8=======>

2021-12-28 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2634
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.7%
in alpha space · 59.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74437.6149-0.26%427.38-2.59%0.0140✗1.0210.8M2022-01-04
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.076829-0.50%0.075989-1.59%0.0242✗0.95648k2022-01-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,769.15-0.65%3,785.00-0.23%0.0427✗1.04766.3M2022-01-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5264-0.69%1.646+7.09%0.1240✗1.314.1M2022-01-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.4286-0.72%15.92+2.45%0.0735✗1.144.8M2022-01-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67144.4884-0.81%146.44+0.53%0.0641✗1.3753.2M2022-01-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.6502-0.83%1.678+0.84%0.0667✗1.358.3M2022-01-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.089018-0.84%0.08927-0.56%0.0569✗1.464.1M2022-01-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.5676-0.90%3.7795+4.99%0.0534✗-0.12405k2022-01-04
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.4491-0.93%5.039+12.20%0.1739✗1.335.4M2022-01-04
COMPCompoundEthereum209206.8963-1.01%223.02+6.71%0.1176✗1.15236k2022-01-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.790462-1.03%0.888431+11.24%0.1576✗1.103.0M2022-01-04
GTGateEthereum6.4596.3924-1.03%6.4901+0.48%0.0454✗0.824.3M2022-01-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.581-1.08%34.11-2.43%0.0251✗1.055.1M2022-01-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.113196-1.10%0.11972+4.60%0.0973✗1.1129k2022-01-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77120.4227-1.11%120.8-0.80%0.0390✗0.973.7M2022-01-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.3029-1.11%3.39+1.50%0.0630✗1.001.2M2022-01-04
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.7047-1.11%3.7143-0.86%0.0415✗1.05819k2022-01-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021731-1.12%0.022317+1.54%0.0717✗1.222.4M2022-01-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2864-1.13%1.3427+3.20%0.0830✗1.081.1M2022-01-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0946,980.79-1.18%45,814.61-3.64%0.0119✗1.00750.8M2022-01-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5095-1.20%2.48-2.36%0.0268✗1.044.4M2022-01-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.053591-1.25%0.05513+1.58%0.0694✗1.1116k2022-01-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.4752-1.25%7.16-5.42%0.0195✓0.641.1M2022-01-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.3979-1.26%33.82+36.87%0.3796✗1.4322.9M2022-01-04
SOLSolanaSolana177.27175.0307-1.26%167.72-5.39%0.0037✓1.05257.1M2022-01-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.7761-1.26%6.6+12.82%0.1755✗1.145.1M2022-01-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.657477-1.26%0.6784+1.88%0.0793✗1.3012.5M2022-01-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.3226-1.29%3.0903-8.19%0.0272✓1.223.3M2022-01-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0806-1.30%2.228+5.69%0.1103✗1.133.3M2022-01-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.082709-1.30%0.0856+2.15%0.0746✗1.0916k2022-01-04
XMRMoneroMonero208.62205.8706-1.32%222.22+6.52%0.1129✗0.982.8M2022-01-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.9398-1.35%3.15+5.70%0.1014✗0.8792k2022-01-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.6611-1.40%9.36-4.47%0.0098✓0.59455k2022-01-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.0666-1.44%23.43+15.08%0.2047✗1.3469.7M2022-01-04
KSMKusamaHydration294.8290.5428-1.44%296.29+0.51%0.0610✗1.121.5M2022-01-04
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64248.9683-1.45%251.96-0.27%0.0525✗1.0911.4M2022-01-04
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.212582-1.49%0.2101-2.64%0.0078✓0.53392k2022-01-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.064902-1.51%0.0695+5.46%0.1177✗1.331.9M2022-01-04
XECeCashnative0.000109510.000107825-1.54%0.00011292+3.11%0.0832✗1.009.9M2022-01-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.196721-1.54%0.1957-2.05%0.0281✗0.90701k2022-01-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2535.685-1.56%36.13-0.33%0.0503✗1.0222.1M2022-01-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.088.9374-1.57%8.5-6.39%0.0224✓0.751.1M2022-01-04
XEMNEMnative0.12840.126381-1.57%0.1252-2.49%0.0316✗1.11175k2022-01-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.50621.1663-1.58%22.046+2.51%0.1019✗1.6518.6M2022-01-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.170968-1.60%0.168474-3.03%0.0265✗1.116.0M2022-01-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.5449-1.60%8.76-9.69%0.0636✓0.601.1M2022-01-04
DASHDashDash134.75132.5692-1.62%134.69-0.04%0.0637✗1.292.0M2022-01-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5726.1383-1.62%42.05+58.26%0.5091✗0.9140.2M2022-01-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6046,612.08-1.63%46,006.00-2.91%0.0237✗0.9910k2022-01-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.2589-1.65%1.223-4.45%0.0059✓0.943.1M2022-01-04
QNTQuantEthereum188.78185.6689-1.65%179.48-4.93%0.0017✓0.9611.5M2022-01-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016238-1.65%0.01947+17.93%0.2289✗1.282.7M2022-01-04
QTUMQtumQtum9.09238.9417-1.66%8.9939-1.08%0.0591✗1.44285k2022-01-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.4324-1.68%35.83+2.31%0.0964✗1.531.3M2022-01-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.3596-1.73%28.69+3.05%0.0948✗1.2877.1M2022-01-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02924.9421-1.73%4.507-10.38%0.0437✓1.315.2M2022-01-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.4414-1.74%2.3398-5.83%0.0004✓1.14147k2022-01-04
BANDBandEthereum5.345.2456-1.77%5.66+5.99%0.1207✗1.212.5M2022-01-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7497.9295-1.82%92.88-6.88%0.0172✓0.967.6M2022-01-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.07401-1.82%0.08388+11.28%0.1710✗1.2421.1M2022-01-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.058149-1.82%0.0623+5.18%0.1225✗1.458.2M2022-01-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.1585-1.82%1.15-2.54%0.0297✗1.002.4M2022-01-04
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.894295-1.83%0.873-4.17%0.0308✗1.489.2M2022-01-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.101236-1.87%0.11+6.63%0.1065✗0.6392k2022-01-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.268971-1.87%0.279308+1.90%0.0757✗1.0332.3M2022-01-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.972-1.91%3.42+12.87%0.1889✗1.313.0M2022-01-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1715.8598-1.92%15.04-6.99%0.0279✓0.681.4M2022-01-04
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.0432-1.94%18.21-1.03%0.0565✗1.2815.5M2022-01-04
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178186.4728-1.95%185.4543-2.48%0.0377✗1.16674k2022-01-04
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.3723-1.96%1.3092-6.47%0.0074✓1.07120.2M2022-01-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.049597-2.04%0.04929-2.65%0.0277✗0.9210.4M2022-01-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.1897-2.05%41.35+3.35%0.0925✗1.0520.7M2022-01-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5132.8211-2.06%31.27-6.68%0.0241✓0.66572k2022-01-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2228,091.59-2.09%36,282.47+26.46%0.2774✗0.589.0M2022-01-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.21529-2.10%0.1995-9.28%0.0307✓1.236.1M2022-01-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.6194-2.13%6.08+28.81%0.3242✗1.3426.8M2022-01-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0511.7917-2.14%11.51-4.48%0.0316✓-0.204.3M2022-01-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.5291-2.15%10.56-1.86%0.0309✗0.761.4M2022-01-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.188167-2.15%0.1943+1.04%0.0744✗1.143.6M2022-01-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.369815-2.19%0.3934+4.05%0.1169✗1.494.7M2022-01-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.731-2.20%1.64-7.34%0.0099✓1.731.5M2022-01-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.102196-2.20%0.0991-5.17%0.0204✓1.382.0M2022-01-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4342-2.22%1.6714+13.96%0.1947✗1.1231.7M2022-01-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.4413-2.24%3.71+5.40%0.1140✗1.05787k2022-01-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.7606-2.25%4.74-2.67%0.0327✗1.002.5M2022-01-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.5657-2.27%5.107-10.32%0.0646✓0.58798k2022-01-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.3974-2.28%3.89-13.56%0.0856✓1.004.4M2022-01-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.700146-2.28%0.6945-3.07%0.0389✗1.276.6M2022-01-04
LUNATerraTerra 285.1783.2236-2.29%84.56-0.72%0.0530✗1.007.4M2022-01-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.413327-2.29%0.409-3.31%0.0173✓0.7546k2022-01-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.6947-2.29%4.72-1.76%0.0324✗0.7326k2022-01-04
ZECZcashZcash149.45145.9901-2.32%147.34-1.41%0.0593✗1.3511.8M2022-01-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.1215-2.34%6.0617-3.30%0.0344✗1.19724k2022-01-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.738.7511-2.39%38.67-2.59%0.0658✗1.837.2M2022-01-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.132531-2.41%0.1324-2.50%0.0382✗1.06344k2022-01-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.000034069-2.44%0.00003245-7.07%0.0117✓1.002.2M2022-01-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4224.7925-2.47%24.02-5.51%0.0073✓1.051.6M2022-01-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.374604-2.50%0.3673-4.40%0.0279✗1.284.4M2022-01-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.419328-2.50%0.6206+44.29%0.4441✗1.411.0M2022-01-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.019399-2.66%0.01973-1.00%0.0400✗0.6245k2022-01-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.33287-2.67%0.3574+4.50%0.1060✗0.94328k2022-01-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.1876-2.68%1.2829+5.13%0.1432✗1.781.5M2022-01-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.3893-2.79%1.2788-10.52%0.0473✓0.9623.6M2022-01-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.4367-2.79%4.112-9.90%0.0525✓0.63502k2022-01-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.05104.004-2.85%103.3-3.50%0.0351✗1.13136.0M2022-01-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.690244-2.86%0.7133+0.38%0.0820✗1.333.4M2022-01-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.7604-2.93%1.7918-1.20%0.0464✗0.781.1M2022-01-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0270.996352-2.98%1.0351+0.79%0.0752✗1.00151k2022-01-04
ZENHorizenBase63.3261.427-2.99%64.42+1.74%0.1039✗1.521.2M2022-01-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.4178-3.12%4.1-10.09%0.0376✓1.001.2M2022-01-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4537.2012-3.25%42.83+11.39%0.2050✗1.733.0M2022-01-04
RADRadworksEthereum11.6611.2796-3.26%11.27-3.34%0.0307✓0.851.3M2022-01-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.7636-3.28%3.363-13.57%0.0755✓1.003.0M2022-01-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.20146-3.38%0.20404-2.14%0.0722✗1.6113k2022-01-04
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.015101-3.39%0.01547-1.02%0.0598✗0.961.2M2022-01-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.599.2648-3.39%9.03-5.84%0.0160✓1.124.1M2022-01-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2141-3.40%1.1872-5.55%0.0307✓1.432.3M2022-01-04
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07522.0032-3.47%2.0651-0.49%0.1020✗1.931.5M2022-01-04
XVGVergenative0.01760.016989-3.47%0.01721-2.22%0.0572✗1.192.8M2022-01-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.021079-3.62%0.02111-3.48%0.0385✗1.0039.8M2022-01-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.292309-3.62%0.3025-0.26%0.0826✗1.305.8M2022-01-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.654-3.63%2.693-2.21%0.0524✗1.022.2M2022-01-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.032701-3.73%0.033406-1.65%0.0601✗1.059.3M2022-01-04
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.7144-3.81%8.07-10.93%0.0280✓1.3215.8M2022-01-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5711.1062-4.01%12.29+6.22%0.1228✗0.581.5M2022-01-04
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5914.0025-4.03%15.672+7.42%0.1084✗-0.11129k2022-01-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.1265-4.16%4.673-12.64%0.0673✓0.68734k2022-01-04
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.2001-4.18%3.1744-4.95%0.0270✓0.958.0M2022-01-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.6371-4.26%1.4484-15.30%0.0927✓0.805.9M2022-01-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.6107-4.28%1.4602-13.22%0.0620✓0.975.3M2022-01-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.1289.6934-4.29%8.239-18.65%0.1163✓1.25411k2022-01-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.384.1861-4.43%3.92-10.50%0.0286✓1.0015.2M2022-01-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.608888-4.86%0.662+3.44%0.1308✗1.272.9M2022-01-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.7461-5.51%0.8381+6.14%0.1822✗1.7828.3M2022-01-04
HIVEHivenative1.61151.5143-6.03%1.5925-1.18%0.1016✗1.387.1M2022-01-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6413.7505-6.08%15.7+7.24%0.1305✗-0.064.8M2022-01-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.