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2021-12-27 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2317
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.6%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3463.582-0.37%434.61-6.60%0.0253✗1.0212.3M2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.080742-0.52%0.076988-5.15%0.0366✗0.96648k2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4357-0.73%3.7914+9.55%0.0907✗-0.09395k2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,005.69-0.82%3,766.04-6.75%0.0297✗1.04760.7M2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.6931-0.87%15.52-7.84%0.0269✗1.144.8M2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6713-0.87%1.616-4.15%0.0807✗1.304.1M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.097085-1.09%0.09008-8.23%0.0534✗1.464.8M2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.1697-1.17%34.72-7.68%0.0235✗1.055.1M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6050,584.04-1.19%46,018.20-10.11%0.0085✓0.988,5662022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.6804-1.21%9.436-3.70%0.0292✗0.62455k2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.123299-1.23%0.12106-3.03%0.0780✗1.1029k2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41125.8309-1.24%122.18-4.10%0.0571✗0.993.7M2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5553-1.24%3.43-4.72%0.0507✗0.991.2M2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.3313-1.26%8.89-5.93%0.0099✓0.661.0M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.83956.7527-1.27%6.4392-5.85%0.0231✗0.814.3M2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8592-1.32%1.682-10.72%0.0148✗1.317.9M2022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9009-1.36%7.21-9.99%0.0363✓0.631.0M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057367-1.36%0.05659-2.70%0.0839✗1.1116k2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.3956-1.37%1.3948-1.43%0.0932✗1.071.2M2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.864095-1.37%0.94026+7.32%0.1793✗1.083.0M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,013.05-1.39%46,459.56-8.40%0.0140✓1.00744.5M2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5113-1.41%2.3545-7.56%0.0392✗1.18147k2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7606-1.41%2.56-8.57%0.0137✓1.024.4M2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.023814-1.45%0.022053-8.74%0.0287✗1.202.3M2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4202-1.45%5.152-6.33%0.0060✓0.65798k2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0259-1.48%4.8156-5.61%0.0710✗1.305.3M2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero220.72217.4096-1.50%231.81+5.02%0.1510✗0.992.8M2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.305-1.51%1.24-6.42%0.0336✗0.973.1M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34233.7285-1.52%222.2-6.38%0.0460✗1.10239k2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.088333-1.52%0.086-4.12%0.0688✗1.0918k2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2165-1.54%3.381+3.49%0.1235✗0.8495k2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.1838-1.57%8.6-7.82%0.0022✓0.771.1M2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2427.7964-1.57%29.28+3.68%0.1746✗1.4022.9M2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3003-1.57%2.265-3.08%0.0814✗1.103.3M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78153.3045-1.59%148.43-4.72%0.0892✗1.3954.4M2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana195.74192.5337-1.64%170.13-13.08%0.0342✓1.02255.1M2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.2887-1.66%4.152-4.79%0.0305✗0.72487k2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.238.5389-1.69%35.08-10.51%0.0049✓1.0222.1M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.5853-1.70%22.363-2.67%0.1373✗1.6818.6M2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000116559-1.71%0.00011648-1.78%0.0860✗0.9910.2M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration322.27316.7051-1.73%289.65-10.12%0.0074✓1.101.5M2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5476-1.74%3.1177-13.64%0.0193✓1.253.1M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.724527-1.76%0.6582-10.75%0.0162✓1.2812.5M2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.234768-1.81%0.2058-13.93%0.0906✓0.47392k2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.3228-1.82%7.19+11.65%0.2267✗1.125.1M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.215369-1.84%0.1984-9.57%0.0060✓0.87701k2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.184356-1.84%0.170103-9.43%0.0166✓1.115.5M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.8911-1.87%3.5792-9.73%0.0097✓1.06798k2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5933.9419-1.87%31.64-8.53%0.0116✓0.67572k2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13910.136419-1.93%0.127-8.70%0.0248✗1.10175k2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.8031-1.96%9.2052-7.94%0.0632✗1.44299k2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.1879-1.97%4.6279-12.55%0.0046✓1.365.2M2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6502-1.98%4.777+0.70%0.1001✗0.83719k2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.5638-1.98%23.72+3.04%0.1648✗1.3169.7M2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.4748-1.99%15.18-9.70%0.0215✓0.691.4M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash151.04148.0271-1.99%139.05-7.94%0.0483✗1.262.0M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04104.8986-2.00%94.38-11.83%0.0219✓0.967.6M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.875.7498-2.05%5.56-5.28%0.0711✗1.192.6M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum206.05201.815-2.06%178.99-13.13%0.0376✓0.9411.9M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.7171-2.06%18.47-3.35%0.1024✗1.3214.6M2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.072571-2.06%0.0731-1.35%0.1214✗1.302.1M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.8537-2.09%4.605-7.11%0.0125✓0.7427k2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.0555-2.10%39.29+32.38%0.3774✗0.8640.2M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6271.7384-2.11%267.25-3.73%0.0774✗1.0711.4M2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5938.7501-2.12%36.41-8.03%0.0699✗1.511.3M2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.2918-2.14%1.14-13.64%0.0373✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018356-2.15%0.01736-7.46%0.0535✗1.252.8M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.7492-2.15%11.56-11.28%0.1226✓-0.284.5M2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.349-2.20%1.3842+0.36%0.1175✗1.0523.6M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.293667-2.20%0.290288-3.33%0.0764✗1.0033.6M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.2851-2.21%30.09-2.84%0.1039✗1.2677.1M2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum42.641.6485-2.23%40.22-5.59%0.0578✗1.0620.7M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.4822-2.26%1.3186-13.04%0.0236✓1.06120.2M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum1.0170.993738-2.29%0.904-11.11%0.0344✗1.479.2M2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.052186-2.29%0.05248-1.74%0.0861✗0.9210.6M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.391928-2.36%0.3888-3.14%0.1252✗1.524.7M2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 291.0188.8511-2.37%88.92-2.30%0.0885✗1.006.1M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1610.895-2.37%10.51-5.82%0.0319✗0.771.4M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.8259-2.38%11.29+1.80%0.1248✗0.951.3M2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3086-2.40%3.25-4.13%0.0948✗1.283.0M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.141777-2.42%0.1352-6.95%0.0454✗1.06376k2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.112072-2.43%0.11092-3.43%0.0397✗0.57113k2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.0488-2.48%24.7-7.53%0.0410✗1.071.6M2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.204748-2.50%0.197-6.19%0.0613✗1.143.8M2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.233408-2.58%0.2052-14.36%0.0216✓1.226.1M2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2030,920.13-2.64%38,753.93+22.02%0.2717✗0.528.7M2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.9263-2.64%4.17-17.59%0.0790✓1.004.9M2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1378-2.69%6.53+23.67%0.3538✗1.3026.8M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.3516-2.70%4.57-16.91%0.0702✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789205.8456-2.71%191.896-9.30%0.0298✗1.14674k2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.7551-2.72%3.57-7.51%0.0393✗1.02787k2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.452976-2.79%0.414-11.16%0.0276✓0.7145k2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash169.76164.9892-2.81%150.55-11.32%0.0235✓1.3111.8M2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9962-2.82%1.8521-9.83%0.0135✓0.701.2M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6162-2.82%1.7949+7.92%0.1991✗1.0731.7M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.062006-2.86%0.0636-0.37%0.1533✗1.468.2M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.00003793-2.87%0.00003307-15.31%0.0494✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96110.6386-2.91%108.09-5.15%0.0757✗1.13127.7M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.770842-2.95%0.7048-11.27%0.0201✓1.256.8M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.0209-2.97%0.02023-6.08%0.0190✓0.5946k2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.341-2.99%1.3019-5.81%0.1246✗1.761.5M2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.081845-3.06%0.0855+1.27%0.1488✗1.2021.1M2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0659-3.10%1.0025-8.86%0.0263✓1.00165k2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9475-3.11%1.72-14.43%0.0262✓1.711.5M2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.6568-3.16%6.1828-10.05%0.0303✓1.19764k2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.404842-3.22%0.3721-11.04%0.0279✓1.284.9M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.363112-3.32%0.374-0.43%0.1092✗0.91328k2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.082.9772-3.34%2.796-9.22%0.0222✓0.972.2M2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.454658-3.45%0.64+35.91%0.4670✗1.431.0M2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.111995-3.54%0.1004-13.52%0.0104✓1.372.5M2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2593-3.54%1.2437-4.74%0.1188✗1.502.3M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum5.134.9435-3.64%4.13-19.49%0.0921✓1.001.2M2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.6652-3.68%8.316-17.12%0.0333✓1.33411k2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.5864-3.68%13.612-3.50%0.0063✓-0.09129k2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.016491-3.73%0.01573-8.17%0.0346✓0.931.2M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4442.7792-3.74%39.23-11.72%0.0743✗1.838.0M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.172-3.80%2.0456-9.40%0.1102✗1.941.6M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.7926-3.91%8.51-6.99%0.0889✗1.3915.8M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase70.7267.8799-4.02%63.44-10.29%0.0646✗1.511.2M2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.777003-4.20%0.6942-14.41%0.0004✓1.283.6M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.28-4.37%9.27-13.77%0.0082✓1.094.1M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.1611-4.54%12.81+0.55%0.0979✗0.521.5M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.1103-4.68%3.467-19.60%0.0825✓1.003.3M2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.6433-4.82%1.5394-10.83%0.0217✓0.995.4M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.035471-4.97%0.033837-9.34%0.0422✓1.0210.0M2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.019080.01813-4.98%0.01731-9.28%0.0581✗1.192.8M2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5841.2654-5.31%41.84-3.99%0.1634✗1.713.1M2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.319249-5.32%0.3005-10.88%0.0517✓1.285.8M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.02478-5.42%0.02216-15.42%0.0241✓1.0035.6M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.3588-5.66%13.72-3.11%0.0236✓-0.034.8M2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.214143-6.28%0.19941-12.73%0.0703✗1.6118k2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.8521.7355-6.29%1.6303-11.97%0.0536✓1.327.3M2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.826831-6.50%0.8413-4.86%0.1711✗1.7523.5M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.4979-6.55%3.2506-13.15%0.0034✓0.878.0M2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.674998-6.64%0.64-11.48%0.0552✓1.242.9M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.835-6.66%3.89-24.90%0.1298✓1.0012.4M2022-01-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.8959-8.78%1.5062-27.53%0.1716✓0.676.3M2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.