2022-01-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.7824-1.76%5.4947-6.65%0.0765✗1.20649k2022-01-07
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.285-1.78%1.2093-7.56%0.0540✗1.08106.2M2022-01-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.348283-1.81%0.3378-4.76%0.1259✗1.484.3M2022-01-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.358829-1.83%0.3192-12.67%0.0186✗1.284.2M2022-01-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.047398-1.83%0.04349-9.92%0.0107✓0.918.6M2022-01-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.261527-1.86%0.257021-3.55%0.0908✗1.0227.7M2022-01-07
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.014897-1.87%0.01358-10.54%0.0092✓0.96868k2022-01-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,189.66-1.89%41,663.10-9.55%0.0223✗0.989,2042022-01-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.8736-1.92%2.83-3.41%0.1234✗1.313.2M2022-01-07
ZECZcashZcash146.46143.6297-1.93%139.74-4.59%0.1171✗1.3611.8M2022-01-07
FTTFTXEthereum38.2537.5057-1.95%35.51-7.16%0.0567✗1.0520.7M2022-01-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.098915-1.97%0.0942-6.64%0.0195✓0.6564k2022-01-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.430.7817-1.97%27.94-11.02%0.0258✓0.67503k2022-01-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.5876-2.00%1.0882-32.83%0.2904✓0.824.6M2022-01-07
XMRMoneroMonero228.93224.3232-2.01%194.72-14.94%0.0386✓0.973.0M2022-01-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.00003274-2.04%0.00002895-13.38%0.0109✓1.262.0M2022-01-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.083393-2.04%0.0749-12.02%0.0238✗1.2421.7M2022-01-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.062221-2.06%0.059308-6.64%0.1016✗1.417.9M2022-01-07
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8069-2.10%3.77-23.22%0.1370✓1.003.0M2022-01-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3369-2.12%1.1144-18.41%0.0824✓0.9423.6M2022-01-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.17.9214-2.20%6.989-13.72%0.0088✓1.26391k2022-01-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4615-2.22%3.36-5.08%0.0835✗1.07723k2022-01-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.0345-2.28%30.01-22.89%0.0442✓1.826.6M2022-01-07
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5991-2.31%8.9-17.97%0.0843✓0.851.2M2022-01-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.404287-2.32%0.5162+24.72%0.3930✗1.40722k2022-01-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.125306-2.33%0.1111-13.41%0.0068✓1.07324k2022-01-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5136-2.35%2.344-8.94%0.0388✗1.032.1M2022-01-07
LUNATerraTerra 285.5683.5488-2.35%68.69-19.72%0.0899✓1.006.3M2022-01-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.5008-2.37%9.26-21.39%0.2351✓-0.173.4M2022-01-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018627-2.37%0.0169-11.43%0.0308✓0.6342k2022-01-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.320111-2.38%0.3309+0.91%0.1332✗0.94293k2022-01-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.88709-2.39%0.9215+1.40%0.1440✗1.00146k2022-01-07
XVGVergenative0.017030.016619-2.41%0.01454-14.62%0.0073✓1.192.4M2022-01-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.1984-2.43%1.0067-18.03%0.0264✓1.402.1M2022-01-07
ZENHorizenBase60.5759.0965-2.43%55.57-8.25%0.0983✗1.511.0M2022-01-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.2764-2.44%0.2638-6.88%0.0920✗1.315.5M2022-01-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.415488-2.47%0.369-13.38%0.0406✓0.7446k2022-01-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.2325-2.48%3.07-29.26%0.2152✓1.003.4M2022-01-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.074403-2.49%0.0669-12.32%0.0407✗1.391.7M2022-01-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.66923-2.50%0.5999-12.60%0.0312✗1.333.1M2022-01-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4123.7919-2.53%20.9-14.38%0.0186✓1.051.5M2022-01-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4063-2.56%2.889-17.36%0.0050✓1.602.5M2022-01-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1725-2.61%1.0712-11.02%0.0986✗1.781.4M2022-01-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.595758-2.65%0.546-10.78%0.0475✗1.272.5M2022-01-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.191582-2.69%0.17255-12.36%0.0637✗1.598,4562022-01-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.1752-2.72%5-6.02%0.1052✗1.3228.7M2022-01-07
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.105-2.73%3.79-10.19%0.0261✓1.001.1M2022-01-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.6131-2.73%3.9099-17.56%0.0882✓0.7322k2022-01-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.6945-2.77%1.5636-10.28%0.0034✓0.79889k2022-01-07
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.8559-2.79%9.41+3.29%0.1797✗1.124.1M2022-01-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4331.5144-2.82%38.54+18.84%0.2953✗0.8942.6M2022-01-07
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.3693-2.86%12.098-4.99%0.0332✓-0.10111k2022-01-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4106.2322-2.90%86.79-20.67%0.0846✓1.11127.7M2022-01-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6098-2.96%1.445-12.89%0.0108✓1.1231.7M2022-01-07
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.1282-3.10%7.17-23.89%0.0995✓1.3417.1M2022-01-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,005.36-3.13%35,821.08+8.42%0.1729✗0.5713.3M2022-01-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6938.3948-3.26%37.02-6.73%0.1409✗1.672.9M2022-01-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.032669-3.42%0.029557-12.62%0.0104✓1.048.5M2022-01-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.7748-3.64%10.15-16.94%0.0887✓0.561.3M2022-01-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5091-3.67%1.2622-19.43%0.0762✓0.974.3M2022-01-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.381-3.71%3.62-20.44%0.0483✓1.3412.3M2022-01-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.1441-3.78%3.05-6.66%0.0701✗0.956.9M2022-01-07
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0116-3.79%1.668-20.22%0.0163✓1.921.5M2022-01-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.022568-3.80%0.01509-35.68%0.2966✓1.0033.0M2022-01-07
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4283-4.11%1.3612-8.62%0.1000✗1.405.8M2022-01-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.0966-4.75%12.12-4.57%0.0026✓-0.044.2M2022-01-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.887154-5.18%0.6983-25.36%0.0597✓1.7030.1M2022-01-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.