BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1141
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0104
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0834 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0228 | -1.00% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0352 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9465 | -1.01% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0686 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3882 | -1.12% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1975 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4061 | -1.32% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0154 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9045 | -1.21% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2449 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7987 | -0.98% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0579 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.34 | -1.70% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2436 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.047 | -1.98% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1262 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7236 | -1.48% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2162 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6048 | -1.29% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0523 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5668 | -1.10% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0504 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5576 | -1.12% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0234 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3783 | -1.04% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1493 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2843 | -1.02% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0523 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2015 | -0.99% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0367 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2208 | -1.04% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2323 | -1.08% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0276 | -0.98% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2292 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3664 | -1.09% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2702 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.402 | -1.15% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3133 | -1.18% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1050 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3711 | -1.27% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.105 | -1.27% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2326 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2065 | -1.16% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0989 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.990426 | -1.11% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2101 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2893 | -1.98% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2452 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.942646 | -1.23% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3268 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.023 | -1.43% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0693 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.888197 | -1.07% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1770 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.790767 | -1.24% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.738294 | -1.17% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.586291 | -0.68% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2432 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.625454 | -0.75% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.713073 | -0.95% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1811 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.74152 | -1.16% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.696911 | -1.15% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.576676 | -1.02% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2347 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.71818 | -2.22% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.545818 | -0.81% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3028 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.505378 | -0.67% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.496016 | -0.81% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.449084 | -0.45% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1301 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.436026 | -0.39% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.449231 | -0.40% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.446326 | -0.24% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.451072 | -0.25% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.455361 | -0.26% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.453087 | -0.29% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.487182 | -0.49% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1196 | ✓ | 1.00 |