INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s3

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0405

actual -0.0065

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.119076	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.119392	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.116128	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.11828	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.116529	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.11778	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.131833	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.118741	-6.32%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0576	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.11625	-6.17%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0912	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.113079	-6.35%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0887	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.110654	-5.99%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1425	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.110499	-6.20%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.1285	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.103291	-5.84%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.2035	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.107456	-6.19%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2715	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.109953	-6.02%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1553	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.106305	-5.76%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1727	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.1117	-5.90%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.1097	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.110824	-5.80%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0829	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.106166	-5.92%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.1186	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.103715	-5.84%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0718	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.099229	-5.54%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1692	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.09789	-5.60%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1806	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.096718	-6.05%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1389	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.084817	-5.44%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.3169	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.084702	-5.57%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.3114	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.088766	-5.77%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2373	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.09388	-5.98%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1563	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.093885	-6.02%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.1084	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.083859	-5.46%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.2196	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.085358	-5.37%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.2099	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.078233	-5.34%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1676	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.069964	-4.94%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.2203	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.071889	-5.16%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2429	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.072151	-5.19%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2968	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.071682	-5.68%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2535	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.065028	-4.79%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.2310	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.064036	-4.71%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2429	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.06621	-5.01%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1458	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.061891	-4.41%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.1346	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.066373	-5.25%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0988	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.066517	-5.25%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.1031	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.06627	-5.46%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1386	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.062952	-4.69%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.1015	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.0628	-4.70%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0959	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.064066	-4.95%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0932	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.064295	-4.82%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0417	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.064398	-4.88%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.1088	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.062675	-1.14%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1368	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062269	+0.68%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1651	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.059397	-3.03%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0956	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059459	+0.18%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0912	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059902	+1.87%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1125	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055597	+2.39%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1643	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.05838	+2.33%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1302	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.055033	+2.67%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1211	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.056542	+3.46%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0788	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056406	+3.12%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1021	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.055341	+3.06%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0831	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056138	+3.10%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0515	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.057658	+1.51%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0592	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055927	+0.86%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.058476	+1.26%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0809	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.053607	-2.27%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0780	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.051045	-4.32%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.0732	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.048398	-5.38%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1203	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.04858	-5.39%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1219	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048064	-5.57%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.0843	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.048618	-5.60%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1058	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048315	-5.63%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.0787	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.048682	-5.66%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0476	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.04829	-5.68%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0082	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049419	-5.69%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0134	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.049604	-5.61%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0241	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050677	-5.63%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0413	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049905	-6.02%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0661	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.048261	-5.56%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0926	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.048008	-5.59%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0872	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.047842	-5.54%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0889	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046587	-5.69%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.1262	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.046941	-5.74%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.1052	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047236	-5.72%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.1053	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048402	-5.83%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0554	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046541	-5.69%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0577	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.045676	-5.63%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.1154	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045324	-5.77%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0987	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.046433	-5.91%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0583	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.04778	-6.13%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0455	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.051073	-6.12%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0119	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.052003	-6.13%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0148	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.05184	-5.92%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0274	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.052446	-6.01%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.0747	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.052431	-5.70%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0499	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.052271	-5.22%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0134	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.050931	-5.68%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0239	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.049817	-4.84%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0777	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.050192	-4.76%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.1070	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.050021	-4.81%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0935	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.050451	-4.81%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0797	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.051931	-4.71%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0459	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.052328	-4.60%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0275	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.050825	-4.82%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0091	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.052616	-4.68%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0213	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.053625	-4.67%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0347	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.054335	-4.59%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0293	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.052978	-4.54%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0101	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.052269	-4.44%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0024	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.0527	-4.18%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0107	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.05495	-4.18%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0021	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.05553	-4.26%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0084	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.055886	-4.30%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0045	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.055838	-4.22%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0051	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.054791	-4.04%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0135	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.055062	-4.07%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0436	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.050759	-3.13%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0078	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.051897	-3.09%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0428	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.050661	-2.67%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0759	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051137	-2.60%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0877	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.053608	-2.80%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0476	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.050574	-2.27%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0958	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052025	-2.57%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.1137	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.057003	-3.71%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0294	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.056288	-3.78%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.053831	-3.36%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0146	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.054863	-3.67%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0118	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.055681	-3.75%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0361	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.057263	-4.00%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0583	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.057316	-4.15%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0247	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.057672	-4.36%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0657	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.056318	-4.06%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0705	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.057194	-4.20%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0080	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.056565	-3.88%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0096	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.057646	-4.32%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0044	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056001	-3.45%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0727	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053339	-2.13%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0745	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.055441	-2.65%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0326	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.056352	-3.01%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0010	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053167	-1.91%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0838	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052932	-0.50%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0575	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.054993	-0.74%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0568	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.057157	-2.46%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0179	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.062257	-4.22%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1032	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.061292	-4.08%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0158	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.067911	-5.68%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1024	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.069798	-5.68%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.1906	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.065315	-4.93%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1132	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.060615	-3.48%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0002	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.06118	-3.20%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0250	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.064808	-3.49%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0713	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.074445	-4.25%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1036	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.07824	-4.24%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0570	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078024	-4.03%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0377	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.079676	-4.01%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1339	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.07786	-3.76%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2046	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.082682	-3.86%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2505	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.081851	-3.70%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.1839	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.079972	-3.71%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0241	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.08113	-3.76%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0055	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.081042	-3.81%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0056	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.081992	-3.82%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0202	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.085081	-3.81%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0386	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.091194	-3.96%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0492	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.093557	-4.24%	0.085	-13.00%	0.0913	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.099463	-4.55%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1723	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.097832	-4.09%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1410	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.100855	-4.13%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1720	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.105508	-4.78%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2081	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.098163	-4.14%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1023	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.104402	-5.05%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.0966	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.096239	-3.62%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0253	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.088285	-2.55%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1688	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.087267	-3.04%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1417	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.085775	-3.62%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1759	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.085902	-3.59%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2392	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.087111	-3.74%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1461	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.087228	-4.04%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1955	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.08718	-4.09%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0812	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.090644	-4.23%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0463	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.086946	-3.77%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.087608	-3.41%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0169	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.086033	-3.60%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0246	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.089234	-3.89%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0063	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.08239	-3.18%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.1185	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.085482	-3.41%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0867	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.086413	-3.88%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0914	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.090795	-4.07%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0207	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.084864	-4.00%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0147	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.090261	-4.08%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0315	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.087261	-3.47%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0582	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.083609	-3.79%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0153	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.080334	-3.73%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0612	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.077104	-3.74%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1305	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.076752	-3.70%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1944	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073256	-4.24%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1525	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079158	-4.17%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1439	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080116	-4.28%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0764	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.076691	-4.37%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0881	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.078346	-4.51%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0215	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.07839	-4.29%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.080705	-5.11%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.0794	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07594	-4.72%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0141	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.077752	-5.07%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0107	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.078363	-5.01%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0087	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.076413	-4.90%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0128	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.07496	-4.57%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0529	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.0721	-4.38%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0811	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.073333	-4.76%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.1203	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.074235	-4.95%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0306	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.075522	-5.00%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0681	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.073239	-4.76%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.1110	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.079544	-4.62%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0338	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.07861	-4.13%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0397	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.080939	-4.55%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0413	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.077278	-4.24%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0500	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.073186	-4.58%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0900	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.073423	-4.65%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.1135	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.075931	-4.61%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0659	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.077683	-4.68%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0857	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.081665	-4.48%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0034	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089032	-4.06%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0069	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.086617	-3.65%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0211	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.088238	-4.09%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0746	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.087538	-4.33%	0.077	-15.85%	0.0974	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.081029	-4.11%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0119	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.08571	-4.34%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0422	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.085567	-4.39%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0147	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.080762	-4.31%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0871	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.077771	-4.34%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0605	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.077579	-4.34%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0754	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.081099	-4.14%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0657	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.083244	-4.43%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0232	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.078194	-3.46%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1411	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.076419	-3.14%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1926	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.080807	-3.46%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0176	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.077726	-3.21%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0513	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.073226	-2.88%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0989	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.077247	-3.02%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0862	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.078593	-2.97%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0659	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.079054	-3.24%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0298	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.079014	-3.35%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0750	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.079277	-3.20%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0216	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.082207	-3.85%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.0970	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.085676	-4.54%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.0954	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.089832	-4.69%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1033	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.095838	-4.69%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1314	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.096328	-4.67%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1737	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.096964	-4.75%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.1987	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.107267	-5.41%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2137	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.116388	-8.57%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2411	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.101312	-7.22%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.1031	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.068413	-3.30%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3500	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.067275	-2.85%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.4153	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069344	-2.47%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3632	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069115	-2.24%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3976	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064772	-1.49%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5830	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.06548	-1.61%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6857	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.066904	-1.39%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5151	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.06986	-1.33%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0034	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.06867	-1.19%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0377	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062243	+1.79%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0692	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070745	-1.88%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1130	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.075122	-3.81%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0097	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.077539	-4.57%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0020	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.078304	-4.62%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0243	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.082594	-5.50%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0193	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.099784	-6.92%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1542	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.083938	-5.15%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0365	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.092088	-5.55%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0179	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.087413	-4.99%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0783	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.085233	-4.87%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0850	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.085302	-5.54%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.1007	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.085159	-4.85%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1764	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.077949	-4.24%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3934	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.07705	-4.29%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.2072	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.077253	-4.39%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2355	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.07565	-4.36%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1846	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.081433	-4.42%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1534	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.089234	-4.87%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.1073	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.088263	-4.58%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0939	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.091572	-4.51%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0377	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.090381	-4.96%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0344	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.088588	-4.33%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0096	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.086284	-4.34%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0089	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.07832	-4.37%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0664	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.082174	-5.22%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0957	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.084585	-4.96%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0261	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.086673	-5.07%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0308	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.087301	-5.11%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0196	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.087844	-5.24%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0647	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.091503	-5.08%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0488	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.092765	-5.15%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0676	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.092817	-5.48%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0545	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.091278	-5.51%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0203	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.089107	-5.51%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0119	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.085222	-5.41%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0257	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.082545	-5.34%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0324	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.084453	-5.32%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0159	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.084414	-5.47%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0001	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.083571	-5.14%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0816	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.088257	-5.41%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0292	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.096065	-7.27%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.0779	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.085404	-6.05%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0186	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.079757	-4.71%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0917	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.079651	-4.50%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0915	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.080702	-4.27%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1338	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.08039	-3.95%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.1087	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.083489	-4.15%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.1229	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.081137	-4.09%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2626	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.0746	-2.99%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1586	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079021	-3.16%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0258	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.083342	-3.32%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0103	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.080658	-2.94%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0041	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.082436	-2.90%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0047	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.086408	-3.02%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0511	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.08404	-2.84%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0555	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.088136	-2.72%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0230	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.091044	-2.83%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0220	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.095395	-3.05%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0064	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.09121	-2.86%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0023	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.088123	-2.63%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0124	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.096114	-3.11%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.0982	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.097341	-3.05%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1394	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.099526	-3.19%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1041	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.099053	-3.27%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0235	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.100654	-3.22%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0546	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.098783	-2.96%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1629	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.110987	-4.45%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2049	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.109508	-4.53%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0602	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.111409	-4.78%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0654	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.115596	-5.21%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1362	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.105954	-4.29%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1046	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.103602	-3.76%	0.104	-3.39%	0.0951	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.103648	-3.76%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0326	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.103212	-3.36%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0275	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.101889	-2.59%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0446	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.107244	-3.25%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0668	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.120588	-6.34%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1111	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.113808	-4.68%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0007	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.113296	-4.59%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.1115	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.113424	-4.53%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0602	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.114565	-4.77%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1455	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.118834	-5.12%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1924	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.115209	-4.43%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2398	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.118389	-4.56%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4813	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.120862	-4.46%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2889	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.118314	-4.08%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.3006	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.126943	-4.19%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3390	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.126051	-4.36%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2616	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.125836	-3.98%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1969	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.127891	-3.88%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1994	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.113769	-2.39%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1342	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.116423	-2.33%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1457	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.114269	-1.41%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0330	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.119777	-2.10%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.1175	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.133909	-2.75%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1495	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.133245	-2.46%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.2074	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.131681	-2.21%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1925	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.134378	-1.95%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0657	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.151247	-2.39%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0599	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.15517	-2.38%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0402	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.158664	-2.42%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0473	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.169586	-2.56%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.0974	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.166084	-2.48%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1494	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.168184	-2.36%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.1796	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.162969	-2.03%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1208	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.157606	-1.31%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.0883	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.165092	-1.47%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1685	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.177347	-1.88%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.1859	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.178325	-1.40%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.1884	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.174084	-0.64%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1490	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.172781	-0.21%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1336	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176495	-0.48%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1140	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.182568	-1.07%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0407	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.192931	-1.64%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0067	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.205694	-2.21%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0018	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.190618	-1.51%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1258	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.174324	+0.07%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1068	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.192159	-1.10%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0800	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.297769	-3.31%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2463	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.311589	-3.26%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2792	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.301913	-3.36%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2394	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.328151	-3.20%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2330	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.310016	-3.24%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2825	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.314981	-3.20%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3211	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.325425	-3.31%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3008	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.326978	-4.42%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0846	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.311812	-3.73%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0739	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.298603	-3.97%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1318	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.299657	-3.99%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1346	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.305958	-4.40%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2487	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.293553	-4.68%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2372	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.298001	-4.69%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2145	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.284944	-4.68%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1282	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.309504	-4.65%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.0995	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.302361	-4.80%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0296	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.310293	-4.75%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0387	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.344428	-4.80%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0102	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.351455	-4.68%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0323	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.354205	-4.75%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0378	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.377008	-4.90%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0140	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.354282	-4.74%	0.3246	-12.72%	0.0038	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.