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2021-12-29 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2409
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.8%
in alpha space · 77.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.11429.045-0.25%399.79-7.05%0.0020✓1.0210.5M2022-01-05
TRXTRONTron0.0763950.076006-0.51%0.071153-6.86%0.0020✓0.95632k2022-01-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,630.593,610.50-0.55%3,539.00-2.52%0.0507✗1.05766.3M2022-01-05
XVSVenusEthereum15.0114.9112-0.66%15.17+1.07%0.0942✗1.144.7M2022-01-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5891.5778-0.70%1.533-3.52%0.0625✗1.358.3M2022-01-05
NANOnanopayBase3.48273.4568-0.74%3.3854-2.80%0.0510✗1.06819k2022-01-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087840.087134-0.80%0.08369-4.72%0.0581✗1.464.0M2022-01-05
XTZTezosTezos4.37594.3384-0.86%4.5093+3.05%0.1287✗1.335.2M2022-01-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5761.5625-0.86%1.465-7.04%0.0232✗1.304.1M2022-01-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7596470.753114-0.86%0.826502+8.80%0.1679✗1.113.0M2022-01-05
COMPCompoundEthereum197195.2824-0.87%204.79+3.95%0.1257✗1.16228k2022-01-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.445.3926-0.87%6.37+17.10%0.2442✗1.154.6M2022-01-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.62144.3492-0.87%135.32-7.07%0.0273✗1.3651.4M2022-01-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0217260.02152-0.95%0.020489-5.69%0.0328✗1.212.4M2022-01-05
GTGateEthereum6.32736.2674-0.95%6.1854-2.24%0.0420✗0.824.0M2022-01-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108180.107079-1.02%0.10913+0.88%0.0947✗1.1229k2022-01-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63290.626297-1.04%0.6298-0.49%0.0935✗1.3012.2M2022-01-05
AAVEAaveEthereum236.52234.0508-1.04%230.12-2.71%0.0578✗1.1111.4M2022-01-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74113.702-1.04%3.7977+1.51%0.0170✗-0.13405k2022-01-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1963-1.04%3.3+2.17%0.0995✗1.001.1M2022-01-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1333.7646-1.07%31.96-6.36%0.0158✗1.054.7M2022-01-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.4120.0443-1.12%114.04-6.06%0.0138✗0.963.7M2022-01-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.412.3829-1.12%2.32-3.73%0.0440✗1.054.4M2022-01-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,471.2445,945.80-1.13%43,436.04-6.53%0.0114✓1.00750.8M2022-01-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.257.167-1.14%6.84-5.66%0.0033✓0.641.1M2022-01-05
SOLSolanaSolana170.64168.6679-1.16%154.44-9.49%0.0168✓1.06255.1M2022-01-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23263.1948-1.17%2.8503-11.83%0.0315✓1.223.3M2022-01-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.080744-1.17%0.0819+0.24%0.0876✗1.0918k2022-01-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19550.193177-1.19%0.1904-2.61%0.0226✗0.55393k2022-01-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29521.2797-1.20%1.2498-3.51%0.0492✗1.081.0M2022-01-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8622.8271-1.22%2.861-0.03%0.0712✗0.8880k2022-01-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0151.9904-1.22%2.079+3.18%0.1202✗1.133.3M2022-01-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0523.7547-1.23%30.63+27.36%0.3508✗1.4324.1M2022-01-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4859.3677-1.24%8.683-8.46%0.0356✓0.60455k2022-01-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.028.9065-1.26%8.19-9.20%0.0423✓0.611.1M2022-01-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053810.053118-1.29%0.0501-6.89%0.0161✗1.1115k2022-01-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07240.071452-1.31%0.07653+5.70%0.1525✗1.2421.1M2022-01-05
KSMKusamaHydration283.66279.8266-1.35%266.77-5.95%0.0280✗1.121.5M2022-01-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.7419.47-1.37%25.22+27.76%0.3494✗1.3469.7M2022-01-05
QNTQuantEthereum175.55173.1471-1.37%166.2-5.33%0.0248✗0.9710.5M2022-01-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.648.5184-1.41%8.07-6.60%0.0028✓0.761.1M2022-01-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.66620.3747-1.41%21.226+2.71%0.1529✗1.6617.8M2022-01-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1316.8872-1.42%17.11-0.12%0.1002✗1.2916.1M2022-01-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1154.056-1.43%3.808-7.46%0.0188✓0.66564k2022-01-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2054-1.44%1.178-3.68%0.0409✗0.953.0M2022-01-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2133.7176-1.44%33.09-3.27%0.0509✗1.0322.7M2022-01-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,010.0047,312.26-1.45%43,367.50-9.67%0.0206✓0.9810k2022-01-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06510.064145-1.47%0.0676+3.84%0.1417✗1.321.7M2022-01-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19650.193568-1.49%0.1832-6.77%0.0056✓0.90688k2022-01-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.145.0631-1.50%4.727-8.04%0.0282✓0.60846k2022-01-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1679740.165459-1.50%0.158936-5.38%0.0350✗1.115.5M2022-01-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015590.015356-1.50%0.01768+13.41%0.2277✗1.282.6M2022-01-05
XEMNEMnative0.12440.122498-1.53%0.1297+4.26%0.1320✗1.11160k2022-01-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.232.6919-1.53%33.42+0.66%0.1255✗1.531.3M2022-01-05
XECeCashnative0.000107630.00010598-1.53%0.00010469-2.73%0.0550✗1.009.9M2022-01-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.892.3447-1.55%80.37-14.32%0.0731✓0.977.5M2022-01-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.38032.3427-1.58%2.1886-8.05%0.0090✓1.14152k2022-01-05
XMRMoneroMonero214.5211.1037-1.58%206.96-3.52%0.0458✗0.972.9M2022-01-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.83414.7573-1.59%4.2873-11.31%0.0158✓1.315.2M2022-01-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.78538.6456-1.59%8.2328-6.29%0.0484✗1.44280k2022-01-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.8126.379-1.61%26.71-0.37%0.0990✗1.2877.1M2022-01-05
BANDBandEthereum5.084.9974-1.63%6.23+22.64%0.3023✗1.212.5M2022-01-05
DASHDashDash133.27131.0924-1.63%122.47-8.10%0.0189✗1.292.0M2022-01-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8620.847899-1.64%0.829-3.83%0.0780✗1.498.7M2022-01-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1112-1.66%1.11-1.77%0.0664✗1.002.4M2022-01-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.5215.2617-1.66%14.28-7.99%0.0201✓0.691.4M2022-01-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09880.097123-1.70%0.0912-7.69%0.0307✗1.391.9M2022-01-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20680.203185-1.75%0.1904-7.93%0.0184✗1.246.0M2022-01-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.098310.096568-1.77%0.10219+3.95%0.1001✗0.6483k2022-01-05
ADACardanoCardano1.33221.3083-1.79%1.2304-7.64%0.0114✓1.08120.2M2022-01-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.3722182.0425-1.80%198.6558+7.17%0.1659✗1.16648k2022-01-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2668030.261987-1.81%0.26604-0.29%0.0847✗1.0330.9M2022-01-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.18170.178393-1.82%0.1723-5.17%0.0428✗1.153.3M2022-01-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.310.1121-1.82%10-2.91%0.0403✗0.761.4M2022-01-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.91485.8043-1.87%5.6004-5.32%0.0453✗1.20673k2022-01-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70060.687354-1.89%0.646-7.79%0.0235✗1.276.4M2022-01-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.5437.8113-1.89%38.06-1.25%0.0777✗1.0520.7M2022-01-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6731.0685-1.90%29.76-6.03%0.0021✓0.67534k2022-01-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.343.2764-1.91%3.86+15.57%0.2352✗1.06787k2022-01-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9827.4438-1.92%38.67+38.21%0.4031✗0.8941.0M2022-01-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.049180.048237-1.92%0.04681-4.82%0.0321✗0.929.8M2022-01-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6569-1.96%1.56-7.69%0.0564✗1.731.3M2022-01-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.9693-2.00%3.1+2.31%0.1310✗1.303.2M2022-01-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.34.2131-2.02%3.69-14.19%0.0650✓1.003.9M2022-01-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5811.3448-2.03%10.74-7.25%0.0676✓-0.194.0M2022-01-05
ZECZcashZcash146.64143.6447-2.04%136.6-6.85%0.0410✗1.3511.8M2022-01-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06170.06043-2.06%0.067553+9.49%0.2079✗1.438.2M2022-01-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,569.8927,980.73-2.06%32,578.76+14.03%0.1912✗0.589.2M2022-01-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.5137.7116-2.07%33.82-12.18%0.0149✓1.837.0M2022-01-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4050.396499-2.10%0.4-1.23%0.0598✗0.7646k2022-01-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41070.40189-2.15%0.5593+36.18%0.4254✗1.41898k2022-01-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36980.361837-2.15%0.3554-3.89%0.0690✗1.294.4M2022-01-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.3750.36687-2.17%0.3671-2.11%0.1006✗1.484.7M2022-01-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033650.000032918-2.18%0.00003037-9.75%0.0130✓1.002.4M2022-01-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.844.7347-2.18%4.41-8.88%0.0035✓1.002.5M2022-01-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12850.125666-2.21%0.1229-4.36%0.0498✗1.07344k2022-01-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.9323.3997-2.22%22.63-5.43%0.0380✗1.061.5M2022-01-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7964.6889-2.23%4.395-8.36%0.0170✓0.71842k2022-01-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.854.741-2.25%5.4+11.34%0.2196✗1.3228.7M2022-01-05
LUNATerraTerra 284.3282.4011-2.28%78.41-7.01%0.0179✓1.006.3M2022-01-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.53214.4263-2.33%4.1357-8.75%0.0179✓0.7426k2022-01-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.3310.32313-2.38%0.3305-0.15%0.0863✗0.94328k2022-01-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68240.665956-2.41%0.643-5.77%0.0547✗1.333.3M2022-01-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019390.0189-2.53%0.01856-4.28%0.0242✓0.6344k2022-01-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6788.4553-2.57%7.866-9.36%0.0142✓1.28411k2022-01-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.15081.1205-2.63%1.1756+2.15%0.1688✗1.791.5M2022-01-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9610.935683-2.63%0.9503-1.11%0.0830✗1.00149k2022-01-05
XVGVergenative0.016910.01646-2.66%0.01601-5.32%0.0532✗1.202.6M2022-01-05
RADRadworksEthereum10.9610.6641-2.70%10.08-8.03%0.0020✓0.861.3M2022-01-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.71011.6635-2.72%1.6291-4.73%0.0324✗0.791.0M2022-01-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6533.5526-2.75%3.067-16.04%0.0794✓1.002.8M2022-01-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.58281.5387-2.79%1.5562-1.68%0.0855✗1.1031.7M2022-01-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.11100.2154-2.81%97.36-5.58%0.0479✗1.14136.0M2022-01-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25371.2184-2.82%1.099-12.34%0.0069✓1.422.3M2022-01-05
ZENHorizenBase61.8860.1271-2.83%60.33-2.50%0.1059✗1.521.1M2022-01-05
SCSiacoinnative0.015160.014723-2.88%0.01446-4.62%0.0471✗0.961.1M2022-01-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.2870.278672-2.90%0.2787-2.89%0.0887✗1.315.6M2022-01-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4821.4384-2.94%1.171-20.99%0.1416✓0.9523.6M2022-01-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204230.198079-3.01%0.18607-8.89%0.0457✗1.609,9442022-01-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.39.0192-3.02%11.01+18.39%0.2755✗1.134.1M2022-01-05
API3Api3Ethereum4.494.3514-3.09%4.14-7.80%0.0177✓1.001.2M2022-01-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.96621.9047-3.13%1.8048-8.21%0.0774✗1.941.5M2022-01-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6442.5599-3.18%2.442-7.64%0.0223✓1.032.1M2022-01-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.51213.07-3.27%13.46-0.38%0.0232✓-0.09129k2022-01-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021150.020451-3.31%0.01834-13.29%0.0414✓1.0035.6M2022-01-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.63981.5852-3.33%1.2813-21.86%0.1579✓0.815.2M2022-01-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.033310.032198-3.34%0.03194-4.11%0.0627✗1.059.0M2022-01-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.53981.4857-3.51%1.3601-11.67%0.0211✓1.005.2M2022-01-05
SUSHISushiEthereum9.268.9283-3.58%7.64-17.49%0.0676✓1.3115.8M2022-01-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25693.1355-3.73%2.9141-10.52%0.0089✓0.957.6M2022-01-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.911.4181-4.05%11.18-6.05%0.0175✓0.571.5M2022-01-05
HIVEHivenative1.49181.4295-4.17%1.5149+1.55%0.1526✗1.407.0M2022-01-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6280.60052-4.38%0.595-5.25%0.0766✗1.272.8M2022-01-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.844.6101-4.75%3.55-26.65%0.1938✓1.0018.1M2022-01-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.5340.4506-4.89%42.44-0.21%0.1626✗1.703.0M2022-01-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5412.8246-5.28%13.31-1.70%0.0348✓-0.044.8M2022-01-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.98190.915607-6.75%0.7389-24.75%0.0983✓1.7228.8M2022-01-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.