BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

196

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0605

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.050562	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049839	-0.57%	0.05086	+1.47%	0.0228	✗	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.047116	-0.52%	0.050125	+5.83%	0.0507	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048562	-0.56%	0.047365	-3.01%	0.0232	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052641	-0.77%	0.048835	-7.95%	0.0814	✓	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055534	-0.83%	0.05305	-5.27%	0.0445	✓	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044461	-0.31%	0.056	+25.56%	0.2376	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043719	-0.22%	0.0446	+1.79%	0.0138	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047701	-0.34%	0.043815	-8.46%	0.0693	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054453	-0.47%	0.047865	-12.51%	0.1436	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065783	-0.68%	0.05471	-17.40%	0.1692	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067556	-0.72%	0.066235	-2.66%	0.0261	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.068031	-0.72%	0.068045	-0.70%	0.0028	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065516	-0.68%	0.068525	+3.88%	0.0378	✗	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.067035	-0.67%	0.065965	-2.26%	0.0034	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066734	-0.59%	0.06749	+0.54%	0.0318	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061854	-0.51%	0.06713	+7.98%	0.0837	✗	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062123	-0.47%	0.06217	-0.39%	0.0077	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061534	-0.54%	0.062415	+0.88%	0.0022	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062497	-0.55%	0.06187	-1.54%	0.0123	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.06486	-0.56%	0.06284	-3.66%	0.0284	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065741	-0.63%	0.065225	-1.41%	0.0197	✓	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066479	-0.63%	0.06616	-1.11%	0.0042	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066773	-0.62%	0.0669	-0.43%	0.0003	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070506	-0.64%	0.06719	-5.31%	0.0417	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070649	-0.68%	0.07096	-0.25%	0.0041	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068794	-0.61%	0.071135	+2.77%	0.0315	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066525	-0.55%	0.069215	+3.48%	0.0414	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063337	-0.49%	0.06689	+5.09%	0.0545	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068624	-0.44%	0.06365	-7.65%	0.0632	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067899	-0.41%	0.068925	+1.09%	0.0182	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065692	-0.69%	0.06818	+3.08%	0.0053	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065074	-0.67%	0.066145	+0.97%	0.0169	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.06475	-0.66%	0.06551	+0.51%	0.0089	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061961	-0.80%	0.06518	+4.35%	0.0179	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060942	-0.78%	0.06246	+1.69%	0.0231	✗	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062671	-0.84%	0.06142	-2.82%	0.0231	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.062249	-0.63%	0.0632	+0.89%	0.0290	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061434	-0.64%	0.062645	+1.32%	0.0122	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063662	-0.58%	0.06183	-3.44%	0.0266	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063921	-0.50%	0.06403	-0.33%	0.0014	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060341	-0.41%	0.064245	+6.03%	0.0592	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061862	-0.11%	0.06059	-2.16%	0.0120	✓	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067581	-0.13%	0.06193	-8.48%	0.0863	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067453	+0.02%	0.06767	+0.34%	0.0075	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067484	+0.12%	0.06744	+0.05%	0.0074	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068846	+0.13%	0.067405	-1.96%	0.0245	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.06878	+0.18%	0.068755	+0.15%	0.0015	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069769	+0.20%	0.068655	-1.40%	0.0051	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.067317	+0.07%	0.06963	+3.51%	0.0072	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.067482	+0.02%	0.06727	-0.29%	0.0025	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.068471	+0.14%	0.067465	-1.33%	0.0084	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067806	-0.05%	0.068375	+0.79%	0.0022	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.070588	-0.02%	0.06784	-3.91%	0.0359	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.071417	-0.09%	0.0706	-1.23%	0.0142	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073322	+0.08%	0.07148	-2.43%	0.0095	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072203	-0.02%	0.07326	+1.45%	0.0067	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.068908	-0.15%	0.072215	+4.64%	0.0437	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072127	-0.20%	0.06901	-4.52%	0.0414	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.07319	-0.35%	0.072275	-1.60%	0.0212	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074067	-0.50%	0.07345	-1.33%	0.0131	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090435	-0.54%	0.07444	-18.13%	0.1871	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.083264	-1.08%	0.09093	+8.02%	0.0616	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.079783	-1.19%	0.084175	+4.25%	0.0291	✗	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.07802	-1.21%	0.080745	+2.24%	0.0005	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.076511	-1.17%	0.078975	+2.01%	0.0300	✗	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.077001	-1.26%	0.07742	-0.72%	0.0088	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.078809	-1.20%	0.077985	-2.24%	0.0089	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.074309	-1.04%	0.07977	+6.23%	0.0705	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.074598	-1.03%	0.07509	-0.38%	0.0105	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.07575	-1.03%	0.075375	-1.52%	0.0051	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.075873	-1.03%	0.07654	-0.16%	0.0100	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.07656	-1.01%	0.07666	-0.88%	0.0056	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.073377	-0.91%	0.07734	+4.44%	0.0630	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.076493	-0.93%	0.074055	-4.09%	0.0317	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.077166	-0.93%	0.077215	-0.87%	0.0004	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.083401	-1.00%	0.07789	-7.54%	0.0758	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.079755	-0.94%	0.08424	+4.63%	0.0587	✗	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.076054	-0.86%	0.08051	+4.95%	0.0507	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075839	-0.84%	0.07671	+0.30%	0.0049	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.075251	-0.82%	0.07648	+0.80%	0.0166	✗	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.074599	-0.79%	0.07587	+0.90%	0.0093	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.078359	-0.86%	0.075195	-4.86%	0.0406	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.078844	-0.84%	0.07904	-0.60%	0.0227	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.079514	-0.85%	0.079515	-0.85%	0.0084	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078591	-0.78%	0.080195	+1.24%	0.0197	✗	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078723	-0.75%	0.07921	-0.13%	0.0047	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.086324	-0.82%	0.079315	-8.88%	0.0706	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.083934	-0.76%	0.08704	+2.91%	0.0280	✗	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.083778	-0.76%	0.08458	+0.20%	0.0078	✗	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075472	-0.60%	0.084415	+11.17%	0.1207	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.0836	-0.77%	0.07593	-9.88%	0.0873	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.084738	-0.79%	0.08425	-1.36%	0.0020	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.085137	-0.81%	0.08541	-0.50%	0.0060	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.089453	-0.88%	0.085835	-4.89%	0.0455	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.091275	-0.92%	0.09025	-2.03%	0.0099	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.090879	-0.92%	0.09212	+0.44%	0.0023	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.090485	-0.93%	0.09172	+0.42%	0.0117	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.088609	-0.96%	0.091335	+2.08%	0.0405	✗	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.086507	-1.00%	0.08947	+2.39%	0.0371	✗	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.093684	-1.10%	0.08738	-7.75%	0.1141	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.100954	-1.20%	0.094725	-7.30%	0.0405	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.097178	-1.15%	0.102185	+3.95%	0.0508	✗	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.102684	-1.23%	0.098305	-5.44%	0.0383	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.109843	-1.41%	0.10396	-6.70%	0.0699	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.086144	-1.05%	0.11142	+27.99%	0.2443	✗	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.084143	-1.05%	0.087055	+2.37%	0.0483	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.093752	-1.16%	0.08504	-10.34%	0.0890	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.091233	-1.22%	0.09485	+2.70%	0.0330	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.090837	-1.29%	0.09236	+0.37%	0.0096	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.09365	-1.38%	0.09202	-3.10%	0.0255	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.099524	-1.68%	0.09496	-6.19%	0.0623	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.126865	-2.81%	0.101225	-22.45%	0.2539	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.098259	-1.94%	0.13053	+30.27%	0.2618	✗	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.08028	-1.19%	0.1002	+23.33%	0.2520	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.079533	-1.38%	0.081245	+0.74%	0.0113	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.073954	-1.23%	0.08065	+7.71%	0.0935	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066247	-1.14%	0.074875	+11.74%	0.1234	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.070228	-1.21%	0.06701	-5.74%	0.0514	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.082285	-1.36%	0.07109	-14.78%	0.1290	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.097953	-1.55%	0.08342	-16.15%	0.1420	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.093092	-1.22%	0.09949	+5.57%	0.0817	✗	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.092521	-1.33%	0.094245	+0.51%	0.0102	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.087313	-1.29%	0.09377	+6.01%	0.0833	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.096313	-1.56%	0.08845	-9.59%	0.0947	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.093916	-1.48%	0.097835	+2.63%	0.0333	✗	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.076764	-1.33%	0.09533	+22.54%	0.2408	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.075122	-1.33%	0.077795	+2.18%	0.0532	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.07732	-1.60%	0.076135	-3.11%	0.0054	✓	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.070638	-1.28%	0.078575	+9.82%	0.0980	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.068253	-1.23%	0.07155	+3.55%	0.0283	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.073874	-1.40%	0.0691	-7.77%	0.0808	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.072153	-1.32%	0.07492	+2.46%	0.0380	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062223	-1.01%	0.07312	+16.32%	0.1325	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063957	-1.07%	0.06286	-2.77%	0.0140	✓	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.064041	-1.08%	0.06465	-0.14%	0.0287	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.069237	-1.27%	0.06474	-7.69%	0.0639	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065664	-1.11%	0.07013	+5.62%	0.0334	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.06161	-0.85%	0.0664	+6.86%	0.0773	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062465	-0.90%	0.06214	-1.41%	0.0340	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069332	-1.17%	0.06303	-10.15%	0.0921	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064394	-0.90%	0.07015	+7.96%	0.1289	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.070465	-1.10%	0.06498	-8.80%	0.0105	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.070592	-1.06%	0.07125	-0.14%	0.0443	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.076057	-1.19%	0.07135	-7.31%	0.0610	✓	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.075444	-1.19%	0.076975	+0.82%	0.0140	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060549	-0.56%	0.07635	+25.39%	0.2342	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.061857	-0.58%	0.06089	-2.13%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061831	-0.55%	0.062215	+0.06%	0.0305	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.068257	-0.72%	0.062175	-9.57%	0.0724	✓	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.068044	-0.67%	0.068755	+0.37%	0.0064	✓	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.071549	-0.69%	0.0685	-4.93%	0.0483	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070669	-0.61%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0016	✓	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.083225	-0.92%	0.0711	-15.36%	0.1336	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.076085	-0.74%	0.084	+9.59%	0.0981	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.070373	-0.56%	0.07665	+8.31%	0.0777	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.071109	-0.53%	0.07077	-1.01%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.070104	-0.48%	0.07149	+1.49%	0.0248	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075348	-0.58%	0.07044	-7.06%	0.0600	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074545	-0.49%	0.07579	+1.17%	0.0270	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.0863	-0.71%	0.07491	-13.82%	0.1260	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.08818	-0.73%	0.08692	-2.15%	0.0289	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.109391	-1.02%	0.08883	-19.63%	0.2030	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.103772	-0.91%	0.11052	+5.53%	0.0699	✗	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.097361	-0.92%	0.10473	+6.58%	0.0759	✗	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.095524	-0.78%	0.09826	+2.07%	0.0189	✗	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.08946	-0.69%	0.09627	+6.87%	0.0705	✗	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.091285	-0.73%	0.09008	-2.04%	0.0144	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.087475	-0.65%	0.091955	+4.44%	0.0607	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.0899	-0.68%	0.088045	-2.73%	0.0248	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.093998	-0.76%	0.09052	-4.43%	0.0461	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.098119	-0.85%	0.09472	-4.28%	0.0464	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.11513	-1.08%	0.09896	-14.98%	0.1504	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.109036	-1.04%	0.11639	+5.64%	0.0619	✗	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.111183	-1.06%	0.11018	-1.95%	0.0252	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.128299	-1.23%	0.11237	-13.49%	0.1375	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.136618	-1.34%	0.12989	-6.20%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.134808	-1.57%	0.13847	+1.10%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.132034	-1.33%	0.136965	+2.36%	0.0534	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.132848	-1.36%	0.13381	-0.64%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.121115	-1.28%	0.134675	+9.77%	0.1037	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.133724	-1.54%	0.122685	-9.67%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.113204	-1.34%	0.13582	+18.37%	0.1812	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.127876	-2.12%	0.11474	-12.18%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.111687	-1.99%	0.13065	+14.65%	0.1505	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.085198	-1.16%	0.11396	+32.20%	0.2636	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.089994	-1.34%	0.0862	-5.50%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.120319	-2.38%	0.09122	-25.99%	0.2591	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.158847	-4.40%	0.12325	-25.82%	0.2791	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.084434	-1.29%	0.16615	+94.25%	0.6726	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.074386	-1.01%	0.085535	+13.83%	0.1308	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.065072	-0.96%	0.075145	+14.38%	0.1475	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.058986	-0.87%	0.0657	+10.41%	0.0569	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.054252	-0.79%	0.059505	+8.81%	0.1248	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.053427	-0.79%	0.054685	+1.54%	0.0221	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.053158	-0.81%	0.053855	+0.49%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.0614	-0.87%	0.05359	-13.48%	0.1460	✓	1.00