NIULAI

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0925

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062291	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062253	-0.39%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0091	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057811	-0.24%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0575	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058631	-0.23%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0085	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059333	-0.21%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0214	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064799	-0.33%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0839	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067139	-0.36%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0206	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069369	-0.37%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0394	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074316	-0.42%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0376	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071802	-0.36%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0143	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078938	-0.42%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0584	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079738	-0.42%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0189	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.07396	-0.31%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0732	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072919	-0.25%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0027	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071547	-0.19%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0492	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078859	-0.27%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0590	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076629	-0.22%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0348	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082138	-0.26%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0555	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079934	-0.22%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0023	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087297	-0.29%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0896	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.09888	-0.39%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1165	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104341	-0.46%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0700	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104626	-0.48%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0032	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115162	-0.59%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0940	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103503	-0.51%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1291	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105258	-0.55%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0125	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103719	-0.56%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0150	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100085	-0.55%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0461	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106736	-0.63%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0589	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111578	-0.67%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0101	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107061	-0.66%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0541	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100406	-0.68%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0243	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107114	-0.74%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0566	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118611	-0.84%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1008	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105391	-0.83%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0691	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099731	-0.81%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118562	-0.96%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1722	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121051	-0.98%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.115945	-0.98%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133379	-1.15%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1242	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.124279	-1.18%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0815	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119812	-1.29%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078083	-0.64%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4637	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101084	-1.02%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2497	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081056	-0.73%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2392	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.09023	-0.87%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0843	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118962	-1.33%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2741	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083446	-0.80%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3660	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095349	-1.00%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1056	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077213	-0.78%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1711	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082582	-0.93%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.101297	-1.53%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1800	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.09946	-1.99%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054891	-0.09%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6218	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.056007	-0.09%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0243	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.