HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s3
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
81.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4439
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0277
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006734 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006887 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.00687 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007402 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008291 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008691 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008447 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008821 | -2.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008667 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008543 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008924 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.0106 | -3.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009694 | -3.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008316 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010459 | -3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.01172 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011488 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013231 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013999 | -5.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012482 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014073 | -5.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011277 | -4.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012169 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010349 | -3.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.01121 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013523 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012849 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009638 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008764 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009242 | -2.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012138 | -2.30% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.4189 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010414 | -4.19% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4857 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.01127 | -4.67% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5159 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014891 | -8.21% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7391 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.011303 | -5.74% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4998 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.01213 | -6.64% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5321 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010857 | -4.89% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.5004 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.00943 | -2.64% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.2097 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007925 | -0.99% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1906 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009862 | -1.84% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.3318 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011719 | -2.82% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5457 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010255 | -1.55% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009515 | -0.88% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011861 | -1.37% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012659 | -1.04% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.2053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015523 | -0.98% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.3071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021737 | -4.97% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017966 | -2.21% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.023438 | -4.52% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.5019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018319 | -4.28% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.01993 | -5.16% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023418 | -7.30% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024339 | -9.84% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021182 | -4.45% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.01432 | +0.26% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2865 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.017 | +2.03% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.022316 | -2.34% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019705 | -0.03% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.019163 | +1.31% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.8214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.016383 | +1.44% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6520 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013955 | +1.72% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013734 | +3.04% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2694 | ✗ | 1.00 |