AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s3
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0621
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0343
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018371 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018584 | -5.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019346 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018333 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.01929 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020746 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019266 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017727 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018484 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018018 | -4.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019827 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021383 | -4.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019213 | -3.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.01921 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021506 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021239 | -2.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021971 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022409 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022234 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02217 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022473 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.023041 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.022119 | -1.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.021515 | -1.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024431 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024963 | -2.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.024268 | -2.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023678 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022905 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.02427 | -1.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.02308 | -1.04% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020515 | -2.94% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020685 | -3.21% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020836 | -3.54% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019454 | -4.70% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019576 | -4.86% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020185 | -5.26% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019674 | -3.76% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019493 | -3.80% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020636 | -4.32% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.01966 | -3.85% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017964 | -3.61% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019408 | -3.54% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019804 | -3.41% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020197 | -2.78% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020301 | -1.47% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020378 | -1.04% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 1.00 |