HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s3

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2663

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0119

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006757	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006901	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006893	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007433	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008367	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008795	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008532	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008934	-1.11%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3210	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008758	-1.02%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2265	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008644	-0.93%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2278	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009027	-1.07%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1169	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010819	-1.55%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1808	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009872	-1.34%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0589	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008424	-0.75%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0040	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010687	-1.54%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0971	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011962	-1.61%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.2021	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011709	-1.57%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1289	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013523	-1.78%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2801	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014462	-2.26%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1988	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012834	-2.00%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1671	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014556	-2.36%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.4084	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011587	-1.93%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0539	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012542	-2.14%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1069	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010594	-1.70%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0238	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011465	-1.74%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1018	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013977	-2.30%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0440	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013256	-2.20%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0285	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009814	-1.39%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.3988	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008906	-1.09%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3173	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00936	-1.11%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4232	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012261	-1.31%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0008	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010693	-1.63%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0581	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011606	-1.82%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0695	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015705	-3.20%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2880	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011751	-2.01%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4931	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012685	-2.36%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6776	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.01126	-1.37%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6001	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009737	+0.53%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1581	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008163	+2.00%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0756	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.01014	+0.93%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0327	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012025	-0.29%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1293	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010523	+1.02%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1332	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009814	+2.24%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3082	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012111	+0.71%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0219	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012859	+0.52%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2718	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015638	-0.25%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6248	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022405	-2.05%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7693	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018189	-1.00%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3795	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024058	-1.99%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7771	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018806	-1.73%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6850	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020574	-2.09%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5504	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024519	-2.94%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6573	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025907	-4.03%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5362	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021713	-2.05%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0318	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014246	-0.26%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2310	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016653	-0.05%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3757	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022516	-1.46%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1405	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019561	-0.76%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0861	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018826	-0.48%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.2994	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016075	-0.46%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5192	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013662	-0.42%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4688	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013296	-0.25%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0778	✗	1.00