FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
54.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0473
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0056
actual -0.0051
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.047488 | -0.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.048348 | -0.48% | 0.04772 | -1.77% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.047292 | -0.46% | 0.04858 | +2.25% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.04758 | -0.44% | 0.04751 | -0.59% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.05087 | -0.51% | 0.04779 | -6.53% | 0.0690 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.052419 | -0.51% | 0.05113 | -2.96% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.052587 | -0.50% | 0.05269 | -0.30% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.053554 | -0.51% | 0.05285 | -1.82% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.059869 | -0.57% | 0.05383 | -10.60% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.059056 | -0.59% | 0.060215 | +1.36% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.066355 | -0.68% | 0.059405 | -11.08% | 0.0957 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.064943 | -0.67% | 0.06681 | +2.19% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.064059 | -0.66% | 0.06538 | +1.39% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.061388 | -0.63% | 0.064485 | +4.38% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.064001 | -0.64% | 0.06178 | -4.09% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.068559 | -0.65% | 0.064415 | -6.66% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.07317 | -0.71% | 0.06901 | -6.35% | 0.0574 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.069641 | -0.66% | 0.07369 | +5.12% | 0.0612 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.07227 | -0.76% | 0.0701 | -3.74% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.063772 | -0.62% | 0.072825 | +13.49% | 0.1312 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.067213 | -0.65% | 0.06417 | -5.15% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.068525 | -0.71% | 0.067655 | -1.97% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.065582 | -0.67% | 0.069015 | +4.53% | 0.0516 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.060648 | -0.63% | 0.066025 | +8.18% | 0.0837 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.068528 | -0.73% | 0.061035 | -11.58% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.066379 | -0.74% | 0.06903 | +3.22% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.058301 | -0.70% | 0.066875 | +13.90% | 0.1354 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.059253 | -0.75% | 0.058715 | -1.65% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.059249 | -0.77% | 0.0597 | -0.02% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.059876 | -0.74% | 0.05971 | -1.02% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.060612 | -0.73% | 0.060325 | -1.20% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.061468 | -0.88% | 0.06106 | -1.54% | 0.0715 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.06973 | -1.02% | 0.062015 | -11.97% | 0.1163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.066111 | -0.96% | 0.07045 | +5.54% | 0.0591 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.063399 | -1.09% | 0.066755 | +4.14% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.054254 | -0.83% | 0.0641 | +17.16% | 0.1641 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.04357 | -0.38% | 0.05471 | +25.09% | 0.2203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048843 | -0.49% | 0.043735 | -10.90% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047969 | -0.44% | 0.049085 | +1.88% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.050317 | -0.45% | 0.04818 | -4.68% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050892 | -0.40% | 0.050545 | -1.08% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.052126 | -0.39% | 0.051095 | -2.36% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.051244 | -0.27% | 0.05233 | +1.85% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053356 | -0.25% | 0.05138 | -3.94% | 0.0356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.055224 | -0.19% | 0.05349 | -3.33% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.056026 | -0.08% | 0.05533 | -1.32% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.055132 | -0.01% | 0.05607 | +1.70% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055437 | +0.09% | 0.055135 | -0.46% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.05911 | +0.14% | 0.05539 | -6.16% | 0.0453 | ✗ | 1.00 |