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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s3

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
56.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0786
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0039
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002727-0.28%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002713-0.26%0.002735+0.55%0.0111✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002717-0.29%0.00272-0.18%0.0125✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003059-0.54%0.002725-11.38%0.1134✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.00269-0.20%0.003075+14.10%0.1264✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002689-0.21%0.002695+0.00%0.0035✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002739-0.23%0.002695-1.82%0.0087✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002758-0.25%0.002745-0.72%0.0113✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002828-0.24%0.002765-2.47%0.0043✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002744-0.22%0.002835+3.09%0.0173✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002818-0.24%0.00275-2.65%0.0063✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002833-0.25%0.002825-0.53%0.0100✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002784-0.22%0.00284+1.79%0.0165✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.00274-0.19%0.00279+1.64%0.0099✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002883-0.23%0.002745-5.02%0.0350✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002935-0.16%0.00289-1.70%0.0052✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00324-0.31%0.00294-9.54%0.0949✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003124-0.19%0.00325+3.83%0.0480✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003024-0.21%0.00313+3.30%0.0151✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002923-0.23%0.00303+3.41%0.0332✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003005-0.18%0.00293-2.66%0.0214✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002955-0.17%0.00301+1.69%0.0043✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002911-0.14%0.00296+1.54%0.0177✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002995-0.18%0.002915-2.83%0.0289✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003134-0.18%0.003-4.46%0.0328✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003407-0.37%0.00314-8.19%0.0822✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002893-0.08%0.00342+18.13%0.1637✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002798-0.06%0.002895+3.39%0.0375✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002838-0.07%0.0028-1.41%0.0136✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002943-0.07%0.00284-3.57%0.0150✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002893-0.08%0.002945+1.73%0.0226✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002519-0.05%0.002895+14.88%0.0836✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002629-0.05%0.00252-4.18%0.0414✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002891-0.13%0.00263-9.15%0.0987✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002656-0.14%0.002895+8.83%0.0381✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.0024-0.01%0.00266+10.83%0.1008✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002454-0.02%0.0024-2.24%0.0289✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002546+0.04%0.002455-3.54%0.0062✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002581+0.03%0.002545-1.36%0.0294✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002701+0.04%0.00258-4.44%0.0405✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002747+0.07%0.0027-1.64%0.0178✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002608+0.11%0.002745+5.37%0.0434✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002861+0.04%0.002605-8.92%0.0745✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002727+0.24%0.00286+5.15%0.0495✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002632+0.26%0.00272+3.62%0.0396✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002682+0.28%0.002625-1.87%0.0080✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002754+0.32%0.002675-2.55%0.0346✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002643+0.32%0.002745+4.17%0.0361✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002889+0.30%0.002635-8.51%0.0764✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002937+0.23%0.00288-1.71%0.0662✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003215+0.15%0.00293-8.72%0.0917✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003031+0.19%0.00321+6.12%0.0723✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002567+0.28%0.003025+18.16%0.1500✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002552+0.26%0.00256+0.59%0.0104✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002791+0.20%0.002545-8.62%0.0970✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002845+0.19%0.002785-1.94%0.0086✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002689+0.16%0.00284+5.77%0.0401✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002708+0.11%0.002685-0.74%0.0144✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002867+0.07%0.002705-5.58%0.0529✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003055+0.01%0.002865-6.22%0.0803✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002954-0.02%0.003055+3.38%0.0250✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003037-0.08%0.002955-2.80%0.0116✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003034-0.20%0.00304+0.00%0.0697✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003091-0.29%0.00304-1.94%0.0782✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003029-0.36%0.0031+1.97%0.0665✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003216-0.45%0.00304-5.88%0.0599✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003027-0.44%0.00323+6.25%0.0354✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003066-0.46%0.00304-1.30%0.0052✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002913-0.40%0.00308+5.30%0.0549✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002913-0.41%0.002925+0.00%0.0126✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003173-0.54%0.002925-8.31%0.0816✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002932-0.44%0.00319+8.32%0.0857✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003404-0.62%0.002945-14.01%0.1436✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003026-0.46%0.003425+12.66%0.1249✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003076-0.47%0.00304-1.62%0.0116✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003293-0.52%0.00309-6.65%0.0635✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003697-0.75%0.00331-11.14%0.1112✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.0049-1.60%0.003725-25.20%0.2740✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002982-0.26%0.00498+66.56%0.5140✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00317-0.31%0.00299-5.97%0.0573✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003279-0.33%0.00318-3.34%0.0308✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003241-0.26%0.00329+1.23%0.0167✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003125-0.16%0.00325+3.83%0.0391✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003209-0.19%0.00313-2.64%0.0305✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003441-0.25%0.003215-6.81%0.0650✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00362-0.28%0.00345-4.96%0.0479✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003641-0.26%0.00363-0.55%0.0024✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00377-0.27%0.00365-3.44%0.0389✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003687-0.23%0.00378+2.30%0.0289✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003683-0.19%0.003695+0.14%0.0038✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003826-0.22%0.00369-3.78%0.0396✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00399-0.25%0.003835-4.13%0.0433✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003971-0.22%0.004+0.50%0.0057✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003874-0.16%0.00398+2.58%0.0312✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004102-0.20%0.00388-5.60%0.0539✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004059-0.16%0.00411+1.11%0.0122✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004208-0.16%0.004065-3.56%0.0319✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004314-0.15%0.004215-2.43%0.0228✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004521-0.21%0.00432-4.64%0.0494✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003696+0.15%0.00453+22.76%0.2025✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004106+0.16%0.00369-10.00%0.1028✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004249+0.10%0.0041-3.42%0.0387✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00436+0.11%0.004245-2.53%0.0268✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00472-0.00%0.004355-7.73%0.0821✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005323-0.13%0.00472-11.44%0.1167✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004924+0.09%0.00533+8.33%0.0829✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006218-0.35%0.00492-21.15%0.2409✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007394-0.49%0.00624-16.02%0.1741✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008068-0.52%0.00743-8.38%0.0811✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007758-0.54%0.00811+3.97%0.0459✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008219-0.56%0.0078-5.63%0.0505✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008511-0.57%0.008265-3.45%0.0263✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007867-0.55%0.00856+8.22%0.0905✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008549-0.59%0.00791-8.02%0.0738✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009031-0.65%0.0086-5.39%0.0548✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007077-0.46%0.00909+27.85%0.2536✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007779-0.52%0.00711-9.08%0.0923✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008055-0.55%0.00782-3.46%0.0300✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.00795-0.57%0.0081+1.31%0.0202✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007835-0.57%0.007995+1.46%0.0157✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008558-0.61%0.00788-8.48%0.0898✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008932-0.64%0.00861-4.23%0.0432✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008632-0.66%0.00899+3.45%0.0442✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009462-0.72%0.00869-8.81%0.0902✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009079-0.72%0.00953+4.21%0.0523✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008865-0.73%0.009145+2.41%0.0340✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009637-0.76%0.00893-8.03%0.0851✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.0101-0.79%0.00971-4.62%0.0454✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009485-0.79%0.01018+6.49%0.0680✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008343-0.68%0.00956+13.81%0.1389✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009394-0.80%0.0084-11.30%0.1071✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007446-0.58%0.00947+26.44%0.2450✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007358-0.57%0.00749+1.22%0.0177✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007496-0.58%0.0074-1.86%0.0020✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006505-0.38%0.00754+15.47%0.1464✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00716-0.56%0.00653-9.31%0.1005✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007776-0.70%0.0072-8.05%0.0787✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008023-0.70%0.00783-3.09%0.0056✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007838-0.66%0.00808+2.41%0.0291✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008767-0.82%0.00789-10.75%0.1305✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009014-0.84%0.00884-2.75%0.0208✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009661-0.92%0.00909-6.77%0.0727✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012338-1.53%0.00975-22.19%0.3144✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009297-0.93%0.01253+33.51%0.2703✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008828-0.92%0.009385+5.33%0.0589✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010821-1.62%0.00891-19.00%0.1901✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007238-0.72%0.011+50.89%0.4172✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007466-0.79%0.00729-3.12%0.0309✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007609-0.80%0.007525-1.89%0.0248✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008847-0.93%0.00767-14.11%0.1486✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009866-0.99%0.00893-10.39%0.0987✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010541-1.02%0.009965-6.43%0.0557✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012033-1.17%0.01065-12.53%0.1209✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013634-1.42%0.012175-11.97%0.1176✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013003-1.57%0.01383+4.69%0.0618✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017409-1.67%0.01321-25.39%0.2753✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019986-2.75%0.017705-13.84%0.1209✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.017021-2.40%0.02055+17.83%0.1902✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017713-2.78%0.01744-4.28%0.0129✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021904-3.47%0.01822-19.70%0.1813✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.0166-3.43%0.02269+32.00%0.3230✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020953-3.97%0.01719-21.22%0.2076✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006531-3.74%0.02182+221.59%1.2232✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004301-2.24%0.006785+54.20%0.4762✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002435-0.21%0.0044+80.33%0.6002✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002425-0.21%0.00244+0.41%0.0216✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002375-0.23%0.00243+2.10%0.0141✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002267-0.15%0.00238+4.85%0.0454✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002236-0.18%0.00227+1.34%0.0433✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002351-0.19%0.00224-4.88%0.0545✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002296-0.18%0.002355+2.39%0.0129✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002406-0.15%0.0023-4.56%0.0610✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002475-0.19%0.00241-2.82%0.0253✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002417-0.14%0.00248+2.48%0.0204✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00264-0.19%0.00242-8.51%0.1115✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002738-0.24%0.002645-3.64%0.0419✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002941-0.31%0.002745-6.95%0.0616✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00291-0.33%0.00295+1.03%0.0270✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003104-0.51%0.00292-6.41%0.0445✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002733-0.62%0.00312+13.45%0.1198✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003256-0.42%0.00275-15.90%0.1714✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003344-0.49%0.00327-2.68%0.0120✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003429-0.45%0.00336-2.47%0.0214✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003255-0.45%0.003445+5.35%0.0337✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003541-0.52%0.00327-8.15%0.0858✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003524-0.60%0.00356+0.42%0.0157✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003458-0.49%0.003545+2.01%0.0499✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003507-0.65%0.003475-1.56%0.0084✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003816-0.62%0.00353-8.07%0.1036✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003587-0.50%0.00384+6.52%0.0638✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003562-0.51%0.003605+0.70%0.0032✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003515-0.70%0.00358+1.13%0.0218✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003992-0.56%0.00354-11.83%0.1760✓1.10
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