NIULAI

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1786

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0397

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.061545	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.061079	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061208	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057066	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.05785	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.058509	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.063574	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.065767	-2.39%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0851	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.067875	-2.52%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1306	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072596	-2.73%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1468	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070183	-2.60%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.1932	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077006	-2.86%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2421	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.07777	-2.88%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2423	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.072256	-2.61%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0877	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.071261	-2.52%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0634	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.069955	-2.41%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0253	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077036	-2.58%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0075	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.074903	-2.47%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0265	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080263	-2.53%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0316	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.07815	-2.45%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0534	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085321	-2.55%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1087	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.096585	-2.70%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2303	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.101817	-2.87%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3465	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102109	-2.87%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2851	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.11218	-3.16%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4141	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101086	-2.83%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2379	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.102787	-2.88%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2545	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101286	-2.89%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1524	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097806	-2.82%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0073	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104195	-2.99%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0193	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.108953	-3.00%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0038	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104611	-2.93%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1509	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097736	-3.32%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0039	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104047	-3.58%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0382	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114778	-4.05%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1516	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.101736	-4.27%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1109	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.09628	-4.25%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.113544	-5.15%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1422	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.115983	-5.13%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1757	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.11086	-5.32%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.126385	-6.33%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2081	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.117872	-6.28%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.113456	-6.53%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.075673	-3.71%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3119	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.096434	-5.57%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2534	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.07812	-4.32%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4595	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.086364	-5.12%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3494	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.112024	-7.08%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.079849	-5.08%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4857	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.090767	-5.76%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3506	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.073765	-5.21%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.078201	-6.19%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2534	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.094716	-7.93%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1552	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.09288	-8.47%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0541	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054026	-1.66%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7825	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055102	-1.71%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3997	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.