ARK

ARK · native · lstm_s3

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0564

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0087

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.172339	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.173214	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.172125	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.167795	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.171399	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.17694	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.179347	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.178244	-1.66%	0.173565	-4.24%	0.0391	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.186507	-2.23%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0647	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.184867	-2.09%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0617	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.200957	-2.90%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1557	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.207573	-2.47%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1652	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.209234	-2.48%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1428	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.216536	-3.61%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1774	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.206207	-3.87%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.1106	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.203425	-2.53%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0375	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.212122	-2.80%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0721	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.217809	-2.80%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0202	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.222241	-3.87%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0224	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.204321	-3.46%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0713	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.23351	-3.99%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.247733	-4.93%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1408	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.24308	-3.23%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1740	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.228098	-4.42%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0689	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.239439	-3.20%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0877	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.248395	-4.67%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0752	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.241448	-5.07%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1361	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.187926	-2.78%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2528	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.156439	-1.44%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5197	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.155112	-1.83%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5119	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.151308	-1.75%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.4922	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.149394	-1.56%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4611	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.150804	-1.72%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5057	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.14053	-1.21%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5511	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.134231	-2.09%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2522	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.144313	-3.63%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0197	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.140394	-3.29%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0305	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.162242	-3.76%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1550	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.134284	-2.52%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0720	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.131897	-0.77%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1051	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.114042	-0.49%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1777	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.110234	+0.17%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2203	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.118673	+0.87%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2574	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.117581	+1.08%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2435	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.115978	+1.30%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.3843	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.11931	+1.28%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.1830	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.119208	+1.37%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1375	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.119317	+1.46%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0129	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.115775	+1.64%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0039	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.11196	+1.87%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0380	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.11115	+1.98%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0331	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.112384	+2.02%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.111624	+2.13%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0231	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.113899	+2.11%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0144	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.114833	+2.11%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0035	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.116628	+2.01%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0344	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.114815	+2.00%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0243	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.108922	+1.99%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0133	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.109235	+1.90%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0131	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.110238	+1.72%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0078	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.110117	+1.49%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0007	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.108414	+1.40%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0423	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.096981	-0.05%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.0855	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.090862	-1.17%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1070	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.08488	-1.32%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0792	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.085561	-2.19%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0666	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086608	-1.54%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0520	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088099	-1.70%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0461	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.086831	-1.77%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0314	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.088419	-1.81%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0213	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.087725	-1.76%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0267	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.088906	-2.56%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0478	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091021	-1.63%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0470	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092299	-1.25%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0215	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.092686	-1.96%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0087	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092429	-1.93%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0194	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093202	-1.51%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0233	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092322	-0.76%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0175	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092626	-0.81%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0082	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093941	-0.88%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0212	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.092246	-0.72%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091968	-0.67%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0008	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093234	-0.56%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0165	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094275	-0.15%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0099	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092758	-0.13%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0064	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096533	-0.13%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0358	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097537	-0.09%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0257	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.104242	-0.01%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0929	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103527	-0.07%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0928	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.102007	+0.01%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0687	✗	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103546	+0.08%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0883	✗	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.105256	+0.12%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0987	✗	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.10564	+0.10%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0567	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.102904	+0.04%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0350	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.102633	-0.05%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0080	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105235	-0.19%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0097	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.103798	-0.28%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0198	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103947	-0.37%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0204	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105812	-1.02%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0228	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107628	-0.11%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0380	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104751	-0.23%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0554	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.106736	-0.25%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0505	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107478	-0.30%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0322	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.10802	-0.35%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0341	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.105005	-0.93%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0139	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.104135	-0.12%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0050	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.106594	-0.23%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0099	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.110343	-0.38%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0281	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110217	-0.45%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0316	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.111075	-0.58%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0385	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.11141	-0.53%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0472	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108584	-0.56%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0450	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.104659	-1.19%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0321	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111821	-0.56%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.1116	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.10987	-0.48%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0479	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.11145	-1.24%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0404	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106788	-0.05%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0132	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.104255	+0.11%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0219	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.106733	+0.14%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.108637	+0.04%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.0914	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.11104	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.112625	-0.22%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0318	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.11622	-0.28%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0291	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.113656	-0.28%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0139	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114681	-0.93%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0516	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.121003	-0.23%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0801	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.12375	-0.28%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0916	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.124501	-0.35%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0819	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.123571	-0.83%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0575	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.121293	-0.17%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0370	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.119665	+0.01%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0478	✗	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.121354	-0.05%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0375	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.120209	+0.00%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0350	✗	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.115442	+0.25%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0149	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.141779	-1.16%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1291	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.146374	-1.39%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1725	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.156319	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.154098	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.150769	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.147108	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.146256	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.150329	-0.44%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0708	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.152946	-0.92%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0717	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.157548	-0.97%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0659	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.15805	-0.05%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0276	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162867	-0.14%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0396	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157978	-0.17%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0359	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.163715	-0.03%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0657	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.160358	+0.17%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0267	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.1584	+0.13%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0159	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.163281	+0.08%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0292	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.162687	+0.15%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0239	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.166452	-0.25%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.17049	+0.01%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0360	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.179636	+0.86%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0562	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.177102	+0.39%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0811	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.184675	+1.13%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.1148	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.191404	+1.19%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.1095	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.190367	+1.31%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.1094	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.180314	+0.73%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0230	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.181522	+0.73%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0042	✓	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.177901	+0.22%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0319	✓	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.175428	+0.24%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0500	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.177691	-0.06%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0062	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.173513	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.174044	+0.22%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0243	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.175301	-0.15%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0526	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.181196	-0.38%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0856	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.17326	+0.80%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0256	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.178283	+0.97%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0011	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.175127	+0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.174033	+0.92%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0139	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.173481	+1.04%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0299	✓	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.174321	+0.98%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0430	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.174957	+0.69%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0393	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.172799	+0.58%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0275	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.167119	+0.16%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0154	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.174938	+0.31%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0349	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.179523	+0.37%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0455	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.175614	-0.20%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0678	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.172481	+0.01%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0482	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.168399	-0.12%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0008	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.170505	-0.15%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0133	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.161654	-1.30%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0163	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.16817	-0.20%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170057	-0.35%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0113	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.168439	-0.64%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0081	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167207	-0.81%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0272	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.169861	-0.70%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0426	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.163063	-1.80%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0417	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.163111	-1.77%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0240	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163548	-1.06%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0636	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.164916	-1.12%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0636	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.15859	-1.43%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0131	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.165313	-0.72%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0289	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161746	-0.62%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.16009	-0.71%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0010	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.156414	-0.65%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0086	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.160264	-0.74%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0145	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160672	-0.82%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0271	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165192	-0.81%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0051	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.171717	-0.68%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0215	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.169972	-0.87%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0053	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.169887	-0.91%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0165	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.161913	-1.38%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0043	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168719	-1.19%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0001	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.174117	-1.08%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0030	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.173909	-1.22%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0244	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.175823	-1.75%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0177	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.186094	-1.62%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0279	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.18735	-0.62%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0253	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.173621	-0.71%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0240	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.169069	-0.88%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0472	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.171002	-0.97%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0361	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.171607	-1.64%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0355	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.169187	-0.54%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0396	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.165174	-0.49%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0735	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162374	-0.95%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0478	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.162054	-0.58%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0372	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163351	-0.43%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0226	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169128	-0.45%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0258	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171267	-0.28%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0244	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174093	-0.31%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0165	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171344	-0.49%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0597	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171123	-0.46%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0360	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170533	-0.47%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0489	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174518	-0.47%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0670	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173861	-0.41%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0636	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178181	-0.48%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0962	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180103	-0.35%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1115	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.170719	+0.10%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0705	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.172392	+0.04%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0787	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.17988	-0.32%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0151	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184872	-0.51%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0353	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.183323	-0.58%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0103	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.181273	-0.63%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0218	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.180316	-0.78%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0262	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.186665	-1.36%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0288	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.188781	-1.37%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0154	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185996	-2.08%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0097	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.200931	-1.95%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0469	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.196453	-2.10%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0492	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.18324	-1.05%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0177	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178654	-1.61%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0273	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.182577	-1.29%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0581	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.179554	-1.40%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0844	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.178983	-1.41%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0835	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.181552	-2.22%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1123	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.181275	-2.02%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1296	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.162528	+1.57%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0717	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.198964	-2.11%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0157	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.203805	-2.13%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0153	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.210559	-2.99%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0461	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.205092	-2.48%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0446	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.215807	-1.71%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0321	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.230969	-1.76%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0604	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.234764	-1.30%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1090	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.253007	-1.15%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0418	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.257395	-1.10%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0655	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.256522	-1.05%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0656	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.247047	-0.92%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0578	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.25561	-0.88%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0442	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.255028	-0.74%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0277	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.257434	-0.65%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0296	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.260164	-0.91%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.261073	-0.67%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0374	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.271595	-0.83%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0124	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.285791	-1.08%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0429	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.283328	-1.20%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0380	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.283529	-1.46%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0294	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.292058	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.291092	-1.79%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0305	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.268712	-2.42%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0356	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.275246	-2.53%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0328	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.281807	-2.64%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0228	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.2825	-2.50%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.282348	-2.93%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0296	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.284566	-2.89%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0296	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.277607	-2.11%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0437	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.274335	-2.08%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0394	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.266365	-2.05%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0861	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.269702	-2.18%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0640	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.257299	-1.97%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.0918	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.253044	-1.88%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.0958	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.259174	-1.83%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0190	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.259965	-1.87%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0147	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.257228	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.260244	-0.51%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0070	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.249207	-0.33%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0660	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.249871	-0.28%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0283	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.256991	-0.43%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0050	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.256727	-0.47%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0149	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.25874	-0.55%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0430	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.252807	-0.49%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0439	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.256903	-0.55%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0251	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.252199	-0.84%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0022	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.242252	-0.26%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0103	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.252947	-0.31%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0011	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.26131	-0.45%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0072	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.262857	-1.24%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0396	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.273618	-0.32%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0805	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.282166	-0.26%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0626	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.279575	-0.17%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0658	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.285902	-0.18%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0690	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.291058	-0.42%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0598	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.29187	-0.47%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0426	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.283646	-0.43%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0076	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.285645	-0.49%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0105	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.288768	-0.54%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0336	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.29448	-0.68%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0626	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.29025	-0.72%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0192	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.290796	-0.81%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0239	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.285018	-0.70%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0099	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.27436	-1.22%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0262	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.294731	-0.76%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0269	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.305104	-1.71%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0276	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.282888	-1.19%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0689	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.281773	-0.41%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0261	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.273414	-0.27%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0289	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.272992	-0.18%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0078	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.275213	-0.24%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0387	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.269857	-0.52%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0428	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.260286	+0.56%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0824	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.26262	+0.44%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0024	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.269363	+0.09%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0221	✗	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.27698	-0.18%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0053	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.285311	-0.50%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0462	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.287279	-0.65%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0215	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.287266	-0.63%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0622	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.292289	-1.04%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0556	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.292034	-1.19%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0445	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.296406	-1.22%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1245	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.310235	-0.95%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0534	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.317759	-1.42%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0579	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.309744	-0.68%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1563	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.306369	-1.25%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.0997	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.283193	-0.81%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0828	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.272905	-0.40%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1712	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.267011	+0.45%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1649	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.279774	+0.23%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1173	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.31901	+0.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.320441	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.310323	+0.15%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.0899	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.309204	+0.22%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0230	✓	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.319749	+0.15%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0669	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.319807	+0.20%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0181	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.328733	+0.13%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0571	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.340164	+0.05%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0090	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.331581	-0.04%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0113	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.327632	+0.03%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0344	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.326079	+0.13%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0291	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.316537	+0.30%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0271	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.322863	+0.21%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0767	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.332431	+0.08%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0619	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.328054	+0.14%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0455	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.322568	+0.22%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0349	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.321917	+0.22%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0477	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.337573	+0.01%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0629	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.351299	-0.27%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0626	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.360198	-0.59%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0472	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.378773	-1.23%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0691	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.38303	-0.61%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0725	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.349625	-0.80%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0369	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.351207	-0.69%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0076	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.426026	-0.75%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.1098	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.434081	-0.89%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0970	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.434583	-1.22%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.1103	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.446615	-1.32%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.43517	-1.36%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0508	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.433906	-2.14%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1063	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.444371	-1.54%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1476	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.445076	-1.73%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0455	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.425554	-1.81%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0071	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.415549	-2.04%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0019	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.407762	-2.14%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.413288	-2.29%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0420	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.40591	-2.31%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0372	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.407249	-3.08%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0213	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.397341	-2.72%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0164	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.425657	-2.17%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0319	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.432544	-2.15%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0396	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.407375	-3.14%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.441292	-2.23%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0130	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.451061	-2.40%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0217	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.441892	-2.47%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0094	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.459504	-2.57%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0372	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.454971	-2.52%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0135	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.442899	-3.34%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0461	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.448467	-2.40%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0374	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.478455	-3.31%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0579	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.443827	-2.79%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0427	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.439501	-3.05%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0348	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.445749	-2.16%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0399	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.443197	-2.01%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0253	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.439898	-2.05%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0167	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.440709	-2.23%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0055	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.420755	-2.13%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1165	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.417032	-2.21%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0304	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.413035	-3.54%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0364	✗	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.415918	-2.26%	0.4556	+7.07%	0.0407	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.