ARK

ARK · native · lstm_s3

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1405

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0065

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.170405	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.171133	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.168722	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165498	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.168204	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.172721	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.175038	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.173959	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.181855	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.179415	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.193649	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.198667	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.200836	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.207195	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.196869	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.194108	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.201641	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.207614	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.21075	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.194951	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.221288	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.232748	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.229606	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.215053	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.226728	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.234116	-10.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.227631	-10.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.180965	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.154593	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.156003	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.152772	-0.80%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1732	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146163	-3.69%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1538	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.147259	-4.03%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1588	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.139295	-2.08%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1791	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.130208	-5.02%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2139	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.138119	-7.77%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1858	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.135212	-6.86%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.2041	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.156249	-7.32%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1057	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.133172	-3.32%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2875	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.132595	-0.25%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3015	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.116922	+2.02%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4959	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.111959	+1.73%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5681	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.119758	+1.80%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5357	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.1189	+2.21%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6005	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.117748	+2.84%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5544	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.121876	+3.46%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4831	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.121672	+3.46%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5218	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.121895	+3.66%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5371	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.119146	+4.60%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6247	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.113846	+3.58%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5381	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.11347	+4.11%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6776	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.11581	+5.13%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7543	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.115538	+5.71%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7093	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.119187	+6.85%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6380	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.119237	+6.03%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6588	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.121308	+6.10%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7202	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.119683	+6.33%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.6992	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.114447	+7.17%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4610	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.1161	+8.31%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2547	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.11786	+8.75%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2007	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.118957	+9.64%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1536	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.11984	+12.09%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2039	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.105092	+8.31%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2894	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.093703	+1.92%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2915	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.084087	-2.25%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3601	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.084752	-3.12%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4391	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.084669	-3.74%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3896	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.085876	-4.18%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.5007	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.084549	-4.35%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.3274	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.086203	-4.27%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2730	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.085898	-3.80%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.1252	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.087236	-4.39%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0789	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.089542	-3.22%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.1041	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.091917	-1.66%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0745	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.09296	-1.67%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0416	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.092816	-1.52%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0584	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.092876	-1.85%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0523	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.091707	-1.42%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0704	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.091721	-1.78%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0155	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.092725	-2.16%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0005	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091198	-1.84%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0077	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.090735	-2.00%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0046	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092145	-1.72%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0082	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094335	-0.09%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0028	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092571	-0.33%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0280	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096469	-0.20%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0231	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097558	-0.07%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0402	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.105133	+0.85%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1270	✗	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.104033	+0.42%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1315	✗	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.102595	+0.58%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0972	✗	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.104634	+1.14%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0974	✗	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.106807	+1.59%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1321	✗	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.107382	+1.75%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1745	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.104233	+1.33%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1710	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.103804	+1.09%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1879	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.106404	+0.92%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1920	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.104885	+0.76%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1629	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.105335	+0.96%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1522	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.107952	+0.98%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1785	✗	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.108949	+1.12%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1714	✗	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.105342	+0.34%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1800	✗	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.107809	+0.76%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1642	✗	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.108799	+0.93%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1638	✗	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.109871	+1.36%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1708	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.107271	+1.21%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1482	✗	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.105031	+0.74%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1417	✗	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.107674	+0.79%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1409	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.111426	+0.60%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1878	✗	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.111282	+0.51%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1811	✗	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.112068	+0.31%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1723	✗	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.112363	+0.32%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.2022	✗	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.109762	+0.51%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1860	✗	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.10611	+0.18%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1591	✗	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111598	-0.76%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2515	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.110628	+0.20%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1940	✗	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.112589	-0.23%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1934	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106946	+0.10%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0970	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.104652	+0.49%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0718	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.10758	+0.93%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0942	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.109685	+1.00%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0900	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.111925	+0.64%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0900	✗	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.113523	+0.58%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.1157	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.117563	+0.87%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1465	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.115346	+1.20%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1323	✗	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.116685	+0.80%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1274	✗	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.12182	+0.44%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1500	✗	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.124986	+0.71%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1565	✗	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.126146	+0.97%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1449	✗	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.125363	+0.61%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1420	✗	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.121411	-0.07%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.1144	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.119921	+0.23%	0.107	-10.57%	0.1169	✗	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.12135	-0.05%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1214	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119616	-0.49%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1378	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.11544	+0.25%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.1076	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.142534	-0.63%	0.112	-21.92%	0.2202	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.146717	-1.15%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.2251	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.156081	-1.10%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2489	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.155383	-0.83%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1334	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.151602	-0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.148584	-0.28%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1301	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.14679	-0.05%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.1008	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.151635	+0.42%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1810	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.155346	+0.63%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.2113	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.159897	+0.51%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.2155	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.158274	+0.09%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.2111	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162944	-0.09%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2347	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157773	-0.29%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1921	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.164415	+0.40%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1928	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.161648	+0.98%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1893	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.159768	+0.99%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1622	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.165375	+1.36%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1665	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.16629	+2.37%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1592	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.172056	+3.11%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1880	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.176249	+3.38%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1944	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.184444	+3.56%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2301	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.182045	+3.19%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2285	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.187086	+2.45%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2329	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.195044	+3.11%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2464	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.195375	+3.97%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2933	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.187498	+4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.191915	+6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.190608	+7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.186151	+6.37%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0193	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.186918	+5.13%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0502	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.181983	+4.86%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0818	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.177814	+2.39%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1212	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.178687	+1.78%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1462	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.187536	+3.10%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.2027	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.178838	+4.04%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1241	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.18592	+5.29%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1446	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.182624	+5.15%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1321	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.180426	+4.63%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1249	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.179346	+4.46%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0713	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.180365	+4.48%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0903	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.179527	+3.32%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.1096	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.176993	+3.02%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1243	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.169308	+1.47%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1112	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.178888	+2.57%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.1096	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.184617	+3.22%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1324	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.177988	+1.15%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.1073	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.176113	+2.11%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0935	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.171907	+1.96%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0635	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.174762	+2.34%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0605	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.163136	-0.40%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0329	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.170252	+1.03%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0212	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.171975	+0.77%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0456	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.16931	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167863	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.172502	+0.84%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0838	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.163876	-1.31%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0938	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.164019	-1.23%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0999	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.162257	-1.84%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1182	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.163747	-1.82%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0988	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.158257	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.16434	-1.30%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1026	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161017	-1.06%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0513	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158513	-1.69%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0422	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.154665	-1.76%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0031	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.158387	-1.91%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0924	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.158607	-2.09%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0853	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.163824	-1.63%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0802	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.171538	-0.79%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0895	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.16916	-1.34%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1043	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.169389	-1.20%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0937	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.159978	-2.56%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0528	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.166254	-2.63%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0771	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.17274	-1.87%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0873	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.172669	-1.93%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0814	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.176438	-1.40%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0771	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.188266	-0.47%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0865	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.188961	+0.24%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0905	✗	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.174345	-0.30%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0542	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.16914	-0.84%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0402	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.171458	-0.71%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0427	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.173383	-0.62%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0688	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.170174	+0.04%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0411	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.166656	+0.40%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0120	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.163235	-0.42%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0106	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.160113	-1.77%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0326	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.162441	-0.98%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0049	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168737	-0.68%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0309	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.172633	+0.51%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0168	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.176164	+0.87%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0391	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171442	-0.43%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0382	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171631	-0.17%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0178	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170275	-0.62%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0890	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174949	-0.22%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0775	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.174039	-0.31%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.1020	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.17927	+0.13%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0834	✗	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180803	+0.03%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0803	✗	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.171313	+0.44%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.1151	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.172628	+0.18%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1168	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179796	-0.37%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0985	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184381	-0.77%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1236	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.182672	-0.93%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.1043	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.180324	-1.15%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0893	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.178962	-1.52%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0891	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.183522	-3.02%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0840	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.186525	-2.55%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0822	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.184135	-3.06%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0590	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.195381	-4.66%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1188	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.191265	-4.69%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1564	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.181618	-1.92%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1471	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.177512	-2.24%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0917	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.178906	-3.27%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0532	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.175943	-3.38%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0354	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.175948	-3.08%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0531	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.177708	-4.29%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0674	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.177234	-4.20%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0078	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.161373	+0.85%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0598	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.19076	-6.14%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0544	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.196155	-5.80%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0768	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.203505	-6.24%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0850	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.199116	-5.32%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0438	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.209621	-4.53%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0745	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.224623	-4.46%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0453	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.22715	-4.50%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0441	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.246618	-3.65%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0772	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.251227	-3.47%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0900	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.250488	-3.38%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0962	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.241244	-3.25%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0845	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.250642	-2.81%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0969	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.250874	-2.36%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0864	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.253759	-2.07%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0722	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.255051	-2.86%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0922	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.258095	-1.81%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0413	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.268198	-2.07%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0437	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.281319	-2.63%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0897	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.278516	-2.88%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0817	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.277577	-3.53%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0151	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.285437	-3.90%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0356	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.284389	-4.05%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0845	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.260992	-5.22%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0849	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.265919	-5.84%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1052	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.27071	-6.47%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1593	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.272411	-5.98%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.273543	-5.96%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1166	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.276317	-5.70%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0913	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.275113	-2.99%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0458	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.273358	-2.43%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0121	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.264777	-2.64%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0254	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.267756	-2.89%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0487	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.256636	-2.22%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0097	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.252749	-2.00%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0248	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.260162	-1.45%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0351	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.26085	-1.54%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0468	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.258834	-1.02%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0113	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.259881	-0.65%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0084	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.249656	-0.15%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0086	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.250604	+0.01%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0033	✓	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.256847	-0.49%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0244	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.256583	-0.53%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0174	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.258811	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.253732	-0.13%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0385	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.258426	+0.04%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0390	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.254813	+0.19%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0006	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.242606	-0.11%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0481	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.253888	+0.06%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0005	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.262757	+0.10%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0090	✗	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.263834	-0.87%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0193	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.271515	-1.09%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0059	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.281332	-0.56%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0336	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.279455	-0.21%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0028	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.286771	+0.12%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0373	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.290636	-0.56%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0166	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.291621	-0.56%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0189	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.283283	-0.56%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0257	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.285379	-0.58%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0485	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.288463	-0.65%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0891	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.294046	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.290692	-0.57%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0466	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.290833	-0.80%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0064	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.287434	+0.14%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0556	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.278549	+0.29%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0951	✗	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.296741	-0.08%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0886	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.307096	-1.07%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0947	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.28733	+0.36%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0514	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.284105	+0.41%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0329	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.275836	+0.61%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0532	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.275679	+0.81%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0932	✗	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.278587	+0.98%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0666	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.274321	+1.13%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0710	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.261497	+1.03%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0649	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.263579	+0.80%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0918	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.268398	-0.26%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0653	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.276647	-0.30%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0306	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.284007	-0.95%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0370	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.285548	-1.25%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0219	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.287458	-0.57%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0111	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.293196	-0.74%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0506	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.293583	-0.66%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0350	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.299059	-0.34%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.0995	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.311728	-0.47%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0781	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.320142	-0.68%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0557	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.313806	+0.62%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1551	✓	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.311927	+0.54%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1203	✓	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.288509	+1.05%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.1950	✓	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.278038	+1.47%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.2964	✓	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.268398	+0.97%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2359	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.283114	+1.42%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2451	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.323478	+1.43%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1718	✓	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.323648	+1.01%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2203	✓	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.314387	+1.46%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2375	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.311512	+0.97%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2665	✓	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.323121	+1.20%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1690	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.325591	+2.01%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.1911	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.334167	+1.79%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1636	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.34469	+1.39%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.1909	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.334112	+0.72%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1800	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.330785	+1.00%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.1920	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.329729	+1.26%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1743	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.319499	+1.24%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1727	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.325801	+1.12%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1661	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.335428	+0.98%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1093	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.33056	+0.90%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.0996	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.324982	+0.97%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1177	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.324527	+1.04%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0733	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.341065	+1.05%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0465	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.35548	+0.91%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0561	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.364704	+0.65%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0034	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.38337	-0.03%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0144	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.38534	-0.01%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0162	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.353199	+0.21%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0624	✗	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.352765	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.422551	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.430244	-1.77%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1417	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.427762	-2.77%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2221	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.440959	-2.57%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2921	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.430803	-2.35%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2865	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.429275	-3.18%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2896	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.436009	-3.40%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2096	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.434767	-4.00%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2110	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.414283	-4.41%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2164	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.401591	-5.33%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2146	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.393597	-5.54%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1678	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.397733	-5.97%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2271	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.391107	-5.87%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2199	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.392602	-6.57%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.1932	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.383301	-6.16%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1715	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.411214	-5.49%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2052	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.417967	-5.45%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2306	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.393744	-6.38%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1685	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.423842	-6.10%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2072	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.431975	-6.53%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2114	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.422708	-6.71%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1847	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.439662	-6.77%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2123	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.436825	-6.41%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2047	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.426172	-6.99%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1455	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.432477	-5.88%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1584	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.461718	-6.69%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2189	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.431659	-5.45%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1110	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.428058	-5.58%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0942	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.433601	-4.83%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1559	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.430117	-4.91%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1851	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.426478	-5.04%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.1018	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.42727	-5.21%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0948	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.406893	-5.36%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0309	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.403883	-5.29%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0322	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.3992	-6.77%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0299	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.400404	-5.90%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0172	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.