TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1306
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0441
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.835468 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.834 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.873749 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.881467 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.822358 | -1.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.862073 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.86846 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0133 | -2.88% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.999322 | -2.98% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1924 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.983829 | -2.96% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.956283 | -3.14% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.047 | -3.65% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0896 | -4.15% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.014 | -4.09% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.991392 | -4.29% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0377 | -4.44% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0912 | -4.54% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0641 | -4.53% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1126 | -4.82% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.134 | -5.67% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.808848 | -3.82% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2913 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.819666 | -3.89% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.841308 | -4.20% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2586 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.954842 | -4.96% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0675 | -6.22% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0121 | -6.76% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.862057 | -4.45% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.786368 | -4.01% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.00 |