XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s3

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1030

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0234

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.077349	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076164	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074415	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074868	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076754	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080635	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083465	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.078615	-2.05%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0095	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081013	-1.99%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0319	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078996	-1.86%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0361	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086453	-2.21%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0884	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.0854	-2.20%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0541	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082865	-2.07%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0175	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.082043	-2.03%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0356	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085647	-2.22%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0343	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087753	-2.28%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0162	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092383	-2.56%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0646	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093783	-2.63%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0072	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092982	-2.79%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0285	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090741	-2.76%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0330	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093388	-2.87%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0497	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092017	-3.00%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0438	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092867	-3.03%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0698	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.095208	-3.13%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0480	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102643	-3.25%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1046	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107492	-3.56%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1233	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.109337	-4.62%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1669	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.106592	-3.84%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1127	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087671	-2.59%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0961	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093873	-2.60%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0692	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095304	-2.74%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0886	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086932	-2.58%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1386	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089768	-2.62%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1589	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091325	-2.65%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1682	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085321	-2.40%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1103	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.079663	-1.62%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0337	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.080536	-1.64%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0303	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083268	-0.77%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0108	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078066	+0.35%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0538	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080683	+0.78%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0609	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.083475	+1.21%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0497	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.08513	+1.24%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0301	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.090764	+1.77%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0743	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.099158	+0.83%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1328	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.095397	+2.64%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.1094	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.092847	+3.65%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.1019	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.096791	+3.94%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1353	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.097298	+4.40%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.1131	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.101132	+4.83%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0851	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.086604	+3.99%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0070	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.085962	+4.02%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1103	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.087592	+4.44%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0484	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.087193	+3.69%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0257	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090137	+3.76%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0026	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087152	+3.06%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0326	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093795	+3.97%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0101	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.090154	+2.77%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0470	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.092081	+1.78%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0874	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.098612	+1.28%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1543	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101488	-0.15%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1869	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093173	-0.58%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0917	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100848	-0.74%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1674	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086844	-2.28%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0880	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078372	-2.53%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0611	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073486	-3.17%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0655	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073737	-3.08%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0124	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.07226	-3.43%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0320	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073262	-3.40%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0457	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073696	-3.49%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0028	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072817	-3.37%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0072	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071503	-3.27%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0158	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075816	-3.45%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0258	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075987	-3.42%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0119	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074265	-3.06%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0557	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073839	-2.95%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0720	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073581	-2.87%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0826	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072975	-2.80%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0520	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072978	-2.66%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0410	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075719	-2.79%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0485	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075375	-2.84%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0323	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073962	-2.68%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0031	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073195	-2.60%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0117	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071825	-2.34%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0047	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076288	-2.26%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0055	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075483	-2.16%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0228	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081503	-2.45%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0499	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077218	-2.07%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0098	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.0834	-2.17%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0525	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081526	-2.07%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0474	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082898	-2.07%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0917	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079763	-1.71%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0144	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083434	-1.73%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0303	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082373	-1.53%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0726	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083681	-1.61%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0259	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079313	-1.35%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0580	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081614	-1.31%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0305	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084058	-1.34%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0028	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085213	-1.37%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0782	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090427	-1.71%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0912	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091505	-1.82%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1212	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087983	-1.70%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0971	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.0873	-1.74%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1028	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089203	-1.87%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0993	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089979	-2.04%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0490	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093299	-2.20%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0914	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089155	-1.92%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0296	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096474	-2.35%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0741	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.106086	-2.85%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1285	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.103891	-2.59%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1602	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.103931	-2.50%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1505	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104049	-2.48%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1637	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093406	-1.78%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0195	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089452	-1.48%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0393	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085597	-1.16%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0327	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.10209	-2.68%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0121	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.093686	-2.21%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0449	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098166	-2.66%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0178	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100451	-3.13%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0084	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.101078	-3.64%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0982	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089141	-3.11%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0415	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.085763	-3.42%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.1075	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.081939	-3.43%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3376	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.08594	-3.65%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.2010	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.090694	-3.82%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.2086	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.096597	-4.17%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1559	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.09374	-4.15%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1901	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105495	-6.31%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0589	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.087424	-4.25%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0877	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.086038	-4.56%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0429	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.085926	-4.10%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0987	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.083381	-4.16%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1285	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078133	-5.41%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2564	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072155	-4.30%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3217	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061216	+0.03%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5390	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.06511	-1.50%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2464	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.067913	-2.98%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.2101	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067317	-2.86%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2298	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06509	-0.63%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2083	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066148	-1.27%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1647	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080666	-4.42%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0628	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.088456	-5.80%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3119	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.082477	-4.32%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1075	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.088876	-4.43%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0740	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.085613	-3.91%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0016	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.08738	-3.98%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0179	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085045	-4.12%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0209	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.09078	-4.94%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1309	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082028	-3.61%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3550	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084918	-3.61%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2074	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083131	-3.39%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2437	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078724	-3.17%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1978	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081476	-3.35%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1713	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.079621	-3.14%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1525	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086735	-3.31%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1800	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.084424	-3.18%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0732	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079276	-2.91%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1247	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081235	-3.00%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0514	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081144	-2.94%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0107	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084097	-3.00%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0319	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086353	-2.97%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0247	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093432	-3.03%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0290	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091275	-3.11%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0093	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.093158	-3.01%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0596	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099285	-3.04%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0809	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104071	-3.05%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1304	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.102937	-3.07%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1241	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106501	-3.36%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1586	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103581	-2.83%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0918	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097835	-2.21%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0039	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090833	-1.86%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0624	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086923	-1.67%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1354	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.088105	-1.78%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1409	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089049	-1.71%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1452	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.08952	-1.73%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1768	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089589	-1.77%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1118	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091411	-1.76%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0047	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094276	-1.90%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0975	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096459	-1.97%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1301	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098655	-2.03%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0932	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097912	-2.23%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0957	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097761	-2.29%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0843	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098749	-2.28%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0441	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099385	-2.32%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0216	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099956	-2.58%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0388	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101744	-2.73%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0609	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100823	-2.91%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0924	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106151	-2.93%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0938	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.12335	-3.18%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2160	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.135512	-3.76%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3526	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.126482	-3.49%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2815	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129193	-3.59%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2728	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134618	-3.84%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2799	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.119627	-3.72%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2021	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131456	-3.84%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2342	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125146	-3.99%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0590	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118447	-3.82%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1088	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119911	-3.84%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0168	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125184	-3.93%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0246	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115171	-4.10%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0844	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116873	-3.93%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0256	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112829	-3.85%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0759	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106167	-3.75%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0850	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.112391	-5.63%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0074	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102599	-3.21%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1334	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090649	-2.37%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2865	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086498	-2.10%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2831	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084788	-1.87%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2957	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086954	-1.91%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2788	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087654	-1.79%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2167	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091838	-1.93%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3001	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098434	-2.06%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1404	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095763	-1.98%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0173	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.09469	-1.93%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0178	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.08941	-1.80%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090888	-1.95%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0306	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092328	-2.04%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0538	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.096776	-2.25%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0087	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105802	-2.44%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0526	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115302	-2.74%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.0973	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.120059	-3.02%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1377	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104689	-2.57%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0395	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107211	-2.76%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.0975	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105336	-2.78%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1021	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.103485	-2.83%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0317	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.096851	-2.76%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0918	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096319	-2.85%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1275	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088736	-2.49%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.2036	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.090622	-2.61%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0232	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092148	-2.80%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0939	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.095711	-3.03%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0641	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.114939	-3.37%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0692	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.110471	-3.27%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0534	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.110977	-4.08%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1486	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.10075	-3.68%	0.091	-13.00%	0.0929	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.094207	-3.48%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0170	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.098079	-3.75%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0406	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.088957	-2.99%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0537	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.091481	-3.30%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1889	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.099059	-4.20%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0424	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084858	-2.57%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2187	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084714	-2.63%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1215	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086721	-3.16%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1581	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.092868	-3.96%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.1139	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.091426	-3.91%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0487	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.090095	-3.80%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0377	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.089052	-3.57%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.1157	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.092718	-4.02%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0117	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.097631	-4.47%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0246	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.092664	-3.68%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0097	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.097998	-4.11%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0244	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.094001	-3.39%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0292	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090117	-1.89%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0223	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081903	+0.37%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1330	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081436	+0.48%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1990	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083925	+0.33%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2228	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083407	+0.98%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1735	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085117	+1.57%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1716	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085267	+1.81%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1679	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081698	+3.55%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0256	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095024	+0.18%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0348	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.094933	-0.18%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0603	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.101978	-1.90%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0677	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.100478	-0.81%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0139	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.104716	-1.49%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0750	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.118987	-3.14%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0714	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.121856	-3.06%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2776	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.13962	-3.71%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0851	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133824	-3.31%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0439	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122054	-2.24%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1033	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.116621	-1.67%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1288	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.12633	-2.15%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1076	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122244	-1.73%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1450	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121024	-1.49%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1668	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124135	-1.48%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1605	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.1193	-1.08%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1281	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.13148	-1.73%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0571	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.12911	-1.74%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.0988	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.13764	-1.97%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0870	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.141751	-2.04%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0195	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.139889	-2.04%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0228	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.157834	-2.45%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0475	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.157513	-2.59%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0957	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.149359	-2.57%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1465	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.159741	-2.89%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2695	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.156354	-2.89%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2339	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.164024	-3.06%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2576	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160151	-3.00%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2366	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.172911	-3.24%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2153	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.201124	-3.86%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2557	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.183386	-3.38%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1164	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185693	-3.59%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1046	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.191311	-3.77%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1663	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.187487	-4.15%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1182	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165005	-3.51%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0579	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.155638	-3.45%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158327	-3.34%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2201	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.152541	-3.58%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1438	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.14973	-3.65%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2114	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.147892	-3.40%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2645	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.135516	-3.03%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3369	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.129397	-2.86%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2610	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129174	-2.88%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2228	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.126389	-2.70%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2483	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.12505	-2.61%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2516	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.125947	-2.59%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2188	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133195	-2.78%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.127716	-2.66%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0991	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116669	-2.21%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.122235	-2.41%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.129981	-2.60%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.131863	-2.50%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147332	-2.78%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.151941	-2.73%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0819	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.144652	-2.53%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.159077	-2.56%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2081	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.