AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0651

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0129

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019048	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01925	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02012	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.018995	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020051	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021577	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019928	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018295	-1.89%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0462	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019019	-1.84%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0372	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018506	-1.65%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1096	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020303	-1.74%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0211	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022001	-2.09%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0472	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019691	-1.27%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1329	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019698	-1.18%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0362	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022031	-1.36%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1459	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.02154	-0.97%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0737	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.02229	-1.00%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1164	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022668	-0.95%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0558	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022585	-1.09%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0195	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022532	-1.11%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0956	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022729	-0.97%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0885	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023378	-1.12%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0418	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022336	-0.87%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0530	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021686	-0.74%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0058	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024669	-1.02%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.1007	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.02523	-1.11%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1039	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024518	-1.09%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0782	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023855	-1.00%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023052	-0.97%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024359	-0.99%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023108	-0.92%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020852	-1.35%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1385	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021056	-1.47%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1536	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021255	-1.60%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1148	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020032	-1.87%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0847	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02018	-1.93%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020864	-2.07%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0335	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020106	-1.64%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0461	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019915	-1.72%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021107	-2.14%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020136	-1.53%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018396	-1.30%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1065	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019856	-1.31%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020249	-1.24%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020577	-0.95%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020538	-0.31%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0316	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020593	+0.01%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0790	✓	1.00