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2021-12-30 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0983
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.5%
in alpha space · 83.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.887425-5.62%0.7786-17.20%0.0210✓1.6929.3M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9312.3076-4.81%13.1+1.31%0.0581✗-0.054.6M2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51791.4493-4.52%1.4868-2.05%0.1507✗1.406.4M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.8095-4.30%7.45-27.32%0.1563✓1.3316.5M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.5214-4.21%3.49-26.06%0.1693✓1.0015.2M2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.607948-4.11%0.591-6.78%0.0854✗1.272.8M2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9811.5114-3.91%10.9-9.02%0.0035✓0.571.4M2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.1602-3.88%3.3872+3.02%0.1541✗0.957.1M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3238.8407-3.67%41.84+3.77%0.2244✗1.673.0M2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.032602-3.54%0.030651-9.31%0.0320✓1.058.9M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.9288-3.44%1.841-7.83%0.1266✗1.931.5M2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.6712-3.40%1.5631-9.64%0.0331✓1.1231.7M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.020928-3.38%0.01705-21.28%0.1153✓1.0034.3M2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.4359-3.28%1.4075-5.19%0.0677✗0.984.8M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.329.0372-3.03%9.76+4.72%0.1775✗1.124.1M2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.2859-3.03%4-9.50%0.0206✓1.001.2M2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.5663-2.90%2.573-2.65%0.0941✗1.022.2M2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.281226-2.89%0.2811-2.94%0.1168✗1.315.6M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.194296-2.85%0.18217-8.92%0.0781✗1.599,2352022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77512.4141-2.82%13.09+2.47%0.0435✗-0.11119k2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase61.5859.8452-2.82%57.79-6.15%0.1004✗1.511.0M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.7056-2.81%1.6476-6.12%0.0363✗0.79946k2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.4799-2.77%3.064-14.39%0.0377✓1.002.7M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7398.9633-2.72%95.14-6.48%0.0615✗1.13127.7M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.076575-2.70%0.0701-10.93%0.0360✗1.391.7M2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.677163-2.65%0.6492-6.67%0.0769✗1.333.2M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.4512-2.60%4.04-11.60%0.0307✓0.7425k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1638-2.58%1.1802-1.22%0.1742✗1.791.4M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.017110.016675-2.55%0.01576-7.89%0.0508✗1.202.5M2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.01896-2.52%0.01816-6.63%0.0130✓0.6343k2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9029,425.05-2.49%35,933.69+19.07%0.2527✗0.5910.4M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.326608-2.48%0.3346-0.09%0.1087✗0.94293k2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.9841-2.46%5.41+5.87%0.2011✗1.3328.7M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.897335-2.45%0.9504+3.32%0.1470✗1.00146k2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.5682-2.42%9.59-11.45%0.0204✓0.861.3M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.408872-2.39%0.553+32.01%0.4284✗1.41793k2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0638.1279-2.39%33.11-15.23%0.0225✓1.836.8M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.128575-2.37%0.1215-7.74%0.0393✗1.07344k2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.334.2275-2.37%3.49-19.40%0.1021✓1.003.6M2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3931-2.35%1.1841-17.00%0.0789✓0.9323.6M2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1748-2.34%1.0704-11.02%0.0331✗1.412.3M2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5062-2.33%3.68+2.51%0.1442✗1.07787k2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.7605-2.32%10.32-14.29%0.1466✓-0.183.7M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 284.8482.8764-2.31%78.39-7.60%0.0339✗1.005.3M2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash153.9150.3396-2.31%137.22-10.84%0.0303✗1.3611.8M2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.4577-2.30%22.55-6.08%0.0553✗1.061.5M2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1929.5011-2.28%40.04+32.63%0.3866✗0.9141.9M2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum5.145.0231-2.27%4.15-19.26%0.1013✓1.002.8M2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.1167-2.23%7.686-7.42%0.0589✗1.27392k2022-01-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.6537-2.21%1.2262-27.49%0.2260✓0.824.7M2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000033021-2.19%0.00003079-8.80%0.0439✗1.272.1M2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.362056-2.15%0.341-7.84%0.0549✗1.284.3M2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.0247-2.11%3.01-2.59%0.1118✗1.303.2M2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06545.9374-2.11%5.6388-7.03%0.0563✗1.20653k2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.363626-2.07%0.3708-0.13%0.1515✗1.474.4M2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.394782-2.04%0.386-4.22%0.0450✗0.7545k2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.015001-2.02%0.0145-5.29%0.0522✗0.96910k2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.4276-1.97%29.35-8.45%0.0085✓0.67518k2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.1235-1.97%38.64-0.64%0.1077✗1.0520.7M2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero225.01220.6352-1.94%205.35-8.74%0.0159✓0.982.9M2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6573-1.94%1.65-2.37%0.1499✗1.721.2M2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.182012-1.93%0.1662-10.45%0.0124✓1.152.9M2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.060599-1.92%0.062116+0.53%0.1521✗1.427.9M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.333-1.88%1.2794-5.82%0.0557✗1.08114.6M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.077625-1.88%0.07678-2.95%0.1017✗1.2621.7M2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.048005-1.87%0.046-5.97%0.0392✗0.919.1M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.098966-1.87%0.10088+0.03%0.0771✗0.6574k2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.714839-1.85%0.6385-12.33%0.0011✓1.276.2M2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.263094-1.83%0.2675-0.19%0.1084✗1.0229.6M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988182.3607-1.80%185.613-0.05%0.1217✗1.16648k2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.204304-1.78%0.1871-10.05%0.0225✗1.235.7M2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.016239-1.76%0.01706+3.21%0.1656✗1.302.4M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.047-1.75%26.71-2.98%0.1024✗1.2875.5M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.939-1.69%10.01-0.99%0.0745✗0.751.4M2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1109-1.69%1.12-0.88%0.0977✗1.002.3M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum5.135.0438-1.68%5.83+13.65%0.2533✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.401-1.67%2.1524-11.85%0.0068✓1.14147k2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.096476-1.66%0.0923-5.91%0.0794✗1.381.9M2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0393.4589-1.65%79.02-16.85%0.0806✓0.977.4M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.848813-1.64%0.822-4.75%0.1009✗1.488.7M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.5174-1.64%17.06-4.21%0.0895✗1.2915.5M2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000107795-1.64%0.00010344-5.61%0.0482✗1.009.0M2022-01-06
DASHDashDash133.04130.8653-1.63%124.32-6.55%0.0636✗1.282.0M2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.198-1.63%14.5-6.15%0.0143✓0.681.4M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.197431-1.63%0.1812-9.72%0.0051✓0.90655k2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2464-1.63%1.163-8.21%0.0160✓0.952.8M2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.4424-1.61%33.16-2.44%0.1289✗1.531.3M2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12550.123492-1.60%0.1232-1.83%0.0967✗1.11158k2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.16846-1.59%0.160007-6.53%0.0484✗1.115.5M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.6989-1.58%8.3621-5.39%0.0892✗1.44280k2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.623-1.58%4.338-7.64%0.0009✓0.701.0M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93258.8393-1.56%220.94-15.97%0.0572✓1.1311.4M2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.7234-1.54%20.968-0.38%0.1598✗1.6517.5M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.4222-1.54%32.98-5.66%0.0499✗1.0323.3M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.6361-1.53%4.451-5.46%0.0757✗1.305.0M2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum178.71176.086-1.47%178.46-0.14%0.1007✗0.979.8M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.5924-1.46%8.15-6.54%0.0152✗0.761.1M2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.054103-1.45%0.05212-5.06%0.0618✗1.1115k2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.6523-1.44%25.39+27.33%0.3762✗1.3469.7M2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.007-1.42%4.805-5.39%0.0122✓0.60798k2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0345-1.38%2.026-1.79%0.0977✗1.143.2M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.81526.7239-1.34%6.2776-7.89%0.0058✓0.834.0M2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.4483-1.34%30.59+23.45%0.3526✗1.4324.1M2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.3047-1.32%1.3048-1.32%0.0968✗1.081.0M2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.8716-1.32%2.816-3.23%0.0592✗0.8865k2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration280.04276.3434-1.32%269.76-3.67%0.0758✗1.121.5M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0846,528.99-1.26%43,083.76-8.57%0.0127✓1.00750.8M2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0046,597.21-1.25%43,220.90-8.40%0.0123✓0.989,2042022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana172.52170.3852-1.24%150.23-12.92%0.0314✓1.05248.9M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.081782-1.23%0.0802-3.14%0.0778✗1.0918k2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49121.0026-1.21%111.16-9.25%0.0015✓0.963.7M2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0483.999-1.21%3.876-4.25%0.0271✗0.65514k2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4304-1.21%2.35-4.47%0.0605✗1.054.2M2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.7646-1.19%8.21-7.44%0.0107✓0.611.0M2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.638996-1.18%0.6365-1.56%0.1128✗1.3011.8M2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.185792-1.17%0.1919+2.07%0.0805✗0.54393k2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.2209-1.16%8.508-8.80%0.0276✓0.59368k2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.109983-1.15%0.10779-3.12%0.0806✗1.1229k2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.1741-1.15%31.67-8.39%0.0178✗1.054.7M2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.1413-1.13%3.0021-5.51%0.0636✗1.223.3M2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.0503-1.12%6.77-5.05%0.0166✗0.641.1M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.7654-1.11%3.77-0.99%0.0097✓-0.12409k2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2337-1.11%3.23-1.22%0.0884✗1.001.1M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94146.3414-1.08%135.9-8.14%0.0477✗1.3649.4M2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.786894-1.07%0.798009+0.33%0.1140✗1.122.8M2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.4949-0.99%5.96+7.39%0.1843✗1.154.3M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.021935-0.94%0.020968-5.30%0.0637✗1.212.4M2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64197.787-0.93%204.52+2.44%0.1371✗1.16220k2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.3024-0.88%4.455+2.63%0.1537✗1.334.9M2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.087745-0.86%0.08065-8.88%0.0459✗1.454.0M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.6103-0.85%1.537-5.36%0.0746✗1.357.9M2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.2481-0.79%14.53-5.47%0.0542✗1.144.7M2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.4599-0.77%3.3664-3.45%0.0677✗1.06819k2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.5219-0.72%1.42-7.37%0.0458✗1.293.8M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,685.48-0.66%3,406.03-8.19%0.0150✗1.05752.6M2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.077405-0.58%0.071075-8.71%0.0004✓0.95607k2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58430.2564-0.31%400.02-7.31%0.0179✗1.019.8M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.