ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s3

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0626

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0098

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.313719	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.339965	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.314154	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309832	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317304	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303705	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.317089	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.290029	-1.88%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0784	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.304683	-2.03%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1341	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.314347	-2.22%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0171	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.319072	-2.20%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0156	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.318816	-2.26%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0404	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.288587	-1.91%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0874	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.301087	-2.12%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0668	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.292005	-1.95%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0398	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.314493	-2.07%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0259	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.307505	-2.01%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1055	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.317708	-2.08%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0686	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.300046	-2.01%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1109	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.3183	-2.21%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0494	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.322031	-2.25%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0014	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.323618	-2.35%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0789	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.327836	-2.40%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0487	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.315956	-2.36%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0412	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.323179	-2.39%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0269	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.31983	-2.43%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0485	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.330085	-2.56%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0203	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.330882	-2.57%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0114	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.338493	-2.68%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0086	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.331892	-2.47%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0519	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.315912	-2.33%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0724	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.270127	-2.45%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1570	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.274605	-2.50%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1323	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278735	-2.59%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1499	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.247104	-2.41%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2117	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.24348	-2.26%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2478	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.23719	-2.01%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2219	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.262614	-2.23%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1073	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.254487	-2.01%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0298	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.255928	-1.79%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0460	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251326	-1.40%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0836	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252722	-1.28%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0043	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.248813	-0.24%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0297	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.252599	+0.16%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0039	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.226017	+2.04%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1853	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.267171	+0.97%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0154	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.263587	+1.65%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0203	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.259749	+2.34%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0109	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.270462	+2.68%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0012	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.2647	+1.59%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0722	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.257626	+2.39%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0350	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.265159	+2.62%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1869	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.25362	+2.72%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0076	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.25749	+2.71%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0135	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.2614	+1.99%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0531	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.266002	+2.86%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0225	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.267265	+1.82%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0025	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.265747	+1.28%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0395	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.269847	+0.95%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0377	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.267413	+0.27%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0789	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.27044	-0.17%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0918	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.267338	-0.06%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0355	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240662	-0.92%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0247	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.212945	-1.19%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0932	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199014	-1.18%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1098	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200174	-1.20%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1147	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202618	-1.21%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0850	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200143	-1.16%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1235	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204475	-1.22%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0732	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206394	-1.25%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0349	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212983	-1.35%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0682	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218396	-1.45%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0969	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.23409	-1.73%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1522	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231882	-1.66%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0945	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234693	-1.72%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1212	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231657	-1.67%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0860	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.23016	-1.68%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0848	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221861	-1.53%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0107	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218685	-1.49%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0205	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213162	-1.41%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1049	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211194	-1.36%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0912	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.19968	-1.15%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1495	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202229	-1.16%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1244	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204893	-1.16%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1395	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205984	-1.16%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0798	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205081	-1.12%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0764	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.19869	-1.00%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0877	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.20628	-1.06%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0622	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.212836	-1.14%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0304	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.213844	-1.14%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0265	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.217772	-1.15%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0447	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.215758	-1.07%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0042	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221024	-1.11%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0268	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.217377	-1.10%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0588	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.218143	-1.11%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0543	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.218661	-1.10%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0088	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.21865	-1.11%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0134	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.217622	-1.08%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0049	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.217693	-1.05%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0164	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210865	-0.96%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0377	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208342	-0.93%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0111	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219231	-1.02%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0069	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218003	-1.00%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0004	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.216781	-0.97%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0229	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216104	-0.96%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219416	-0.99%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0324	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219346	-0.97%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0533	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220911	-0.98%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0245	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.21391	-0.92%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0328	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.210991	-0.90%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0336	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210898	-0.89%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206171	-0.83%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0342	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.2019	-0.74%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0624	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189418	-0.52%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0943	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201112	-0.69%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0568	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201409	-0.64%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0185	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203462	-0.65%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0061	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203803	-0.63%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0116	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210951	-0.68%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0374	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218325	-0.81%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0581	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.219601	-0.86%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0918	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219069	-0.87%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0323	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215892	-0.83%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0167	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.215749	-0.85%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0012	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212581	-0.80%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0073	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211837	-0.78%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0419	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217803	-0.91%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0515	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.223299	-1.02%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0268	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.230621	-1.15%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0154	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223932	-1.09%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0008	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.219831	-1.02%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0078	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.2199	-0.99%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0250	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.218535	-0.94%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0150	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209551	-0.36%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0120	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21525	-0.44%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0008	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211676	-0.34%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0591	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212279	-0.20%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0360	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.211412	+0.86%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0065	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.216377	+0.83%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0035	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226411	-0.39%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0233	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235148	-0.70%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0847	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.250114	-1.22%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0978	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.267212	-1.51%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1716	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.271472	-1.53%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1725	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.268031	-1.50%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1640	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.259719	-1.40%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1116	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.255898	-1.35%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0561	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.266099	-1.48%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0517	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.279306	-1.62%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0445	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274116	-1.50%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0364	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.280596	-1.58%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0080	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.280594	-1.58%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0106	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.278907	-1.59%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0424	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.277645	-1.47%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0388	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.284442	-1.54%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0293	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.283178	-1.54%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0091	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.280802	-1.47%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0111	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.279519	-1.40%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0228	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.285234	-1.41%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0095	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.299904	-1.48%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0304	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.303517	-1.23%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0490	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.30283	-1.42%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0338	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.305831	-1.25%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0344	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.318542	-1.07%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0761	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309676	-0.74%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0530	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.305713	-1.03%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0362	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.30606	-1.08%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0029	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.304906	-1.04%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0000	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.313866	-0.64%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0022	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.316003	-0.75%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0172	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.298595	-0.73%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0630	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.295715	-0.97%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0303	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.298475	-0.90%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0214	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.299646	-0.94%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0189	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.293606	-1.04%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0219	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.293972	-1.02%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0316	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301431	-1.01%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0222	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302233	-0.84%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0225	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.310128	-0.54%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0371	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314252	-0.87%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0498	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310315	-0.83%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0310	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.312863	-0.62%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0388	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.317288	-0.72%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0483	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312362	-1.03%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0253	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312829	-1.10%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0370	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.315353	-1.27%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0481	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321043	-1.25%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0271	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.326793	-1.18%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0462	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.318497	-1.30%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0351	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312194	-1.27%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0019	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307371	-1.26%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0098	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303349	-1.22%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0305	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.29704	-1.28%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0470	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.310528	-1.36%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0247	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301558	-1.29%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0599	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.296043	-1.29%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0592	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296839	-1.32%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0329	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295328	-1.29%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0343	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.295233	-1.36%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0084	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.292368	-1.33%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0134	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.292533	-1.34%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0224	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.282359	-1.20%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0257	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.28462	-1.21%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0089	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.290429	-1.25%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0088	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.276395	-1.08%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0466	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.272253	-0.96%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0753	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268627	-0.84%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0697	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277724	-0.88%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0563	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283374	-0.88%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0028	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.287225	-0.92%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0207	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.291849	-0.93%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0370	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.290605	-0.88%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0179	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.293841	-0.86%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0280	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283574	-0.67%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0277	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.286352	-0.68%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0028	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.287573	-0.67%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0329	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.297436	-0.69%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0150	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.312401	-0.76%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0592	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326767	-0.74%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0776	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.332721	-0.71%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0800	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.323573	-0.77%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0796	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.313738	-0.75%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0632	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.320687	-0.78%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0982	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.31418	-0.73%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0423	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316363	-0.73%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0144	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319529	-0.74%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0056	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.318966	-0.70%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0087	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.319257	-0.61%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0429	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316946	-0.61%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0400	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317892	-0.63%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0102	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.31274	-0.65%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0154	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.321371	-0.72%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0149	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328338	-0.71%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0368	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335016	-0.77%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0380	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.343194	-0.72%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0686	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352631	-0.81%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1040	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344693	-0.75%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1010	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352513	-0.84%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1516	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.356719	-0.88%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1493	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.314757	-0.55%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0040	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.295881	-0.41%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0882	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292702	-0.51%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1862	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.302396	-0.56%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1721	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.303424	-0.55%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1591	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309214	-0.51%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1336	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.319119	-0.52%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1024	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.327252	-0.62%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0060	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.327257	-0.68%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0475	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.329918	-0.69%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1012	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.370855	-1.05%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1781	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.367099	-1.00%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1757	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.359409	-0.74%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1541	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.357977	-0.73%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1024	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.375913	-1.02%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1168	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.380155	-1.10%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1287	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.390794	-1.19%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1455	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.396423	-1.14%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0622	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.402318	-1.22%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0623	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.36189	+1.60%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0363	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363269	-0.39%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0785	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.363049	-0.51%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1443	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355525	-0.50%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2121	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346267	+0.13%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2298	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.361465	-0.29%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2437	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.386744	-0.86%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2447	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.404484	-0.98%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1979	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.419136	-1.15%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0846	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.426622	-1.18%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0238	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.421322	-1.10%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0413	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.423995	-1.05%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0719	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.428959	-1.09%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0273	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.428507	-1.06%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0210	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.43308	-1.06%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0086	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.444034	-1.11%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0435	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.42845	-0.96%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0034	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.449152	-1.11%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0055	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.457614	-1.14%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0314	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.468483	-1.16%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0028	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.473851	-1.18%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0087	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.484647	-1.23%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0192	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.504145	-1.28%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0147	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453543	-1.08%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0457	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.442716	-1.07%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0070	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.447733	-1.08%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0042	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.449181	-1.06%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0103	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.455632	-1.08%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0215	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.447967	-1.02%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0266	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.453886	-1.05%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0330	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.478847	-1.15%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0681	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.493384	-1.22%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0570	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48545	-1.23%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0604	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.480664	-1.22%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0536	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.486117	-1.26%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0627	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.477377	-1.21%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0895	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.461265	-1.10%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0648	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.489696	-1.25%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0923	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.470616	-1.13%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0440	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.472812	-1.13%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0172	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.427645	-0.89%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0868	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.424642	-0.85%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1073	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.427667	-0.84%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0980	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.438764	-0.89%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0628	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.441867	-0.88%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1005	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.460992	-0.97%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0543	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.471247	-1.00%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0263	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.490686	-1.07%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1205	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.482173	-1.01%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1061	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.449393	-0.75%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0677	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.459235	-0.79%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0582	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.451675	-0.77%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0065	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.447515	-0.66%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0060	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.471882	-0.80%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0016	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.472839	-0.83%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0772	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.477616	-0.83%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0530	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.490817	-0.89%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0279	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.509958	-0.94%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0072	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.515875	-0.96%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0518	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.519343	-0.95%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0763	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.529259	-0.96%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0722	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.520673	-0.90%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1032	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.500069	-0.82%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0520	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.505516	-0.88%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0274	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.514486	-0.93%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0221	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.533309	-0.96%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0453	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.497011	-0.72%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0185	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.536209	-0.96%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0039	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.542592	-1.00%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0072	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.57766	-1.15%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1111	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.595295	-1.26%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1669	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.609563	-1.35%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2067	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.616404	-1.36%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2013	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.59631	-1.29%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1410	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.611576	-1.36%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1829	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.527004	-0.72%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0625	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.454405	+0.58%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1558	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.45429	+0.64%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2045	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.471476	-0.17%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2872	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.507606	-0.55%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3026	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.499482	-0.30%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2550	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.511543	-0.48%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3189	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.517584	-0.52%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2128	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51959	-0.37%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0243	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.563204	-0.83%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0016	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.591131	-0.98%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0606	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.614542	-1.10%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0261	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.615741	-1.13%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0162	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.633956	-1.21%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0401	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.633099	-1.17%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0852	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.636267	-1.19%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0539	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.609231	-0.99%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0432	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.636402	-1.16%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0289	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.56743	-0.73%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0677	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.557049	-0.83%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1208	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603113	-1.10%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1537	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.621274	-1.18%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1551	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.617435	-1.16%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1424	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.622788	-1.19%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1026	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.602501	-1.07%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1676	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.596804	-1.03%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1458	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.680584	-1.36%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0739	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.729812	-1.63%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1183	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.669398	-1.39%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0382	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.673167	-1.43%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0522	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.654631	-1.34%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0103	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.608539	-1.08%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0356	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.625351	-1.13%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1028	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.65751	-1.29%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0031	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.664294	-1.31%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0244	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.616538	-0.99%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0310	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.607319	-0.86%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0502	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.619482	-0.91%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0405	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.64777	-1.06%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0052	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.668257	-1.16%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0124	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.690295	-1.26%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0313	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.697259	-1.29%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0575	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.611451	-0.83%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0677	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.582216	-0.75%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1468	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674136	-1.11%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1024	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704161	-1.17%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0854	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.69598	-1.24%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0743	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.727103	-1.21%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0747	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705497	-1.20%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1030	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.712443	-1.26%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0013	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.723338	-1.29%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0953	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.735527	-1.38%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0892	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.717884	-1.39%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0642	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.67761	-1.34%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0510	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.683648	-1.35%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0594	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.699659	-1.39%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1373	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.685828	-1.31%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1317	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.674202	-1.23%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0968	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.686531	-1.23%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0865	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.727232	-1.38%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0767	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.706515	-1.28%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0592	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.737178	-1.33%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0872	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.773491	-1.39%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0375	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.792955	-1.42%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0399	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.790521	-1.41%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0545	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.801524	-1.41%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0186	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.767579	-1.34%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0070	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.