BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
16.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2828
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0406
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0117 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9543 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8804 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.302 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3145 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8372 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.741 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2435 | -5.75% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0448 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9604 | -6.13% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0388 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.659 | -5.18% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1717 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5464 | -4.88% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4165 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.511 | -4.62% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4513 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5011 | -4.70% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2316 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3303 | -4.49% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3196 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2407 | -4.38% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6205 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1618 | -4.26% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5431 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1798 | -4.36% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3217 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.19 | -4.48% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2606 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.992977 | -4.31% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4284 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3165 | -4.70% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1383 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3499 | -4.82% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0361 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.265 | -4.82% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0193 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3184 | -5.06% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0415 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0646 | -4.88% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1975 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1625 | -4.77% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1166 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.957357 | -4.41% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0881 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2296 | -6.52% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1259 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.909668 | -4.69% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4541 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.983683 | -5.21% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2828 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.858968 | -4.33% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5106 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.763965 | -4.59% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.713403 | -4.50% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4973 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.571403 | -3.20% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.607939 | -3.53% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.689856 | -4.17% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.715676 | -4.60% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.673555 | -4.47% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.560666 | -3.76% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.686152 | -6.58% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.531638 | -3.39% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.493872 | -2.93% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.484135 | -3.18% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3992 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.441648 | -2.10% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.429764 | -1.82% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.44358 | -1.66% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.443233 | -0.93% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5501 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.448153 | -0.89% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.453049 | -0.77% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.453502 | -0.20% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1576 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.482398 | -1.47% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0796 | ✓ | 1.00 |