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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s3

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5970
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0544
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002635-3.65%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002634-3.17%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002638-3.21%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002927-4.80%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002599-3.56%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.0026-3.51%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002647-3.58%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002658-3.86%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002734-3.55%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002651-3.62%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002727-3.48%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002735-3.71%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002693-3.46%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002657-3.20%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002803-3.03%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002887-1.81%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003147-3.17%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003079-1.63%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002968-2.06%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002885-1.52%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002956-1.80%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002899-2.05%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002874-1.40%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002956-1.48%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003102-1.21%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.00333-2.64%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002886-0.30%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002809+0.33%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002857+0.58%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002999+1.83%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002971+2.61%0.002735-5.53%0.0360✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002516-0.14%0.00272+7.94%0.0592✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002635+0.20%0.002725+3.61%0.0271✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002891-0.15%0.003075+6.22%0.0493✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002604-2.10%0.002695+1.32%0.0189✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002362-1.57%0.002695+12.29%0.0748✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002414-1.67%0.002745+11.81%0.0556✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002528-0.67%0.002765+8.64%0.0515✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002554-1.00%0.002835+9.88%0.0355✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002685-0.54%0.00275+1.85%0.0267✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002743-0.06%0.002825+2.91%0.0374✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002613+0.31%0.00284+9.02%0.0110✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002898+1.32%0.00279-2.45%0.0832✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002736+0.58%0.002745+0.92%0.0303✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002644+0.72%0.00289+10.10%0.0469✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002718+1.60%0.00294+9.91%0.0239✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002812+2.44%0.00325+18.40%0.0814✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002711+2.87%0.00313+18.79%0.0755✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003004+4.31%0.00303+5.21%0.0244✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.003019+3.05%0.00293+0.00%0.1132✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003324+3.55%0.00301-6.23%0.1846✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003157+4.35%0.00296-2.15%0.1254✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00264+3.13%0.002915+13.87%0.0075✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002648+4.05%0.003+17.88%0.0619✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002891+3.79%0.00314+12.75%0.0030✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.003026+6.56%0.00342+20.42%0.0734✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002862+6.60%0.002895+7.82%0.0459✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002893+6.96%0.0028+3.51%0.0993✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003061+6.85%0.00284-0.87%0.1354✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003237+5.96%0.002945-3.60%0.1976✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003126+5.79%0.002895-2.03%0.1911✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003252+6.96%0.00252-17.11%0.2895✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003069+0.95%0.00263-13.49%0.2632✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003022-2.53%0.002895-6.61%0.2249✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002901-4.56%0.00266-12.50%0.3026✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003052-5.53%0.0024-25.70%0.4393✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002862-5.86%0.002455-19.24%0.3659✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002891-6.14%0.002545-17.37%0.3700✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002761-5.61%0.00258-11.79%0.2905✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002758-5.71%0.0027-7.69%0.2564✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002963-7.13%0.002745-13.95%0.2612✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002764-6.14%0.002605-11.54%0.1954✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003152-7.96%0.00286-16.50%0.1392✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00285-6.24%0.00272-10.53%0.0595✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002899-6.18%0.002625-15.05%0.1000✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003097-6.44%0.002675-19.18%0.1488✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003447-7.47%0.002745-26.31%0.2419✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004406-11.53%0.002635-47.09%0.5233✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002862-4.30%0.00288-3.68%0.0416✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003024-4.90%0.00293-7.86%0.0042✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003124-5.06%0.00321-2.43%0.0519✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003092-4.85%0.003025-6.92%0.0138✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003012-3.79%0.00256-18.21%0.1280✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003096-3.70%0.002545-20.84%0.1604✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003295-4.51%0.002785-19.28%0.1224✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003464-4.57%0.00284-21.76%0.1442✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.00349-4.38%0.002685-26.44%0.2142✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003629-4.00%0.002705-28.44%0.2462✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003553-3.83%0.002865-22.46%0.1663✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003562-3.47%0.003055-17.21%0.1202✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003701-3.50%0.002955-22.95%0.1880✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003864-3.39%0.00304-24.00%0.2006✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003861-3.00%0.00304-23.62%0.2172✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003767-2.92%0.0031-20.10%0.1823✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00397-3.40%0.00304-26.03%0.2670✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003939-3.11%0.00323-20.54%0.1993✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004071-3.41%0.00304-27.88%0.2954✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004172-3.42%0.00308-28.70%0.3057✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004359-3.76%0.002925-35.43%0.4065✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003625-1.75%0.002925-20.73%0.2205✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004012-2.14%0.00319-22.20%0.2275✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004155-2.12%0.002945-30.62%0.3446✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004265-2.08%0.003425-21.35%0.2185✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004597-2.61%0.00304-35.59%0.4101✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005146-3.45%0.00309-42.03%0.5036✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004807-2.29%0.00331-32.72%0.3628✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00591-5.29%0.003725-40.30%0.4558✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.006971-6.18%0.00498-32.97%0.3325✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007591-6.40%0.00299-63.13%0.9303✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007272-6.77%0.00318-59.23%0.8259✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00769-6.96%0.00329-60.19%0.8458✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007945-7.18%0.00325-62.03%0.8902✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007335-7.27%0.00313-60.43%0.8404✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007929-7.80%0.003215-62.62%0.8865✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008394-7.66%0.00345-62.05%0.8762✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006599-7.19%0.00363-48.95%0.5774✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007235-7.48%0.00365-53.32%0.6657✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007468-7.81%0.00378-53.33%0.6554✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007344-8.14%0.003695-53.78%0.6646✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007246-8.04%0.00369-53.17%0.6643✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007913-8.09%0.003835-55.46%0.7140✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008255-8.18%0.004-55.51%0.7142✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007937-8.66%0.00398-54.20%0.6742✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008684-8.87%0.00388-59.29%0.8006✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008299-9.25%0.00411-55.06%0.6966✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008086-9.45%0.004065-54.48%0.6785✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008806-9.31%0.004215-56.59%0.7399✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009253-9.10%0.00432-57.56%0.7712✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008729-8.69%0.00453-52.62%0.6625✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007708-8.24%0.00369-56.07%0.7401✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008587-9.33%0.0041-56.71%0.7475✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006887-8.05%0.004245-43.32%0.4829✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006799-8.12%0.004355-41.15%0.4444✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006888-8.65%0.00472-37.40%0.3642✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006039-7.52%0.00533-18.38%0.1174✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006568-8.78%0.00492-31.67%0.2939✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00705-9.97%0.00624-20.31%0.1218✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007216-10.70%0.00743-8.04%0.0533✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007047-10.68%0.00811+2.79%0.1579✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007833-11.40%0.0078-11.76%0.0106✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008041-11.54%0.008265-9.08%0.0187✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008629-11.50%0.00856-12.21%0.0319✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010845-13.45%0.00791-36.87%0.5183✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008323-11.32%0.0086-8.36%0.1735✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007932-10.97%0.00909+2.02%0.0381✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009527-13.39%0.00711-35.36%0.4545✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006504-10.78%0.00782+7.27%0.0415✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006669-11.37%0.0081+7.64%0.0552✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006755-11.92%0.007995+4.24%0.0047✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007805-12.60%0.00788-11.76%0.0648✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008674-12.96%0.00861-13.60%0.0633✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009257-13.08%0.00899-15.59%0.0515✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010562-13.25%0.00869-28.62%0.2080✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011931-13.73%0.00953-31.09%0.2552✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011325-14.27%0.009145-30.77%0.2415✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015079-14.83%0.00893-49.56%0.5400✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.016846-18.03%0.00971-52.75%0.5268✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.014414-17.35%0.01018-41.63%0.2983✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014851-18.49%0.00956-47.53%0.3925✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.018029-20.54%0.0084-62.98%0.7198✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013668-20.49%0.00947-44.91%0.2715✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016942-22.36%0.00749-65.67%0.7206✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005377-20.76%0.0074+9.06%0.5865✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.00376-14.54%0.00754+71.36%1.0761✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002391-2.01%0.00653+167.62%1.4317✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002374-2.32%0.0072+196.30%1.4706✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002329-2.15%0.00783+228.99%1.5760✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002226-1.95%0.00808+255.95%1.7048✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002202-1.70%0.00789+252.23%1.7342✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002309-1.94%0.00884+275.37%1.5723✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002258-1.84%0.00909+295.22%1.6049✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002357-2.21%0.00975+304.56%1.5785✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002421-2.39%0.01253+405.24%1.7389✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002365-2.27%0.009385+287.81%1.4373✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002564-3.05%0.00891+236.86%1.2787✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00265-3.46%0.011+300.73%1.4548✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002826-4.21%0.00729+147.12%0.9845✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00281-3.77%0.007525+157.71%1.0250✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002992-4.11%0.00767+145.83%0.9780✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002655-3.46%0.00893+224.73%1.2180✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003097-5.29%0.009965+204.74%1.1747✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003181-5.33%0.01065+216.96%1.2289✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003251-5.64%0.012175+253.41%1.3556✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003085-5.67%0.01383+322.94%1.4856✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003325-6.59%0.01321+271.07%1.3593✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003299-6.94%0.017705+399.44%1.6432✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003269-5.93%0.02055+491.37%1.8230✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003331-5.65%0.01744+394.05%1.6517✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003579-6.80%0.01822+374.48%1.5886✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003384-6.12%0.02269+529.40%1.8476✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003371-5.83%0.01719+380.17%1.5400✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003336-5.77%0.02182+516.38%1.8149✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003712-7.54%0.006785+68.99%0.4619✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003815-7.29%0.0044+6.93%0.0173✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003763-6.96%0.00244-39.68%0.5663✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003603-6.40%0.00243-36.88%0.5222✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00376-6.71%0.00238-40.94%0.5901✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004048-7.05%0.00227-47.88%0.6958✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003559-5.98%0.00224-40.82%0.6323✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003812-6.80%0.002355-42.42%0.6421✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003892-7.33%0.0023-45.24%0.6988✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003843-6.83%0.00241-41.58%0.6270✓1.00
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