TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0640
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0125
actual +0.0029
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.845207 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.84373 | -0.66% | 0.85085 | +0.18% | 0.0092 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.885101 | -0.69% | 0.8493 | -4.71% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.893603 | -0.70% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.832386 | -0.63% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0775 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.874096 | -0.66% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0411 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.881059 | -0.66% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0343 | -0.86% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.021 | -0.88% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0052 | -0.85% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.978812 | -0.85% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0757 | -1.01% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1232 | -1.19% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0458 | -1.08% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0790 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0242 | -1.12% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0724 | -1.25% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1274 | -1.38% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0989 | -1.41% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1505 | -1.58% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1796 | -1.88% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.832604 | -0.99% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.843486 | -1.09% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.866415 | -1.34% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.985142 | -1.95% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1095 | -2.53% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0566 | -2.66% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0865 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.885371 | -1.87% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2033 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.805679 | -1.65% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1093 | ✗ | 1.00 |