UMX

UMX · · lstm_s3

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 204

Track record at +30d

assessed

38

of 68 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1818

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0904

actual -0.2663

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.041845	0.040429	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.03934	0.038252	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.04195	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.053794	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.05378	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.054104	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.057051	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.057144	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.057474	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.057682	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.058433	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.058386	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.058619	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.058656	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.057942	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.059102	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.059089	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.058906	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.058915	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.058297	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.058447	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.058213	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.057866	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.057644	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.057035	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.057218	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.057468	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.057307	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.05756	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.057499	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.057322	-5.62%	0.041845	-31.10%	0.3020	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.057787	-5.53%	0.03934	-35.69%	0.3675	✓	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.057168	-6.95%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.2987	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.056146	-7.13%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0221	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.056824	-7.41%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0332	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.056067	-8.31%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0367	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.056678	-8.60%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0067	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.055516	-8.78%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0197	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.055319	-8.59%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0422	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.05538	-8.88%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0207	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.056894	-9.11%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0236	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.058892	-9.46%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0304	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.058819	-9.59%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0203	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.058765	-9.40%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0039	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.06012	-9.59%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0247	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.061512	-9.63%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0370	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.063269	-9.53%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.0803	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.065045	-9.50%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.1245	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.065248	-9.47%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.066977	-8.41%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1289	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.067162	-9.53%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.1738	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.067492	-9.26%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.1852	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.068318	-8.85%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.1686	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.068914	-9.07%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.1926	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.068549	-8.76%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.1876	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.069619	-8.79%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.2181	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.071087	-7.63%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.2023	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.075571	-8.03%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.2777	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.076762	-8.12%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.2990	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.081848	-7.74%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3573	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.079564	-8.25%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.3735	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.07944	-8.38%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.3781	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.077156	-7.55%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2634	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.075149	-9.20%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3242	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.076648	-9.68%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.3768	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.076488	-9.96%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.3896	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.076258	-9.91%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3732	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.076031	-9.98%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4073	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.