BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

68.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2364

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1217

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.047235	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.046644	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.044299	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.045732	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.049323	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.051793	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.042312	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04169	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.045085	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.050911	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.06065	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.061984	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.062453	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.060452	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.062028	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.062447	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.058273	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.059	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.057701	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.058554	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.060888	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.061111	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.062019	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.062306	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.066175	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.066307	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.064497	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.063002	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.060459	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.066763	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.066614	-2.30%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.2380	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.061199	-7.48%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2138	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.060787	-7.21%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.2544	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.060348	-7.41%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2203	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.056436	-9.64%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.0982	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.055599	-9.48%	0.056	-8.82%	0.0319	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.056698	-10.29%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.2734	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.057485	-8.24%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.2890	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.056617	-8.43%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2006	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.058857	-8.08%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.0972	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.059396	-7.55%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0733	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.05621	-7.23%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1591	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.058326	-5.82%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1404	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.06353	-6.12%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0169	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.064201	-4.80%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0232	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.065085	-3.44%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0014	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.066515	-3.26%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1057	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.066883	-2.58%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1161	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.068649	-1.41%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1273	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.065179	-3.11%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.0839	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.065537	-2.86%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0552	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.06746	-1.34%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0459	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.066353	-2.19%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0315	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.069747	-1.21%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0707	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.070736	-1.04%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0396	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.075478	+3.03%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.0853	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.074155	+2.69%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.1000	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.070358	+1.95%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.0865	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.07456	+3.16%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.1904	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074125	+0.92%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1286	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.0738	-0.86%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1427	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.092059	+1.24%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3469	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.074468	-11.53%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.1684	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.069849	-13.49%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.1417	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.067568	-14.44%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.1623	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.066585	-14.00%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.1690	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.066819	-14.32%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.1579	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.06834	-14.33%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2057	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.064818	-13.68%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.1586	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.06512	-13.61%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1264	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.066112	-13.62%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.1594	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.066342	-13.46%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2086	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.067039	-13.32%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2255	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.06472	-12.61%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.0915	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.067361	-12.76%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1390	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.068018	-12.67%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.1619	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.072951	-13.40%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2258	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.070125	-12.90%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.1824	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.067128	-12.49%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1358	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.06693	-12.49%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1362	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.066504	-12.34%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1216	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.065947	-12.30%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1102	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.068893	-12.84%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.1531	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.069765	-12.26%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1168	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.070218	-12.44%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1115	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.069828	-11.84%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.0915	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.070195	-11.50%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1051	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.077069	-11.46%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2118	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.0751	-11.21%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1450	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.07501	-11.14%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1201	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.068613	-9.64%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0166	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.075352	-10.56%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0922	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.076416	-10.53%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0428	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.076339	-11.06%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0278	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.07971	-11.68%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0093	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.081151	-11.91%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0433	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.080611	-12.11%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0197	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.080165	-12.23%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0064	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.078377	-12.40%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0240	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.076234	-12.76%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0086	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.081409	-14.06%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.0806	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.087012	-14.85%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.1234	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.084256	-14.29%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.0879	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.088568	-14.81%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.1895	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.093342	-16.22%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.2165	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.075207	-13.61%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0012	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.073466	-13.61%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.1246	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.081521	-14.05%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.0199	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.07949	-13.93%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.0421	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.079227	-13.90%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.0407	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.081654	-14.01%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.0872	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.086249	-14.79%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.1561	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.106069	-18.74%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.3465	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.084212	-15.96%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.1495	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.070019	-13.82%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0695	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.068925	-14.54%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0773	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.063855	-14.72%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.1629	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.057158	-14.70%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.3450	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.060397	-15.04%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.2703	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.070959	-14.94%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.1333	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.084391	-15.18%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.1317	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.080693	-14.38%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0189	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.079939	-14.75%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0289	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.075532	-14.60%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.1161	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.082933	-15.23%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0692	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.080443	-15.62%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.1113	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.06595	-15.23%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.3383	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.064975	-14.66%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.3694	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.066518	-15.34%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.3204	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.061147	-14.54%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.3677	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.059227	-14.29%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.5025	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.063094	-15.78%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.4790	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.061748	-15.55%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.4617	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.054311	-13.60%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.6128	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.05548	-14.18%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.6769	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.055583	-14.14%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.4602	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.059006	-15.86%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.3652	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.05627	-15.26%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.4807	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.053713	-13.56%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.5082	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.054443	-13.62%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.5349	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.059119	-15.73%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.4948	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.056113	-13.64%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.6772	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.060965	-14.44%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.9423	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.061577	-13.70%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.7437	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.065852	-14.45%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.4356	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.065248	-14.54%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.4436	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.054349	-10.74%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.5561	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.055555	-10.70%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.4351	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.055848	-10.18%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.5303	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.061246	-10.92%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5747	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.061274	-10.55%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.7161	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.064277	-10.79%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5869	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.063612	-10.53%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5859	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.0738	-12.14%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.3449	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.06819	-11.04%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.5368	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.063585	-10.15%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5739	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.0644	-9.92%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.3393	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.063777	-9.46%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.3206	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.068217	-9.99%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2768	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.068061	-9.14%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.2096	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.078103	-10.14%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0186	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.079314	-10.71%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0868	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.096602	-12.59%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.1964	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.093115	-11.09%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.2646	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.088308	-10.13%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1644	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.086165	-10.50%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.1648	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.080941	-10.15%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0286	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.082342	-10.45%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.0830	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.07969	-9.49%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.0739	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.081546	-9.91%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1131	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.084482	-10.81%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.0452	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.087254	-11.83%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.1826	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.100397	-13.74%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.2845	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.095256	-13.55%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.2527	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.096526	-14.10%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2045	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.109879	-15.41%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.3421	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.116486	-15.88%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.6112	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.11454	-16.37%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.5701	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.112765	-15.73%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.5585	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.113026	-16.08%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.4919	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.10405	-15.19%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.4117	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.113868	-16.16%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.4366	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.098393	-14.25%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.108255	-17.14%	0.084	-35.71%	0.2693	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.095269	-16.40%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.2385	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.074823	-13.20%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.079794	-12.53%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1257	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.102982	-16.44%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.3838	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.123609	-25.60%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.5276	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.075529	-11.70%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.067329	-10.40%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1665	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.059493	-9.45%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.3378	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.053079	-10.80%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.6046	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.049354	-9.75%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6406	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.048546	-9.86%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5864	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.04808	-10.28%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5780	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.055306	-10.71%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3673	✗	1.00