FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1234

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0432

actual -0.0249

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.047352	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.048172	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.046701	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.045666	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.045953	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049174	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.050702	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.050868	-3.75%	0.04925	-6.81%	0.0541	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.051823	-3.73%	0.05009	-6.95%	0.0597	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057971	-3.73%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1752	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.057146	-3.80%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1856	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.064058	-4.12%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2801	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062697	-4.10%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1923	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061889	-4.03%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1530	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.059332	-3.96%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1188	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.061823	-4.02%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1266	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.066127	-4.18%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0793	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.070274	-4.64%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1450	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.067063	-4.33%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0137	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.0692	-4.98%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0443	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.06149	-4.18%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0608	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.064655	-4.43%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0246	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.065716	-4.78%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0181	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.063066	-4.48%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0771	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.058491	-4.17%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2155	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.065721	-4.79%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0531	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.063719	-4.72%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1317	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.056166	-4.34%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1309	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.057055	-4.43%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.1678	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.057025	-4.50%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2006	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.05761	-4.50%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.1665	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.058259	-4.59%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.058718	-5.32%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.065753	-6.67%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0215	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.062411	-6.51%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.1001	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.059656	-6.93%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.051706	-5.49%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0413	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.042051	-3.85%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.2295	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.046984	-4.28%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.046221	-4.07%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2387	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.048478	-4.09%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.3237	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.049104	-3.90%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2607	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.050323	-3.83%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2444	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.049606	-3.45%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.051679	-3.39%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1297	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.053559	-3.20%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.054489	-2.82%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.0780	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.053741	-2.53%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.054195	-2.16%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0275	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058012	-1.72%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0431	✓	1.00