INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s3

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2151

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0914

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.114174	-11.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.114213	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.113925	-10.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.111203	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.113797	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.11216	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.113435	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.126696	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.114397	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.112431	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.109381	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.1068	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.10686	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.099358	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.103405	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.105494	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.101994	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.10687	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.105794	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.101053	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.098413	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.094045	-10.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.092365	-10.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.091169	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.080176	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.080047	-10.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.084017	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.088365	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.088172	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.079129	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.080418	-10.84%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4849	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.074217	-10.20%	0.1274	+54.14%	0.5655	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.066139	-10.14%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.6387	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.067777	-10.58%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5959	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.06794	-10.72%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.6080	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.066811	-12.09%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5700	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.061199	-10.40%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.6664	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.060327	-10.23%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7892	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.062497	-10.33%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6755	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.058638	-9.44%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6928	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.062822	-10.32%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.6152	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.06306	-10.17%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.5695	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.062775	-10.45%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5761	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.059862	-9.37%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.5675	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.059853	-9.18%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.6184	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.061254	-9.12%	0.117	+73.59%	0.6079	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.061771	-8.56%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.5540	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.062065	-8.32%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5944	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.058483	-7.75%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.6377	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.057834	-6.49%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.6359	✗	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.056866	-7.16%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5859	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.055519	-6.45%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.5582	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.055498	-5.62%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.5751	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.051355	-5.42%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.6289	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.054123	-5.13%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.4478	✗	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.050958	-4.93%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4940	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.053195	-2.66%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.5265	✗	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.052948	-3.20%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.5785	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.05222	-2.76%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5832	✗	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.053581	-1.60%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.4398	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.055147	-2.91%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3880	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.053551	-3.42%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.3170	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.056381	-2.37%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.2313	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.051562	-5.99%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.2758	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.049366	-7.47%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2654	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.046772	-8.56%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2937	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.046897	-8.67%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1825	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.046314	-9.01%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.1540	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.046862	-9.01%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.1427	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.046628	-8.93%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0944	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.046961	-8.99%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1658	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.04654	-9.10%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1719	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.047739	-8.89%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1661	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.04787	-8.91%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0806	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.048991	-8.77%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0736	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.048346	-8.95%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.1006	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.046502	-9.00%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.1346	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.046201	-9.14%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.1349	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.04598	-9.22%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0842	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.044706	-9.50%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0721	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.044967	-9.71%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0930	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.045318	-9.55%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0533	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.046431	-9.67%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0125	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.04453	-9.77%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0361	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.043615	-9.89%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0498	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.043133	-10.33%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.044212	-10.41%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.0469	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.045456	-10.69%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.0607	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.048686	-10.50%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1018	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.049392	-10.84%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.1285	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.048974	-11.12%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.0641	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.049329	-11.60%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.0688	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.049018	-11.84%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.0193	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.048476	-12.10%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0231	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.047051	-12.87%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0623	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.045526	-13.04%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.1165	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.045772	-13.15%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.1202	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.045538	-13.34%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.1295	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.045963	-13.28%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.1263	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.047387	-13.05%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.1065	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.047918	-12.64%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.1002	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.046468	-12.98%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0767	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.048246	-12.60%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0862	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.04922	-12.50%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0631	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.04992	-12.34%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0604	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.048975	-11.76%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0506	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.048674	-11.02%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.0014	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.049251	-10.45%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0152	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.051436	-10.31%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.0258	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.05202	-10.31%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.0591	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.052371	-10.32%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.0564	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.052616	-9.75%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.0642	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.051724	-9.41%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.0263	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.051791	-9.77%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.0946	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.047028	-10.25%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.0637	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.048434	-9.55%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.0625	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.047189	-9.34%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.0183	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.047841	-8.87%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0084	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.050656	-8.15%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0039	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.047458	-8.29%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0902	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.049411	-7.47%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0637	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.055333	-6.53%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0219	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.055071	-5.86%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0170	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.052492	-5.76%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0096	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.054163	-4.89%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0154	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.055264	-4.47%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.0694	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.05736	-3.84%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1096	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.05751	-3.83%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.0830	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.0578	-4.15%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0623	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.056229	-4.21%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0096	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.057142	-4.29%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0311	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.056334	-4.28%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0239	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.057607	-4.39%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0454	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.055263	-4.72%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0148	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.051796	-4.96%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0592	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.053886	-5.38%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0096	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.054577	-6.06%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0133	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.050619	-6.61%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0827	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.049776	-6.44%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0988	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.05211	-5.94%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0720	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.055148	-5.89%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0669	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.06072	-6.59%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0233	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.059212	-7.34%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0238	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.064403	-10.55%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0395	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.065623	-11.32%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1302	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.061092	-11.07%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0344	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.056165	-10.57%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0267	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.056849	-10.05%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0185	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.059979	-10.68%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0144	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.068333	-12.11%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.1869	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.072168	-11.67%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2241	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.071923	-11.53%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1254	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.073377	-11.59%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.1590	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.071515	-11.60%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.1842	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.076366	-11.20%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2291	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.075663	-10.99%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2009	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.073477	-11.53%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.1419	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.074898	-11.15%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.1590	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.075015	-10.96%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.1476	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.076468	-10.30%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.1946	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.080264	-9.26%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.2495	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.086723	-8.66%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3389	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.089027	-8.88%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.3467	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.094878	-8.95%	0.058	-44.34%	0.4520	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.093461	-8.37%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5022	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.096445	-8.32%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.4892	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.100787	-9.04%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5122	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.093699	-8.50%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5155	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.099661	-9.36%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.5925	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.091696	-8.17%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.3941	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.08375	-7.56%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2175	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.083108	-7.66%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1099	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.081932	-7.94%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.1461	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.082397	-7.52%	0.072	-19.19%	0.0743	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.083937	-7.25%	0.074	-18.23%	0.0872	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.083878	-7.72%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.1739	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.083606	-8.02%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.2620	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.086785	-8.31%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.2877	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.08335	-7.75%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.1842	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.083979	-7.41%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.0477	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.082272	-7.82%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0029	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.085012	-8.44%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.0397	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.078552	-7.69%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0717	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.081345	-8.08%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0230	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.082026	-8.76%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0348	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.086086	-9.05%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0297	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.080248	-9.22%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.085519	-9.12%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0272	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.082824	-8.38%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0138	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.079333	-8.71%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0408	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.076343	-8.52%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.1028	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.073303	-8.49%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1876	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.073159	-8.21%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.2387	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.069306	-9.40%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.3002	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.075207	-8.95%	0.102	+23.49%	0.2138	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.07621	-8.95%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.2260	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.072972	-9.01%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.3240	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.074551	-9.14%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.2198	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.074604	-8.91%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.3014	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.07668	-9.84%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.1204	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.071967	-9.70%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0943	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.073481	-10.28%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0553	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.073943	-10.37%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0473	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.071992	-10.40%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0728	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.070521	-10.22%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.1278	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.067738	-10.16%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1955	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.068669	-10.82%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1672	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.069568	-10.92%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1772	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.070891	-10.83%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.1049	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.06884	-10.48%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.1242	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.074918	-10.17%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0706	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.074038	-9.71%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1531	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.076071	-10.29%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0195	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.072302	-10.41%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.1145	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.068403	-10.82%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1688	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.068802	-10.65%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.2338	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.07166	-9.97%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1694	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.073797	-9.45%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1723	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.077576	-9.27%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0816	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.084441	-9.01%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0141	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.082371	-8.37%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0136	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.083485	-9.26%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.0584	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.082525	-9.81%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.0759	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.076932	-8.96%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0031	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.080685	-9.95%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0100	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.080144	-10.45%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0065	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.076248	-9.66%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0262	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.073998	-8.98%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0677	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.074268	-8.42%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0149	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.07726	-8.68%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0736	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.078981	-9.32%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0032	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.074262	-8.32%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.1493	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.072827	-7.70%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.2067	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.076831	-8.21%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0683	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.074044	-7.79%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0705	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.069119	-8.33%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0485	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.073403	-7.84%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0516	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.074645	-7.85%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0436	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.075499	-7.59%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0709	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.075644	-7.47%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0434	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.075696	-7.57%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0136	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.079467	-7.06%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0833	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.082845	-7.69%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0259	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.085349	-9.44%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1049	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.089245	-11.24%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1491	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.088993	-11.93%	0.077	-23.80%	0.1781	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.088789	-12.78%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.1805	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.09507	-16.16%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.1928	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.100282	-21.22%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.1956	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.0903	-17.31%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.0484	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.065732	-7.09%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.2346	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.064483	-6.88%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2922	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.06613	-6.99%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.2400	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.065249	-7.71%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1938	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.060114	-8.57%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3702	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.06098	-8.37%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3819	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.062627	-7.70%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.3037	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.065417	-7.60%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.2314	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.064059	-7.83%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.3153	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.056393	-7.78%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.3227	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.067294	-6.67%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3503	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.072536	-7.12%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1951	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.074206	-8.67%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1649	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.07512	-8.50%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2642	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.079252	-9.32%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1946	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.096576	-9.91%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0423	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.08024	-9.33%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2693	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.088426	-9.31%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2557	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.083508	-9.23%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.3024	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.081268	-9.30%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.3073	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.081544	-9.70%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3575	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.080886	-9.62%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.4431	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.0735	-9.70%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.5385	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.072642	-9.76%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5919	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.072965	-9.70%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.6527	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.071559	-9.53%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6830	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.077701	-8.80%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6724	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.085548	-8.80%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6800	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.084555	-8.59%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.8035	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.088283	-7.94%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.6154	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.087436	-8.06%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1750	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.085501	-7.67%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.2165	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.082934	-8.06%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.3000	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.074608	-8.90%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.3143	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.078736	-9.19%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1602	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.080576	-9.47%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.1240	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.083021	-9.07%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.1299	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.083845	-8.86%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1997	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.084489	-8.86%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.3070	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.088607	-8.08%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.4146	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.089915	-8.06%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2732	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.090206	-8.14%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.2376	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.088625	-8.26%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1986	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.086624	-8.14%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2617	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.083075	-7.80%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2917	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.080629	-7.54%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3628	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.082454	-7.56%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1602	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.082547	-7.56%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.1206	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.081575	-7.41%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0926	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.085926	-7.90%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0321	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.09299	-10.24%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0127	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.084157	-7.42%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0190	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.078061	-6.74%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0002	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.077707	-6.83%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0100	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.07872	-6.62%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0081	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.078056	-6.74%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0207	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.080964	-7.04%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0430	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.07823	-7.53%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0594	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.070219	-8.69%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0650	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.073802	-9.56%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0602	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.078019	-9.49%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0309	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.07546	-9.19%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0225	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.077441	-8.79%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0043	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.081225	-8.84%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0122	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.078908	-8.78%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0811	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.08383	-7.47%	0.089	-1.77%	0.1073	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.086879	-7.28%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0831	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.091382	-7.13%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0432	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.087153	-7.19%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0480	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.08388	-7.31%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0674	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.091302	-7.96%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0339	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.092931	-7.44%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0064	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.09526	-7.33%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0480	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.095005	-7.22%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0724	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.09709	-6.64%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0139	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.094334	-7.33%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1104	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.108036	-6.99%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1420	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.10657	-7.09%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.0835	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.109082	-6.77%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1380	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.113672	-6.79%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1100	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.103565	-6.45%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0778	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.100752	-6.41%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.0990	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.101165	-6.07%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.1729	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.100481	-5.92%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2024	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.098292	-6.03%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.2576	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.104358	-5.86%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3160	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.120353	-6.52%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.3699	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.111068	-6.98%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.1745	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.110384	-7.05%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.1423	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.110461	-7.02%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1288	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.110855	-7.85%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.0675	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.11443	-8.64%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.0537	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.11085	-8.05%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.0832	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.11257	-9.25%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0448	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.113806	-10.04%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0639	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.110629	-10.31%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.1087	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.117015	-11.69%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.1851	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.115961	-12.02%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.1906	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.114747	-12.44%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.1564	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.116585	-12.37%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.1344	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.104121	-10.66%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.3127	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.107034	-10.21%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.3708	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.104805	-9.57%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.2604	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.109919	-10.16%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.3275	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.12274	-10.86%	0.104	-24.47%	0.4163	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.122677	-10.19%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.5582	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.121157	-10.02%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.5527	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.124074	-9.47%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.4680	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.140478	-9.34%	0.117	-24.49%	0.4076	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.144925	-8.82%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.4871	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.148367	-8.75%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.4296	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.159761	-8.21%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.4488	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.155651	-8.60%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.3758	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.158645	-7.90%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.3854	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.153729	-7.59%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.4465	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.148343	-7.11%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.4530	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.155947	-6.93%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.5234	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.170135	-5.87%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.2461	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.170496	-5.73%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.1270	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.165763	-5.39%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.1406	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.163359	-5.65%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0738	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.167114	-5.77%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0992	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.17344	-6.02%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.1389	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.185104	-5.63%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0000	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.197961	-5.89%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0519	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.181721	-6.11%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0418	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.163735	-6.01%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.0739	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.180336	-7.19%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.0775	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.28469	-7.55%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.3742	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.29825	-7.40%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4023	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.2882	-7.75%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4165	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.313549	-7.51%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.4753	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.29705	-7.29%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4180	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.300586	-7.63%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5228	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.310499	-7.74%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.5388	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.312269	-8.72%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.5760	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.295974	-8.62%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.5682	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.281789	-9.38%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.5735	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.283045	-9.31%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.4875	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.288089	-9.99%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6140	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.276908	-10.08%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.6540	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.283157	-9.43%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6202	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.270926	-9.37%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.5377	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.293283	-9.65%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.4671	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.287478	-9.48%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.4926	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.295107	-9.41%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.4688	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.325613	-10.00%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.4736	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.331707	-10.03%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.4673	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.333326	-10.36%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4203	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.352867	-10.99%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4307	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.