XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s3

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1827

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0717

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.075798	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.075697	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072312	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070582	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.07112	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.07289	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076578	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.079306	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074743	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.077396	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.07532	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082506	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.081438	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.079128	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.078322	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.081821	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.08407	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.088188	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089546	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088441	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086415	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.08874	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.087132	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.088003	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.090189	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.097418	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.10186	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.103118	-10.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.100753	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.084068	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.090372	-6.23%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.0559	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.092018	-6.09%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.0686	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.082939	-7.06%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0914	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.085545	-7.20%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1250	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086885	-7.39%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1455	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.080801	-7.57%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1234	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.075631	-6.60%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0133	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076545	-6.52%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0197	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.078338	-6.65%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0388	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.073194	-5.91%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0075	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.075579	-5.60%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0184	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.078278	-5.09%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0054	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.079858	-5.03%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0277	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.084549	-5.20%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0754	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.09106	-7.40%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1477	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.088108	-5.20%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.0890	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.08631	-3.65%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0647	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.08987	-3.49%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0656	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.090855	-2.52%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0779	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.094268	-2.28%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0549	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.082916	-0.44%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0403	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083032	+0.47%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0185	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084657	+0.94%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0143	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085565	+1.75%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0028	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.089215	+2.70%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0010	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087777	+3.80%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0686	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.095026	+5.34%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0857	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.092773	+5.76%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1201	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.09589	+5.99%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0415	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.103549	+6.35%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2348	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.106361	+4.65%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2469	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.098417	+5.01%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1706	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.107729	+6.03%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2380	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.085912	-3.33%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0713	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.076114	-5.34%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0048	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.070207	-7.49%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0145	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.070276	-7.63%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.0963	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.068475	-8.49%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.0897	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.069211	-8.74%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1203	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.069543	-8.93%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1775	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.068776	-8.73%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1375	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.067644	-8.49%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.0969	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.07155	-8.88%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1161	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.071841	-8.69%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0861	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070555	-7.90%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0411	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070282	-7.63%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0233	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070281	-7.23%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0816	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069699	-7.17%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0373	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069792	-6.91%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0282	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071929	-7.66%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0604	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07135	-8.03%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1437	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.070251	-7.56%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1391	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069544	-7.46%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1498	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068466	-6.91%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1125	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.073121	-6.32%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1085	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.072275	-6.32%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1291	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.0777	-7.00%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1821	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073859	-6.33%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1394	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.079949	-6.22%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1359	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.078173	-6.10%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0710	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.079489	-6.10%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0262	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.076967	-5.15%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0463	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.080791	-4.84%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0128	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080154	-4.18%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0297	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081147	-4.59%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0956	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077043	-4.18%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0151	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.079498	-3.87%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0372	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.081784	-4.01%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0654	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.082864	-4.09%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0711	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.087661	-4.72%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1014	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.088615	-4.92%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1291	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084883	-5.16%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1632	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084472	-4.93%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0684	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.086249	-5.12%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0951	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.086856	-5.44%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1425	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.089783	-5.89%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2077	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.086155	-5.22%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1939	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.092827	-6.05%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2348	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.10143	-7.12%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3164	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.099628	-6.58%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2573	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.099875	-6.31%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2618	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.100098	-6.19%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2992	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.090681	-4.65%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2187	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.086964	-4.22%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2368	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.083286	-3.83%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2064	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.097323	-7.22%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3096	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.089878	-6.18%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1630	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.093523	-7.26%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2474	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.095008	-8.38%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2161	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.09486	-9.57%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2245	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.083926	-8.78%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0590	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.08033	-9.54%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0440	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.076792	-9.50%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0516	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.080211	-10.08%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0342	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.084547	-10.34%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0167	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.089847	-10.87%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1395	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.087508	-10.52%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1015	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.097923	-13.03%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1270	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.081884	-10.31%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0980	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.080609	-10.58%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1701	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.080498	-10.16%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1641	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.078226	-10.08%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1919	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.07313	-11.47%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1896	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.067649	-10.28%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2901	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059676	-2.49%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3681	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.062738	-5.09%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3837	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.064045	-8.51%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3696	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.063518	-8.34%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4413	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06286	-4.03%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4800	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.063519	-5.20%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4598	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.07492	-11.23%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3666	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.081549	-13.15%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.3016	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.076364	-11.41%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3380	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.082598	-11.19%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3270	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.080023	-10.19%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3982	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.081927	-9.97%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5334	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.079892	-9.93%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4774	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.084761	-11.25%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4676	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077048	-9.46%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6131	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.079795	-9.43%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6305	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.078437	-8.85%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5484	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074505	-8.36%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5129	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.077027	-8.63%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3841	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075175	-8.55%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4526	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.081983	-8.60%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4353	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.079804	-8.48%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5456	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.074874	-8.30%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5776	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.076683	-8.44%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6609	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076704	-8.25%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4344	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079512	-8.29%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3833	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.08175	-8.15%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3842	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.088629	-8.01%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3416	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.086193	-8.50%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3054	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.088204	-8.17%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2036	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.094128	-8.08%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0084	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.09878	-7.98%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0217	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.097626	-8.07%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0316	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.100792	-8.54%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0262	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.098173	-7.91%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0049	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.093625	-6.42%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0319	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.087178	-5.80%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2644	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.083487	-5.56%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3879	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.084361	-5.95%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2270	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.085528	-5.60%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2067	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.085991	-5.61%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1126	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.085793	-5.93%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1032	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.087569	-5.89%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0549	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.090264	-6.07%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1071	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.092558	-5.94%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0296	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.094918	-5.74%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0242	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.093859	-6.28%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0797	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.093752	-6.29%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1338	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.094956	-6.03%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0898	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.095573	-6.07%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.1008	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.095522	-6.90%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0847	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.097023	-7.24%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1362	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.095465	-8.07%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2124	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.100861	-7.76%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2085	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.117108	-8.08%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3427	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.127652	-9.34%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4427	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.119065	-9.15%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3706	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.121548	-9.29%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3629	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.126522	-9.63%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3872	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.111922	-9.92%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3370	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.123393	-9.73%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3437	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.117431	-9.91%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2566	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.110962	-9.90%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2065	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.112252	-9.98%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1872	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.117413	-9.89%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2458	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.107702	-10.32%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3119	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.10945	-10.03%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3939	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.105896	-9.76%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4209	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.100319	-9.05%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3342	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.105641	-11.30%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3803	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.096741	-8.73%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2601	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086082	-7.29%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1046	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.08218	-6.98%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0587	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080744	-6.55%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0369	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082939	-6.44%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0514	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083895	-6.00%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0634	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.088162	-5.86%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0492	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.094771	-5.70%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0659	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.092217	-5.61%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0594	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.091323	-5.41%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0346	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.085945	-5.61%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0061	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.08733	-5.79%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0412	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.088845	-5.74%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0893	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.092854	-6.21%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0469	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.101476	-6.43%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1118	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.110436	-6.84%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2190	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.114721	-7.33%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1341	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.100427	-6.54%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2625	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.102462	-7.06%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2483	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.100675	-7.08%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.2143	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.098797	-7.23%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2733	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.092553	-7.08%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2857	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.091899	-7.31%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2551	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.085063	-6.52%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3279	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.08655	-6.99%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2809	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.087848	-7.33%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2778	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.091006	-7.80%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2710	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.109112	-8.27%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1462	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.105493	-7.62%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1633	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.104912	-9.32%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1595	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.095104	-9.08%	0.106	+1.34%	0.1245	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.088873	-8.94%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0120	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.092232	-9.49%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0378	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.084719	-7.61%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0174	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.086847	-8.20%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0468	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.093071	-9.99%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0054	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.081074	-6.92%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0439	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.080892	-7.02%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0777	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.082168	-8.24%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.1123	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.086769	-10.27%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0462	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.085457	-10.19%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0663	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.084293	-9.99%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0540	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.083505	-9.58%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0353	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.086353	-10.61%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0854	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.090477	-11.47%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.1325	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.086778	-9.79%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.2093	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.091431	-10.54%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.2030	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.088494	-9.05%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.1141	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.085525	-6.89%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1512	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.078251	-4.10%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2446	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.077719	-4.11%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2793	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.080158	-4.17%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2150	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079722	-3.48%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2246	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.08125	-3.04%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1304	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.081443	-2.75%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2306	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077303	-2.02%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0852	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090654	-4.42%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2370	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.090794	-4.53%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4199	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.096718	-6.96%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3486	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.095688	-5.54%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4651	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.099289	-6.60%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3640	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.111536	-9.21%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4566	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.114293	-9.07%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4431	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.130548	-9.97%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3612	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.125521	-9.31%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3719	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.114996	-7.89%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4923	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.110006	-7.25%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4517	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.119148	-7.71%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4074	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.115844	-6.88%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3769	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.114984	-6.40%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4494	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.118066	-6.30%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4040	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.11352	-5.87%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4282	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.125835	-5.95%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4480	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.123849	-5.75%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5183	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.132308	-5.76%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4869	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.136428	-5.72%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4056	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.134745	-5.64%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4488	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.151435	-6.41%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3051	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.150601	-6.86%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3172	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.142237	-7.22%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1977	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.15134	-8.00%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0654	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.148111	-8.01%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0567	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.155025	-8.38%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0058	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.151679	-8.13%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0884	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.16327	-8.63%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0307	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.188814	-9.74%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0173	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.173214	-8.74%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0572	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.174838	-9.22%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1477	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.179815	-9.55%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1932	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.176137	-9.95%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1582	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.155843	-8.86%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1054	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.147175	-8.70%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.149912	-8.48%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1312	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.144632	-8.58%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.142214	-8.49%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.140393	-8.30%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1224	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.12911	-7.61%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0765	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.123626	-7.19%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.12352	-7.13%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.120766	-7.03%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.119699	-6.78%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.120593	-6.73%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.12727	-7.10%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.121971	-7.03%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.111153	-6.83%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1266	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.11638	-7.08%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1154	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.123782	-7.24%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.125613	-7.13%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1381	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.140127	-7.54%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.144838	-7.27%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.138006	-7.00%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.152229	-6.75%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0797	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.