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2021-12-26 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1671
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.8%
in alpha space · 79.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1961.9571-10.88%1.5587-29.02%0.1798✓0.676.7M2022-01-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.755.248-8.73%4.22-26.61%0.1466✓1.0012.3M2022-01-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.5657-7.67%3.3401-13.51%0.0028✓0.888.3M2022-01-02
HIVEHivenative1.76641.6325-7.58%1.7249-2.35%0.1496✗1.328.3M2022-01-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.674934-7.54%0.642-12.05%0.0383✓1.243.0M2022-01-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1714.1214-6.91%14.75-2.77%0.0412✓-0.035.1M2022-01-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5541.0251-5.80%40.64-6.68%0.1125✗1.713.7M2022-01-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.311667-5.64%0.3119-5.57%0.0922✗1.285.8M2022-01-02
XVGVergenative0.019370.018286-5.59%0.01767-8.78%0.0508✓1.192.8M2022-01-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.0982-5.49%1.83-17.57%0.0141✓1.721.5M2022-01-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.035689-5.21%0.0346-8.10%0.0418✓1.0211.0M2022-01-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.670888-5.08%0.9435+33.49%0.4660✗1.7517.7M2022-01-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.112.4464-4.99%13.99+6.79%0.1543✗0.522.1M2022-01-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3074.0959-4.90%3.564-17.25%0.0677✓1.003.5M2022-01-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.6102-4.83%1.5552-8.08%0.0362✓0.995.7M2022-01-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.772723-4.52%0.714-11.78%0.0124✓1.283.8M2022-01-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.471796-4.49%0.417-15.59%0.0726✓0.7145k2022-01-02
UMAUMAEthereum10.419.9438-4.48%9.49-8.84%0.0308✓1.084.1M2022-01-02
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13614.4719-4.39%14.898-1.57%0.0224✓-0.09133k2022-01-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.2472-4.14%2.095-10.64%0.0686✗1.941.8M2022-01-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.201149-4.07%0.2038-2.80%0.1283✗1.6122k2022-01-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6643.8106-4.05%41.08-10.03%0.0668✗1.848.5M2022-01-02
ZENHorizenBase70.367.4932-3.99%65.06-7.45%0.0710✗1.511.3M2022-01-02
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.01602-3.96%0.01618-3.00%0.0765✗0.931.3M2022-01-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.021149-3.91%0.02402+9.13%0.1987✗1.0034.3M2022-01-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.410105-3.84%0.3822-10.39%0.0210✓1.285.3M2022-01-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.193.0697-3.77%2.859-10.38%0.0018✓0.972.2M2022-01-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.5365-3.71%6.05+5.22%0.1818✗1.3028.7M2022-01-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.452492-3.52%0.7568+61.36%0.6161✗1.431.1M2022-01-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.061811-3.48%0.065084+1.63%0.1558✗1.468.7M2022-01-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.109123-3.43%0.1001-11.42%0.0112✓1.362.5M2022-01-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.358476-3.38%0.3957+6.66%0.1637✗0.91356k2022-01-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.084903-3.35%0.08444-3.88%0.0802✗1.2021.7M2022-01-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.6302-3.34%4.34-9.39%0.0067✓1.001.2M2022-01-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.5997-3.20%6.29-7.74%0.0368✗1.19764k2022-01-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.764393-3.16%0.727-7.89%0.0392✗1.257.3M2022-01-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07111.5078-3.10%113.21-1.62%0.0958✗1.13127.7M2022-01-02
STORJStorjEthereum2.07122.0084-3.03%1.9263-6.99%0.0084✓0.701.2M2022-01-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08061.0481-3.01%1.007-6.81%0.0314✗1.00178k2022-01-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1731.2055-3.00%35.54+10.48%0.1918✗0.8639.4M2022-01-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.409841-3.00%0.3836-9.21%0.0424✗1.524.4M2022-01-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000037143-2.89%0.00003405-10.98%0.0155✓1.002.2M2022-01-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.2941-2.88%1.3001-2.42%0.1302✗1.761.5M2022-01-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.233131-2.86%0.2121-11.62%0.0072✓1.226.1M2022-01-02
ZECZcashZcash167.45162.6816-2.85%153.06-8.59%0.0328✗1.3111.8M2022-01-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.081614-2.84%0.079-5.95%0.0611✗1.312.1M2022-01-02
LUNATerraTerra 299.7897.0304-2.76%89.35-10.45%0.0110✓1.004.9M2022-01-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.235.0884-2.71%4.35-16.83%0.0853✓1.005.7M2022-01-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2328.9889-2.63%8.698-5.78%0.0623✗1.33411k2022-01-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.5657-2.62%1.6739+4.10%0.1435✗1.0731.7M2022-01-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.7133-2.54%3.78-0.79%0.0909✗1.02787k2022-01-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3430,402.70-2.53%39,116.51+25.40%0.2893✗0.528.3M2022-01-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2510.9654-2.53%10.51-6.58%0.0129✓0.771.4M2022-01-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.1421-2.43%1.265+8.07%0.2088✗1.492.3M2022-01-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.140355-2.40%0.1368-4.87%0.0500✗1.06376k2022-01-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3576-2.38%1.3723-1.32%0.0855✗1.0522.8M2022-01-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3430.5936-2.38%29.7-5.23%0.0603✗1.2677.1M2022-01-02
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.7442-2.34%8.93+12.61%0.2413✗1.3815.1M2022-01-02
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.363-2.33%11.14+5.00%0.1398✗0.941.6M2022-01-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.019126-2.32%0.0208+6.23%0.1258✗0.5946k2022-01-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.196478-2.30%0.2121+5.47%0.1577✗1.143.9M2022-01-02
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.979005-2.29%0.923-7.88%0.0462✗1.478.9M2022-01-02
FTTFTXEthereum42.5941.6222-2.27%40.16-5.71%0.0397✗1.0620.7M2022-01-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.110788-2.21%0.11531+1.78%0.0807✗0.57113k2022-01-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.2509-2.20%24.4-5.50%0.0424✗1.072.2M2022-01-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018284-2.17%0.01661-11.13%0.0070✓1.252.8M2022-01-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6183-2.16%4.96+5.08%0.1428✗1.002.5M2022-01-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.8254-2.13%4.5765-7.18%0.0000✓0.7427k2022-01-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.5633-2.11%15.31-9.52%0.0295✓0.691.4M2022-01-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.938.0827-2.10%35.55-8.61%0.0389✗1.511.3M2022-01-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2531-2.10%1.17-8.59%0.0028✓1.002.3M2022-01-02
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.6909-2.09%9.2363-6.69%0.0547✗1.44285k2022-01-02
BANDBandEthereum5.855.7276-2.09%5.28-9.74%0.0039✓1.192.8M2022-01-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.285927-2.08%0.292273+0.10%0.0936✗1.0034.1M2022-01-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53105.3001-2.07%96.42-10.33%0.0199✓0.967.9M2022-01-02
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.4248-2.07%1.3779-5.29%0.0425✗1.06120.2M2022-01-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.2323-2.07%4.65-12.96%0.0212✓1.355.4M2022-01-02
XEMNEMnative0.14120.138298-2.06%0.1307-7.44%0.0220✗1.10178k2022-01-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.5223-2.03%21.88-4.83%0.0646✗1.3169.7M2022-01-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6712.4166-2.00%11.71-7.58%0.0787✓-0.284.5M2022-01-02
DASHDashDash149.09146.1927-1.94%141.99-4.76%0.0611✗1.262.0M2022-01-02
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000119104-1.92%0.00011334-6.67%0.0210✗0.9911.0M2022-01-02
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05262.9192-1.91%265.45-0.97%0.0862✗1.0711.4M2022-01-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.049852-1.90%0.04899-3.60%0.0480✗0.9210.6M2022-01-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.433.7475-1.90%32.18-6.45%0.0002✓0.67572k2022-01-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.5906-1.90%3.1749-13.25%0.0335✓1.253.1M2022-01-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.186424-1.89%0.174401-8.22%0.0124✓1.115.5M2022-01-02
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.3175-1.89%18.41-1.39%0.0992✗1.3214.2M2022-01-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.214986-1.83%0.2055-6.16%0.0169✓0.87748k2022-01-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96153.1194-1.82%151.2-3.05%0.0864✗1.3954.4M2022-01-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0244-1.80%3.2+3.90%0.1480✗1.283.0M2022-01-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.722225-1.79%0.6765-8.01%0.0260✗1.2812.8M2022-01-02
KSMKusamaHydration322.4316.6384-1.79%295.23-8.43%0.0088✓1.101.5M2022-01-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.89822.494-1.76%22.624-1.20%0.1257✗1.6819.5M2022-01-02
QNTQuantEthereum194.3190.9008-1.75%187.33-3.59%0.0481✗0.9411.9M2022-01-02
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.8019-1.73%3.5764-7.56%0.0147✓1.06798k2022-01-02
SOLSolanaSolana198194.5792-1.73%176.32-10.95%0.0256✓1.02255.1M2022-01-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.088137-1.63%0.088-1.79%0.0763✗1.0918k2022-01-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.2466-1.63%8.56-8.94%0.0218✓0.77934k2022-01-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.024036-1.58%0.02233-8.57%0.0124✓1.202.3M2022-01-02
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.2276-1.57%3.127-4.64%0.0283✗0.8497k2022-01-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.1443-1.53%6.24+0.00%0.0953✗1.124.6M2022-01-02
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5231.8951-1.53%211.43-10.22%0.0137✓1.10236k2022-01-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.9123-1.53%1.776-8.55%0.0198✗1.317.9M2022-01-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2548-1.50%2.225-2.80%0.0655✗1.103.3M2022-01-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2936.7348-1.49%35.76-4.10%0.0456✗1.0122.1M2022-01-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.2974-1.49%1.266-3.87%0.0445✗0.973.4M2022-01-02
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.235846-1.48%0.2093-12.57%0.0859✓0.47392k2022-01-02
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077184.4306-1.48%200.0687+6.87%0.1627✗1.14674k2022-01-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.057793-1.48%0.05753-1.93%0.0749✗1.1116k2022-01-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.866257-1.46%0.888452+1.06%0.1026✗1.083.2M2022-01-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,068.39-1.44%47,299.07-6.89%0.0145✓1.00744.5M2022-01-02
XMRMoneroMonero216.57213.5237-1.41%239.56+10.62%0.1858✗0.992.7M2022-01-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.3478-1.39%27.32+2.25%0.1360✗1.4022.9M2022-01-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.5062-1.39%8.85-8.20%0.0240✓0.67952k2022-01-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.7221-1.37%2.56-7.25%0.0112✓1.024.1M2022-01-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.8521-1.36%7.19-9.67%0.0431✓0.63986k2022-01-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3749-1.32%1.4243+2.22%0.1117✗1.071.3M2022-01-02
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.8058-1.30%4.6703-4.08%0.0640✗1.305.3M2022-01-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3050,330.20-1.29%47,411.90-7.01%0.0104✓0.988,5662022-01-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4609-1.28%2.4089-3.36%0.0631✗1.18147k2022-01-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.564-1.27%3.4-5.82%0.0234✗0.991.2M2022-01-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4184-1.25%5.195-5.32%0.0041✓0.65798k2022-01-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5125.9128-1.24%124.05-2.71%0.0556✗0.993.2M2022-01-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9237.4562-1.22%35.38-6.70%0.0177✗1.055.6M2022-01-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.123057-1.22%0.12251-1.66%0.0740✗1.1029k2022-01-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.098649-1.22%0.09233-7.55%0.0384✗1.464.8M2022-01-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.6113-1.19%10.125+4.09%0.0967✗0.62455k2022-01-02
GTGateEthereum6.75026.6737-1.13%6.6057-2.14%0.0473✗0.814.3M2022-01-02
XVSVenusEthereum17.1116.9386-1.00%16.04-6.25%0.0268✗1.144.8M2022-01-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.0748-0.93%4.172+1.43%0.0747✗0.72473k2022-01-02
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,030.78-0.86%3,828.87-5.83%0.0231✗1.04760.7M2022-01-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6537-0.86%1.667-0.06%0.1011✗1.304.3M2022-01-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3331-0.84%5.012+14.69%0.2050✗0.83719k2022-01-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.4563-0.76%3.7845+8.67%0.0844✗-0.09384k2022-01-02
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.081049-0.56%0.077643-4.74%0.0257✗0.96648k2022-01-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86450.8244-0.23%447.91-0.87%0.0667✗1.0211.4M2022-01-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.