ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s3

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0942

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0179

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.295124	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.297024	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.334286	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.307511	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.303318	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.311209	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.297201	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.311775	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.283383	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.299363	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.309501	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.314774	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.314392	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.282402	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.295432	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.286167	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.310305	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.303353	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.313949	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.295435	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.314216	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.318215	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.319804	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.324038	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.312087	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.31938	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.31612	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.326066	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.326721	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.333492	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.327648	-3.72%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0315	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.312516	-3.38%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0269	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.267316	-3.46%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2371	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.271467	-3.62%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1566	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.275095	-3.86%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1221	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.243392	-3.87%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2185	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.239551	-3.83%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1851	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.232843	-3.80%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2429	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.257678	-4.07%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0954	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.249151	-4.06%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1438	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.250286	-3.96%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1944	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.245428	-3.72%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2047	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.246195	-3.83%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2020	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.241238	-3.27%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1439	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.243752	-3.35%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1904	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.21453	-3.15%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2717	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.255485	-3.44%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1678	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.251555	-2.99%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1518	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.247706	-2.40%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1921	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.25923	-1.58%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1272	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.255014	-2.12%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1544	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.247812	-1.51%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1913	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.255339	-1.18%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1966	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.244447	-0.99%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2417	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.249387	-0.52%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1951	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.254694	-0.63%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1796	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.262533	+1.52%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1700	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263811	+0.50%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1851	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.26361	+0.46%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1775	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.269281	+0.74%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1854	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266938	+0.09%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1339	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269654	-0.46%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0587	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.268978	+0.55%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0089	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240201	-1.11%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0505	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.212502	-1.39%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1611	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.197637	-1.87%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1052	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.198753	-1.90%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0827	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.200852	-2.07%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0217	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.198416	-2.02%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1108	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.202686	-2.08%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0701	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.204651	-2.08%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0623	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.210958	-2.29%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0120	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.216051	-2.50%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0049	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.230367	-3.29%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0980	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.228708	-3.01%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0726	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.231236	-3.17%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2192	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.228463	-3.03%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0423	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.226805	-3.12%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0579	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.219353	-2.64%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0406	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.216292	-2.57%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0148	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.211051	-2.38%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0374	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.209186	-2.30%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0060	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.197956	-2.00%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0699	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.200486	-2.01%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0225	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.203455	-1.85%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0404	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.204456	-1.89%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0494	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.203659	-1.80%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0345	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.197339	-1.67%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.0933	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.205189	-1.59%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0851	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.211591	-1.72%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0476	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.212668	-1.68%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0541	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216677	-1.64%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0721	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214996	-1.42%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0649	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220268	-1.45%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0139	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.216737	-1.39%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0600	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217515	-1.40%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0770	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.218154	-1.33%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0697	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.218161	-1.33%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0473	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.217261	-1.25%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0601	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.217535	-1.12%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0258	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210898	-0.94%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0124	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208104	-1.04%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0200	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219217	-1.03%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0137	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.21811	-0.95%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0862	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217018	-0.86%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0732	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216281	-0.88%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0752	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219487	-0.95%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0334	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219646	-0.84%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0504	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221346	-0.79%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0093	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214273	-0.75%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0292	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211276	-0.76%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0180	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211053	-0.82%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0015	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205952	-0.94%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0364	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201099	-1.13%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0212	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187693	-1.42%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0200	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.20018	-1.15%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0055	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.200211	-1.23%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0189	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20235	-1.20%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0548	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.202637	-1.20%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0371	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.209824	-1.21%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0317	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.217666	-1.11%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0435	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.21931	-0.99%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0237	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.218938	-0.93%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0288	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215504	-1.01%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0018	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.21553	-0.95%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0078	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212035	-1.06%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0252	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211063	-1.14%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0237	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217587	-1.01%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0224	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.223458	-0.95%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0059	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.231088	-0.95%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0310	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223984	-1.07%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0424	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.219313	-1.25%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0160	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.219039	-1.38%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0087	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.217346	-1.47%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0105	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.206424	-1.84%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0267	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.212161	-1.87%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0102	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.208359	-1.90%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0717	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.208499	-1.97%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0602	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.205173	-2.11%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0460	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.210063	-2.11%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0027	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.222771	-1.99%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0373	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.232223	-1.93%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0716	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.248571	-1.83%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1287	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.265428	-2.16%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1845	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.26947	-2.26%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2385	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.265999	-2.24%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1860	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.257522	-2.23%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1490	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.253439	-2.30%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1232	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26369	-2.37%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1580	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.276925	-2.46%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1658	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.272149	-2.21%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0740	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.278255	-2.40%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1113	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.277946	-2.51%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1339	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.275762	-2.70%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1427	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.274982	-2.42%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1311	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.281358	-2.61%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1651	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.279731	-2.74%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1640	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.277306	-2.70%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1368	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.276093	-2.61%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1136	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.281774	-2.60%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1015	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.295933	-2.78%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1643	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.29989	-2.41%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1701	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.298658	-2.78%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1688	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.30166	-2.60%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1780	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.313371	-2.68%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2326	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.304996	-2.24%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1751	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.301204	-2.49%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2042	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.301401	-2.59%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2104	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.300254	-2.55%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1994	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.308418	-2.37%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1545	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.310355	-2.53%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1800	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.294055	-2.24%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0983	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.291483	-2.38%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0563	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.294082	-2.36%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0294	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.295239	-2.40%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0359	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.289182	-2.53%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0421	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.289469	-2.54%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0766	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296849	-2.51%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1139	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.297941	-2.25%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0756	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.305451	-2.04%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0526	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.309825	-2.26%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1044	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.306287	-2.11%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0682	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.308866	-1.89%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0683	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.313537	-1.90%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0810	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.308993	-2.09%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1008	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.309626	-2.11%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0811	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.311548	-2.46%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1026	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.31822	-2.12%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1194	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.32476	-1.80%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1382	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.316694	-1.86%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1126	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.310949	-1.66%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0528	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.306304	-1.60%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0480	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.302673	-1.44%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0228	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.29552	-1.79%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0307	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.309314	-1.74%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0261	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.300839	-1.53%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0338	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295228	-1.56%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0233	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.295903	-1.63%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0264	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.294725	-1.50%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0186	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.293935	-1.79%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0308	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291122	-1.75%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0078	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.291058	-1.84%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0728	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.280908	-1.71%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0372	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.283146	-1.72%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0378	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.289045	-1.72%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0398	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.27486	-1.62%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0069	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.270278	-1.68%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0153	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.266212	-1.73%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0427	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.275598	-1.64%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0041	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.281323	-1.60%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0049	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.285727	-1.44%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0264	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.290948	-1.24%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0196	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.289546	-1.25%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0167	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292883	-1.19%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0241	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.28142	-1.43%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0393	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284505	-1.32%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0446	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.286147	-1.16%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0805	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.296144	-1.12%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0417	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.311736	-0.97%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0069	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.32681	-0.73%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0234	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333236	-0.56%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0520	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.324291	-0.55%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0527	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.31403	-0.65%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0508	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.321119	-0.64%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0633	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.31442	-0.66%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0216	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316577	-0.67%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0607	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319727	-0.67%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0806	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31859	-0.81%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0819	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.317853	-1.04%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1163	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.315943	-0.93%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0694	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317233	-0.83%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0768	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.313036	-0.56%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0190	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.322644	-0.33%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0662	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328206	-0.75%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1149	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335164	-0.72%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1233	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.3421	-1.04%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2306	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.351969	-0.99%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2444	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.343496	-1.10%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2386	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.351972	-0.99%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2144	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.356298	-1.00%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.2010	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.311975	-1.43%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1232	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.292255	-1.63%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0601	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.289793	-1.50%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0185	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.299884	-1.39%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0414	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.300733	-1.43%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0504	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.306149	-1.50%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0818	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.316052	-1.48%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1332	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.324806	-1.36%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1083	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.325164	-1.32%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0588	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.327724	-1.35%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0516	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.370581	-1.13%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1546	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.366037	-1.28%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1589	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356355	-1.59%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1758	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.354763	-1.62%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1383	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.373942	-1.54%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1864	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.378436	-1.55%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1730	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.388909	-1.67%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1855	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.393429	-1.89%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1935	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.399243	-1.98%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1652	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.347077	-2.56%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1325	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.357102	-2.08%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0403	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.357396	-2.06%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0588	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.349773	-2.11%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0145	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.33805	-2.24%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1050	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.354635	-2.17%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0972	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.382549	-1.94%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1682	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.400768	-1.89%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1347	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.41625	-1.83%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1578	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.423664	-1.86%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1305	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.417994	-1.88%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1307	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.42024	-1.93%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0519	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.425511	-1.89%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0042	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.424977	-1.88%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0373	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.429514	-1.87%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0213	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.440274	-1.94%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0423	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.424117	-1.96%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0240	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.445741	-1.86%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0777	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.454458	-1.82%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0834	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.465714	-1.75%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0483	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.471317	-1.71%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0590	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.482035	-1.77%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1411	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.501473	-1.81%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1234	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.452262	-1.36%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2183	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.440362	-1.60%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1843	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.445449	-1.58%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1894	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.446973	-1.55%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1678	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.453625	-1.51%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2053	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.446335	-1.38%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2537	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.452579	-1.33%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2576	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.478096	-1.30%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2681	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.492488	-1.40%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0517	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.484542	-1.42%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0143	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.479939	-1.37%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0941	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.485262	-1.43%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1157	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.476667	-1.35%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.1023	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.460568	-1.25%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1108	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.488994	-1.39%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1173	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.469931	-1.27%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1351	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.472249	-1.24%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1092	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.42614	-1.24%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0071	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.422703	-1.31%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0250	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.425668	-1.31%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0106	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.437237	-1.23%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0379	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.440267	-1.24%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0369	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.460222	-1.13%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0369	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.470664	-1.12%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0793	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.490313	-1.15%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1405	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.481491	-1.15%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1227	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.446383	-1.42%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0834	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.456702	-1.34%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0884	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.449222	-1.31%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0266	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.443908	-1.46%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0170	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.469962	-1.21%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1306	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.471651	-1.08%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0665	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.47661	-1.04%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0606	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.490977	-0.85%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0460	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.510284	-0.88%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0796	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.516543	-0.84%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.1073	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.519405	-0.93%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1338	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.529339	-0.95%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1385	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.520111	-1.01%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1098	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.49898	-1.04%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0480	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.505662	-0.85%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0154	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.515388	-0.75%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0078	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.53379	-0.87%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0583	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.494276	-1.26%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0784	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.536145	-0.97%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0461	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.542738	-0.98%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0710	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.577799	-1.13%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1403	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.595026	-1.31%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2649	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.607834	-1.63%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2990	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.611883	-2.08%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3471	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.593276	-1.79%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2816	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.606678	-2.15%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3189	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.520825	-1.88%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1773	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.441791	-2.22%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0152	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.441392	-2.22%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0868	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.462631	-2.05%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1093	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.501117	-1.82%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0262	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.490953	-2.01%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0419	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.504307	-1.89%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0056	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511216	-1.75%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0297	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.512788	-1.67%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0332	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.560039	-1.38%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0069	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.58927	-1.29%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0177	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.613332	-1.30%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0481	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.614993	-1.25%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0457	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.633018	-1.35%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0003	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.631726	-1.39%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0102	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.634864	-1.40%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0452	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.606851	-1.37%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0607	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.634454	-1.47%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0134	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.562824	-1.54%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0502	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.552964	-1.56%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1596	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.601216	-1.41%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2125	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.620518	-1.30%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.1991	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.617447	-1.16%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.1965	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.623348	-1.10%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1728	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.600827	-1.34%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3074	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.593773	-1.53%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3907	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.677094	-1.87%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3096	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.723087	-2.54%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3211	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.665637	-1.94%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.2987	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.669577	-1.95%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3339	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.651881	-1.75%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2315	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.605031	-1.65%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0879	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62109	-1.80%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0442	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.653321	-1.92%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0139	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.659463	-2.03%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0000	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.610018	-2.04%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0461	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.59954	-2.13%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0412	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.611809	-2.14%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0369	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.640927	-2.10%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0441	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.661313	-2.19%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0485	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.682822	-2.33%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0680	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.68872	-2.50%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0769	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.599242	-2.82%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1056	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.567549	-3.25%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2457	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.664286	-2.55%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2263	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.694879	-2.47%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1858	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.684604	-2.85%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1564	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.719909	-2.19%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1531	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.697751	-2.29%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0829	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.704356	-2.38%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0278	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.715407	-2.37%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0139	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.726554	-2.58%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0107	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.707341	-2.84%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0074	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.663489	-3.39%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0237	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.669285	-3.42%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0351	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.685104	-3.44%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1380	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.669989	-3.58%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0358	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.657401	-3.69%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0494	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.669746	-3.65%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0265	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.711951	-3.45%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0068	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.690526	-3.52%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0108	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.723033	-3.22%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0787	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.761336	-2.94%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0740	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.781346	-2.87%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0812	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.779217	-2.82%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0379	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.791545	-2.64%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0868	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.